Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Men

12.05.2024 Senec SVK
Race information and calculation basis
2024 SVK Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 12.05.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 47/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 53.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 73.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.7
Mean swim error28.2 s
Mean bike-speed error3.97 km/h
Correct bike groups7/15
No history0
Within the 80% range33.3 %
Details
1 / 3 Filip Vaclavik
CZE
+17 s
+26 s
G1 / G2
 14:47
17:21
 44:30
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Vaclavik

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 17.0 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Historical basis: 2:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: −2:34 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 44:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Total: 44:30
2 / 1 Peter Rojtas
SVK
+34 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:49
17:27
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Rojtas

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 34.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.0 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.98 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Error: −1:38 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 45:32
3 / 2 Filip Lizak
SVK
+45 s
+3 s
G1 / G2
 16:29
17:24
 46:12
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Lizak

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 41.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 45 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:12
4 / 6 Alex Mandak
SVK
+39 s
+19 s
G1 / G2
 17:02
18:07
 46:45
Show details
Prediction details: Alex Mandak

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 20.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 23 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 46:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:45
5 / 4 Pavol Brejcak
SVK
+42 s
+97 s
G1 / G3
 17:51
16:31
 47:34
Show details
Prediction details: Pavol Brejcak

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: -55.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 47:34
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km)
Total: 47:34
6 / 7 Francesco Salazar
SVK
+39 s
+14 s
G1 / G2
 18:50
18:16
 48:33
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Salazar

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–8
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 24.8 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 18:50 (3:46 / km)
Total: 48:33
7 / 14 Filip Kniz
SVK
+41 s
+49 s
G1 / G3
 19:37
18:35
 49:20
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Kniz

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -8.5 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.05 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 49:20
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:59 (41.5 km/h)
Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Total: 49:20
8 / 12 Kristian Brezani
SVK
+99 s
+98 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:42
18:18
 54:14
Show details
Prediction details: Kristian Brezani

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 10:25
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +98 s
Fehler: 1.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 31.9 s
Gap behind: 13.8 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:36 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 54:14
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (34.6 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 54:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 51.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 10 Kristián Kosterec
SVK
+60 s
+53 s
G3 / G3
correct 		17:45
18:07
 54:17
Show details
Prediction details: Kristián Kosterec

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.83 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 54:17
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (34.6 km/h)
Run: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Total: 54:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 22.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 9 Jakub Miklencic
SVK
+67 s
+52 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:53
17:29
 55:25
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Miklencic

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 9:53
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 15.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 31.9 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:24 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 55:25
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (34.6 km/h)
Run: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Total: 55:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 19.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 8 Daniel Kraviansky
SVK
+121 s
+83 s
G3 / G3
correct 		20:08
17:13
 56:40
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Kraviansky

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 38.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.5 s
Gap behind: 41.9 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Error: +2:55 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 56:40
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (34.6 km/h)
Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Total: 56:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 73.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 15 Matej Machacek
SVK
+163 s
+102 s
G4 / G3
 20:00
19:03
 56:41
Show details
Prediction details: Matej Machacek

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +163 s
Time: 11:29
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +102 s
Fehler: 61.3 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 41.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.94 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:03 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 56:41
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:29 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:57 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 20:00 (4:00 / km)
Total: 56:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 125.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 5 Michal Michalica
SVK
+55 s
+28 s
G2 / G2
correct 		21:45
17:41
 57:31
Show details
Prediction details: Michal Michalica

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 26.6 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +4:04 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 57:31
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:51 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 21:45 (4:21 / km)
Total: 57:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 16.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13 Martin Cesnak
SVK
+52 s
+29 s
G2 / G3
 22:10
18:12
 57:56
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Cesnak

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 22.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.01 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 40.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:10 (4:26 / km)
Historical basis: 4:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: +3:58 / +0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 57:56
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:51 (34.4 km/h)
Run: 22:10 (4:26 / km)
Total: 57:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 13.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 11 Peter Zacik
SVK
+113 s
+56 s
G3 / G3
correct 		25:20
17:58
 1:01:52
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Zacik

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +113 s
Time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 56.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.8 s
Gap behind: 8.5 s
Result: Group 3 (9 people)
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:20 (5:04 / km)
Historical basis: 5:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: +7:22 / +1:28 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:52
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:31 (34.6 km/h)
Run: 25:20 (5:04 / km)
Total: 1:01:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
About 65.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +47.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.