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40-44 Male AG

07.05.2023 Ibiza ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2023 World Triathlon Long Distance Championships Ibiza

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.05.2023 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 21/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 1.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error27.8
Mean swim error287.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.75 km/h
Correct bike groups2/21
No history40
Within the 80% range8.2 %
Details
1 / 6 Matthias Dippong
SUI
+119 s
+269 s
G5 / G5
correct 		2:33:55
2:06:45
 5:27:57
Show details
Prediction details: Matthias Dippong

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 18–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 43:26
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +269 s
Fehler: -150.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 42.7 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:33:55 (5:08 / km)
Historical basis: 5:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:06:45 (4:14 / km)
Error: +27:10 / +0:54 / km
Overall prediction: 5:27:57
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 43:26 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 2:52:04 (40.5 km/h)
Run: 2:33:55 (5:08 / km)
Total: 5:27:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 93.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 20 Cyril Escoula
FRA
+243 s
+0 s
G6 / G12
 2:07:23
2:25:00
 5:50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Cyril Escoula

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 18–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +243 s
Time: 45:30
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 243.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.1 s
Gap behind: 41.0 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:07:23 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:25:00 (4:50 / km)
Error: −17:37 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 5:50:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 45:30 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 2:07:23 (4:15 / km)
Total: 5:50:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 195.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 46 Eric Wininger
USA
+202 s
+971 s
G6 / G40
 2:16:31
2:40:18
 5:59:24
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Wininger

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 19–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +202 s
Time: 44:49
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +971 s
Fehler: -769.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 36.9 s
Gap behind: 41.1 s
Result: Group 40 (2 people)
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:16:31 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:40:18 (5:21 / km)
Error: −23:47 / −0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 5:59:24
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 44:49 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 2:16:31 (4:33 / km)
Total: 5:59:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 177 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 26 Irion Serafim De Souza Filho
BRA
+123 s
+350 s
G6 / G24
 2:46:30
2:24:56
 6:29:23
Show details
Prediction details: Irion Serafim De Souza Filho

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +123 s
Time: 43:30
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +350 s
Fehler: -227.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 42.0 s
Result: Group 24 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 2:46:30 (5:33 / km)
Historical basis: 5:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:24:56 (4:50 / km)
Error: +21:34 / +0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 6:29:23
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 43:30 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 2:46:30 (5:33 / km)
Total: 6:29:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 98.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Jan-Morten Ra
NOR
+76 s
+212 s
G4 / G1
2:04:01
Show details
Prediction details: Jan-Morten Ra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 42:43
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +212 s
Fehler: -136.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 32.0 s
Gap behind: 42.7 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:04:01 (4:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 42:43 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 2:52:04 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 28.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 2 Stephen Cordiner
GBR
+326 s
+438 s
G6 / G7
1:56:42
Show details
Prediction details: Stephen Cordiner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +326 s
Time: 46:53
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +438 s
Fehler: -112.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 42.0 s
Gap behind: 38.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:56:42 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 46:53 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 278.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 3 Cormac Mcgarry
IRL
+21 s
+265 s
G1 / G10
1:55:26
Show details
Prediction details: Cormac Mcgarry

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 41:48
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +265 s
Fehler: -244.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 13.0 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:55:26 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 41:48 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 2:52:04 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 4 Nicolas Onillon
FRA
+0 s
+179 s
G0 / G2
2:03:22
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Onillon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +179 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:03:22 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Michael McCarron
IRL
+0 s
+249 s
G0 / G4
2:01:46
Show details
Prediction details: Michael McCarron

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +249 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:01:46 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Luis Vega Romero
ESP
+0 s
+600 s
G0 / G11
2:00:59
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Vega Romero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +600 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:00:59 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Benoit Myaux
BEL
+0 s
+99 s
G0 / G3
2:11:51
Show details
Prediction details: Benoit Myaux

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:11:51 (4:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Jappas Du Preez
GBR
+586 s
+476 s
G6 / G6
correct
2:08:41
Show details
Prediction details: Jappas Du Preez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +586 s
Time: 51:13
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +476 s
Fehler: 110.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 34.0 s
Gap behind: 106.0 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:08:41 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 51:13 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 506.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +79.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 David Standley
GBR
+284 s
+349 s
G6 / G9
2:08:39
Show details
Prediction details: David Standley

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +284 s
Time: 46:11
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +349 s
Fehler: -65.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.0 s
Gap behind: 42.0 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:08:39 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 46:11 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 236.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Brett McPhedran
CAN
+0 s
+518 s
G0 / G13
2:03:01
Show details
Prediction details: Brett McPhedran

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 26–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +518 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:03:01 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Valentyn Starosta
UKR
+0 s
+626 s
G0 / G16
2:02:37
Show details
Prediction details: Valentyn Starosta

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +626 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:02:37 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Nino Meza
CHI
+0 s
+555 s
G0 / G14
2:06:13
Show details
Prediction details: Nino Meza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +555 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:06:13 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Florian Baetke
GER
+0 s
+347 s
G0 / G8
2:15:14
Show details
Prediction details: Florian Baetke

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +347 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:15:14 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Dominic Wimmer
GER
+165 s
+674 s
G6 / G18
2:05:55
Show details
Prediction details: Dominic Wimmer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +165 s
Time: 44:12
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +674 s
Fehler: -509.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 42.0 s
Gap behind: 36.9 s
Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:05:55 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 44:12 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 117.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Jone Santos Costa
BRA
+34 s
+354 s
G2 / G17
2:09:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jone Santos Costa

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 42:01
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +354 s
Fehler: -320.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 13.0 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:09:18 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 42:01 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 2:52:04 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 9.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Osmar Vieira Santos Neto
BRA
+0 s
+807 s
G0 / G21
2:09:12
Show details
Prediction details: Osmar Vieira Santos Neto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +807 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 21 (1 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:09:12 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Dan Benson
GBR
+0 s
+1229 s
G0 / G26
2:05:18
Show details
Prediction details: Dan Benson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1229 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 26 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:05:18 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Mark Farquhar
IRL
+0 s
+1058 s
G0 / G19
2:15:21
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Farquhar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1058 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 19 (1 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:15:21 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Fabian Inostroza
CHI
+0 s
+549 s
G0 / G25
2:09:36
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Inostroza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +549 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 25 (2 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:09:36 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Chris Lemke
GER
+0 s
+815 s
G0 / G25
2:12:03
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Lemke

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +815 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 25 (2 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:12:03 (4:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Bruno Nobrega
BRA
+0 s
+210 s
G0 / G15
2:28:46
Show details
Prediction details: Bruno Nobrega

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 35–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +210 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:28:46 (4:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Francisco Pedrero Salcedo
ESP
+0 s
+498 s
G0 / G20
2:24:26
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Pedrero Salcedo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 36–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +498 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:24:26 (4:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Marcelo De Oliveira Machado
BRA
+0 s
+505 s
G0 / G27
2:14:10
Show details
Prediction details: Marcelo De Oliveira Machado

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 37–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +505 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 27 (2 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:14:10 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Jeff Irvine
CAN
+1,017 s
+1041 s
G6 / G31
2:13:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jeff Irvine

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,017 s
Time: 58:24
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1041 s
Fehler: -24.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 149.0 s
Gap behind: 272.0 s
Result: Group 31 (1 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:13:18 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 58:24 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 969.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 28 Glenn McAleavey
GBR
+44 s
+420 s
G3 / G22
2:31:11
Show details
Prediction details: Glenn McAleavey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 42:11
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +420 s
Fehler: -376.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 32.0 s
Result: Group 22 (1 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:31:11 (5:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 42:11 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 2:52:04 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:05
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 29 Wesley Sommer
USA
+0 s
+518 s
G0 / G27
2:24:51
Show details
Prediction details: Wesley Sommer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +518 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 27 (2 people)
Speed: 31.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:24:51 (4:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Christopher McKee
GBR
+0 s
+667 s
G0 / G28
2:24:47
Show details
Prediction details: Christopher McKee

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +667 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 28 (1 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:24:47 (4:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31 Laurentiu Florin Vladan
ROU
+0 s
+1163 s
G0 / G29
2:21:46
Show details
Prediction details: Laurentiu Florin Vladan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1163 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 29 (1 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:21:46 (4:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Tristian Manning
GBR
+1,289 s
+930 s
G6 / G23
2:32:18
Show details
Prediction details: Tristian Manning

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–15
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,289 s
Time: 1:02:56
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +930 s
Fehler: 359.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 272.0 s
Gap behind: 879.0 s
Result: Group 23 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:32:18 (5:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 1:02:56 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 1241.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 33 Francisco Javier Ruiz Hernández
ESP
+449 s
+622 s
G6 / G30
2:22:08
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Javier Ruiz Hernández

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +449 s
Time: 48:56
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +622 s
Fehler: -173.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.0 s
Gap behind: 103.0 s
Result: Group 30 (1 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:22:08 (4:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 48:56 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 424.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34 James Noble
GBR
+0 s
+1193 s
G0 / G33
2:21:39
Show details
Prediction details: James Noble

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1193 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 33 (2 people)
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:21:39 (4:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35 Vinicius Brandão
BRA
+0 s
+731 s
G0 / G40
2:11:28
Show details
Prediction details: Vinicius Brandão

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +731 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 40 (2 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:11:28 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36 Oliver Cooper
GBR
+433 s
+734 s
G6 / G32
2:25:28
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Cooper

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +433 s
Time: 48:40
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +734 s
Fehler: -301.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 69.0 s
Gap behind: 16.0 s
Result: Group 32 (1 people)
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:25:28 (4:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 48:40 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 408.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 37 Juan Carlos Valencia Bonilla
ECU
+0 s
+961 s
G0 / G35
2:24:05
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Carlos Valencia Bonilla

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +961 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 35 (1 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:24:05 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38 Dai Beynon
GBR
+0 s
+1085 s
G0 / G34
2:38:10
Show details
Prediction details: Dai Beynon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1085 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 34 (1 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:38:10 (5:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 39 Diego Fernando Velastegui Romero
ECU
+0 s
+2056 s
G0 / G37
2:36:47
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Fernando Velastegui Romero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2056 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 37 (3 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:36:47 (5:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 40 Mario Santana
POR
+0 s
+1045 s
G0 / G37
2:37:17
Show details
Prediction details: Mario Santana

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1045 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 37 (3 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:37:17 (5:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 41 Patricio Antunes Saldias
CHI
+0 s
+1111 s
G0 / G37
2:38:26
Show details
Prediction details: Patricio Antunes Saldias

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1111 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 37 (3 people)
Speed: 30.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:38:26 (5:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 42 James Bunce
GBR
+0 s
+560 s
G0 / G39
2:34:26
Show details
Prediction details: James Bunce

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +560 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 39 (1 people)
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:34:26 (5:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 43 Gonzalo García Solís
CHI
+0 s
+1197 s
G0 / G41
2:35:41
Show details
Prediction details: Gonzalo García Solís

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1197 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 41 (1 people)
Speed: 29.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:35:41 (5:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44 Cameron Schiller
USA
+0 s
+1177 s
G0 / G45
2:27:22
Show details
Prediction details: Cameron Schiller

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1177 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 45 (1 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:27:22 (4:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 45 Sergio Vicente Molina Colomar
ESP
+0 s
+1137 s
G0 / G44
2:30:13
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Vicente Molina Colomar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1137 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 44 (1 people)
Speed: 29.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:30:13 (5:00 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 47 Mathieu David
CAN
+0 s
+1239 s
G0 / G43
2:35:58
Show details
Prediction details: Mathieu David

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1239 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 43 (2 people)
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:35:58 (5:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 Luis Vallejos
CHI
+0 s
+1084 s
G0 / G46
2:31:24
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Vallejos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1084 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 46 (1 people)
Speed: 28.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:31:24 (5:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Robinson Albeiro Muñoz Henao
COL
+0 s
+922 s
G0 / G36
2:51:37
Show details
Prediction details: Robinson Albeiro Muñoz Henao

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +922 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 36 (1 people)
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:51:37 (5:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50 Juan Pablo Kammerichs
ARG
+0 s
+1209 s
G0 / G43
2:44:50
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Pablo Kammerichs

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1209 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 43 (2 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:44:50 (5:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 Oliver Andres López Villarroel
CHI
+0 s
+651 s
G0 / G33
3:02:02
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Andres López Villarroel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +651 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 33 (2 people)
Speed: 30.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 3:02:02 (6:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52 Igor Ramirez Garcia-Peralta
ESP
+0 s
+1115 s
G0 / G38
2:55:32
Show details
Prediction details: Igor Ramirez Garcia-Peralta

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1115 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 38 (1 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:55:32 (5:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 53 Jose Alberto Fumadó Balboa
ESP
+0 s
+1455 s
G0 / G50
2:25:18
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Alberto Fumadó Balboa

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1455 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 50 (1 people)
Speed: 26.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:25:18 (4:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 54 Fausto Fabricio Bolaño Angulo
ECU
+868 s
+1284 s
G6 / G47
2:42:47
Show details
Prediction details: Fausto Fabricio Bolaño Angulo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -54

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +868 s
Time: 55:55
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1284 s
Fehler: -416.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 176.0 s
Gap behind: 149.0 s
Result: Group 47 (1 people)
Speed: 28.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:42:47 (5:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 55:55 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 843.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 55 Hector Larenas Molinet
CHI
+692 s
+982 s
G6 / G49
2:44:01
Show details
Prediction details: Hector Larenas Molinet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -55

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +692 s
Time: 52:59
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +982 s
Fehler: -290.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 106.0 s
Gap behind: 176.0 s
Result: Group 49 (1 people)
Speed: 26.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:44:01 (5:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 52:59 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 644.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 56 Mauricio Flores
CHI
+0 s
+299 s
G0 / G51
2:32:14
Show details
Prediction details: Mauricio Flores

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +299 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 51 (1 people)
Speed: 24.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:32:14 (5:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 57 Michael Salsgiver
USA
+364 s
+1155 s
G6 / G42
3:16:58
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Salsgiver

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -57

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +364 s
Time: 47:31
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1155 s
Fehler: -791.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 38.0 s
Gap behind: 69.0 s
Result: Group 42 (1 people)
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 3:16:58 (6:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 47:31 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 316.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 58 Bogdan Tatomir
ROU
+2,168 s
+1942 s
G7 / G52
2:49:51
Show details
Prediction details: Bogdan Tatomir

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -58

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2,168 s
Time: 1:17:35
Pace: 2:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1942 s
Fehler: 226.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 879.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 52 (1 people)
Speed: 27.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:49:51 (5:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 1:17:35 (2:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:37:05 (32.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 41:52
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 2143.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 59 Jonathan Smith
USA
+552 s
+737 s
G6 / G48
3:06:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–15
Top-10 probability: 20 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -59

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +552 s
Time: 50:39
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +737 s
Fehler: -185.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 103.0 s
Gap behind: 34.0 s
Result: Group 48 (1 people)
Speed: 26.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 3:06:52 (6:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 50:39 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 3:21:24 (33.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 42:15
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 504.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 60 Quang Tran
NOR
+0 s
+2354 s
G0 / G53
3:13:45
Show details
Prediction details: Quang Tran

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2354 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 53 (1 people)
Speed: 25.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 3:13:45 (6:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 61 Emilio Campos Sanchez
ESP
+0 s
+1855 s
G0 / G54
2:54:55
Show details
Prediction details: Emilio Campos Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 61–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 41:27
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1855 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 54 (1 people)
Speed: 22.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 2:54:55 (5:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 41:27 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.