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Elite Men

20.05.2023 Ixtapa MEX
Race information and calculation basis
2023 Americas Triathlon Cup Ixtapa

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 20.05.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 38/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 35.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 68.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error16.6
Mean swim error43.1 s
Mean bike-speed error2.10 km/h
Correct bike groups12/48
No history6
Within the 80% range13.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 26 Brener Valencia Nuñez
PER
+26 s
+39 s
G1 / G3
 14:14
17:47
 43:18
Show details
Prediction details: Brener Valencia Nuñez

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:22
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -13.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 2.19 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.2 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:14 (2:51 / km)
Historical basis: 2:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.75 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −3:33 / −0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 43:18
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:22 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 14:14 (2:51 / km)
Total: 43:18
2 / 6 Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez
MEX
+57 s
+23 s
G3 / G1
 14:34
16:03
 44:13
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 33.9 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:36 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Error: −1:29 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 44:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Total: 44:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
3 / 39 Blake Harris
CAN
+62 s
+67 s
G3 / G5
 14:34
19:13
 44:13
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Harris

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.30 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: −4:39 / −0:56 / km
Overall prediction: 44:13
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Total: 44:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 22.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 23 Andres Gras
CHI
+71 s
+40 s
G4 / G3
 14:25
17:11
 44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Andres Gras

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 31.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 1.51 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: −2:46 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 44:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Total: 44:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Irving Perez
MEX
+31 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:25
15:45
 44:29
Show details
Prediction details: Irving Perez

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:27
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 29.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:27 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:29
6 / 25 Raul Emiliano Diaz Rodriguez
MEX
+60 s
+56 s
G3 / G3
correct 		14:54
17:41
 44:33
Show details
Prediction details: Raul Emiliano Diaz Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 14–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 3.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: −2:47 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 44:33
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 14:54 (2:59 / km)
Total: 44:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 19.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 17 Andrew Shellenberger
USA
+37 s
+6 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:31
18:07
 44:35
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew Shellenberger

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 8:33
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 30.8 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −2:36 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 44:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:33 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:35
8 / 2 Mathis Beaulieu
CAN
+41 s
+19 s
G3 / G1
 15:01
15:26
 44:40
Show details
Prediction details: Mathis Beaulieu

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 21.8 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Total: 44:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 0.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 8 Dylan Didier Campa Carranza
MEX
+38 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:45
16:19
 44:49
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Didier Campa Carranza

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 24.8 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:49
10 / 9 Aiden Longcroft-Harris
CAN
+35 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:49
16:38
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: Aiden Longcroft-Harris

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 14–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:53
11 / 13 Eduardo Nuñez Gomez
MEX
+30 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:53
17:18
 44:57
Show details
Prediction details: Eduardo Nuñez Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 17–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:26
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 26.3 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 44:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:26 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:57
12 / 7 Clayton Hutchins
CAN
+41 s
+4 s
G3 / G1
 15:23
16:09
 45:02
Show details
Prediction details: Clayton Hutchins

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 37.1 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 5 Erik Yamir Ramos Croda
MEX
+61 s
+16 s
G3 / G1
 15:24
15:54
 45:03
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Yamir Ramos Croda

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 15–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 45.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:43 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 21.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 52 Mitsuho Mochizuki
JPN
+12 s
+0 s
G2 / G3
 16:07
26:06
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: Mitsuho Mochizuki

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–35
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 8:08
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:36 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:06 (5:13 / km)
Error: −9:59 / −2:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:08 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 7:58
Pace: 1:04 / 100 m
About 9.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +2.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 1 Crisanto Grajales Valencia
MEX
+40 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:11
15:27
 45:15
Show details
Prediction details: Crisanto Grajales Valencia

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 14–35
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 30.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:36 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:15
16 / 31 Jorge Luis Fuentes
MEX
+74 s
+66 s
G4 / G3
 15:34
19:03
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Luis Fuentes

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 22–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: −3:29 / −0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 45:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 34.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 21 David Nuñez Gomez
MEX
+60 s
+57 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:02
16:42
 45:41
Show details
Prediction details: David Nuñez Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 23–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 2.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.14 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 19.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 20 Thomas Castañeda Maldonado
ARG
+82 s
+22 s
G5 / G2
 15:01
17:30
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Castañeda Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 12–38
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 59.9 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: −2:29 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:20 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Total: 45:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 42 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 3 Jorge Alarcon Familiar
MEX
+58 s
+10 s
G3 / G1
 16:07
15:33
 45:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Alarcon Familiar

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 19–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 48.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 18.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 10 Miguel Angel Márquez Alemán
MEX
+60 s
+5 s
G3 / G1
 16:10
17:04
 45:49
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Márquez Alemán

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 25–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 55.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:54 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 20.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 41 Alejandro Dominguez Romero
PER
+19 s
+37 s
G2 / G5
 16:50
20:04
 45:55
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Dominguez Romero

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 14–36
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 8:15
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -18.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 2.52 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 7.2 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: −3:14 / −0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 45:55
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:14
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 12 Jesus Gildardo Espiritu
MEX
+67 s
+0 s
G4 / G1
 16:07
17:23
 46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Jesus Gildardo Espiritu

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 24–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 66.5 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 26.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 36 Humberto Castañeiras Jenner
MEX
+49 s
+60 s
G3 / G5
 16:43
18:54
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: Humberto Castañeiras Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 22–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: -11.4 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −2:11 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 28 Michael Arishita
USA
+59 s
+16 s
G3 / G2
 16:44
19:17
 46:23
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Arishita

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 24–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 43.2 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.22 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:17 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:33 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 19.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 45 Jack Screen
CAN
+58 s
+135 s
G3 / G6
 17:05
18:33
 46:44
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Screen

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 30–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +135 s
Fehler: -77.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 46:44
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 16 Yael Vladimir González Melendez
MEX
+57 s
+28 s
G3 / G2
 17:14
16:51
 46:53
Show details
Prediction details: Yael Vladimir González Melendez

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 33–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 28.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:53
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 14 Nicolas Probert Vargas
MEX
+29 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:57
17:51
 47:01
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Probert Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 32–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:25
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 15.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.93 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:25 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:01
28 / 18 Jose Luis Cordova
MEX
+108 s
+61 s
G6 / G3
 15:26
16:22
 47:04
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Luis Cordova

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 30–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 46.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.3 s
Gap behind: 20.3 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 47:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
29 / 37 Joshua Malenchak
CAN
+101 s
+67 s
G6 / G5
 15:36
18:59
 47:14
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Malenchak

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 31–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 34.4 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 6.3 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: −3:23 / −0:41 / km
Overall prediction: 47:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 47:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 61.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 24 Arturo Mateos Aviles
MEX
+87 s
+54 s
G6 / G3
 15:43
17:10
 47:21
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Mateos Aviles

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 24–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 33.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: −1:27 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:21
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 47:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:17
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
About 66.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 27 Jeisson Leonardo Fierro Calderon
COL
+89 s
+47 s
G6 / G3
 16:14
18:02
 47:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jeisson Leonardo Fierro Calderon

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 34–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 42.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:48 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 47:52
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 47:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 49.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 32 Edgar Martinez Hidalgo
MEX
+82 s
+63 s
G5 / G3
 17:34
19:39
 48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Edgar Martinez Hidalgo

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 39–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Error: −2:05 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:20 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
33 / 51 Ricardo Quintero Velázquez
MEX
+94 s
+89 s
G6 / G6
correct 		16:53
20:25
 48:31
Show details
Prediction details: Ricardo Quintero Velázquez

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 40–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +94 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 1.07 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: −3:32 / −0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 48:31
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Total: 48:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 53.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 11 Uzziel Valderrabano Chavez
MEX
+86 s
+19 s
G6 / G1
 17:09
17:15
 48:47
Show details
Prediction details: Uzziel Valderrabano Chavez

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 34–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 67.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (15 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:50 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:17
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
About 65.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +20.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 54 Alvaro Eugenio Rivero Franco
MEX
+76 s
+121 s
G4 / G7
 20:01
22:47
 49:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alvaro Eugenio Rivero Franco

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: -44.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:47 (4:33 / km)
Error: −2:46 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 49:59
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Total: 49:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 36.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 50 Abraham Flores
MEX
+50 s
+96 s
G3 / G6
 24:47
20:24
 54:26
Show details
Prediction details: Abraham Flores

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 45–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +96 s
Fehler: -46.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:47 (4:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:24 (4:05 / km)
Error: +4:23 / +0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 54:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 24:47 (4:57 / km)
Total: 54:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 9.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 29 Victor Emmanuel Martinez Rico
MEX
+201 s
+22 s
G8 / G3
 17:31
18:18
 54:39
Show details
Prediction details: Victor Emmanuel Martinez Rico

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 45–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +201 s
Time: 11:17
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 179.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 73.0 s
Gap behind: 37.4 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 54:39
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:17 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:47 (35.5 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 54:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 161.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 34 Oscar Daniel Quiroz Abrego
MEX
+238 s
+70 s
G9 / G5
 17:18
18:08
 58:22
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Daniel Quiroz Abrego

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +238 s
Time: 11:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 168.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 58:22
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:06 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 58:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 198.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 47 Pablo Sanchez Ramón
MEX
+238 s
+75 s
G9 / G5
 19:14
21:19
 1:00:18
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Sanchez Ramón

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +238 s
Time: 11:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: 163.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 37.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:19 (4:16 / km)
Error: −2:05 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:18
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:06 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Total: 1:00:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
About 198.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +39.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Daniel Damian
CAN
+0 s
+23 s
G0 / G2
16:48
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Damian

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Ivan Eduardo Castro Garcia
MEX
+13 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct
16:56
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Eduardo Castro Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:09
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:09 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Miguel Angel Rubio Medina
MEX
+17 s
+45 s
G2 / G3
17:09
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Rubio Medina

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:13
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -28.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:13 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Dante Jesus Orozco Espinoza
MEX
+53 s
+31 s
G3 / G3
correct
18:30
Show details
Prediction details: Dante Jesus Orozco Espinoza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 22.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Pablo Joel Calderon Garcia
MEX
+0 s
+21 s
G0 / G3
20:06
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Joel Calderon Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35 Rodrigo Isaac Maya Escalante
MEX
+0 s
+54 s
G0 / G5
18:43
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Isaac Maya Escalante

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Andrés Iván González Vargas
MEX
+0 s
+83 s
G0 / G5
18:56
Show details
Prediction details: Andrés Iván González Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 40 Jesús Carrillo Chávez
MEX
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G3
21:54
Show details
Prediction details: Jesús Carrillo Chávez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (16 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 42 Héctor Armando Morales Rámirez
MEX
+33 s
+31 s
G1 / G4
21:58
Show details
Prediction details: Héctor Armando Morales Rámirez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -42

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:29
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 2.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:29 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:24 (42.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 43 Diego Adrián Dávalos Carrillo
MEX
+128 s
+97 s
G7 / G5
20:17
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Adrián Dávalos Carrillo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +128 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: 31.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 20.3 s
Gap behind: 73.0 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:17 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44 Rene Martinez Garcia
MEX
+14 s
+58 s
G2 / G5
20:40
Show details
Prediction details: Rene Martinez Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:10
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -44.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:40 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:10 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46 Sinuhe Ishida
MEX
+0 s
 Bike DNF
1:06:06
Show details
Prediction details: Sinuhe Ishida

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:06:06 (13:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 Alan Mena Reyes
MEX
+0 s
+122 s
G2 / G6
19:14
Show details
Prediction details: Alan Mena Reyes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -48

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +122 s
Fehler: -122.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Carson McComb
CAN
+45 s
+61 s
G3 / G5
22:10
Show details
Prediction details: Carson McComb

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -49

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 8:41
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -16.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 5 (11 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:10 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:41 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:37 (42.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 53 Francisco Javier Avilés Cortés
MEX
+0 s
+132 s
G2 / G6
22:35
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Javier Avilés Cortés

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -53

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 7:56
Pace: 1:03 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +132 s
Fehler: -132.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 12.1 s
Result: Group 6 (5 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:35 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:56 (1:03 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:47 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.