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Elite Men

17.11.2024 Manta ECU
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Americas Triathlon Cup Manta

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 17.11.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 58/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 75.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 82.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.1
Mean swim error22.1 s
Mean bike-speed error3.31 km/h
Correct bike groups2/27
No history1
Within the 80% range39.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 5 Ramón Armando Matute
ECU
+5 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:34
16:23
 44:22
Show details
Prediction details: Ramón Armando Matute

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 3.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 7.8 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:36 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:43 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:22
2 / 8 Matias Sebastian Bravo Delgado
ECU
+23 s
+14 s
G3 / G2
 15:36
15:56
 44:44
Show details
Prediction details: Matias Sebastian Bravo Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–13
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 1.19 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 8.8 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:45 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 9.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 3 Gabriel Terán Carvajal
ECU
+12 s
+0 s
G2 / G1
 15:49
16:02
 44:53
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Terán Carvajal

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.8 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 44:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:50 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 3.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 10 Yael Vladimir González Melendez
MEX
+14 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:58
16:28
 45:02
Show details
Prediction details: Yael Vladimir González Melendez

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:50 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:58 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4 Juan Jose Andrade Figueroa
ECU
+23 s
+11 s
G3 / G1
 16:15
16:20
 45:23
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Jose Andrade Figueroa

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 11.6 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:45 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 David Vega Campoverde
ECU
+14 s
+2 s
G2 / G1
 16:23
17:15
 45:27
Show details
Prediction details: David Vega Campoverde

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:50 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 45:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 1 Dylan Didier Campa Carranza
MEX
+14 s
+1 s
G2 / G1
 16:31
15:40
 45:35
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Didier Campa Carranza

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 12.8 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:50 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 6 Humberto Castañeiras Jenner
MEX
+20 s
+2 s
G3 / G1
 17:00
16:42
 46:08
Show details
Prediction details: Humberto Castañeiras Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–17
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 17.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 81 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:45 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 11.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 2 Matthew McGoey
USA
+32 s
+11 s
G4 / G1
 16:06
15:51
 46:55
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew McGoey

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–18
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 21.2 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 7.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 17 Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez
MEX
+41 s
+15 s
G4 / G2
 16:23
17:09
 47:12
Show details
Prediction details: Erick Arturo Ortigoza Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 26.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 32.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 13 Tristen Jones
CAN
+37 s
+14 s
G4 / G2
 16:24
16:49
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Tristen Jones

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 9–17
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 14 Joaquin Solis Narvaez
ECU
+34 s
+15 s
G4 / G2
 16:36
16:54
 47:25
Show details
Prediction details: Joaquin Solis Narvaez

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 1.09 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:54 (3:23 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 25.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 23 Galver Andres Alarcon Posligua
ECU
+18 s
+17 s
G3 / G2
 18:28
19:52
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Galver Andres Alarcon Posligua

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 1.1 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: −1:24 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:45 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 9.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 20 Martin Garcia
ECU
+46 s
+36 s
G4 / G2
 16:57
17:44
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 37.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 9 Thomas Francisco Chica Perez
ECU
+33 s
+17 s
G4 / G2
 17:19
15:57
 48:08
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Francisco Chica Perez

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 16.2 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:22 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:08
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Total: 48:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 24.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 25 Raul Emiliano Diaz Rodriguez
MEX
+40 s
+36 s
G4 / G3
 17:44
18:04
 48:33
Show details
Prediction details: Raul Emiliano Diaz Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 16–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:33
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 31.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 19 Jorge Raul Cabinal Gramajo
GUA
+45 s
+36 s
G4 / G2
 17:47
17:35
 48:36
Show details
Prediction details: Jorge Raul Cabinal Gramajo

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 48:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 36.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 28 Juan Xavier Torres Maldonado
ECU
+46 s
+65 s
G4 / G3
 18:21
19:23
 49:10
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Xavier Torres Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 20–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -19.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.09 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Error: −1:02 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:10
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Total: 49:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 37.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 18 Valentino Agnelli
ARG
+33 s
+2 s
G4 / G1
 18:47
18:48
 49:36
Show details
Prediction details: Valentino Agnelli

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 31.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 45.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 49:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:04 (39.9 km/h)
Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Total: 49:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 24.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 11 Nicolas Alejandro Calvopiña Castellano
ECU
+90 s
+16 s
G5 / G2
 16:23
16:37
 49:49
Show details
Prediction details: Nicolas Alejandro Calvopiña Castellano

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 73.8 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.6 s
Gap behind: 82.9 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:37 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 49:49
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 49:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 81.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 16 Isaac Lamprecht
USA
+72 s
+15 s
G5 / G2
 16:35
17:06
 50:01
Show details
Prediction details: Isaac Lamprecht

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 18–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 56.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.5 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:01
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 50:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 63.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 26 Abdul Salvador Arechiga Becerra
MEX
+74 s
+46 s
G5 / G3
 18:18
18:11
 51:44
Show details
Prediction details: Abdul Salvador Arechiga Becerra

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 25–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 28.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 15.6 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:44
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 51:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 65.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 22 Andy Barros Peralta
ECU
+64 s
+17 s
G5 / G2
 19:00
18:56
 52:26
Show details
Prediction details: Andy Barros Peralta

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 21–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 47.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 59 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.9 s
Gap behind: 7.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:26
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Total: 52:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 56 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 12 Jhon Matias Tuesta Castro
ECU
+50 s
+44 s
G5 / G2
 19:49
16:33
 53:15
Show details
Prediction details: Jhon Matias Tuesta Castro

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 24–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 5.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -2.09 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 14.9 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +3:16 / +0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 53:15
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Total: 53:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 41.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Charlie Smoak
USA
+0 s
+29 s
G0 / G2
16:58
Show details
Prediction details: Charlie Smoak

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Dylan Grant Merchan
ECU
+0 s
+16 s
G1 / G2
18:06
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Grant Merchan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: -16.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 2 (15 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:43 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 24 Leonardo Flores
MEX
+47 s
+13 s
G5 / G3
17:44
Show details
Prediction details: Leonardo Flores

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 34.2 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 38.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27 Juan David Prada Malagon.
COL
+173 s
+99 s
G5 / G3
18:27
Show details
Prediction details: Juan David Prada Malagon.

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 11:54
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: 73.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 82.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:54 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:33 (37.6 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 164.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +8.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.