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Elite Men

24.11.2024 Sucre VEN
Race information and calculation basis
2024 VEN Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 24.11.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 23/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 46.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 86.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error8.4
Mean swim error72.8 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history1
Details
0 / 1 Yhousman David Perdomo Peña
VEN
+6 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
 15:40
Show details
Prediction details: Yhousman David Perdomo Peña

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time:
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Cristian Torrealba
VEN
+0 s
+0 s
G0 / G1
Show details
Prediction details: Cristian Torrealba

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:58 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Gregori Abran Ibarra Guerra
VEN
+709 s
+34 s
G0 / G3
Show details
Prediction details: Gregori Abran Ibarra Guerra

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +709 s
Time:
Pace:
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 675.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Samuel Abraham Piña Barco
VEN
+51 s
+11 s
G0 / G2
 16:00
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Abraham Piña Barco

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time:
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 1.83 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Dixon Hernandez
VEN
+15 s
+7 s
G0 / G2
 19:00
Show details
Prediction details: Dixon Hernandez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time:
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Cristopher Alexander Cardenas Jimenez
VEN
+13 s
+3 s
G0 / G2
 19:54
Show details
Prediction details: Cristopher Alexander Cardenas Jimenez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time:
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.75 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 1.06 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Ramses Montilla
VEN
+10 s
+9 s
G0 / G2
 23:31
Show details
Prediction details: Ramses Montilla

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time:
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:31 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 23:31 (4:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Paolo Farnetano
VEN
+56 s
+55 s
G0 / G3
 22:17
Show details
Prediction details: Paolo Farnetano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time:
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +55 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:17 (4:27 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 22:17 (4:27 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Carlos Daniel Gómez Cordero
VEN
+55 s
+34 s
G0 / G3
 21:41
Show details
Prediction details: Carlos Daniel Gómez Cordero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time:
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:41 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:41 (4:20 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Gian Franco Mario Farnetano
VEN
+117 s
 Bike DNF 20:07
Show details
Prediction details: Gian Franco Mario Farnetano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +117 s
Time:
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Alexis Francisco Nogales Perez
VEN
+76 s
+42 s
G0 / G3
 20:57
Show details
Prediction details: Alexis Francisco Nogales Perez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time:
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 34.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.00 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Elber Isai Ulloa Zambrano
VEN
+92 s
+113 s
G0 / G4
 21:17
Show details
Prediction details: Elber Isai Ulloa Zambrano

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +92 s
Time:
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +113 s
Fehler: -21.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:17 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 21:17 (4:15 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 William Alejandro Camacaro Madrid
VEN
+170 s
+123 s
G0 / G4
 19:00
Show details
Prediction details: William Alejandro Camacaro Madrid

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +170 s
Time:
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +123 s
Fehler: 47.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.98 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Juan Carlos David Peralta Perozo
VEN
+56 s
+14 s
G0 / G3
 19:39
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Carlos David Peralta Perozo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time:
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 42.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.34 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Franko Smith Del Valle
VEN
+86 s
+46 s
G0 / G3
 22:54
Show details
Prediction details: Franko Smith Del Valle

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time:
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: 40.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (6 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:54 (4:35 / km)
Historical basis: 4:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:24 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 22:54 (4:35 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.