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Elite Men

26.10.2024 Wuxi CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Asia Triathlon Cup Wuxi

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 26.10.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 54/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 69.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 86.2 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.5
Mean swim error11.4 s
Mean bike-speed error1.66 km/h
Correct bike groups17/54
No history4
Within the 80% range34.5 %
Details
1 / 21 Roman Mineev
AIN
+45 s
+27 s
G3 / G2
 11:05
15:22
 41:48
Show details
Prediction details: Roman Mineev

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 18.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 11:05 (2:13 / km)
Historical basis: 2:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Error: −4:17 / −0:51 / km
Overall prediction: 41:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 11:05 (2:13 / km)
Total: 41:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 27.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Denis Kolobrodov
RUS
+17 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:16
15:08
 45:30
Show details
Prediction details: Denis Kolobrodov

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Total: 45:30
3 / 7 Junjie Fan
CHN
+13 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:17
15:23
 45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Junjie Fan

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–19
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 1.8 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 159 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 45:31
4 / 27 Yunfeng Teng
CHN
+28 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:13
15:37
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Yunfeng Teng

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–15
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Total: 45:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 6 Qing Chen
CHN
+19 s
+27 s
G2 / G1
 15:18
15:16
 45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Qing Chen

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -7.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:18 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 93 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:18 (3:04 / km)
Total: 45:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 1 Felix Duchampt
ROU
+39 s
+38 s
G3 / G1
 15:06
15:06
 45:49
Show details
Prediction details: Felix Duchampt

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–19
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -1.31 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 45:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Total: 45:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 21 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 20 Feichi Zhan
CHN
+10 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:48
16:41
 46:02
Show details
Prediction details: Feichi Zhan

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–15
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: -3.1 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:02
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 46:02
8 / 25 Mingyu Wang
CHN
+25 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:35
15:35
 46:04
Show details
Prediction details: Mingyu Wang

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -16.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 97 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:04
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 46:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 15 Jonathan Oakey
IRL
+11 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:52
16:09
 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Oakey

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 5–19
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 7.1 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 72 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 46:06
10 / 28 Ziyi Zhang
CHN
+31 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:42
15:42
 46:11
Show details
Prediction details: Ziyi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–24
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:11
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 46:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 12.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 8 Oscar Dart
AUS
+19 s
+10 s
G2 / G1
 15:46
15:29
 46:15
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Dart

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 3–25
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Total: 46:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 10 Zhengyu Duan
CHN
+38 s
+29 s
G3 / G1
 15:38
15:30
 46:21
Show details
Prediction details: Zhengyu Duan

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–28
Top-10 probability: 26 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 8.9 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: 46:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 20 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 31 Rongheng Chen
CHN
+31 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:56
16:17
 46:25
Show details
Prediction details: Rongheng Chen

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 12–20
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:25
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 13.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 42 Nanhe Wang
CHN
+22 s
+30 s
G2 / G1
 15:57
19:57
 46:26
Show details
Prediction details: Nanhe Wang

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–18
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -8.3 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Error: −4:00 / −0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 46:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 3.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 34 Can Su
CHN
+31 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:01
16:48
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Can Su

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 32 Minghang Xu
CHN
+14 s
+37 s
G1 / G2
 16:18
16:15
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Minghang Xu

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -23.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:32
17 / 16 Oliver Turner
GBR
+13 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:20
16:26
 46:34
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Turner

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 0.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:34
18 / 12 Ilya Prasolov
AIN
+22 s
+21 s
G2 / G1
 16:09
15:52
 46:38
Show details
Prediction details: Ilya Prasolov

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 11–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:38
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 4.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 23 Tsz To Wong
HKG
+37 s
+41 s
G3 / G2
 16:05
15:32
 46:48
Show details
Prediction details: Tsz To Wong

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 11–34
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 19.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 11 Rory Thornhill
AUS
+31 s
+31 s
G2 / G1
 16:27
15:43
 46:56
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Thornhill

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 18–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -0.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 12.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 13 Chi Zhang
CHN
+28 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 16:32
15:52
 47:01
Show details
Prediction details: Chi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 6–36
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 8.9 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 47:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 10 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 14 Lukas Pertl
AUT
+48 s
+26 s
G4 / G1
 15:13
16:05
 47:05
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Pertl

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 4–29
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 22.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Total: 47:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 30.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 19 Zixiang Lin
CHN
+31 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 16:36
16:36
 47:05
Show details
Prediction details: Zixiang Lin

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 20–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 16.9 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 35 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:05
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 13 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 39 Wenlei Xie
CHN
+43 s
+38 s
G3 / G3
correct 		16:26
16:36
 47:09
Show details
Prediction details: Wenlei Xie

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 22–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 5.1 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 1.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:09
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 25.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 3 Jérémy Quindos
UZB
+27 s
+8 s
G2 / G1
 16:44
15:15
 47:13
Show details
Prediction details: Jérémy Quindos

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 19–38
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 18.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 47:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 4 Ryoya Tamazaki
JPN
+53 s
+32 s
G4 / G1
 15:23
15:11
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Ryoya Tamazaki

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 6–40
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 20.9 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:11 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 35 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 5 Tristen Jones
CAN
+36 s
+34 s
G3 / G1
 16:32
15:15
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Tristen Jones

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 19–37
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 2.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 18.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 9 Georgiy Klimenko
AIN
+34 s
+36 s
G3 / G1
 16:34
15:31
 47:17
Show details
Prediction details: Georgiy Klimenko

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 19–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -1.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 16.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 47 Yanqun Zhang
CHN
+37 s
+36 s
G3 / G5
 16:41
16:43
 47:24
Show details
Prediction details: Yanqun Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 24–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:24
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: 47:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 19 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 50 Wenhui Lai
CHN
+29 s
+25 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:57
19:56
 47:26
Show details
Prediction details: Wenhui Lai

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 24–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 3.8 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Error: −2:59 / −0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 47:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 10.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 22 Grigory Antipov
AIN
+40 s
+45 s
G3 / G2
 16:45
15:32
 47:28
Show details
Prediction details: Grigory Antipov

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -5.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:13 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 26 Akira Fukushima
JPN
+9 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:35
17:22
 47:49
Show details
Prediction details: Akira Fukushima

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 29–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 7.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.76 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 47:49
33 / 29 Majuntie Wan
CHN
+46 s
+33 s
G3 / G1
 17:11
17:14
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Majuntie Wan

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 32–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 12.9 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 33 Shuohan Yin
CHN
+20 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:34
16:47
 48:03
Show details
Prediction details: Shuohan Yin

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 29–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -17.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:03
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 2.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 49 Joshua Fletcher
AUS
+45 s
+54 s
G3 / G2
 17:35
19:16
 48:18
Show details
Prediction details: Joshua Fletcher

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 29–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: -9.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Error: −1:41 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 48:18
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Total: 48:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 27 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 17 Bo Ma
CHN
+36 s
+16 s
G3 / G1
 17:39
16:31
 48:22
Show details
Prediction details: Bo Ma

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 33–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 19.9 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 18 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 35 Rufan Cui
CHN
+43 s
+20 s
G3 / G2
 17:44
17:01
 48:27
Show details
Prediction details: Rufan Cui

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 32–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:27
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 24.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 45 Christian Davey
NZL
+62 s
+86 s
G4 / G5
 16:36
16:40
 48:28
Show details
Prediction details: Christian Davey

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 27–48
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -23.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 44.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 18 Yujia Tong
CHN
+30 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 18:01
16:35
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Yujia Tong

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 35–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (23 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: +1:26 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 18:01 (3:36 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 24 Mingxu Li
CHN
+24 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:35
15:34
 49:04
Show details
Prediction details: Mingxu Li

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 38–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -9.1 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 61 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Error: +3:01 / +0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 49:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 46 Yanjie Li
CHN
+4 s
+0 s
G1 / G2
 18:53
18:29
 49:07
Show details
Prediction details: Yanjie Li

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 39–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 39.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:07
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 49:07
42 / 54 Yunhao Ma
CHN
+50 s
+79 s
G4 / G5
 17:23
20:04
 49:15
Show details
Prediction details: Yunhao Ma

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 32–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -29.0 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: −2:41 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 49:15
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 32.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 37 Tien Yu Chiang
TPE
+40 s
+41 s
G3 / G2
 18:33
17:34
 49:16
Show details
Prediction details: Tien Yu Chiang

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 39–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:16
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 53 Yuxuan Huang
CHN
+43 s
+58 s
G3 / G5
 18:36
19:41
 49:19
Show details
Prediction details: Yuxuan Huang

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 41–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -15.0 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:19
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 25.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 44 Chia-Hao Chang
TPE
+57 s
+70 s
G4 / G5
 17:34
16:34
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Chia-Hao Chang

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 41–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -12.8 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 39.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 43 Machengtie Wan
CHN
+45 s
+43 s
G3 / G2
 18:47
18:08
 49:30
Show details
Prediction details: Machengtie Wan

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 38–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 1.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:30
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Total: 49:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 26.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 30 Shengyin Gao
CHN
+39 s
+40 s
G3 / G2
 18:48
16:10
 49:31
Show details
Prediction details: Shengyin Gao

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 41–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:23
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -1.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Error: +2:38 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 49:31
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 49:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 20.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 48 Nathan F. Cohen
USA
+55 s
+63 s
G4 / G4
correct 		18:22
17:12
 50:14
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan F. Cohen

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 42–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -8.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 50:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 36.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 40 Murray Colbridge
AUS
+61 s
+65 s
G4 / G3
 18:25
16:56
 50:17
Show details
Prediction details: Murray Colbridge

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 40–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -4.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.4 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 50:17
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 50:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 43.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 41 Qili Bai
CHN
+58 s
+37 s
G4 / G2
 19:40
18:05
 51:32
Show details
Prediction details: Qili Bai

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 49–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 20.6 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.4 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur -1.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: +1:35 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 51:32
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:50 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: 51:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 39.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 55 Quanhui Lan
CHN
+66 s
+74 s
G5 / G5
correct 		17:12
20:48
 55:08
Show details
Prediction details: Quanhui Lan

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 44–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: -7.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Error: −3:36 / −0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 55:08
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:56 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 55:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 48.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 57 Po-Sheng Chiu
TPE
+180 s
+83 s
G5 / G6
 18:02
18:49
 55:58
Show details
Prediction details: Po-Sheng Chiu

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 52–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +180 s
Time: 11:44
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 96.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 113.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:49 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 55:58
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:44 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:56 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Total: 55:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 161.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 36 Tingrui Li
CHN
+67 s
+17 s
G5 / G2
 23:18
17:33
 1:01:14
Show details
Prediction details: Tingrui Li

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 52–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 49.5 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 43 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 113.2 s
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:18 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: +5:45 / +1:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:14
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:56 (33.8 km/h)
Run: 23:18 (4:40 / km)
Total: 1:01:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 48.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 38 Changjiang Zhang
CHN
+0 s
+52 s
G0 / G2
17:44
Show details
Prediction details: Changjiang Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (21 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 Bolai Sun
CHN
+0 s
+39 s
G0 / G5
18:02
Show details
Prediction details: Bolai Sun

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52 Zheng Xu
CHN
+6 s
+5 s
G1 / G5
18:10
Show details
Prediction details: Zheng Xu

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -52

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 0.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:57 (40.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 56 Haochang Li
CHN
+0 s
+60 s
G0 / G5
21:47
Show details
Prediction details: Haochang Li

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:47 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 58 Tianyi Fang
CHN
+0 s
+231 s
G0 / G7
22:33
Show details
Prediction details: Tianyi Fang

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +231 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:33 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.