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Elite Men

23.09.2023 Bar MNE
Race information and calculation basis
2023 Europe Triathlon Balkan Championships Bar

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.09.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 37/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 33.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 42.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error8.9
Mean swim error34.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.87 km/h
Correct bike groups9/30
No history3
Within the 80% range27.3 %
Details
1 / 1 Ognjen Stojanovic
SRB
+41 s
+4 s
G2 / G1
 15:42
15:53
 43:45
Show details
Prediction details: Ognjen Stojanovic

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 10–20
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 36.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 43:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 43:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 35.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Alexander Bozhilov
BUL
+23 s
+5 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:47
15:51
 43:50
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Bozhilov

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 43:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 5 Márton Soma Kovács
HUN
+34 s
+23 s
G2 / G3
 16:23
15:59
 44:26
Show details
Prediction details: Márton Soma Kovács

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 11.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 7 Ul Denša
SLO
+40 s
+23 s
G2 / G3
 16:24
16:31
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Ul Denša

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 11–20
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 17.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 34.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Louis Woodgate
GRE
+36 s
+5 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:47
16:32
 44:50
Show details
Prediction details: Louis Woodgate

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 31.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:50
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 44:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 8 Filip Vilenica
CRO
+42 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 16:55
18:39
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Vilenica

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 11–20
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 34.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:44 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 44:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
7 / 9 Domen Bojanc
SLO
+40 s
+19 s
G2 / G3
 16:58
17:10
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Domen Bojanc

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 36.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 10 Tin Rebic
CRO
+10 s
+0 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:43
18:04
 45:46
Show details
Prediction details: Tin Rebic

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 15–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.9 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 45:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 19 Jan Peterka
SLO
+27 s
+33 s
G2 / G4
 17:43
17:43
 45:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Peterka

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 15–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Total: 45:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 14 Jaka Borec
SLO
+37 s
+5 s
G2 / G4
 17:48
17:14
 45:51
Show details
Prediction details: Jaka Borec

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 16–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 31.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:51
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 45:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 3 Benedek Peter
HUN
+55 s
+17 s
G4 / G2
 16:20
16:24
 46:23
Show details
Prediction details: Benedek Peter

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 37.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.4 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (39.2 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 50.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 21 Borislav Palashev
BUL
+26 s
+117 s
G2 / G6
 18:53
16:25
 46:56
Show details
Prediction details: Borislav Palashev

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 19–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +117 s
Fehler: -91.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +2:28 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 21.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 11 Boris Andreev
BUL
+14 s
+2 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:43
18:18
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Boris Andreev

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 21–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 12.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 Simeon Bobekov
BUL
+72 s
+32 s
G6 / G4
 15:36
16:56
 48:11
Show details
Prediction details: Simeon Bobekov

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 24.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.04 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −1:20 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:11
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 48:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 68.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 24 Francis Daniels Veģeris
LAT
+49 s
+58 s
G3 / G4
 19:31
18:48
 48:11
Show details
Prediction details: Francis Daniels Veģeris

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 22–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -8.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 5.4 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:11
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:50 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Total: 48:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 45.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 16 Belmin Godinjak
BIH
+46 s
+43 s
G3 / G5
 19:36
16:49
 48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Belmin Godinjak

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Error: +2:47 / +0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:50 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 19:36 (3:55 / km)
Total: 48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 42.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 22 Bogdan Jelaca
SRB
+61 s
+24 s
G5 / G4
 18:36
18:30
 50:40
Show details
Prediction details: Bogdan Jelaca

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 22–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 36.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 50:40
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:58 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 50:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 57 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 27 Stefan Delev
MKD
+66 s
+67 s
G5 / G5
correct 		19:29
19:52
 51:33
Show details
Prediction details: Stefan Delev

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 27–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:23 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:33
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:58 (36.8 km/h)
Run: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Total: 51:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 61.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 17 Panayiotis Antoniou
CYP
+142 s
+60 s
G7 / G5
 18:00
17:09
 51:38
Show details
Prediction details: Panayiotis Antoniou

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 26–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +142 s
Time: 11:24
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 82.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 106.7 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:38
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:24 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (36.4 km/h)
Run: 18:00 (3:36 / km)
Total: 51:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 138.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 29 Albion Ymeri
KOS
+249 s
+258 s
G8 / G8
correct 		19:39
17:08
 53:24
Show details
Prediction details: Albion Ymeri

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +249 s
Time: 13:11
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +258 s
Fehler: -9.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 106.7 s
Gap behind: 8.2 s
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +2:31 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 53:24
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:11 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:36 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: 53:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 244.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 31 Genc Isufi
KOS
+257 s
+254 s
G9 / G9
correct 		20:08
18:08
 58:43
Show details
Prediction details: Genc Isufi

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +257 s
Time: 13:19
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +254 s
Fehler: 2.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.44 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 9 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: +2:00 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 58:43
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:19 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:18 (33.3 km/h)
Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Total: 58:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 253 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Alexandros Dimitriou
CYP
+39 s
+2 s
G2 / G2
correct
16:55
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandros Dimitriou

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 36.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (6 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 34.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Ivan Trpchevski
MKD
+49 s
+20 s
G3 / G3
correct
18:10
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Trpchevski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 29.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (4 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:50 (41.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 45.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Matko Saric
CRO
+137 s
+65 s
G7 / G4
17:24
Show details
Prediction details: Matko Saric

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +137 s
Time: 11:19
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: 72.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 25.6 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:19 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (36.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 133.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Vladimir Danko
SRB
+96 s
+87 s
G6 / G5
17:05
Show details
Prediction details: Vladimir Danko

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +87 s
Fehler: 9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 24.0 s
Gap behind: 15.4 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:59 (36.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 92.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 20 Adrian Zgaljic
CRO
+17 s
+31 s
G2 / G4
17:46
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Zgaljic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -14.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 23 Dejan Popovic
SRB
+111 s
+53 s
G7 / G5
18:07
Show details
Prediction details: Dejan Popovic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +111 s
Time: 10:53
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 58.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.4 s
Gap behind: 25.6 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:53 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (36.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 107.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 25 Tjaž Dolgan
SLO
+0 s
+150 s
G1 / G7
17:01
Show details
Prediction details: Tjaž Dolgan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +150 s
Fehler: -150.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 9.9 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:31 (41.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 26 Simeon Ivanov
BUL
+0 s
+52 s
G0 / G4
19:46
Show details
Prediction details: Simeon Ivanov

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Omri Bahat
ISR
+16 s
+30 s
G2 / G4
21:14
Show details
Prediction details: Omri Bahat

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -14.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (9 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:14 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:21 (41.7 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Marko Ivancic
CRO
+0 s
+107 s
G1 / G7
20:04
Show details
Prediction details: Marko Ivancic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +107 s
Fehler: -107.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 7 (2 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:31 (41.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 32 Antonio Grgurovic
MNE
+0 s
+219 s
G0 / G8
19:13
Show details
Prediction details: Antonio Grgurovic

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +219 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (2 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Andrija Stojiljković
SRB
+0 s
+54 s
G0 / G5
26:43
Show details
Prediction details: Andrija Stojiljković

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:43 (5:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.