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Predicition
Prediction comparison

25-29 Male AG Sprint

21.09.2024 Vichy FRA
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Europe Triathlon Championships Vichy

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.09.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 25/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 9.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.8
Mean swim error100.5 s
Mean bike-speed error3.56 km/h
Correct bike groups2/8
No history12
Within the 80% range14.3 %
Details
1 / 2 Téo Katgely
FRA
+0 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct
15:58
15:40
51:57
Show details
Prediction details: Téo Katgely

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: -9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:58 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 51:57
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 15:58 (3:16 / km)
Total: 51:57
2 / 5 Quentin Fantoli
SUI
+286 s
+157 s
G2 / G4
16:52
16:04
53:41
Show details
Prediction details: Quentin Fantoli

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +286 s
Time: 14:27
Pace: 1:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +157 s
Fehler: 128.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 52.6 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 53:41
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 14:27 (1:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:03 (37.6 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:26 / km)
Total: 53:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:38
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
About 48.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +236.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 9 James Mapley
GBR
+233 s
+158 s
G1 / G5
20:20
18:05
56:19
Show details
Prediction details: James Mapley

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +233 s
Time: 13:34
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +158 s
Fehler: 75.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 96.0 s
Gap behind: 52.6 s

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:20 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:41 / km)
Error: +2:15 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 56:19
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:34 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run: 20:20 (4:09 / km)
Total: 56:19
0 / 1 Alexis Dupuy
FRA
+108 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
15:26
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Dupuy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 11:29
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 108.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 86.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s

Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:29 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 3 Oliver Pritchard
GBR
+117 s
Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Pritchard

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 11:38
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:38 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Michael Haas
GER
+22 s
+80 s
G1 / G2
16:23
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Haas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -58.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 22.0 s
Gap behind: 86.0 s

Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 6 Tibo Vynckier
BEL
+0 s
+94 s
G0 / G3
17:22
Show details
Prediction details: Tibo Vynckier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Harri Ravenscroft
GBR
+0 s
+119 s
G0 / G5
17:34
Show details
Prediction details: Harri Ravenscroft

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +119 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Patryk Bijak
POL
+0 s
+100 s
G0 / G5
17:47
Show details
Prediction details: Patryk Bijak

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Corentin Gillet
BEL
+0 s
+241 s
G0 / G7
17:02
Show details
Prediction details: Corentin Gillet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +241 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Oliver Louis
GBR
+0 s
+144 s
G0 / G7
17:15
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Louis

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:15 (3:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Juri Bondavalli
ITA
+0 s
+100 s
G0 / G5
20:07
Show details
Prediction details: Juri Bondavalli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Phillip Mayer
AUT
+137 s
+144 s
G1 / G6
19:25
Show details
Prediction details: Phillip Mayer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +137 s
Time: 11:58
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +144 s
Fehler: -7.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.0 s
Gap behind: 96.0 s

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 (3:58 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:58 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 14 Patrick Stone
GBR
+0 s
+102 s
G0 / G4
20:47
Show details
Prediction details: Patrick Stone

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +102 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:47 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Ryan Headington
GBR
+0 s
+280 s
G0 / G7
19:15
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Headington

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +280 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Lewis Bradley
GBR
+0 s
+290 s
G0 / G7
20:12
Show details
Prediction details: Lewis Bradley

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +290 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (4 people)
Speed: 41.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Darius Kuhmann
GER
+0 s
+167 s
G0 / G9
19:21
Show details
Prediction details: Darius Kuhmann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +167 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:21 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Quentin Escoffier
FRA
+0 s
+36 s
G0 / G4
23:32
Show details
Prediction details: Quentin Escoffier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 23:32 (4:48 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Nathan Prentice
GBR
+0 s
+379 s
G1 / G10
18:43
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Prentice

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +379 s
Fehler: -379.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 22.0 s

Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 20 Daniel Kotnik
AUT
+114 s
+153 s
G1 / G8
21:04
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Kotnik

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +114 s
Time: 11:35
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +153 s
Fehler: -39.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 23.0 s

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:04 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:35 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:06 (37.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 21 Philipp Bermann
AUT
+0 s
+270 s
G0 / G11
21:47
Show details
Prediction details: Philipp Bermann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +270 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:47 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.