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60-64 Female AG Sprint

21.09.2024 Vichy FRA
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Europe Triathlon Championships Vichy

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 21.09.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 27/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 13.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 34.8 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error7.8
Mean swim error38.5 s
Mean bike-speed error2.33 km/h
Correct bike groups1/17
No history6
Within the 80% range17.4 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 6 Lynda Coggins
GBR
+11 s
+48 s
G1 / G3
 23:23
24:40
 1:00:38
Show details
Prediction details: Lynda Coggins

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 12:24
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -37.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.8 s
Gap behind: 50.2 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:23 (4:46 / km)
Historical basis: 4:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:40 (5:02 / km)
Error: −1:17 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:38
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:24 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.8 km/h)
Run: 23:23 (4:46 / km)
Total: 1:00:38
2 / 3 Veronique Bourdelles
FRA
+68 s
+63 s
G2 / G3
 22:15
22:08
 1:02:29
Show details
Prediction details: Veronique Bourdelles

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 13:21
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 5.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.1 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:15 (4:32 / km)
Historical basis: 4:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:08 (4:31 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:29
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 13:21 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:41 (30.9 km/h)
Run: 22:15 (4:32 / km)
Total: 1:02:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 53.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 4 Birgit Zimmer
GER
+71 s
+124 s
G2 / G4
 23:02
22:18
 1:03:16
Show details
Prediction details: Birgit Zimmer

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 13:24
Pace: 1:47 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +124 s
Fehler: -52.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 21.8 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:02 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:18 (4:33 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:16
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:24 (1:47 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:41 (30.9 km/h)
Run: 23:02 (4:42 / km)
Total: 1:03:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 56.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 2 Sabine Greipel
AUT
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		28:00
23:01
 1:05:15
Show details
Prediction details: Sabine Greipel

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 10.8 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:00 (5:43 / km)
Historical basis: 5:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:01 (4:42 / km)
Error: +4:59 / +1:01 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.8 km/h)
Run: 28:00 (5:43 / km)
Total: 1:05:15
5 / 13 Linda Church
GBR
+135 s
+180 s
G3 / G8
 24:47
24:56
 1:06:51
Show details
Prediction details: Linda Church

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 14:28
Pace: 1:56 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +180 s
Fehler: -45.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.8 s
Gap behind: 70.9 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:47 (5:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:56 (5:05 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:51
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 14:28 (1:56 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:34 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 24:47 (5:03 / km)
Total: 1:06:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 120.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 11 Leonie Brockmann
GER
+206 s
+232 s
G3 / G9
 25:22
23:08
 1:07:26
Show details
Prediction details: Leonie Brockmann

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +206 s
Time: 15:39
Pace: 2:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +232 s
Fehler: -26.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 70.9 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:22 (5:11 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.93 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:08 (4:43 / km)
Error: +2:14 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 1:07:26
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 15:39 (2:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:34 (31.2 km/h)
Run: 25:22 (5:11 / km)
Total: 1:07:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
About 142.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +63.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 18 Gillian Barrett
GBR
+224 s
+337 s
G4 / G13
 28:21
26:45
 1:11:56
Show details
Prediction details: Gillian Barrett

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +224 s
Time: 15:57
Pace: 2:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +337 s
Fehler: -113.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.5 s
Gap behind: 18.5 s
Result: Group 13 (2 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 28:21 (5:47 / km)
Historical basis: 5:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:45 (5:28 / km)
Error: +1:36 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 1:11:56
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:57 (2:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:19 (31.1 km/h)
Run: 28:21 (5:47 / km)
Total: 1:11:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 208.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 17 Sarah Jeffries
GBR
+289 s
+352 s
G4 / G10
 33:42
26:33
 1:17:17
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Jeffries

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +289 s
Time: 17:02
Pace: 2:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +352 s
Fehler: -62.9 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 28.1 s
Gap behind: 27.0 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 33:42 (6:53 / km)
Historical basis: 7:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:33 (5:25 / km)
Error: +7:09 / +1:28 / km
Overall prediction: 1:17:17
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:02 (2:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:19 (31.1 km/h)
Run: 33:42 (6:53 / km)
Total: 1:17:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 274.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 21 Ulla Petter
GER
+471 s
+439 s
G6 / G15
 29:32
29:51
 1:24:08
Show details
Prediction details: Ulla Petter

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +471 s
Time: 20:04
Pace: 2:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +439 s
Fehler: 32.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.26 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 25.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 107.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 15 (1 people)
Speed: 29.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 29:32 (6:02 / km)
Historical basis: 6:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:51 (6:06 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:24:08
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 20:04 (2:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 46:45 (25.8 km/h)
Run: 29:32 (6:02 / km)
Total: 1:24:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:27
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 456.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Katjana Quest-Altrogge
GER
+61 s
+57 s
G1 / G2
21:01
Show details
Prediction details: Katjana Quest-Altrogge

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 13:14
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 4.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 50.2 s
Gap behind: 7.1 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:01 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:14 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:14 (32.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 5 Caroline Madden
GBR
+93 s
+99 s
G2 / G5
23:02
Show details
Prediction details: Caroline Madden

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 13:46
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: -6.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.8 s
Gap behind: 41.8 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:02 (4:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 13:46 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:41 (30.9 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
About 29 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Sarah Myford
GBR
+210 s
+150 s
G3 / G7
21:58
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Myford

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +210 s
Time: 15:43
Pace: 2:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +150 s
Fehler: 60.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 13.5 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:58 (4:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 15:43 (2:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:34 (31.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
About 146 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Nicky Jones
GBR
+0 s
+189 s
G0 / G6
23:44
Show details
Prediction details: Nicky Jones

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +189 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:44 (4:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Tracey Mills
GBR
+316 s
+224 s
G4 / G8
23:19
Show details
Prediction details: Tracey Mills

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +316 s
Time: 17:29
Pace: 2:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +224 s
Fehler: 92.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.0 s
Gap behind: 11.9 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:19 (4:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:29 (2:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:19 (31.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
About 252.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 10 Jacqueline Gibbons
GBR
+242 s
+217 s
G4 / G8
23:22
Show details
Prediction details: Jacqueline Gibbons

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +242 s
Time: 16:15
Pace: 2:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +217 s
Fehler: 25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.5 s
Gap behind: 19.0 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:22 (4:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 16:15 (2:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:19 (31.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
About 178 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12 Sandra Barden
GBR
+261 s
+288 s
G4 / G9
24:08
Show details
Prediction details: Sandra Barden

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +261 s
Time: 16:34
Pace: 2:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +288 s
Fehler: -27.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.0 s
Gap behind: 28.1 s
Result: Group 9 (2 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:08 (4:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:34 (2:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 38:19 (31.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 246.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Karen Elwell
GBR
+0 s
+264 s
G0 / G11
24:12
Show details
Prediction details: Karen Elwell

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +264 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 30.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:12 (4:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Clare Grindrod
GBR
+328 s
+388 s
G5 / G12
24:17
Show details
Prediction details: Clare Grindrod

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +328 s
Time: 17:41
Pace: 2:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +388 s
Fehler: -60.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.9 s
Gap behind: 36.0 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 32.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:17 (4:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:41 (2:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:25 (27.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 12:28
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
About 313.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Carolyn Williams
GBR
+0 s
+274 s
G0 / G10
25:20
Show details
Prediction details: Carolyn Williams

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +274 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:20 (5:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Silke Weier
GER
+0 s
+225 s
G0 / G13
30:08
Show details
Prediction details: Silke Weier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +225 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 13 (2 people)
Speed: 29.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:08 (6:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Shirley Fox
GBR
+364 s
+369 s
G5 / G14
29:27
Show details
Prediction details: Shirley Fox

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +364 s
Time: 18:17
Pace: 2:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +369 s
Fehler: -5.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 36.0 s
Gap behind: 107.4 s
Result: Group 14 (1 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 29:27 (6:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 18:17 (2:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 43:25 (27.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 13:17
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
About 300 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +64 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 22 Bożena Przyborowska
POL
+0 s
+478 s
G0 / G16
32:53
Show details
Prediction details: Bożena Przyborowska

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +478 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 26.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 32:53 (6:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Dorota Witko
POL
+0 s
+662 s
G0 / G17
30:19
Show details
Prediction details: Dorota Witko

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 12:13
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +662 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 26.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:19 (6:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 12:13 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.