Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Men

08.04.2023 Dexing CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2023 Asia Triathlon Cup Dexing

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 08.04.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 34/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 27.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 57.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.2
Mean swim error20.6 s
Mean bike-speed error1.24 km/h
Correct bike groups13/26
No history7
Within the 80% range27.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 9 Jason Tai Long Ng
HKG
+21 s
+32 s
G1 / G1
correct 		32:50
32:29
 1:32:01
Show details
Prediction details: Jason Tai Long Ng

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 18:07
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -11.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:50 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:29 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:07 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 32:50 (3:17 / km)
Total: 1:32:01
2 / 10 Kurt Wesley
AUS
+22 s
+28 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:27
32:47
 1:32:38
Show details
Prediction details: Kurt Wesley

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 18:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:27 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.33 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:47 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 33:27 (3:21 / km)
Total: 1:32:38
3 / 11 Robin Elg
HKG
+7 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:44
34:06
 1:32:55
Show details
Prediction details: Robin Elg

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 17:53
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:44 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:53 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 33:44 (3:22 / km)
Total: 1:32:55
4 / 4 Yunfeng Teng
CHN
+5 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:55
31:22
 1:33:06
Show details
Prediction details: Yunfeng Teng

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 17:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:22 (3:08 / km)
Error: +2:33 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:33:06
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 17:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 33:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 1:33:06
5 / 8 Kye Wylde
AUS
+23 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:16
32:08
 1:33:27
Show details
Prediction details: Kye Wylde

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–18
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 18:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:16 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:08 (3:13 / km)
Error: +2:08 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:33:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 34:16 (3:26 / km)
Total: 1:33:27
6 / 14 James Tan
HKG
+8 s
+24 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:17
34:37
 1:33:28
Show details
Prediction details: James Tan

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 17:54
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -16.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:17 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:37 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:33:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:54 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 34:17 (3:26 / km)
Total: 1:33:28
7 / 2 Mingxu Li
CHN
+16 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:26
31:06
 1:33:37
Show details
Prediction details: Mingxu Li

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 18:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: -2.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:26 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:06 (3:07 / km)
Error: +3:20 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 1:33:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 34:26 (3:27 / km)
Total: 1:33:37
8 / 6 Tamás Tóth
HUN
+31 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:52
31:40
 1:34:03
Show details
Prediction details: Tamás Tóth

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 18:17
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:52 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.92 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:40 (3:10 / km)
Error: +3:12 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:17 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 34:52 (3:29 / km)
Total: 1:34:03
9 / 13 Yujia Tong
CHN
+5 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:56
34:19
 1:34:07
Show details
Prediction details: Yujia Tong

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 17:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 2.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:56 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:19 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:07
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: 34:56 (3:30 / km)
Total: 1:34:07
10 / 5 Junjie Fan
CHN
+47 s
+13 s
G2 / G1
 33:04
31:37
 1:35:00
Show details
Prediction details: Junjie Fan

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–22
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 18:33
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 33.8 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 6.2 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:04 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:37 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:33 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 33:04 (3:18 / km)
Total: 1:35:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 16 Tsz To Wong
HKG
+35 s
+75 s
G2 / G2
correct 		33:10
33:02
 1:35:06
Show details
Prediction details: Tsz To Wong

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–17
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 18:21
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +75 s
Fehler: -39.8 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:10 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:02 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:21 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 33:10 (3:19 / km)
Total: 1:35:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 8.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 1 Max Studer
SUI
+46 s
+33 s
G2 / G1
 33:26
31:06
 1:35:22
Show details
Prediction details: Max Studer

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 18:32
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 12.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:26 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:06 (3:07 / km)
Error: +2:20 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:32 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 33:26 (3:21 / km)
Total: 1:35:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:18
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 14.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 7 Qing Chen
CHN
+38 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 34:01
31:38
 1:35:57
Show details
Prediction details: Qing Chen

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 18:24
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 33.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:38 (3:10 / km)
Error: +2:23 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 1:35:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:24 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 34:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 1:35:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 11.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 32 Yunxiang Ma
CHN
+89 s
+142 s
G5 / G4
 31:54
39:58
 1:36:10
Show details
Prediction details: Yunxiang Ma

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 19:15
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: -53.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.4 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:58 (4:00 / km)
Error: −8:04 / −0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:36:10
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 19:15 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:04 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 31:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 1:36:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 61.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 21 Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang
HKG
+63 s
+61 s
G3 / G2
 33:55
33:49
 1:37:36
Show details
Prediction details: Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 18:49
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 1.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:55 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:49 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:49 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:35 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 33:55 (3:24 / km)
Total: 1:37:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 35.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 17 Yunhao Ma
CHN
+66 s
+20 s
G3 / G1
 34:18
35:56
 1:37:59
Show details
Prediction details: Yunhao Ma

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 17–24
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 18:52
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 46.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 14.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:18 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:56 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:38 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:37:59
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 18:52 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:35 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 34:18 (3:26 / km)
Total: 1:37:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 39.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 25 Tak Long Yip
HKG
+80 s
+98 s
G4 / G3
 35:00
34:48
 1:39:12
Show details
Prediction details: Tak Long Yip

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 22–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 19:06
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: -17.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.1 s
Gap behind: 8.4 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:00 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:48 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:12
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:06 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:52 (38.2 km/h)
Run: 35:00 (3:30 / km)
Total: 1:39:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 53.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 29 Tik Long Hung
HKG
+43 s
+104 s
G2 / G4
 37:51
38:09
 1:39:47
Show details
Prediction details: Tik Long Hung

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 18:29
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +104 s
Fehler: -61.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:51 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:09 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:29 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 37:51 (3:47 / km)
Total: 1:39:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 15.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 3 Nanhe Wang
CHN
+60 s
+27 s
G3 / G1
 36:54
31:15
 1:40:35
Show details
Prediction details: Nanhe Wang

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 20–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 18:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 33.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:54 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -2.33 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 31:15 (3:08 / km)
Error: +5:39 / +0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 1:40:35
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:35 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 36:54 (3:41 / km)
Total: 1:40:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 33.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20 Federico Scarabino
URU
+54 s
+73 s
G2 / G2
correct 		42:55
33:47
 1:44:51
Show details
Prediction details: Federico Scarabino

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 18:40
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -19.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 42:55 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.28 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:47 (3:23 / km)
Error: +9:08 / +0:55 / km
Overall prediction: 1:44:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:40 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: 42:55 (4:18 / km)
Total: 1:44:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:13
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 26.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Chi Zhang
CHN
+28 s
+12 s
G1 / G1
correct
34:11
Show details
Prediction details: Chi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 18:14
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 16.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:11 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:14 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 58:40 (40.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 15 Xunyu Bai
CHN
+45 s
+30 s
G2 / G1
35:17
Show details
Prediction details: Xunyu Bai

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 18:31
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 14.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (17 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:17 (3:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:31 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:17
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Zhengyu Duan
CHN
+53 s
+58 s
G2 / G2
correct
33:39
Show details
Prediction details: Zhengyu Duan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 18:39
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -5.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:39 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:39 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:17
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 21.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Zhao Tan
CHN
+0 s
+8 s
G0 / G2
33:38
Show details
Prediction details: Zhao Tan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:38 (3:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Jiatao Qin
CHN
+0 s
+72 s
G0 / G2
34:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jiatao Qin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:46 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Lubo Zhang
CHN
+0 s
+42 s
G0 / G2
35:14
Show details
Prediction details: Lubo Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:14 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Yanjie Li
CHN
+0 s
+8 s
G0 / G2
36:36
Show details
Prediction details: Yanjie Li

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:36 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Tianqi Sha
CHN
+94 s
+106 s
G5 / G4
34:02
Show details
Prediction details: Tianqi Sha

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +94 s
Time: 19:20
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +106 s
Fehler: -12.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: 38.0 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:20 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:04 (38.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:17
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 62.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27 Mingyu Wang
CHN
+132 s
+102 s
G5 / G4
34:17
Show details
Prediction details: Mingyu Wang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +132 s
Time: 19:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +102 s
Fehler: 30.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:17 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 19:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:04 (38.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:17
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 100.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 28 Jiaxing Li
CHN
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G2
40:28
Show details
Prediction details: Jiaxing Li

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:28 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Yuxin Tian
CHN
+0 s
+97 s
G0 / G4
38:46
Show details
Prediction details: Yuxin Tian

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:46 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31 Machengtie Wan
CHN
+0 s
+61 s
G0 / G4
39:02
Show details
Prediction details: Machengtie Wan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 17:46
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:02 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 17:46 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Bo Ma
CHN
+41 s
+92 s
G2 / G4
41:30
Show details
Prediction details: Bo Ma

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 18:27
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -51.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 4 (7 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:30 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:27 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:01:03 (39.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 18:17
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.