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Elite Women

05.05.2024 La Habana CUB
Race information and calculation basis
2024 CUB Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 05.05.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 27/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 14.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 28.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.0
Mean swim error26.5 s
Mean bike-speed error0.37 km/h
Correct bike groups2/2
No history5
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Isabel Rodriguez Silverio
CUB
+36 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:37
23:12
 50:47
Show details
Prediction details: Isabel Rodriguez Silverio

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 36.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.21 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.62 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:12 (4:38 / km)
Error: −5:35 / −1:07 / km
Overall prediction: 50:47
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 17:37 (3:31 / km)
Total: 50:47
2 / 1 Leslie Amat Alvarez
CUB
+17 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:46
19:40
 50:56
Show details
Prediction details: Leslie Amat Alvarez

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.19 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 19.0 s
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -1.59 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:54 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 50:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:34 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Total: 50:56
0 / 3 Salamah Mahroos Diez
CUB
+0 s
+71 s
G0 / G2
21:39
Show details
Prediction details: Salamah Mahroos Diez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:39 (4:20 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Nahomi Solange Hernández Cañizares
CUB
+0 s
+98 s
G0 / G3
22:16
Show details
Prediction details: Nahomi Solange Hernández Cañizares

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:16 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Danaisi Cedeño Rodríguez
CUB
+0 s
+128 s
G0 / G3
24:15
Show details
Prediction details: Danaisi Cedeño Rodríguez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +128 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 34.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:15 (4:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Anaidys Yazmin Santo Hasty
CUB
+0 s
+98 s
G0 / G3
28:42
Show details
Prediction details: Anaidys Yazmin Santo Hasty

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 28:42 (5:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Lauren Vega Manso
CUB
+0 s
+16 s
G0 / G4
27:37
Show details
Prediction details: Lauren Vega Manso

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:37 (5:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.