Prediction comparison

Elite Women

04.05.2024 Subic Bay PHI

Race information and calculation basis

2024 Asia Triathlon Cup Subic Bay

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 04.05.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 62/100 mittel

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 83.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 87.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error6.0

Mean swim error28.9 s

Mean bike-speed error1.19 km/h

Correct bike groups14/31

No history0

Within the 80% range51.6 %

						Details
1 / 3	Chloe Bateup AUS	+27 s +12 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:58 18:27	50:14	Show details Prediction details: Chloe Bateup Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 4–8 Top-10 probability: 95 % Result: 3 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +27 s Time: 9:54 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +12 s Fehler: 14.5 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 28 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 68 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.43 km/h Running and total Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 (3:41 / km) Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 50:14 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Total: 50:14
2 / 7	Manami Iijima GUM	+36 s +31 s	G2 / G2 correct	18:07 17:43	50:25	Show details Prediction details: Manami Iijima Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 4–14 Top-10 probability: 78 % Result: 7 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 10:03 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: 4.8 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 41 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 2.4 s Result: Group 2 (6 people) Speed: 36.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.66 km/h Running and total Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 9 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:43 (3:33 / km) Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 50:25 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h) Run: 18:07 (3:37 / km) Total: 50:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 3.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 15	Gayeon Park KOR	+28 s +68 s	G1 / G3	18:20 19:26	50:36	Show details Prediction details: Gayeon Park Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 5–11 Top-10 probability: 88 % Result: 15 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 9:55 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +68 s Fehler: -39.6 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 64 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 41 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 5.7 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.14 km/h Running and total Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km) Historical basis: 3:43 / km Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 57 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:26 (3:53 / km) Error: −1:06 / −0:13 / km Overall prediction: 50:36 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: 18:20 (3:40 / km) Total: 50:36
4 / 2	Edda Hannesdottir ISL	+13 s +31 s	G1 / G1 correct	18:25 18:09	50:41	Show details Prediction details: Edda Hannesdottir Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 4–9 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 2 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 9:40 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: -18.2 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 22 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 84 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.8 s Gap behind: 12.7 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h Running and total Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 22 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km) Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 50:41 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km) Total: 50:41
5 / 5	Manami Hayashi JPN	+35 s +31 s	G2 / G2 correct	18:42 17:37	51:00	Show details Prediction details: Manami Hayashi Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 5–15 Top-10 probability: 56 % Result: 5 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +35 s Time: 10:02 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: 4.4 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 82 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 34 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 2 (6 people) Speed: 36.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h Running and total Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 72 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km) Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 51:00 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h) Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km) Total: 51:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 3.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 8	Himeka Sato JPN	+28 s +31 s	G1 / G1 correct	18:53 19:11	51:09	Show details Prediction details: Himeka Sato Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 4–15 Top-10 probability: 69 % Result: 8 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 9:55 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: -3.2 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 51 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h Running and total Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:51 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 88 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km) Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 51:09 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km) Total: 51:09
7 / 10	Ji Yeon Kim KOR	+34 s +30 s	G2 / G1	19:24 20:29	51:42	Show details Prediction details: Ji Yeon Kim Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 9–17 Top-10 probability: 31 % Result: 10 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +34 s Time: 10:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: 4.4 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 62 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 36 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.14 km/h Running and total Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:29 (4:06 / km) Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km Overall prediction: 51:42 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h) Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km) Total: 51:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 2.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 9	Gyuri Kim KOR	+51 s +52 s	G3 / G2	17:46 18:35	51:51	Show details Prediction details: Gyuri Kim Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 5–17 Top-10 probability: 59 % Result: 9 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +51 s Time: 10:18 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +52 s Fehler: -1.1 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 88 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 9 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 7.1 s Result: Group 2 (6 people) Speed: 36.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h Running and total Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:37 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 66 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km) Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 51:51 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:14 (36.1 km/h) Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Total: 51:51 Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
9 / 6	Raven Alcoseba PHI	+38 s +31 s	G2 / G1	20:09 18:58	52:27	Show details Prediction details: Raven Alcoseba Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 9–20 Top-10 probability: 20 % Result: 6 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +38 s Time: 10:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +31 s Fehler: 7.2 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 62 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 23 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.4 s Gap behind: 4.2 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.10 km/h Running and total Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km) Historical basis: 4:02 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 48 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:58 (3:48 / km) Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 52:27 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h) Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km) Total: 52:27 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:03 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 2.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +36 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 12	Mikayla Messer AUS	+0 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	20:12 20:49	52:28	Show details Prediction details: Mikayla Messer Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 9–16 Top-10 probability: 30 % Result: 12 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:27 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 0.0 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 50 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 91 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.66 km/h Running and total Run: 20:12 (4:02 / km) Historical basis: 4:06 / km Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 48 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:49 (4:10 / km) Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km Overall prediction: 52:28 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: 20:12 (4:02 / km) Total: 52:28
11 / 4	Martina Ayu Pratiwi INA	+26 s +34 s	G1 / G1 correct	20:21 18:44	52:37	Show details Prediction details: Martina Ayu Pratiwi Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 13–18 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 4 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 9:53 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: -8.5 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 44 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.7 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.04 km/h Running and total Run: 20:21 (4:04 / km) Historical basis: 4:05 / km Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km) Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km Overall prediction: 52:37 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: 20:21 (4:04 / km) Total: 52:37
12 / 1	Hye Rim Jeong KOR	+44 s +36 s	G3 / G1	18:38 17:58	52:43	Show details Prediction details: Hye Rim Jeong Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 8–14 Top-10 probability: 56 % Result: 1 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 10:11 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 8.1 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 85 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 16 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.6 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 1 (8 people) Speed: 37.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h Running and total Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:44 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 62 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 52:43 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:11 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:14 (36.1 km/h) Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km) Total: 52:43 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m About 5.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 13	Herlene Natasha Yu SGP	+34 s +50 s	G2 / G2 correct	20:57 19:47	53:15	Show details Prediction details: Herlene Natasha Yu Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 13–24 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 13 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +34 s Time: 10:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +50 s Fehler: -15.9 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 30 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.7 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 2 (6 people) Speed: 36.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.29 km/h Running and total Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km) Historical basis: 4:11 / km Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:47 (3:57 / km) Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 53:15 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:40 (37.9 km/h) Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km) Total: 53:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 1.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 14	Victoria Gillies AUS	+50 s +51 s	G3 / G2	19:58 20:22	54:03	Show details Prediction details: Victoria Gillies Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 14–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +50 s Time: 10:17 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +51 s Fehler: -0.8 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 26 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.5 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 2 (6 people) Speed: 36.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h Running and total Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km) Historical basis: 4:00 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 27 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:22 (4:04 / km) Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 54:03 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:14 (36.1 km/h) Run: 19:58 (4:00 / km) Total: 54:03 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m About 11.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 18	Marion Kim Mangrobang PHI	+58 s +74 s	G4 / G3	19:28 20:12	54:07	Show details Prediction details: Marion Kim Mangrobang Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 13–22 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 18 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +58 s Time: 10:25 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +74 s Fehler: -16.0 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 44 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.1 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h Running and total Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 39 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km) Error: −0:44 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 54:07 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (35.6 km/h) Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km) Total: 54:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 25.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 11	Kira Ellis PHI	+67 s +47 s	G5 / G2	18:42 19:23	54:33	Show details Prediction details: Kira Ellis Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 10–22 Top-10 probability: 11 % Result: 11 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +67 s Time: 10:34 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +47 s Fehler: 20.3 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 68 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 5.7 s Result: Group 2 (6 people) Speed: 36.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h Running and total Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 61 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:23 (3:53 / km) Error: −0:41 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 54:33 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:34 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:44 (34.6 km/h) Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km) Total: 54:33 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 35 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 23	Esther Joy Hong Li Chen MAS	+43 s +148 s	G3 / G5	20:36 19:40	54:41	Show details Prediction details: Esther Joy Hong Li Chen Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 14–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 10:10 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +148 s Fehler: -105.5 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 1.57 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 26 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 1.6 s Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 34.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.91 km/h Running and total Run: 20:36 (4:07 / km) Historical basis: 4:08 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km) Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 54:41 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:14 (36.1 km/h) Run: 20:36 (4:07 / km) Total: 54:41 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 10.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 22	Erika Burgos PHI	+59 s +95 s	G4 / G4 correct	20:18 19:40	54:57	Show details Prediction details: Erika Burgos Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 16–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 10:26 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +95 s Fehler: -36.3 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 5.0 s Result: Group 4 (3 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.03 km/h Running and total Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km) Historical basis: 4:08 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km) Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 54:57 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (35.6 km/h) Run: 20:18 (4:04 / km) Total: 54:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 26.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 16	Briana Mow AUS	+113 s +72 s	G6 / G3	18:57 19:58	55:04	Show details Prediction details: Briana Mow Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 20–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +113 s Time: 11:20 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +72 s Fehler: 41.0 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.88 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.6 s Gap behind: 27.0 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.66 km/h Running and total Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 20 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:58 (4:00 / km) Error: −1:01 / −0:12 / km Overall prediction: 55:04 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 11:20 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:47 (35.1 km/h) Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Total: 55:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 80.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 17	Renata Berliana Aditya INA	+42 s +75 s	G3 / G3 correct	21:11 20:05	55:16	Show details Prediction details: Renata Berliana Aditya Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 17–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +42 s Time: 10:09 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +75 s Fehler: -32.6 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 62 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 23 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.2 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.24 km/h Running and total Run: 21:11 (4:14 / km) Historical basis: 4:13 / km Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 66 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:05 (4:01 / km) Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 55:16 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:14 (36.1 km/h) Run: 21:11 (4:14 / km) Total: 55:16 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 10.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 28	Gene Quiambao PHI	+59 s +96 s	G4 / G4 correct	20:43 22:15	55:22	Show details Prediction details: Gene Quiambao Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 17–25 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 28 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 10:26 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +96 s Fehler: -37.5 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 53 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 35.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 4 (3 people) Speed: 33.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.10 km/h Running and total Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km) Historical basis: 4:05 / km Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.67 %, Sicherheit 48 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:15 (4:27 / km) Error: −1:32 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 55:22 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (35.6 km/h) Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km) Total: 55:22 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 26.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 24	Mikele Katerina Jopson PHI	+111 s +114 s	G6 / G5	21:09 20:16	57:16	Show details Prediction details: Mikele Katerina Jopson Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 24–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +111 s Time: 11:18 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +114 s Fehler: -2.6 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 30.7 s Gap behind: 1.6 s Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.46 km/h Running and total Run: 21:09 (4:14 / km) Historical basis: 4:14 / km Best comparable pace: 4:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Ergebnis Lauf: 20:16 (4:03 / km) Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 57:16 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:47 (35.1 km/h) Run: 21:09 (4:14 / km) Total: 57:16 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 79.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 20	Sara Joy Hong Mae Chen MAS	+47 s +75 s	G3 / G3 correct	24:44 21:07	58:49	Show details Prediction details: Sara Joy Hong Mae Chen Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 25–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 10:14 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +75 s Fehler: -28.3 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 20 % Speed: 36.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 3.5 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h Running and total Run: 24:44 (4:57 / km) Historical basis: 4:59 / km Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:07 (4:13 / km) Error: +3:37 / +0:43 / km Overall prediction: 58:49 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:14 (36.1 km/h) Run: 24:44 (4:57 / km) Total: 58:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 14.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 19	Binta Erlen Salsabela INA	+73 s +37 s	G6 / G3	22:45 20:48	58:52	Show details Prediction details: Binta Erlen Salsabela Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 25–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +73 s Time: 10:40 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: 36.0 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 78 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.7 s Gap behind: 7.7 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h Running and total Run: 22:45 (4:33 / km) Historical basis: 4:34 / km Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 82 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km) Error: +1:57 / +0:23 / km Overall prediction: 58:52 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:47 (35.1 km/h) Run: 22:45 (4:33 / km) Total: 58:52 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 40.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 27	Katrina Almuete Salazar PHI	+81 s +145 s	G6 / G5	22:52 21:21	58:59	Show details Prediction details: Katrina Almuete Salazar Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 26–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +81 s Time: 10:48 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +145 s Fehler: -64.3 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 58 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.7 s Gap behind: 30.7 s Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 34.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h Running and total Run: 22:52 (4:34 / km) Historical basis: 4:34 / km Best comparable pace: 4:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 58 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:21 (4:16 / km) Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km Overall prediction: 58:59 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:47 (35.1 km/h) Run: 22:52 (4:34 / km) Total: 58:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 48.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 26	Karen Manayon PHI	+64 s +95 s	G5 / G4	23:49 20:59	59:40	Show details Prediction details: Karen Manayon Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 27–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +64 s Time: 10:31 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +95 s Fehler: -31.3 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 58 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.0 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 4 (3 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.95 km/h Running and total Run: 23:49 (4:46 / km) Historical basis: 4:46 / km Best comparable pace: 4:46 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 58 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:59 (4:12 / km) Error: +2:50 / +0:34 / km Overall prediction: 59:40 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:31 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:44 (34.6 km/h) Run: 23:49 (4:46 / km) Total: 59:40 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 31.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 21	Cindy Yea Zhen Sui MAS	+66 s +75 s	G5 / G3	25:23 21:32	1:01:14	Show details Prediction details: Cindy Yea Zhen Sui Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 30–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: 6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +66 s Time: 10:33 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +75 s Fehler: -8.6 s H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 92 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 34.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 3 (7 people) Speed: 35.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.18 km/h Running and total Run: 25:23 (5:05 / km) Historical basis: 5:08 / km Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -1.00 %, Sicherheit 74 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:32 (4:18 / km) Error: +3:51 / +0:46 / km Overall prediction: 1:01:14 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 34:44 (34.6 km/h) Run: 25:23 (5:05 / km) Total: 1:01:14 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 34.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 31	Hana Al Nabulsi UAE	+324 s +361 s	G7 / G7 correct	25:04 24:47	1:08:03	Show details Prediction details: Hana Al Nabulsi Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 31–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +324 s Time: 14:51 Pace: 1:59 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +361 s Fehler: -37.2 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 58 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 183.8 s Gap behind: 35.2 s Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 28.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.36 km/h Running and total Run: 25:04 (5:01 / km) Historical basis: 5:01 / km Best comparable pace: 4:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 58 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:47 (4:57 / km) Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 1:08:03 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 14:51 (1:59 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 37:00 (31.9 km/h) Run: 25:04 (5:01 / km) Total: 1:08:03 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 291.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +32.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 25	Bea Quiambao PHI	+0 s +119 s	G1 / G5	20:33		Show details Prediction details: Bea Quiambao Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 25 Deviation: -25 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:27 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +119 s Fehler: -119.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 98 % Speed: 37.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 12.8 s Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 33.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.16 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:33 (4:07 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:47 (37.8 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 29	Nicole Del Rosario PHI	+140 s +170 s	G6 / G6 correct	22:27		Show details Prediction details: Nicole Del Rosario Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–2 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 29 Deviation: -29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +140 s Time: 11:47 Pace: 1:34 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +170 s Fehler: -30.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (5 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 27.0 s Gap behind: 183.8 s Result: Group 6 (2 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.89 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 22:27 (4:29 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 11:47 (1:34 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:47 (35.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m About 101.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30	Sophia Capistrano PHI	+359 s +240 s	G7 / G6	23:20		Show details Prediction details: Sophia Capistrano Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 30 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +359 s Time: 15:26 Pace: 2:03 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +240 s Fehler: 119.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 35.2 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (2 people) Speed: 32.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:20 (4:40 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 15:26 (2:03 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 37:00 (31.9 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m About 320.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38.3 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.

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