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Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

Elite Women

20.04.2019 Dexing, Jiangxi Province, China CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2019 Dexing ASTC Triathlon Asian Cup

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 20.04.2019 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 0/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 10.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.5
Mean swim error23.2 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Mengying Zhong
CHN
+16 s
+5 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Mengying Zhong

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 36:51 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Yurie Kato
JPN
+32 s
+3 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Yurie Kato

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 29.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 37:30 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Yi Zhang
CHN
+34 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Yi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 33.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:02 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Wen Wei
CHN
+1 s
+3 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Wen Wei

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: -2.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 38:07 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Gillian Backhouse
AUS
+25 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Gillian Backhouse

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:59 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Anqi Huang
CHN
+60 s
+5 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Anqi Huang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 55.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:34 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Lianyuan Wang
CHN
+55 s
+8 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Lianyuan Wang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 47.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Hye Rim Jeong
KOR
+36 s
+10 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Hye Rim Jeong

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 26.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:50 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Minami Kubono
JPN
+36 s
+8 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Minami Kubono

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 28.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:57 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Qing Wu
CHN
+29 s
+1 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Qing Wu

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 28.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:10 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Yuting Huang
CHN
+27 s
+6 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Yuting Huang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 21.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:11 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Yiming Liu
CHN
+25 s
+6 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Yiming Liu

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 19.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:39 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Zhilin Tang
CHN
+14 s
+3 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Zhilin Tang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:46 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Yejin Park
KOR
+22 s
+7 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Yejin Park

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 15.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 42:16 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Chunyan Xiong
CHN
+37 s
+19 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Chunyan Xiong

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 39:33 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Naomi Takamine
JPN
+34 s
+45 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Naomi Takamine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Solji Om
KOR
+38 s
+46 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Solji Om

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -8.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 40:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Xiaoting Ma
CHN
+8 s
+0 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Xiaoting Ma

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 8.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (14 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Sarika Nakayama
JPN
+15 s
+33 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Sarika Nakayama

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 41:10 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Zixuan Chen
CHN
+148 s
+96 s
G0 / G4
Show details
Prediction details: Zixuan Chen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +148 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +96 s
Fehler: 52.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 44:56 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.