Prediction comparison
Elite Women
14.04.2024
Melilla
ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Europe Triathlon Cup Melilla
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 14.04.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v15
Default values
Prediction quality
58/100
niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 76.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 95.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error9.1
Mean swim error14.0 s
Mean bike-speed error1.02 km/h
Correct bike groups8/43
No history0
Within the 80% range34.9 %
| Details | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 6 |
FRA
|
+14 s
+28 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
16:34
16:43
|
44:49 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -13.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.58 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.72 %,
Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:42
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
16:34
(3:19 / km)
Total:
44:49
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 10.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 2 / 1 |
FRA
|
+16 s
+9 s
|
G2 / G1
|
16:34
16:38
|
44:49 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 6.6 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
21 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.61 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
21 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
16:34
(3:19 / km)
Total:
44:49
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 3 / 3 |
GBR
|
+5 s
+0 s
|
G2 / G1
|
16:53
17:14
|
45:08 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 4–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
19 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.22 %,
Sicherheit 23 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
5.0 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.64 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:53 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
19 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.31 %,
Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:33
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
16:53
(3:23 / km)
Total:
45:08
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 4 / 2 |
GBR
|
+13 s
+9 s
|
G2 / G1
|
17:02
16:52
|
45:17 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen,
49 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.20 %,
Sicherheit 55 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen,
49 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:10 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:41
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:02
(3:24 / km)
Total:
45:17
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 8 |
ITA
|
+5 s
+10 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
17:06
16:59
|
45:21 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.22 %,
Sicherheit 63 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.02 %,
Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:07 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:33
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:06
(3:25 / km)
Total:
45:21
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 6 / 14 |
ESP
|
+23 s
+10 s
|
G3 / G2
|
17:14
17:41
|
45:41 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
82 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.35 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.3 s
Gap behind:
5.0 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.13 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
68 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:51
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:04
(38.5 km/h)
Run:
17:14
(3:27 / km)
Total:
45:41
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 19.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 12 |
FRA
|
+28 s
+35 s
|
G4 / G2
|
17:07
17:42
|
45:46 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 69 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.69 %,
Sicherheit 44 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
5.0 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:35 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:56
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:07
(3:25 / km)
Total:
45:46
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 24.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 8 / 4 |
FRA
|
+9 s
+7 s
|
G2 / G1
|
17:44
17:40
|
45:59 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.18 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
3.7 s
Gap behind:
3.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.79 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.19 %,
Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:37
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:44
(3:33 / km)
Total:
45:59
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 5.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 9 |
FRA
|
+34 s
+37 s
|
G4 / G2
|
17:31
17:13
|
46:10 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 8–25
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -2.8 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
31 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.38 %,
Sicherheit 72 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.25 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
31 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +0:18 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:02
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:31
(3:30 / km)
Total:
46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 30.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 11 |
ESP
|
+34 s
+37 s
|
G4 / G2
|
17:39
17:34
|
46:18 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 11–24
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -3.3 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen,
89 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.79 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen,
75 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.11 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:02
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:39
(3:32 / km)
Total:
46:18
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 29.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 18 |
FRA
|
+21 s
+22 s
|
G3 / G2
|
17:52
17:52
|
46:19 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 11–16
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -1.4 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.59 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.19 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.23 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:04
(38.5 km/h)
Run:
17:52
(3:34 / km)
Total:
46:19
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 5 |
GBR
|
+29 s
+4 s
|
G4 / G1
|
17:51
17:47
|
46:30 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 9–23
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 24.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen,
64 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.42 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.68 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
50 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.38 %,
Sicherheit 82 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:57
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:51
(3:34 / km)
Total:
46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 25 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 13 / 10 |
ITA
|
+40 s
+32 s
|
G4 / G2
|
17:56
17:31
|
46:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 14–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 7.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.31 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
3.8 s
Gap behind:
2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.25 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:08
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
17:56
(3:35 / km)
Total:
46:35
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 35.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 14 / 35 |
TRI
|
+19 s
+11 s
|
G3 / G2
|
18:08
20:21
|
46:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 9–23
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -21
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 8.1 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
36 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.1 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
19 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.25 %,
Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Error: −2:13 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 46:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:47
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:04
(38.5 km/h)
Run:
18:08
(3:38 / km)
Total:
46:35
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 15.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 15 / 23 |
ITA
|
+12 s
+35 s
|
G2 / G2
correct
|
18:29
18:35
|
46:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 15
80% range: 12–25
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -22.9 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.01 %,
Sicherheit 71 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
3.0 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.26 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.11 %,
Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:40
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:29
(3:42 / km)
Total:
46:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 16 / 29 |
UKR
|
+36 s
+45 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
18:08
18:13
|
46:47 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 16
80% range: 15–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -9.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.55 %,
Sicherheit 6 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
3.8 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.34 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.28 %,
Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Error: −0:05 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:04
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:08
(3:38 / km)
Total:
46:47
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 17 / 33 |
ESP
|
+42 s
+36 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:13
20:10
|
46:52 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 17
80% range: 17–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -16
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen,
39 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.4 s
Gap behind:
2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:13 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
25 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.49 %,
Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:10 (4:02 / km)
Error: −1:57 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 46:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:10
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:13
(3:39 / km)
Total:
46:52
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 38.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 18 / 17 |
ESP
|
+32 s
+42 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:14
17:47
|
46:53 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 18
80% range: 14–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -9.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
62 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.20 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.1 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.51 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:00
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:14
(3:39 / km)
Total:
46:53
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 28.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 19 / 32 |
BEL
|
+33 s
+43 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
18:17
18:32
|
46:56 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 19
80% range: 13–30
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -9.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.51 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.45 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
40 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.26 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:32 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:01
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:17
(3:39 / km)
Total:
46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 29.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 20 / 39 |
UKR
|
+5 s
+34 s
|
G2 / G6
|
18:43
18:54
|
46:58 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 20
80% range: 6–37
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -28.6 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.61 %,
Sicherheit 33 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 83 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
3.7 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.30 %,
Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:33
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:43
(3:45 / km)
Total:
46:58
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 21 / 7 |
SUI
|
+44 s
+33 s
|
G5 / G2
|
18:05
16:49
|
47:01 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 21
80% range: 17–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.66 %,
Sicherheit 39 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.0 s
Gap behind:
1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.11 %,
Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:16 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:12
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:08
(38.4 km/h)
Run:
18:05
(3:37 / km)
Total:
47:01
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 40.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 22 / 25 |
FRA
|
+28 s
+35 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:23
18:48
|
47:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 22
80% range: 12–31
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -6.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
41 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.01 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.32 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.04 %,
Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Error: −0:25 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:56
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:23
(3:41 / km)
Total:
47:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 24.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 23 / 24 |
ESP
|
+35 s
+40 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:31
18:34
|
47:10 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 23
80% range: 20–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -5.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen,
57 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.30 %,
Sicherheit 98 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:03
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:31
(3:42 / km)
Total:
47:10
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 30.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 24 / 26 |
UKR
|
+29 s
+61 s
|
G4 / G2
|
18:33
18:59
|
47:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 24
80% range: 17–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -32.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
21 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.02 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.94 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
21 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:59 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:57
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:33
(3:43 / km)
Total:
47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 24.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 25 / 36 |
CZE
|
+16 s
+48 s
|
G2 / G5
|
18:57
18:55
|
47:12 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 25
80% range: 16–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -32.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
56 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 88 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.1 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.39 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:57 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen,
42 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.23 %,
Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:57
(3:47 / km)
Total:
47:12
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 26 / 16 |
FRA
|
+55 s
+42 s
|
G6 / G2
|
18:07
17:47
|
47:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 26
80% range: 21–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 10
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.40 %,
Sicherheit 63 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Gap ahead:
7.0 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.04 %,
Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:14
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
10:23
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:12
(38.3 km/h)
Run:
18:07
(3:37 / km)
Total:
47:14
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 51.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 27 / 20 |
HUN
|
+47 s
+42 s
|
G5 / G2
|
18:20
18:05
|
47:16 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 27
80% range: 18–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:15
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 4.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
66 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.9 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen,
52 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.44 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:15
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:08
(38.4 km/h)
Run:
18:20
(3:40 / km)
Total:
47:16
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 42.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 28 / 37 |
DEN
|
+35 s
+47 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
18:46
19:15
|
47:25 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 28
80% range: 24–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -11.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 96 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
18 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.29 %,
Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km)
Error: −0:29 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:03
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
18:46
(3:45 / km)
Total:
47:25
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 29 / 22 |
ESP
|
+36 s
+40 s
|
G4 / G2
|
19:04
18:25
|
47:43 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 29
80% range: 26–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -4.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen,
63 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:04 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
49 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:04
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
19:04
(3:49 / km)
Total:
47:43
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 30 / 19 |
ESP
|
+46 s
+45 s
|
G5 / G2
|
18:48
18:02
|
47:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 30
80% range: 21–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen,
75 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.9 s
Gap behind:
0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen,
61 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:14
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:08
(38.4 km/h)
Run:
18:48
(3:46 / km)
Total:
47:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 42 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 31 / 15 |
ESP
|
+48 s
+42 s
|
G5 / G2
|
18:53
17:35
|
47:49 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 31
80% range: 27–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 16
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.53 %,
Sicherheit 83 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
7.0 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.15 %,
Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:16
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:08
(38.4 km/h)
Run:
18:53
(3:47 / km)
Total:
47:49
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 44.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 32 / 34 |
FRA
|
+21 s
+41 s
|
G3 / G3
correct
|
19:35
19:53
|
48:02 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 32
80% range: 29–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -20.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.51 %,
Sicherheit 4 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
2.3 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.07 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:02
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:49
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:04
(38.5 km/h)
Run:
19:35
(3:55 / km)
Total:
48:02
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 16.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 33 / 27 |
ESP
|
+31 s
+42 s
|
G4 / G2
|
19:37
19:18
|
48:16 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 33
80% range: 31–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
24 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.41 %,
Sicherheit 67 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.46 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
20 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.02 %,
Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:59
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
19:37
(3:55 / km)
Total:
48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 27.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 34 / 38 |
ESP
|
+31 s
+41 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
19:45
19:31
|
48:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 34
80% range: 32–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:59
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -10.4 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.42 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (16 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.7 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.41 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: +0:14 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:24
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:59
(1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:57
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
19:45
(3:57 / km)
Total:
48:24
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 26.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 35 / 31 |
SUI
|
+55 s
+46 s
|
G6 / G3
|
19:30
19:31
|
48:37 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 35
80% range: 34–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
41 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.13 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
7.0 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
27 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.34 %,
Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:31 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:23
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:12
(38.3 km/h)
Run:
19:30
(3:54 / km)
Total:
48:37
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 51.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 36 / 13 |
ESP
|
+70 s
+46 s
|
G7 / G2
|
18:51
17:31
|
49:11 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 36
80% range: 30–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 23
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 24.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.36 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
7.8 s
Gap behind:
1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:51 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.17 %,
Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:38
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:05
(37.2 km/h)
Run:
18:51
(3:46 / km)
Total:
49:11
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 66.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 37 / 21 |
ESP
|
+73 s
+50 s
|
G7 / G2
|
19:01
18:14
|
49:21 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 37
80% range: 31–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 16
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:41
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 23.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.38 %,
Sicherheit 66 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (24 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.16 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:01 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.07 %,
Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:14 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 49:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:41
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:05
(37.2 km/h)
Run:
19:01
(3:48 / km)
Total:
49:21
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 69.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 38 / 41 |
ESP
|
+72 s
+67 s
|
G7 / G6
|
19:39
20:42
|
49:59 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 38
80% range: 40–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.40 %,
Sicherheit 63 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.8 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.51 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.04 %,
Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:42 (4:08 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:59
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
10:40
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:05
(37.2 km/h)
Run:
19:39
(3:56 / km)
Total:
49:59
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 68.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 39 / 28 |
SUI
|
+130 s
+98 s
|
G8 / G5
|
18:18
17:39
|
50:04 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 39
80% range: 39–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +130 s
Time: 11:38
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 31.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.11 %,
Sicherheit 43 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
54.5 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.64 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.24 %,
Sicherheit 43 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 50:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:38
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:37
(36.5 km/h)
Run:
18:18
(3:40 / km)
Total:
50:04
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 126 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 40 / 30 |
ESP
|
+75 s
+56 s
|
G7 / G5
|
20:02
17:52
|
50:22 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 40
80% range: 41–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 10
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 19.4 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.46 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.4 s
Gap behind:
54.5 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.03 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:02 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Error: +2:10 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 50:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
10:43
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:05
(37.2 km/h)
Run:
20:02
(4:00 / km)
Total:
50:22
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 71.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 41 / 42 |
SVK
|
+62 s
+76 s
|
G7 / G5
|
21:47
21:54
|
52:07 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 41
80% range: 40–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: -13.6 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.43 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 7 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
7.0 s
Gap behind:
7.8 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.64 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:47 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:30
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
29:05
(37.2 km/h)
Run:
21:47
(4:21 / km)
Total:
52:07
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 58.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 40 |
ESP
|
+17 s
+49 s
|
G2 / G6
|
19:41
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -40
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -32.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (10 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.4 s
Gap behind:
2.1 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:41 (3:56 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
9:45
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:58
(38.6 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 43 |
ESP
|
+0 s
+83 s
|
G1 / G7
|
22:19
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -43
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: -83.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
5.0 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.05 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:19 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
9:28
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
26:42
(40.5 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|