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Elite Men

22.06.2024 Wels AUT
Race information and calculation basis
2024 Europe Triathlon Cup Wels

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 22.06.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 63/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 86.2 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 96.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.2
Mean swim error14.8 s
Mean bike-speed error2.19 km/h
Correct bike groups20/56
No history1
Within the 80% range43.1 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Nathan Grayel
FRA
+49 s
+39 s
G2 / G1
 14:45
14:20
 46:56
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Grayel

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–12
Top-10 probability: 81 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:20 (2:52 / km)
Error: +0:25 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:54 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Total: 46:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2 Igor Dupuis
FRA
+24 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		14:57
14:23
 46:58
Show details
Prediction details: Igor Dupuis

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:29
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 24.1 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:57 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:23 (2:53 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:58
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:29 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 14:57 (2:59 / km)
Total: 46:58
3 / 5 Jan Bader
AUT
+39 s
+31 s
G2 / G1
 14:51
14:39
 47:02
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Bader

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 7.7 s
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:51 (2:58 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 46 Gegner:innen, 122 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 14:51 (2:58 / km)
Total: 47:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 26 Gjalt Panjer
NED
+29 s
+33 s
G1 / G2
 15:09
15:36
 47:10
Show details
Prediction details: Gjalt Panjer

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -4.1 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Total: 47:10
5 / 15 Ka'eo Kruse
USA
+34 s
+11 s
G1 / G2
 15:09
15:04
 47:10
Show details
Prediction details: Ka'eo Kruse

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 1–31
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 23.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Total: 47:10
6 / 8 Jan Diener
GER
+29 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:19
14:58
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Diener

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 8:34
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:34 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 47:20
7 / 6 Harry Leleu
GBR
+12 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:22
14:48
 47:23
Show details
Prediction details: Harry Leleu

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 8:17
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 7.3 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 1.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 47:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:17 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: 47:23
8 / 7 Lukas Pertl
AUT
+53 s
+38 s
G3 / G1
 14:58
14:50
 47:24
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Pertl

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 2–35
Top-10 probability: 44 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Total: 47:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 15.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 22 Fabian Kraft
GER
+36 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 15:23
15:27
 47:24
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Kraft

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 1–30
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 8:41
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:41 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 47:24
10 / 14 Baptiste Passemard
FRA
+33 s
+19 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:34
15:10
 47:35
Show details
Prediction details: Baptiste Passemard

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–19
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 8:38
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 73 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:38 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 47:35
11 / 27 Hayden Woodrow
CAN
+27 s
+18 s
G1 / G2
 15:39
15:39
 47:40
Show details
Prediction details: Hayden Woodrow

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–30
Top-10 probability: 34 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 8:32
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 9.0 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:40
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:32 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 47:40
12 / 17 Adrien Deharre
BEL
+48 s
+30 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:30
15:06
 47:41
Show details
Prediction details: Adrien Deharre

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–25
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 18.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 119 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 47:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 13 Itamar Levanon
ISR
+52 s
+56 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:33
15:05
 47:44
Show details
Prediction details: Itamar Levanon

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–30
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -4.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 45.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Total: 47:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 13.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 31 Peter Luftensteiner
AUT
+34 s
+28 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:43
16:03
 47:44
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Luftensteiner

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 10–27
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 6.4 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 47:44
15 / 10 Nicholas Holmes
USA
+57 s
+48 s
G3 / G2
 15:19
14:53
 47:45
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Holmes

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 4–32
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 8.6 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:53 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 47:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 47:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 18.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 9 Hugo Winock
FRA
+7 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 15:45
14:49
 47:46
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Winock

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 10–22
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 8:12
Pace: 1:06 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -15.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:12 (1:06 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 47:46
17 / 28 Jayden Schofield
AUS
+38 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:36
15:46
 47:47
Show details
Prediction details: Jayden Schofield

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 10–23
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 4.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 47:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 34 Boris Pierre
FRA
+44 s
+51 s
G2 / G3
 15:41
15:12
 47:52
Show details
Prediction details: Boris Pierre

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 13–28
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -7.3 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: 47:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 5.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 38 Jonas Osterholt
GER
+34 s
+25 s
G1 / G3
 15:52
15:33
 47:53
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Osterholt

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 1–43
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 8:39
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 8.8 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:39 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 47:53
20 / 18 Chris Ziehmer
GER
+38 s
+13 s
G1 / G2
 15:56
15:12
 47:57
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Ziehmer

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 2–37
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 25.1 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 47:57
21 / 23 Neilan Kempmann
GER
+44 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
 15:48
15:33
 47:59
Show details
Prediction details: Neilan Kempmann

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 11–32
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 8:49
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 26.6 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 47:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 5.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 39 Ivan Abele
NZL
+45 s
+26 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:48
16:46
 47:59
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Abele

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 13–29
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 18.7 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 47:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 6.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 41 Joel Lange
NZL
+50 s
+34 s
G2 / G3
 15:49
15:51
 48:00
Show details
Prediction details: Joel Lange

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 17–31
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 15.5 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 48:00
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 48:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 11.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 3 Miguel Tiago Silva
POR
+17 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:03
14:31
 48:04
Show details
Prediction details: Miguel Tiago Silva

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 6–34
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 8:22
Pace: 1:07 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 7.2 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:31 (2:54 / km)
Error: +1:32 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 48:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:22 (1:07 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 48:04
25 / 36 Zalán Hóbor
HUN
+52 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:57
16:25
 48:08
Show details
Prediction details: Zalán Hóbor

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 21–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: 48:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 48 Cameron Harris
GBR
+58 s
+59 s
G3 / G4
 15:48
16:04
 48:14
Show details
Prediction details: Cameron Harris

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 20–37
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: -1.1 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:16 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 48:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 19.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 49 Armin Angerjärv
EST
+60 s
+61 s
G3 / G4
 15:50
16:14
 48:16
Show details
Prediction details: Armin Angerjärv

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 17–46
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -0.8 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 76 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Total: 48:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 22.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 40 Chris Gregor
CAN
+24 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
 16:17
16:50
 48:18
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Gregor

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 12–33
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:29
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -1.7 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 90 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:33 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:29 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Total: 48:18
29 / 16 Niklas Keller
AUT
+51 s
+36 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:08
15:04
 48:19
Show details
Prediction details: Niklas Keller

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 12–42
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 14.5 s
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 145 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 44 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 48:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 25 Johannes Sikk
EST
+56 s
+37 s
G3 / G2
 15:55
15:35
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Johannes Sikk

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 16–40
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 25
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 19.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 18.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 21 Sasha Caterina
SUI
+40 s
+7 s
G2 / G1
 16:10
15:44
 48:21
Show details
Prediction details: Sasha Caterina

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 18–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 32.6 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 48:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 48:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 11 Enzo Bourdon
FRA
+40 s
+11 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:13
15:00
 48:24
Show details
Prediction details: Enzo Bourdon

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 14–44
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 28.6 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Error: +1:13 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 48:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 48:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 1.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 45 Gabriel Barac
CRO
+53 s
+47 s
G3 / G4
 16:04
15:45
 48:30
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Barac

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 21–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 48:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 48:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 15 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 20 Filip Michalek
CZE
+47 s
+25 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:36
15:26
 48:47
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Michalek

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 26–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 8:52
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 22.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:47
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:52 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 48:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 9.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 57 David Vollmann
AUT
+60 s
+65 s
G3 / G5
 16:25
16:38
 48:51
Show details
Prediction details: David Vollmann

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 30–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 77 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:13 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 48:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Total: 48:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 22 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 24 Oscar Lilja
SWE
+46 s
+22 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:42
15:36
 48:53
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Lilja

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 18–51
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 48:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: 48:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 29 Shachar Agur
ISR
+53 s
+38 s
G3 / G1
 16:28
15:51
 48:54
Show details
Prediction details: Shachar Agur

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 23–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 14.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 48:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 35 Paul Frayon
SWE
+41 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:47
16:17
 48:58
Show details
Prediction details: Paul Frayon

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 28–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 8:46
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 21.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:46 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 48:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 2.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 12 Thomas Windischbauer
AUT
+43 s
+35 s
G2 / G1
 16:49
15:09
 49:00
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Windischbauer

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 22–52
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 45.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 67 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:40 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 49:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Total: 49:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 4.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 4 Eric Diener
GER
+39 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:06
14:32
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Diener

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 33–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur -2.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:32 (2:54 / km)
Error: +2:34 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 49:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 51 Jean Gael Laurent L`entete
MRI
+51 s
+63 s
G2 / G4
 17:08
16:33
 49:19
Show details
Prediction details: Jean Gael Laurent L`entete

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 35–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -12.2 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 1.02 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 49:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 52 Jakob Meier
AUT
+50 s
+61 s
G2 / G4
 17:09
17:06
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jakob Meier

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 37–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +61 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.67 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 49:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 46 Filip Lizak
SVK
+53 s
+42 s
G3 / G4
 17:00
15:55
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Lizak

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 31–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 11.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 48 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 48 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:00 (3:24 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 15.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 19 Russell White
IRL
+48 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 17:18
15:23
 49:29
Show details
Prediction details: Russell White

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 35–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 28.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (14 people)
Speed: 44.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -1.62 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:55 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 49:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 49:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 10.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 47 Trevor Laupland
CAN
+39 s
+63 s
G2 / G4
 17:23
16:03
 49:34
Show details
Prediction details: Trevor Laupland

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 36–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -24.3 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:34
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 30 James Kadziak
POL
+26 s
+22 s
G1 / G2
 17:34
15:50
 49:35
Show details
Prediction details: James Kadziak

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 39–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:31
Pace: 1:08 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 77 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (15 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:44 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 49:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:31 (1:08 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:23 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: 49:35
47 / 37 Noah Künz
AUT
+52 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:41
16:20
 49:52
Show details
Prediction details: Noah Künz

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 43–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 125 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 42 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur -0.90 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Total: 49:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 14 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 55 Ryan Lund
USA
+69 s
+56 s
G4 / G5
 16:14
16:02
 49:53
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Lund

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 36–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 12.9 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 66 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:30 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 49:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 30.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 53 Matej Marek
CZE
+38 s
+30 s
G2 / G4
 17:55
17:27
 50:06
Show details
Prediction details: Matej Marek

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 43–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Total: 50:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 0.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 44 Moritz Meier
AUT
+55 s
+46 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:42
16:11
 50:08
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Meier

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 30–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 50:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 50:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 58 Klemens Oberleithner
AUT
+50 s
+65 s
G2 / G5
 18:05
16:58
 50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Klemens Oberleithner

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 46–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -14.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (25 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (3 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 50:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:19 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 50:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 12.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 50 David Korous
CZE
+66 s
+48 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:42
16:23
 50:21
Show details
Prediction details: David Korous

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 27–54
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 50
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 17.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 3.1 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 50:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:30 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Total: 50:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 27.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 42 Shavit Haiat
ISR
+69 s
+42 s
G4 / G3
 16:49
16:00
 50:28
Show details
Prediction details: Shavit Haiat

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 43–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 27.4 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:30 (40.6 km/h)
Run: 16:49 (3:22 / km)
Total: 50:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 31.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
54 / 33 Nathan Simionato
FRA
+92 s
+55 s
G5 / G3
 15:49
15:15
 51:02
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Simionato

Placement

Prediction: 54
80% range: 34–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 37.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 54.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
55 / 56 Risto Holtsmeier
EST
+56 s
+41 s
G3 / G4
 19:11
18:05
 51:37
Show details
Prediction details: Risto Holtsmeier

Placement

Prediction: 55
80% range: 53–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 14.8 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:37
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:26 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Total: 51:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 17.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
56 / 54 Belmin Godinjak
BIH
+74 s
+57 s
G5 / G4
 19:35
17:31
 54:48
Show details
Prediction details: Belmin Godinjak

Placement

Prediction: 56
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 16.5 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 18.6 s
Result: Group 4 (11 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 54:48
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:41 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: 54:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:44
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
About 35.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +38 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32 Julian Birkel
RSA
+0 s
+31 s
G0 / G2
16:01
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Birkel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:05
Pace: 1:05 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (23 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:05 (1:05 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 43 Sébastien Pascal
ROU
+61 s
 Bike DNF 15:07
Show details
Prediction details: Sébastien Pascal

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:07 (3:01 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.