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Elite Men

16.11.2024 Zhaoqing CHN
Race information and calculation basis
2024 CHN Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.11.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 62/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 83.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.6
Mean swim error31.7 s
Mean bike-speed error2.69 km/h
Correct bike groups20/30
No history0
Within the 80% range36.7 %
Details
1 / 4 Yunfeng Teng
CHN
+40 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		31:13
33:13
 1:27:45
Show details
Prediction details: Yunfeng Teng

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 18:49
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 24.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:13 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:13 (3:19 / km)
Error: −2:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 1:27:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:49 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 31:13 (3:07 / km)
Total: 1:27:45
2 / 3 Yunxiang Ma
CHN
+57 s
+23 s
G1 / G1
correct 		31:50
32:55
 1:28:22
Show details
Prediction details: Yunxiang Ma

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 19:06
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 33.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:50 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:55 (3:18 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:28:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:06 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 31:50 (3:11 / km)
Total: 1:28:22
3 / 2 Junjie Fan
CHN
+27 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		31:59
32:52
 1:28:31
Show details
Prediction details: Junjie Fan

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 18:36
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 31:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:52 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:53 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:28:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:36 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 31:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 1:28:31
4 / 7 Mingyu Wang
CHN
+58 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		32:34
35:08
 1:29:06
Show details
Prediction details: Mingyu Wang

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–11
Top-10 probability: 85 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 19:07
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 39.4 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:34 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:08 (3:31 / km)
Error: −2:34 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 1:29:06
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:07 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 32:34 (3:15 / km)
Total: 1:29:06
5 / 21 Xirui Zhang
CHN
+45 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:01
40:52
 1:29:33
Show details
Prediction details: Xirui Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 18:54
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 36.8 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:01 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:52 (4:05 / km)
Error: −7:51 / −0:47 / km
Overall prediction: 1:29:33
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:54 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 33:01 (3:18 / km)
Total: 1:29:33
6 / 16 Ziyi Zhang
CHN
+55 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:30
39:15
 1:30:02
Show details
Prediction details: Ziyi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–20
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 19:04
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 34.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:30 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 94 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:15 (3:56 / km)
Error: −5:45 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:02
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:04 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 33:30 (3:21 / km)
Total: 1:30:02
7 / 5 Qing Chen
CHN
+36 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:49
33:14
 1:30:21
Show details
Prediction details: Qing Chen

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 18:45
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 19.1 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:49 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 33:14 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:45 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 33:49 (3:23 / km)
Total: 1:30:21
8 / 18 Chi Zhang
CHN
+26 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:57
39:47
 1:30:29
Show details
Prediction details: Chi Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 18:35
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 25.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:57 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:47 (3:59 / km)
Error: −5:50 / −0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:35 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 33:57 (3:24 / km)
Total: 1:30:29
9 / 6 Zhengyu Duan
CHN
+51 s
+17 s
G1 / G1
correct 		33:57
34:23
 1:30:29
Show details
Prediction details: Zhengyu Duan

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 19:00
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 33.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:57 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 34:23 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:00 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 33:57 (3:24 / km)
Total: 1:30:29
10 / 22 Minghang Xu
CHN
+36 s
+26 s
G1 / G3
 34:01
37:43
 1:30:33
Show details
Prediction details: Minghang Xu

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 18:45
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 10.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:43 (3:46 / km)
Error: −3:42 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:33
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 18:45 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 34:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 1:30:33
11 / 9 Yanqun Zhang
CHN
+37 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:26
36:16
 1:30:58
Show details
Prediction details: Yanqun Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–15
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 18:46
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 28.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:26 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:16 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:50 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:30:58
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:46 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 34:26 (3:27 / km)
Total: 1:30:58
12 / 1 Mingxu Li
CHN
+24 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:31
32:53
 1:31:03
Show details
Prediction details: Mingxu Li

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 4–21
Top-10 probability: 39 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 18:33
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 21.2 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:31 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:53 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:38 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:33 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 34:31 (3:27 / km)
Total: 1:31:03
13 / 10 Lubo Zhang
CHN
+47 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		34:31
36:38
 1:31:03
Show details
Prediction details: Lubo Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 7–16
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 18:56
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:31 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:38 (3:40 / km)
Error: −2:07 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:03
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:56 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 34:31 (3:27 / km)
Total: 1:31:03
14 / 17 Tsz To Wong
HKG
+45 s
+55 s
G1 / G3
 34:45
36:04
 1:31:17
Show details
Prediction details: Tsz To Wong

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–18
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 18:54
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: -9.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 34:45 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:04 (3:36 / km)
Error: −1:19 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:54 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 34:45 (3:28 / km)
Total: 1:31:17
15 / 23 Can Su
CHN
+48 s
+18 s
G1 / G3
 35:06
38:02
 1:31:38
Show details
Prediction details: Can Su

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–17
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 18:57
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 29.8 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:06 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:02 (3:48 / km)
Error: −2:56 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:38
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 18:57 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 35:06 (3:31 / km)
Total: 1:31:38
16 / 24 Qili Bai
CHN
+48 s
+8 s
G1 / G1
correct 		35:22
42:01
 1:31:54
Show details
Prediction details: Qili Bai

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 12–18
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 18:57
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 39.8 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:22 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 110 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 42:01 (4:12 / km)
Error: −6:39 / −0:40 / km
Overall prediction: 1:31:54
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:57 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 35:22 (3:32 / km)
Total: 1:31:54
17 / 8 Feichi Zhan
CHN
+22 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		35:40
36:02
 1:32:12
Show details
Prediction details: Feichi Zhan

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 14–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 18:31
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 18.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.7 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:40 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 36:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:12
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:31 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 35:40 (3:34 / km)
Total: 1:32:12
18 / 11 Yujia Tong
CHN
+52 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		35:57
37:01
 1:32:29
Show details
Prediction details: Yujia Tong

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 15–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 19:01
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 50.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 35:57 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:01 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:01 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 35:57 (3:36 / km)
Total: 1:32:29
19 / 15 Yanjie Li
CHN
+11 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		36:10
38:59
 1:32:42
Show details
Prediction details: Yanjie Li

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–22
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 18:20
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 10.7 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:10 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:59 (3:54 / km)
Error: −2:49 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:42
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:20 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 36:10 (3:37 / km)
Total: 1:32:42
20 / 14 Wenhui Lai
CHN
+26 s
+21 s
G1 / G3
 36:20
35:59
 1:32:52
Show details
Prediction details: Wenhui Lai

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 16–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 18:35
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 4.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:20 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 2.34 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 35:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:32:52
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 18:35 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 36:20 (3:38 / km)
Total: 1:32:52
21 / 12 Zixiang Lin
CHN
+46 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		36:40
37:30
 1:33:12
Show details
Prediction details: Zixiang Lin

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 19–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 18:55
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 42.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:40 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:30 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 1:33:12
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:55 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 36:40 (3:40 / km)
Total: 1:33:12
22 / 13 Zheng Xu
CHN
+10 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		37:59
37:45
 1:34:31
Show details
Prediction details: Zheng Xu

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 18:19
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:59 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:45 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:19 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 37:59 (3:48 / km)
Total: 1:34:31
23 / 19 Bo Ma
CHN
+61 s
+6 s
G2 / G2
correct 		37:04
38:03
 1:34:47
Show details
Prediction details: Bo Ma

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 20–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 19:10
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 54.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:04 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:03 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:10 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 56:42 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 37:04 (3:42 / km)
Total: 1:34:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 2.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 29 Jianzhou Sun
CHN
+32 s
+57 s
G1 / G3
 38:21
41:08
 1:34:53
Show details
Prediction details: Jianzhou Sun

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 18:41
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -25.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:21 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:08 (4:07 / km)
Error: −2:47 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 1:34:53
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:41 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 55:33 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 38:21 (3:50 / km)
Total: 1:34:53
25 / 20 Rongheng Chen
CHN
+100 s
+22 s
G4 / G1
 32:50
40:35
 1:39:35
Show details
Prediction details: Rongheng Chen

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 14–27
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 19:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 77.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:50 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:35 (4:04 / km)
Error: −7:45 / −0:47 / km
Overall prediction: 1:39:35
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:55 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 32:50 (3:17 / km)
Total: 1:39:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 41.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 30 Changjiang Zhang
CHN
+72 s
+82 s
G3 / G4
 37:04
40:18
 1:40:54
Show details
Prediction details: Changjiang Zhang

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 22–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 19:21
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -10.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 28.4 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 37:04 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 40:18 (4:02 / km)
Error: −3:14 / −0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 1:40:54
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 19:21 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:39 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 37:04 (3:42 / km)
Total: 1:40:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 12.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 28 Shengyin Gao
CHN
+110 s
+47 s
G4 / G3
 36:17
41:03
 1:43:02
Show details
Prediction details: Shengyin Gao

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 26–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +110 s
Time: 19:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 63.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 36:17 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 41:03 (4:06 / km)
Error: −4:46 / −0:29 / km
Overall prediction: 1:43:02
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:59 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:55 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 36:17 (3:38 / km)
Total: 1:43:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 51.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 26 Yuxuan Huang
CHN
+106 s
+56 s
G4 / G3
 38:32
39:12
 1:45:17
Show details
Prediction details: Yuxuan Huang

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 28–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +106 s
Time: 19:55
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 49.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.7 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:32 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 39:12 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:45:17
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:55 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:55 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 38:32 (3:51 / km)
Total: 1:45:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 47.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 27 Quanhui Lan
CHN
+100 s
+146 s
G4 / G5
 43:21
37:23
 1:50:06
Show details
Prediction details: Quanhui Lan

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 29–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 19:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +146 s
Fehler: -45.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 5.7 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 43:21 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 37:23 (3:44 / km)
Error: +5:58 / +0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 1:50:06
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 19:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:55 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 43:21 (4:20 / km)
Total: 1:50:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 41.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 25 Tingrui Li
CHN
+69 s
+18 s
G3 / G3
correct 		48:34
38:46
 1:52:24
Show details
Prediction details: Tingrui Li

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 28–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 19:18
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 50.6 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 3 (8 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 48:34 (4:51 / km)
Historical basis: 4:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 38:46 (3:53 / km)
Error: +9:48 / +0:59 / km
Overall prediction: 1:52:24
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 19:18 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:39 (38.3 km/h)
Run: 48:34 (4:51 / km)
Total: 1:52:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 19:08
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +58.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.