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Elite Men

12.11.2023 Viña del Mar CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2023 Americas Triathlon Cup Viña del Mar

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.11.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 46/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 51.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 87.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.7
Mean swim error24.4 s
Mean bike-speed error2.55 km/h
Correct bike groups1/51
No history3
Within the 80% range38.9 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 6 Cristóbal Baeza Muñoz
CHI
+50 s
+17 s
G2 / G10
 13:27
15:29
 41:14
Show details
Prediction details: Cristóbal Baeza Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 33.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:27 (2:41 / km)
Historical basis: 2:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.16 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: −2:02 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 41:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 13:27 (2:41 / km)
Total: 41:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Matthew Wright
BAR
+26 s
+9 s
G1 / G9
 14:49
15:17
 42:05
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Wright

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:32
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 17.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 42:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:32 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Total: 42:05
3 / 5 Gabriel Terán Carvajal
ECU
+33 s
+9 s
G1 / G10
 14:55
15:30
 42:11
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Terán Carvajal

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–11
Top-10 probability: 81 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 24.1 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 42:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Total: 42:11
4 / 35 Jose Javier Castro Rivas
MEX
+32 s
+27 s
G1 / G12
 15:02
16:36
 42:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Javier Castro Rivas

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:34 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 42:18
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Total: 42:18
5 / 4 Ryan Luczak
USA
+28 s
+8 s
G1 / G10
 15:10
15:04
 42:26
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Luczak

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 20.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Total: 42:26
6 / 24 Felipe Bianchi
BRA
+40 s
+23 s
G1 / G11
 15:35
16:30
 42:51
Show details
Prediction details: Felipe Bianchi

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 9–17
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 16.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 42:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 42:51
7 / 3 Yhousman David Perdomo Peña
VEN
+33 s
+1 s
G1 / G9
 15:58
15:41
 43:14
Show details
Prediction details: Yhousman David Perdomo Peña

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 31.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 1.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 43:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Total: 43:14
8 / 29 Bautista Arbizu
ARG
+50 s
+45 s
G2 / G11
 15:39
16:52
 43:26
Show details
Prediction details: Bautista Arbizu

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–25
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 5.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 43:26
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 2 Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos
VEN
+36 s
+0 s
G1 / G9
 16:13
15:29
 43:29
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 35.5 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 9 (3 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -1.81 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 43:29
10 / 11 Alexandre Leblanc
CAN
+57 s
+44 s
G3 / G2
 15:12 43:39
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandre Leblanc

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 13.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.89 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 43:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Total: 43:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 17.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 28 Gerónimo Dherete
ARG
+30 s
+30 s
G1 / G11
 16:26
16:50
 43:42
Show details
Prediction details: Gerónimo Dherete

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:42
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:36 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 43:42
12 / 38 João Vitor Mazorca
BRA
+41 s
+18 s
G2 / G10
 15:59
20:01
 43:46
Show details
Prediction details: João Vitor Mazorca

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 12–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 23.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Error: −4:02 / −0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 43:46
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 43:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 16 Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki
BRA
+52 s
+29 s
G2 / G10
 16:06
16:42
 43:53
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 10–33
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:36 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 43:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 43:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 7 Vinicius Avi Santana
BRA
+52 s
+31 s
G2 / G1
 16:11 43:58
Show details
Prediction details: Vinicius Avi Santana

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 16–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 21.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 43:58
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 43:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 15 Yago Alves
BRA
+43 s
+17 s
G2 / G10
 16:19
16:33
 44:06
Show details
Prediction details: Yago Alves

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 26.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 33 Jack Spence
RSA
+38 s
+68 s
G1 / G12
 16:51
16:35
 44:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Spence

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 17–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: -30.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:07
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: 44:07
17 / 30 Daniel Ubilla Sabada
CHI
+35 s
+35 s
G1 / G11
 16:59
17:08
 44:15
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Ubilla Sabada

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 12–34
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 8:41
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 0.2 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:15
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:41 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 44:15
18 / 8 Thomas Castañeda Maldonado
ARG
+54 s
+25 s
G2 / G10
 16:36
15:53
 44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Castañeda Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 28.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:23
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 44:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 20 Humberto Castañeiras Jenner
MEX
+42 s
+27 s
G2 / G10
 16:40
17:15
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Humberto Castañeiras Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–31
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 15.3 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 2.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 19 Gabriel Lecheta
BRA
+81 s
+66 s
G5 / G11
 14:36
15:47
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Lecheta

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 13–31
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 14.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.43 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 6.1 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:30 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Total: 44:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 40.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 25 David Vega Campoverde
ECU
+42 s
+30 s
G2 / G10
 16:46
17:56
 44:33
Show details
Prediction details: David Vega Campoverde

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 15–31
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 44:33
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 44:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 14 Vicente Torrealba
CHI
+50 s
+9 s
G2 / G10
 16:57
16:26
 44:44
Show details
Prediction details: Vicente Torrealba

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 20–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 41.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 44:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 27 Rodrigo Probert González
MEX
+56 s
G3 / G4
 16:18
16:38
 44:45
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Probert González

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 18–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 44:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 15.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 18 Nicolas Probert Vargas
MEX
+31 s
+10 s
G1 / G10
 17:32
17:10
 44:48
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Probert Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 20–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:37
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 20.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.76 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:37 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 44:48
25 / 10 Lautaro Delgado
ARG
+46 s
+11 s
G2 / G10
 17:19
16:08
 45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Lautaro Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 24–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 34.5 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 5.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 9 Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez
MEX
+46 s
+38 s
G2 / G10
 17:35
16:01
 45:22
Show details
Prediction details: Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 27–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 8.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: +1:34 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 45:22
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 45:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 21 Caua Diniz
BRA
+32 s
+35 s
G1 / G10
 18:11
17:22
 45:27
Show details
Prediction details: Caua Diniz

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 20–35
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -3.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (12 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:27
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:37 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 45:27
28 / 43 Maximiliano Pacheco Maklouf
CHI
+60 s
G3 / G8
 17:31
16:33
 45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Maximiliano Pacheco Maklouf

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 30–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 45:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 20 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 31 Ayrton Robledo
ARG
+93 s
+70 s
G6 / G11
 14:34
17:17
 46:00
Show details
Prediction details: Ayrton Robledo

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 19–37
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 5.9 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: −2:43 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 46:00
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Total: 46:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 52.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 37 Santiago Sierra
URU
+81 s
+25 s
G5 / G11
 16:07
18:25
 46:01
Show details
Prediction details: Santiago Sierra

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 20–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +81 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 56.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Error: −2:18 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 46:01
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:30 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 41 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 13 Benjamín Adriazola
CHI
+73 s
+38 s
G4 / G10
 16:26
16:02
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamín Adriazola

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 34.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 32.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 17 Martin Baeza Muñoz
CHI
+71 s
+19 s
G4 / G10
 16:46
16:45
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Baeza Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 24–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 52.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 31.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 45 Jaranold Martinez
PUR
+84 s
G5 / G7
 17:04
17:26
 46:58
Show details
Prediction details: Jaranold Martinez

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 32–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:30 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 43.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 32 Tiago Muñoz
ARG
+75 s
+52 s
G4 / G12
 17:27
16:20
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: Tiago Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 30–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 22.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 6.1 s
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 1.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 34.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 39 Bejamin Espinoza Fuente
CHI
+83 s
+68 s
G5 / G15
 17:30 47:24
Show details
Prediction details: Bejamin Espinoza Fuente

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 39–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 23.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 15.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction: 47:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:30 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 43.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 22 Xoel Rodriguez Abad
ESP
+84 s
+43 s
G5 / G11
 17:32
16:06
 47:26
Show details
Prediction details: Xoel Rodriguez Abad

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 38–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 40.9 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 6.8 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:26 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:30 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 47:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
37 / 40 Sebastián Ignacio Colillanca Uribe
CHI
+68 s
G4 / G5
 17:45
17:17
 47:29
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastián Ignacio Colillanca Uribe

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 26–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:29
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 47:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 27.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 23 Ignacio Flores Arana
CHI
+57 s
+49 s
G3 / G11
 19:09
16:17
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Ignacio Flores Arana

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 37–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: +2:52 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (40.4 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 16.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 42 Andy Barros Peralta
ECU
+67 s
+69 s
G4 / G12
 18:23
17:42
 48:07
Show details
Prediction details: Andy Barros Peralta

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 31–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 12 (4 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:07
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (39.0 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 26.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 41 Juan Sebastian Dominguez Tacuri
ECU
+127 s
+85 s
G6 / G13
 17:00
16:27
 48:26
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Sebastian Dominguez Tacuri

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 41–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +127 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: 41.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 41.2 s
Result: Group 13 (5 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.81 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:26
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 48:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 86.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 46 Rey Vélez
PUR
+99 s
+105 s
G6 / G13
 17:02
17:29
 48:28
Show details
Prediction details: Rey Vélez

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 38–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +105 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 13 (5 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Total: 48:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 59.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 26 Ricardo Quintero Velázquez
MEX
+99 s
G6 / G3
 17:09
16:29
 48:35
Show details
Prediction details: Ricardo Quintero Velázquez

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 38–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:35
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 48:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 58.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 44 Johnny Eduardo Mena Estrella
ECU
+119 s
+115 s
G6 / G13
 17:42
17:03
 49:08
Show details
Prediction details: Johnny Eduardo Mena Estrella

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 44–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +115 s
Fehler: 4.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 8 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.6 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 13 (5 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:03 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 49:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 79.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 36 Martin Reynoso
ARG
+112 s
+36 s
G6 / G11
 18:50
18:11
 50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Reynoso

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 47–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +112 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 75.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.37 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.5 s
Gap behind: 7.6 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 50:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 50:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 71.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 54 Clemente Garcia Huidobro
CHI
+41 s
+149 s
G2 / G14
 25:54
19:43
 53:41
Show details
Prediction details: Clemente Garcia Huidobro

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:47
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +149 s
Fehler: -108.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:54 (5:11 / km)
Historical basis: 5:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Error: +6:11 / +1:14 / km
Overall prediction: 53:41
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 8:47 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 26:53 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 25:54 (5:11 / km)
Total: 53:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 50 Javier Birkner
CHI
+168 s
+148 s
G7 / G14
 21:30
17:26
 54:58
Show details
Prediction details: Javier Birkner

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +168 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: 20.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:26 (3:29 / km)
Error: +4:04 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 54:58
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:40 (36.2 km/h)
Run: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Total: 54:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 128 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 53 Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura
CHI
+103 s
G6 / G6
correct 		29:48
20:36
 1:01:14
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 8.5 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:48 (5:58 / km)
Historical basis: 5:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:36 (4:07 / km)
Error: +9:12 / +1:50 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:14
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: 29:48 (5:58 / km)
Total: 1:01:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 63 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Luciano Hernan Frías Carrizo
ARG
+58 s
+44 s
G3 / G10
16:07
Show details
Prediction details: Luciano Hernan Frías Carrizo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 14.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 10 (17 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34 Martin Paquay Arruez
CHI
+59 s
+44 s
G3 / G11
17:59
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Paquay Arruez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 15.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 11 (11 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:27 (40.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 19 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 47 Benjamín Bobadila H1
CHI
+102 s
+71 s
G6 / G13
17:46
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamín Bobadila H1

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -47

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +102 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 31.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 13 (5 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 62 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 48 Francesco Butta
ARG
+0 s
+70 s
G0 / G13
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Butta

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:06
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (5 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:06 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Abdul Salvador Arechiga Becerra
MEX
+91 s
G6 / G7
18:18
Show details
Prediction details: Abdul Salvador Arechiga Becerra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -49

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.8 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:19 (37.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 50.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +40 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 51 Joaquin Capo
ARG
+0 s
+152 s
G0 / G14
17:22
Show details
Prediction details: Joaquin Capo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:06
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +152 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:06 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52 Adam Meyer Hernandez
CHI
+0 s
+118 s
G0 / G14
18:18
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Meyer Hernandez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:06
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +118 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:06 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.