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Prediction comparison

Elite Men

07.09.2024 Hannover GER
Race information and calculation basis
2024 GER Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.09.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 33/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 65.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 74.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error17.7
Mean swim error31.7 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history4
Details
0 / 1 Justus Nieschlag
GER
+15 s
+4 s
G0 / G1
 16:58
Show details
Prediction details: Justus Nieschlag

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:51 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Henry Graf
GER
+6 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
 15:02
Show details
Prediction details: Henry Graf

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:03 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Jonas Osterholt
GER
+14 s
+4 s
G0 / G1
 15:22
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Osterholt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Fabian Kraft
GER
+20 s
+3 s
G0 / G1
 15:14
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Kraft

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 80 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:39 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Tim Hellwig
GER
+9 s
+26 s
G0 / G2
 14:45
Show details
Prediction details: Tim Hellwig

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -17.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:50 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Luca Fahrenson
GER
+33 s
+46 s
G0 / G2
 17:22
Show details
Prediction details: Luca Fahrenson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -13.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Justus Töpper
GER
+41 s
+24 s
G0 / G2
 15:57
Show details
Prediction details: Justus Töpper

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:05 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:57 (3:11 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Jaspar Ortfeld
GER
+50 s
+47 s
G0 / G2
 15:34
Show details
Prediction details: Jaspar Ortfeld

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Alexander Kull
GER
+34 s
+45 s
G0 / G2
 15:37
Show details
Prediction details: Alexander Kull

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: -11.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Richard Feuer
GER
+27 s
+53 s
G0 / G2
 17:18
Show details
Prediction details: Richard Feuer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -26.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:16 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Maximilian Krüger
GER
+23 s
+6 s
G0 / G1
 17:34
Show details
Prediction details: Maximilian Krüger

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 41 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Chris Ziehmer
GER
+18 s
+23 s
G0 / G2
 15:22
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Ziehmer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -5.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:25 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Neilan Kempmann
GER
+24 s
+46 s
G0 / G2
 15:37
Show details
Prediction details: Neilan Kempmann

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -22.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Moritz Göttler
GER
+29 s
+41 s
G0 / G2
 15:53
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Göttler

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Samuel Linsenmeier
GER
+0 s
+34 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Linsenmeier

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Fabian Schönke
GER
+19 s
+47 s
G0 / G2
 15:38
Show details
Prediction details: Fabian Schönke

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -28.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Cedric Osterholt
GER
+13 s
+16 s
G0 / G2
 16:50
Show details
Prediction details: Cedric Osterholt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time:
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Benedikt Bettin
GER
+19 s
+37 s
G0 / G2
 15:17
Show details
Prediction details: Benedikt Bettin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -18.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 1.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 Christoph Mattner
GER
+644 s
+74 s
G0 / G4
 16:50
Show details
Prediction details: Christoph Mattner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +644 s
Time:
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +74 s
Fehler: 570.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Till Krajenski
GER
+0 s
+42 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Till Krajenski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Wilhelm Hirsch
GER
+13 s
+42 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Wilhelm Hirsch

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -29.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Theo Sonnenberg
GER
+0 s
+55 s
G0 / G4
Show details
Prediction details: Theo Sonnenberg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:00 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Nicklas Hogervorst
GER
+59 s
+44 s
G0 / G2
 15:15
Show details
Prediction details: Nicklas Hogervorst

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 15.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Jan Diener
GER
+9 s
+38 s
G0 / G2
 15:46
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Diener

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -29.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:46 (3:09 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Maximilian Meckel
GER
+0 s
+31 s
G0 / G2
Show details
Prediction details: Maximilian Meckel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Philipp Mack
GER
+31 s
+41 s
G0 / G2
 16:48
Show details
Prediction details: Philipp Mack

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -10.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Jan Scheffold
GER
+37 s
+40 s
G0 / G2
 17:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Scheffold

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time:
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -3.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -1.90 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Magnus Männer
GER
+20 s
+28 s
G0 / G3
 16:21
Show details
Prediction details: Magnus Männer

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -28

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time:
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: -8.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Duncan Frey
GER
+36 s
+36 s
G0 / G2
 17:54
Show details
Prediction details: Duncan Frey

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30 Tim Semmler
GER
+26 s
+34 s
G0 / G2
 16:41
Show details
Prediction details: Tim Semmler

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time:
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -8.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.97 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:06 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31 Janne Büttel
GER
+29 s
+43 s
G0 / G2
 16:09
Show details
Prediction details: Janne Büttel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -31

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: -14.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Ivan Abele
NZL
+34 s
+30 s
G0 / G2
 16:01
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Abele

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time:
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33 Lukas Meckel
GER
+21 s
+52 s
G0 / G2
 15:41
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Meckel

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time:
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -31.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (25 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:16 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:41 (3:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34 Silas Schmitt
GER
+35 s
+33 s
G0 / G3
 17:11
Show details
Prediction details: Silas Schmitt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time:
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:18 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35 Kjell Arved Brandt
GER
+25 s
+49 s
G0 / G4
 16:46
Show details
Prediction details: Kjell Arved Brandt

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -35

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time:
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:38 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.