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Predicition
Prediction comparison

40-44 Female AG

07.05.2023 Ibiza ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2023 World Triathlon Long Distance Championships Ibiza

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.05.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 20/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.2
Mean swim error259.8 s
Mean bike-speed error4.22 km/h
Correct bike groups1/9
No history14
Within the 80% range13.0 %
Details
1 / 18 Amy Maxwell
USA
+158 s
+454 s
G2 / G17
2:37:20
2:53:16
6:21:05
Show details
Prediction details: Amy Maxwell

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +158 s
Time: 55:38
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +454 s
Fehler: -296.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 62.0 s
Gap behind: 77.0 s

Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 26.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:37:20 (5:15 / km)
Historical basis: 5:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:53:16 (5:47 / km)
Error: −15:56 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 6:21:05
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 55:38 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 2:37:20 (5:15 / km)
Total: 6:21:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 58.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 22 Katarzyna Gniot
POL
+415 s
+900 s
G2 / G20
2:44:08
3:09:46
6:27:53
Show details
Prediction details: Katarzyna Gniot

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +415 s
Time: 59:55
Pace: 2:00 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +900 s
Fehler: -484.8 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 49.2 s
Gap behind: 15.8 s

Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 25.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:44:08 (5:28 / km)
Historical basis: 5:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 3:09:46 (6:20 / km)
Error: −25:38 / −0:51 / km
Overall prediction: 6:27:53
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 59:55 (2:00 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 2:44:08 (5:28 / km)
Total: 6:27:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 315.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 16 Monica Poveda
USA
+238 s
+660 s
G2 / G11
2:56:18
3:04:17
6:40:03
Show details
Prediction details: Monica Poveda

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +238 s
Time: 56:58
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +660 s
Fehler: -422.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 128.4 s

Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 29.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:56:18 (5:53 / km)
Historical basis: 5:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 3:04:17 (6:09 / km)
Error: −7:59 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 6:40:03
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 56:58 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 2:56:18 (5:53 / km)
Total: 6:40:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 137.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Zoe Smith
GBR
+0 s
+16 s
G0 / G2
2:13:55
Show details
Prediction details: Zoe Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:13:55 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Anna-Kaisa Pietilainen
GBR
+96 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
2:19:30
Show details
Prediction details: Anna-Kaisa Pietilainen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +96 s
Time: 54:36
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 96.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 62.0 s

Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:19:30 (4:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 54:36 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 2:52:04 (40.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 3 Lynda Gingras
CAN
+533 s
+650 s
G2 / G3
2:13:12
Show details
Prediction details: Lynda Gingras

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +533 s
Time: 1:01:53
Pace: 2:04 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +650 s
Fehler: -117.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 102.0 s
Gap behind: 156.0 s

Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:13:12 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 1:01:53 (2:04 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 433.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Isabelle Vernaz
FRA
+0 s
+224 s
G0 / G3
2:18:04
Show details
Prediction details: Isabelle Vernaz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +224 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:18:04 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Hannah Worth
GBR
+431 s
+535 s
G2 / G4
2:38:43
Show details
Prediction details: Hannah Worth

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +431 s
Time: 1:00:11
Pace: 2:00 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +535 s
Fehler: -104.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.8 s
Gap behind: 102.0 s

Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:38:43 (5:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 1:00:11 (2:00 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 331.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Ashley Blake
USA
+0 s
+1038 s
G0 / G6
2:36:31
Show details
Prediction details: Ashley Blake

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1038 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 30.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:36:31 (5:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Clare Gwennap
GBR
+0 s
+425 s
G0 / G12
2:35:54
Show details
Prediction details: Clare Gwennap

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +425 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 28.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:35:54 (5:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Melanie Walker
GBR
+689 s
+769 s
G2 / G5
2:45:58
Show details
Prediction details: Melanie Walker

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +689 s
Time: 1:04:29
Pace: 2:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +769 s
Fehler: -80.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 156.0 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:45:58 (5:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 1:04:29 (2:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 589.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Marlize Bekker
AUS
+0 s
+548 s
G0 / G10
2:40:25
Show details
Prediction details: Marlize Bekker

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +548 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:40:25 (5:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Julie Hemar
FRA
+0 s
+751 s
G0 / G7
2:48:29
Show details
Prediction details: Julie Hemar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +751 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:48:29 (5:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Paula Rovani
BRA
+235 s
+694 s
G2 / G16
2:26:19
Show details
Prediction details: Paula Rovani

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +235 s
Time: 56:55
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +694 s
Fehler: -459.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 77.0 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s

Result: Group 16 (2 people)
Speed: 27.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:26:19 (4:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 56:55 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 135.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Gemma Simister
GBR
+0 s
+980 s
G0 / G9
2:58:40
Show details
Prediction details: Gemma Simister

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +980 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:58:40 (5:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Camilla Wilkes
GBR
+366 s
+645 s
G2 / G14
2:49:05
Show details
Prediction details: Camilla Wilkes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +366 s
Time: 59:06
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +645 s
Fehler: -279.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 128.4 s
Gap behind: 49.2 s

Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 28.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:49:05 (5:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 59:06 (1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:32:16 (32.4 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 54:40
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 266.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +99.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Samantha Scott
GBR
+0 s
+316 s
G0 / G13
2:55:37
Show details
Prediction details: Samantha Scott

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +316 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 28.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:55:37 (5:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Fernanda Seixas
BRA
+0 s
+787 s
G0 / G15
2:39:34
Show details
Prediction details: Fernanda Seixas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +787 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 27.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:39:34 (5:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Louise O'reilly
IRL
+0 s
+737 s
G0 / G18
2:46:31
Show details
Prediction details: Louise O'reilly

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +737 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 26.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:46:31 (5:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Kimberley Lee
GBR
+0 s
+1409 s
G0 / G19
2:57:38
Show details
Prediction details: Kimberley Lee

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1409 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 19 (1 people)
Speed: 27.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 2:57:38 (5:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Elissa Commins
AUS
+0 s
+457 s
G0 / G8
3:43:30
Show details
Prediction details: Elissa Commins

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +457 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 29.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 3:43:30 (7:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Emily Jane Hunt
NZL
+0 s
+758 s
G0 / G16
3:22:53
Show details
Prediction details: Emily Jane Hunt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +758 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 16 (2 people)
Speed: 26.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 3:22:53 (6:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Maria Teresa Morales
CHI
+0 s
+1645 s
G0 / G21
3:30:58
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Teresa Morales

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 53:00
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1645 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 21 (1 people)
Speed: 23.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 3:30:58 (7:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 53:00 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.