Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Men

12.03.2023 Pucón CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2023 Americas Triathlon Cup Pucón

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.03.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 37/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 34.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 57.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error14.9
Mean swim error22.1 s
Mean bike-speed error2.71 km/h
Correct bike groups4/37
No history8
Within the 80% range6.4 %
Details
1 / 7 Brock Hoel
CAN
+8 s
+28 s
G2 / G11
 15:11
12:31
 43:32
Show details
Prediction details: Brock Hoel

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -19.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 70 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 11 (6 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:31 (2:30 / km)
Error: +2:40 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 43:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Total: 43:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 1.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 5 Felix Duchampt
ROU
+42 s
+17 s
G2 / G7
 15:35
13:40
 43:56
Show details
Prediction details: Felix Duchampt

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 13–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 24.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:40 (2:44 / km)
Error: +1:55 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 43:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 43:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1 Liam Donnelly
CAN
+51 s
+27 s
G2 / G5
 15:40
13:24
 44:01
Show details
Prediction details: Liam Donnelly

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 14–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 23.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:24 (2:41 / km)
Error: +2:16 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 44:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 44 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 24 Juan Jose Andrade Figueroa
ECU
+32 s
+44 s
G2 / G3
 15:43
17:03
 44:04
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Jose Andrade Figueroa

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 13–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -11.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 27 Koki Yamamoto
JPN
+9 s
+75 s
G2 / G11
 15:51
14:45
 44:12
Show details
Prediction details: Koki Yamamoto

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 13–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: -66.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 5.8 s
Result: Group 11 (6 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 2 Aoba Yasumatsu
JPN
+38 s
+15 s
G2 / G5
 15:57
14:01
 44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Aoba Yasumatsu

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 22.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:01 (2:48 / km)
Error: +1:56 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 44:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 31.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 14 Mateo Mendoza Burgos
CHI
+40 s
+38 s
G2 / G9
 16:02
14:12
 44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Mendoza Burgos

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 16–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 2.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 9 (4 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:12 (2:50 / km)
Error: +1:50 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 44:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 33.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 10 Richard Varga
SVK
+3 s
+6 s
G1 / G6
 16:22
14:39
 44:24
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Varga

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 14–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: -3.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Error: +1:43 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 44:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:00 (41.2 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:24
9 / 8 Gaspar Riveros
CHI
+33 s
+0 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:06
15:35
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Gaspar Riveros

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 15–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 33.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 26.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 19 Matheus Diniz
BRA
+37 s
+30 s
G2 / G11
 16:09
14:02
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Diniz

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 16–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 6.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 11 (6 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:02 (2:48 / km)
Error: +2:07 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 30 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 4 Clayton Hutchins
CAN
+29 s
+18 s
G2 / G8
 16:15
12:57
 44:36
Show details
Prediction details: Clayton Hutchins

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 17–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 11.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:57 (2:35 / km)
Error: +3:18 / +0:40 / km
Overall prediction: 44:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 22.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 17 Felipe Bianchi
BRA
+38 s
+21 s
G2 / G5
 16:16
15:44
 44:37
Show details
Prediction details: Felipe Bianchi

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 18–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 16.7 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 31.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 18 João Teixeira Alvares
BRA
+34 s
+43 s
G2 / G10
 16:24
14:19
 44:45
Show details
Prediction details: João Teixeira Alvares

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 20–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -8.6 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:19 (2:52 / km)
Error: +2:05 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 44:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 27.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 12 Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos
VEN
+40 s
+13 s
G2 / G9
 16:33
14:12
 44:54
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 22–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 26.8 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 9 (4 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:12 (2:50 / km)
Error: +2:21 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 44:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 33.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 13 Luciano Taccone
ARG
+44 s
+70 s
G2 / G8
 16:34
14:30
 44:55
Show details
Prediction details: Luciano Taccone

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 19–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -25.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:30 (2:54 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 44:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
16 / 23 Yhousman David Perdomo Peña
VEN
+25 s
+64 s
G2 / G11
 16:55
14:33
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Yhousman David Perdomo Peña

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 22–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -38.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 11 (6 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:33 (2:55 / km)
Error: +2:22 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 26 Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki
BRA
+25 s
+40 s
G2 / G4
 16:55
17:16
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 23–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 18.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 16 Vicente Trewhela
CHI
+15 s
+30 s
G2 / G8
 17:03
14:42
 45:24
Show details
Prediction details: Vicente Trewhela

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 22–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -15.3 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:42 (2:56 / km)
Error: +2:21 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 45:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 15 Michael Arishita
USA
+47 s
+41 s
G2 / G1
 17:17 45:38
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Arishita

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 30–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 45:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 45:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 40.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 6 Andree Buc
CHI
+16 s
+64 s
G2 / G11
 17:18
12:13
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Andree Buc

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 23–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -48.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 11 (6 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:13 (2:27 / km)
Error: +5:05 / +1:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 9 Kauê Willy
BRA
+19 s
+2 s
G2 / G3
 17:23
15:23
 45:44
Show details
Prediction details: Kauê Willy

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 28–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 17.4 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -1.25 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +2:00 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 45:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 45:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 12.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 25 Peter Rojtas
SVK
+24 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:33
17:29
 45:54
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Rojtas

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 28–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 1.1 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 45:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 21 Thomas Castañeda Maldonado
ARG
+56 s
+90 s
G3 / G11
 16:39
14:10
 46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Castañeda Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 24–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +90 s
Fehler: -33.6 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 11.6 s
Result: Group 11 (6 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:10 (2:50 / km)
Error: +2:29 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 49.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 29 Andres Gras
CHI
+37 s
+89 s
G2 / G14
 17:56
14:16
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Andres Gras

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 33–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: -52.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 14 (3 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -1.18 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:16 (2:51 / km)
Error: +3:40 / +0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Total: 46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 30 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 28 Gerónimo Dherete
ARG
+28 s
+12 s
G2 / G5
 18:09
16:26
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Gerónimo Dherete

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 34–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 15.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 49 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:43 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 21.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 11 Fernando Jacome
CHI
+30 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:11
15:55
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Fernando Jacome

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 33–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +2:16 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 46:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 23.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Antonio Bravo Neto
BRA
+40 s
 Bike DNF 15:24
Show details
Prediction details: Antonio Bravo Neto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Teppei Tokuyama
JPN
+35 s
+45 s
G2 / G8
15:07
Show details
Prediction details: Teppei Tokuyama

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -10.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 8 (4 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 28.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22 Benjamín Adriazola
CHI
+68 s
+30 s
G3 / G3
correct
16:27
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamín Adriazola

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 38.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 61.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Matias Campi
ARG
+55 s
+38 s
G3 / G5
17:01
Show details
Prediction details: Matias Campi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 17.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 48.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31 David Lucas Oliveira Souza
BRA
+78 s
+60 s
G4 / G14
14:19
Show details
Prediction details: David Lucas Oliveira Souza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 37.0 s
Result: Group 14 (3 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:19 (2:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 71.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32 Daniel Ubilla Sabada
CHI
+0 s
+40 s
G0 / G6
16:55
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Ubilla Sabada

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Lautaro Delgado
ARG
+26 s
+30 s
G2 / G3
17:19
Show details
Prediction details: Lautaro Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -3.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34 Ayrton Robledo
ARG
+118 s
+50 s
G5 / G14
14:34
Show details
Prediction details: Ayrton Robledo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–11
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +118 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 68.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (3 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 111.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 35 Ignacio Flores Arana
CHI
+5 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Ignacio Flores Arana

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36 Vicente Torrealba
CHI
+55 s
+34 s
G3 / G7
16:58
Show details
Prediction details: Vicente Torrealba

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 20.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 48.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 37 Bejamin Espinoza Fuente
CHI
+0 s
+55 s
G0 / G7
17:30
Show details
Prediction details: Bejamin Espinoza Fuente

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (3 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Fabian Ignacio Palacios Tamayo
CHI
+54 s
+72 s
G3 / G5
19:41
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Ignacio Palacios Tamayo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 47.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 39 Maximiliano Pacheco Maklouf
CHI
+0 s
+48 s
G0 / G13
17:31
Show details
Prediction details: Maximiliano Pacheco Maklouf

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 40 Sebastián Ignacio Colillanca Uribe
CHI
+68 s
+55 s
G3 / G5
20:12
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastián Ignacio Colillanca Uribe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -40

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s
Result: Group 5 (7 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 61.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 41 Tiago Muñoz
ARG
+35 s
+63 s
G2 / G9
20:07
Show details
Prediction details: Tiago Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -41

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -28.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (27 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 9 (4 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:30 (41.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 28.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 42 Nicolas Pavez
CHI
+0 s
+144 s
G0 / G15
18:25
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Pavez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 43 Matias Alonso Contreras Miranda
CHI
+0 s
+140 s
G0 / G16
18:49
Show details
Prediction details: Matias Alonso Contreras Miranda

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +140 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 16 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44 Rodrigo Torres Aliaga
CHI
+0 s
+71 s
G0 / G12
21:44
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Torres Aliaga

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:44 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 45 Javier Birkner
CHI
+0 s
+156 s
G0 / G16
21:29
Show details
Prediction details: Javier Birkner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +156 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 16 (2 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:29 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46 Clemente Garcia Huidobro
CHI
+0 s
+29 s
G0 / G9
25:53
Show details
Prediction details: Clemente Garcia Huidobro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (4 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:53 (5:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 47 Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura
CHI
+115 s
+91 s
G5 / G17
29:47
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -47

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: 24.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 37.0 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:47 (5:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:18 (40.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 108.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.