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Elite Men

08.06.2024 Ixtapa MEX
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Americas Triathlon Cup Ixtapa

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 08.06.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 49/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 58.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 79.4 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.4
Mean swim error16.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.19 km/h
Correct bike groups18/53
No history10
Within the 80% range30.2 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Mathis Beaulieu
CAN
+23 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
 14:32
15:11
 43:26
Show details
Prediction details: Mathis Beaulieu

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:32 (2:54 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:37 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 14:32 (2:54 / km)
Total: 43:26
2 / 5 Yael Vladimir González Melendez
MEX
+21 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:47
16:11
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Yael Vladimir González Melendez

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–17
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:41
3 / 11 Miguel Angel Márquez Alemán
MEX
+6 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 15:48
16:50
 44:42
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Márquez Alemán

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:42
4 / 23 Arturo Mateos Aviles
MEX
+31 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
 15:23
16:28
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Mateos Aviles

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–17
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 1.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 7 Osvaldo Darell Zuñiga Fierro
MEX
+36 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:25
16:05
 45:00
Show details
Prediction details: Osvaldo Darell Zuñiga Fierro

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–18
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 8.4 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:00
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 4 David Nuñez Gomez
MEX
+58 s
+34 s
G3 / G2
 14:41
15:47
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: David Nuñez Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 5–21
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Total: 45:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 33.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 10 Alfredo Miguel Rodríguez Figueroa
MEX
+17 s
+10 s
G1 / G2
 16:22
16:36
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Alfredo Miguel Rodríguez Figueroa

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:16
8 / 2 Eduardo Nuñez Gomez
MEX
+6 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 16:34
15:30
 45:28
Show details
Prediction details: Eduardo Nuñez Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:28
9 / 6 Dylan Didier Campa Carranza
MEX
+16 s
+1 s
G1 / G2
 16:35
15:56
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Didier Campa Carranza

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–18
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 14.5 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:29
10 / 3 Jorge Alarcon Familiar
MEX
+35 s
+23 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:55
15:44
 45:30
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Alarcon Familiar

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–27
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -1.14 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 22 Solen Wood
CAN
+51 s
+38 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:12
16:37
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Solen Wood

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–33
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 13.2 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Total: 45:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 26.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 19 Joshua Bird
CAN
+20 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 17:08
17:17
 46:02
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Bird

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 16.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:02
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:02
13 / 13 Rubén Emmanuel Chavéz Michel
MEX
+30 s
+20 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:28
17:00
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Rubén Emmanuel Chavéz Michel

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–21
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 4.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 34 Thomas Castañeda Maldonado
ARG
+27 s
+44 s
G2 / G3
 16:35
18:01
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Castañeda Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 7–27
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -16.6 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:26 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 2.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 37 Jose Javier Castro Rivas
MEX
+31 s
+20 s
G2 / G3
 16:38
18:28
 46:13
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Javier Castro Rivas

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–25
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:50 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:13
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 33 Rodrigo Probert González
MEX
+27 s
+36 s
G2 / G3
 16:39
17:49
 46:14
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Probert González

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 11–27
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 46:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 46:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 25 Emilio Antonio Ibarra Veyna
MEX
+24 s
+15 s
G1 / G2
 17:23
17:41
 46:17
Show details
Prediction details: Emilio Antonio Ibarra Veyna

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 18–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.58 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:17
18 / 14 Matthew McGoey
USA
+36 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
 16:44
17:14
 46:19
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew McGoey

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 14–28
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 24.3 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 46:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 8 Uzziel Valderrabano Chavez
MEX
+25 s
+34 s
G1 / G2
 17:30
16:11
 46:24
Show details
Prediction details: Uzziel Valderrabano Chavez

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 20–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -1.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:19 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:24
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Total: 46:24
20 / 18 Angel Yael Yépez Meza
MEX
+32 s
+38 s
G2 / G3
 17:11
16:27
 46:46
Show details
Prediction details: Angel Yael Yépez Meza

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 13–36
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -5.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.98 %, Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:46
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 46:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 7.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 20 Tiago Muñoz
ARG
+50 s
+42 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:21
16:29
 46:52
Show details
Prediction details: Tiago Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 12–34
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:52
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 17 Humberto Castañeiras Jenner
MEX
+34 s
+11 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:18
17:15
 46:53
Show details
Prediction details: Humberto Castañeiras Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 17–38
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 23.2 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 26 Pablo Joel Calderon Garcia
MEX
+21 s
+10 s
G1 / G2
 18:01
17:39
 46:55
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Joel Calderon Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 15–40
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:55
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 46:55
24 / 12 Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez
MEX
+43 s
+19 s
G3 / G2
 16:28
17:01
 46:59
Show details
Prediction details: Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 15–29
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 23.5 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:59
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 38 Alejandro Villota
COL
+58 s
+56 s
G3 / G4
 16:28
16:56
 46:59
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Villota

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 9–43
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:59
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
26 / 32 Brett Saunders
CAN
+12 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:05
18:16
 46:59
Show details
Prediction details: Brett Saunders

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 14–36
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 10.3 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (3 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:59
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 46:59
27 / 15 Brodie Marshall
CAN
+11 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 18:18
17:11
 47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Brodie Marshall

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 11–40
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:12
28 / 49 David Sanchez Cabral
MEX
+15 s
+24 s
G1 / G3
 18:23
20:20
 47:17
Show details
Prediction details: David Sanchez Cabral

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 25–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -9.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 47:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Total: 47:17
29 / 46 Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez
MEX
+59 s
+55 s
G3 / G4
 16:52
18:01
 47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 25–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 47:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 34.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 39 Miguel Angel Rubio Medina
MEX
+50 s
+46 s
G3 / G4
 17:02
17:21
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Angel Rubio Medina

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 27–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 24 Axel García Rosales
MEX
+27 s
+37 s
G2 / G3
 18:14
16:39
 47:49
Show details
Prediction details: Axel García Rosales

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 27–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -10.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Error: +1:35 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Total: 47:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 31 Dante Jesus Orozco Espinoza
MEX
+45 s
+15 s
G3 / G2
 17:25
17:59
 47:56
Show details
Prediction details: Dante Jesus Orozco Espinoza

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 30–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 29.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:56
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 35 Obed Rivas Quiroz
MEX
+48 s
+39 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:25
18:14
 47:56
Show details
Prediction details: Obed Rivas Quiroz

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 30–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:56
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 47:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 55 Raul Emiliano Diaz Rodriguez
MEX
+56 s
+43 s
G3 / G5
 17:33
18:07
 48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Raul Emiliano Diaz Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 32–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 12.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 28 Jorge Isaac Labra Sandoval
MEX
+27 s
+37 s
G2 / G3
 18:31
17:00
 48:06
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Isaac Labra Sandoval

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 29–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 93 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -1.19 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 48:06
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 48:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 36 Alejandro Pérez Monterd
MEX
+58 s
+35 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:47
18:30
 48:18
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Pérez Monterd

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 35–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:43 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:18
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 32.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 50 Brian Omar Orozco
MEX
+53 s
+34 s
G3 / G4
 18:29
19:01
 49:00
Show details
Prediction details: Brian Omar Orozco

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 39–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 1.15 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:00
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 27.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 16 Nicholas Pilgrim
BER
+29 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:28
17:15
 49:03
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Pilgrim

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 28–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 15.3 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: +2:13 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 49:03
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Total: 49:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
39 / 44 Rodrigo Isaac Maya Escalante
MEX
+59 s
+49 s
G3 / G4
 18:36
17:40
 49:07
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Isaac Maya Escalante

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 40–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 10.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 49:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 34.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 27 Martin Garcia
ECU
+68 s
+48 s
G3 / G3
correct 		19:02
16:57
 49:33
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 41–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 20.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 12.1 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Error: +2:05 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 49:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Total: 49:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 43.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 48 Ricardo Quintero Velázquez
MEX
+82 s
+55 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:44
18:26
 49:43
Show details
Prediction details: Ricardo Quintero Velázquez

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 40–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +82 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 27.2 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 2.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:26 (3:41 / km)
Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 49:43
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 49:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 57.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 61 Jack Screen
CAN
+103 s
+81 s
G4 / G6
 17:35
20:25
 50:34
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Screen

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 42–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: 21.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 23.1 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: −2:50 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 50:34
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 77.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 58 Rene Martinez Garcia
MEX
+63 s
+57 s
G3 / G5
 20:32
18:54
 51:03
Show details
Prediction details: Rene Martinez Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 45–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: +1:38 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 51:03
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Total: 51:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 38.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 63 Joshua Malenchak
CAN
+85 s
+82 s
G4 / G9
 18:17
19:05
 51:16
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Malenchak

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 43–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 63
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +85 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: 2.6 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 30.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:05 (3:49 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:16
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 51:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 59.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 40 Andrés Iván González Vargas
MEX
+88 s
+53 s
G4 / G4
correct 		18:49
17:24
 51:48
Show details
Prediction details: Andrés Iván González Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 45–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 35.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 51:48
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 63.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 45 Jesús Carrillo Chávez
MEX
+43 s
+48 s
G3 / G4
 21:53
17:58
 52:24
Show details
Prediction details: Jesús Carrillo Chávez

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 47–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -5.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:53 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: +3:55 / +0:47 / km
Overall prediction: 52:24
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:23 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 21:53 (4:23 / km)
Total: 52:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 52 Diego Adrián Dávalos Carrillo
MEX
+102 s
+62 s
G4 / G4
correct 		20:09
19:09
 53:08
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Adrián Dávalos Carrillo

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 49–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +102 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: 40.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 53:08
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km)
Total: 53:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 77.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 53 Pablo Sanchez Ramón
MEX
+80 s
+45 s
G4 / G4
correct 		21:06
19:33
 54:05
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Sanchez Ramón

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 35.4 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:06 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 54:05
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: 21:06 (4:13 / km)
Total: 54:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 55.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 62 Francisco Javier Avilés Cortés
MEX
+137 s
+94 s
G5 / G8
 22:26
20:16
 1:00:21
Show details
Prediction details: Francisco Javier Avilés Cortés

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 52–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 62
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +137 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: 43.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:26 (4:29 / km)
Historical basis: 4:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Error: +2:10 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:21
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:37 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 22:26 (4:29 / km)
Total: 1:00:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 112.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 54 Alvaro Eugenio Rivero Franco
MEX
+126 s
+44 s
G5 / G4
 22:34
19:35
 1:00:29
Show details
Prediction details: Alvaro Eugenio Rivero Franco

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 52–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 11:11
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 81.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.1 s
Gap behind: 11.6 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:34 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: +2:59 / +0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:29
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:11 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:37 (33.5 km/h)
Run: 22:34 (4:31 / km)
Total: 1:00:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 100.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Jesus Daniel Hernández Bobadilla
MEX
+0 s
+23 s
G0 / G2
16:27
Show details
Prediction details: Jesus Daniel Hernández Bobadilla

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 José Luis Zazueta Lizárraga
MEX
+38 s
+14 s
G2 / G2
correct
17:18
Show details
Prediction details: José Luis Zazueta Lizárraga

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 24.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 29 Sebastian Enrique Matías Domínguez
MEX
+0 s
+13 s
G0 / G2
17:44
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastian Enrique Matías Domínguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Raziel Geovanni Muñoz Tun
MEX
+0 s
+18 s
G0 / G2
17:55
Show details
Prediction details: Raziel Geovanni Muñoz Tun

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 41 Tzuriel David Gómez Ortíz
MEX
+0 s
+63 s
G0 / G4
17:21
Show details
Prediction details: Tzuriel David Gómez Ortíz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 42 Gino Caleb Esparza Gutierrez
MEX
+34 s
+11 s
G2 / G3
19:04
Show details
Prediction details: Gino Caleb Esparza Gutierrez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -42

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 23.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (14 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (41.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 43 Alejandro Alvarez
MEX
+0 s
+30 s
G0 / G4
17:43
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Alvarez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 47 Héctor Balcázar Serrano
MEX
+0 s
+42 s
G0 / G4
18:12
Show details
Prediction details: Héctor Balcázar Serrano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 Oscar Ulises González Madrigal
MEX
+91 s
+50 s
G4 / G4
correct
19:12
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Ulises González Madrigal

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 10:36
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 41.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 11.4 s
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:12 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:36 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:16 (38.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 66.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +24.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 56 Juan Santiago Zuleta Ceja
MEX
+0 s
+37 s
G0 / G5
18:46
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Santiago Zuleta Ceja

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 57 Alexander Jr Hernández Arroyo
MEX
+0 s
+32 s
G0 / G4
20:51
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Jr Hernández Arroyo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 61–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (17 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:51 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 59 Diego Humberto Suarez Arias
MEX
+0 s
+54 s
G0 / G5
18:54
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Humberto Suarez Arias

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 62–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 60 Adam Janah
USA
+0 s
+53 s
G0 / G5
19:40
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Janah

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 63–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (5 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.