Prediction comparison
25-29 Male AG Sprint
17.10.2024
Torremolinos
ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2024 World Triathlon Age-Group Championships Torremolinos-Andalucia
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 17.10.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v14
Default values
Prediction quality
23/100
sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 5.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 23.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error17.8
Mean swim error46.4 s
Mean bike-speed error3.07 km/h
Correct bike groups1/30
No history21
Within the 80% range17.6 %
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 1 |
FRA
|
+1 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G2
|
16:01
16:23
|
46:52 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +1 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.02 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
9.0 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.14 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
7 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.22 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:45
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:41
(38.9 km/h)
Run:
16:01
(3:12 / km)
Total:
46:52
|
| 2 / 6 |
BEL
|
+91 s
+76 s
|
G3 / G5
|
17:43
17:41
|
50:05 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 19–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 11:15
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +76 s
Fehler: 15.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
0.7 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:43 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 50:05
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
11:15
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
17:43
(3:33 / km)
Total:
50:05
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 6.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +84.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 3 / 27 |
GBR
|
+22 s
+82 s
|
G2 / G11
|
19:24
20:50
|
50:36 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 19–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -24
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: -59.6 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
12.4 s
Gap behind:
9.6 s
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.28 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: −1:26 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 50:36
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
10:06
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:19
(39.3 km/h)
Run:
19:24
(3:53 / km)
Total:
50:36
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 17.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 4 / 16 |
CAN
|
+98 s
+119 s
|
G4 / G13
|
17:48
16:45
|
51:23 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 19–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +119 s
Fehler: -20.6 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.1 s
Gap behind:
15.8 s
Result: Group 13 (2 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.65 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 51:23
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
11:22
(1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:14
(38.7 km/h)
Run:
17:48
(3:34 / km)
Total:
51:23
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 93.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 18 |
POL
|
+97 s
+79 s
|
G4 / G7
|
18:09
19:09
|
51:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 21–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:21
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.3 s
Gap behind:
1.1 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: −1:00 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 51:44
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
11:21
(1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:14
(38.7 km/h)
Run:
18:09
(3:38 / km)
Total:
51:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +84.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 6 / 13 |
MEX
|
+114 s
+126 s
|
G4 / G7
|
18:19
18:08
|
51:54 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 22–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +114 s
Time: 11:38
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +126 s
Fehler: -11.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.58 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
15.8 s
Gap behind:
2.8 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.76 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 51:54
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
11:38
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:14
(38.7 km/h)
Run:
18:19
(3:40 / km)
Total:
51:54
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 109.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 20 |
AUT
|
+141 s
+118 s
|
G4 / G7
|
19:49
19:58
|
53:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 24–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +141 s
Time: 12:05
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +118 s
Fehler: 23.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
24.3 s
Gap behind:
5.7 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.89 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:58 (4:00 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 53:24
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
12:05
(1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:14
(38.7 km/h)
Run:
19:49
(3:58 / km)
Total:
53:24
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 69.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +72.2 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 8 / 5 |
AUS
|
+58 s
+35 s
|
G3 / G4
|
21:42
18:02
|
54:04 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 24–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 23.3 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.20 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.3 s
Gap behind:
0.7 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.31 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -2.47 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +3:40 / +0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 54:04
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
10:42
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
21:42
(4:20 / km)
Total:
54:04
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
About 3.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +54.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 11 |
MEX
|
+62 s
+84 s
|
G3 / G8
|
22:04
17:42
|
54:26 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 25–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +84 s
Fehler: -21.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.1 s
Gap behind:
17.9 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.06 km/h
Running and totalRun: 22:04 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Error: +4:22 / +0:52 / km
Overall prediction: 54:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
10:46
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
22:04
(4:25 / km)
Total:
54:26
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 57.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 23 |
KUW
|
+178 s
+145 s
|
G5 / G11
|
20:49
19:18
|
56:07 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 27–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +178 s
Time: 12:42
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +145 s
Fehler: 33.1 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.46 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
21.1 s
Gap behind:
55.9 s
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.69 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.97 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 56:07
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
12:42
(1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:24
(37.1 km/h)
Run:
20:49
(4:10 / km)
Total:
56:07
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 173.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 37 |
AUT
|
+150 s
+133 s
|
G5 / G15
|
21:30
20:27
|
56:48 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 28–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -26
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +150 s
Time: 12:14
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +133 s
Fehler: 17.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.3 s
Gap behind:
6.7 s
Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.91 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:30 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 56:48
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
12:14
(1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:24
(37.1 km/h)
Run:
21:30
(4:18 / km)
Total:
56:48
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 145.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 35 |
AUS
|
+117 s
+200 s
|
G4 / G14
|
23:21
20:50
|
56:56 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 28–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -23
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +117 s
Time: 11:41
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +200 s
Fehler: -83.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.53 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.8 s
Gap behind:
24.3 s
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.27 km/h
Running and totalRun: 23:21 (4:40 / km)
Historical basis: 4:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.97 %,
Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: +2:31 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 56:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:41
(1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:14
(38.7 km/h)
Run:
23:21
(4:40 / km)
Total:
56:56
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 112.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 13 / 41 |
POL
|
+403 s
+409 s
|
G6 / G19
|
24:52
20:49
|
1:06:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -28
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +403 s
Time: 16:27
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +409 s
Fehler: -6.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.84 %,
Sicherheit 2 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
168.9 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 19 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h
Running and totalRun: 24:52 (4:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
2 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.71 %,
Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Error: +4:03 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:27
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
16:27
(2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
34:52
(34.4 km/h)
Run:
24:52
(4:58 / km)
Total:
1:06:27
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 398 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 2 |
NZL
|
+10 s
+3 s
|
G1 / G2
|
16:28
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 86 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
9.0 s
Gap behind:
12.4 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.14 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
9:54
(1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:41
(38.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 3 |
ESP
|
+97 s
+27 s
|
G4 / G4
correct
|
17:45
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +97 s
Time: 11:21
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 70.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.0 s
Gap behind:
0.3 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
11:21
(1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:14
(38.7 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 78.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 4 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+46 s
|
G1 / G3
|
17:58
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -46.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.76 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:41
(38.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 7 |
MEX
|
+51 s
+53 s
|
G2 / G5
|
17:56
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–9
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -2.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
19.0 s
Gap behind:
2.0 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.39 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
10:35
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:19
(39.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 32.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 8 |
GBR
|
+234 s
+129 s
|
G5 / G7
|
17:10
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 15–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +234 s
Time: 13:38
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +129 s
Fehler: 105.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
55.9 s
Gap behind:
168.9 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.07 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
13:38
(1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:24
(37.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 215.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 9 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+158 s
|
G1 / G7
|
17:46
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +158 s
Fehler: -158.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.61 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:41
(38.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 10 |
POL
|
+0 s
+137 s
|
G0 / G7
|
18:04
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +137 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 12 |
USA
|
+0 s
+42 s
|
G0 / G5
|
18:45
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 14 |
GBR
|
+53 s
+120 s
|
G2 / G5
|
18:29
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: -67.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.0 s
Gap behind:
5.3 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:37
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:19
(39.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 34.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 15 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+48 s
|
G0 / G9
|
18:19
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 17 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+139 s
|
G1 / G7
|
18:46
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: -139.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.84 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:41
(38.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 19 |
GIB
|
+0 s
+118 s
|
G0 / G7
|
19:10
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +118 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 7 (8 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:10 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 21 |
RSA
|
+0 s
+80 s
|
G0 / G10
|
19:37
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 35–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:37 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 22 |
MEX
|
+147 s
+148 s
|
G5 / G14
|
17:53
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -22
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +147 s
Time: 12:11
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: -1.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
5.7 s
Gap behind:
3.3 s
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.63 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
12:11
(1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:24
(37.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 128.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 24 |
CRO
|
+32 s
+8 s
|
G2 / G8
|
20:33
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 24.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
9.6 s
Gap behind:
19.0 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.58 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:33 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:16
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:19
(39.3 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 13.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 25 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+40 s
|
G0 / G6
|
22:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 36–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:18 (4:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 26 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+171 s
|
G0 / G14
|
19:13
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 37–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +171 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:13 (3:51 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 28 |
USA
|
+0 s
+45 s
|
G0 / G12
|
20:27
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 38–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 29 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+148 s
|
G0 / G13
|
20:12
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 39–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +148 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 13 (2 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 30 |
GBR
|
+90 s
+73 s
|
G3 / G6
|
22:29
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 10–14
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.50 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:29 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:14
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 85.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 31 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+222 s
|
G0 / G16
|
17:49
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 40–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +222 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 16 (1 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 32 |
GBR
|
+157 s
+122 s
|
G5 / G14
|
19:44
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 15–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -32
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +157 s
Time: 12:21
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +122 s
Fehler: 35.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.7 s
Gap behind:
21.1 s
Result: Group 14 (4 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.85 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
12:21
(1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
31:24
(37.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 138.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 33 |
VEN
|
+0 s
+44 s
|
G0 / G10
|
21:32
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 41–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:32 (4:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 34 |
CAN
|
+80 s
+77 s
|
G3 / G8
|
22:45
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 11:04
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
17.9 s
Gap behind:
9.0 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.13 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:45 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:04
(1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 61.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 36 |
GBR
|
+89 s
+142 s
|
G3 / G15
|
20:29
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 10–14
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -36
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: -53.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
9.0 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.34 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:29 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
11:13
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
About 84.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 38 |
MEX
|
+92 s
+123 s
|
G3 / G18
|
20:07
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -38
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +92 s
Time: 11:16
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +123 s
Fehler: -31.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.7 s
Gap behind:
5.0 s
Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
11:16
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 73.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 39 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+291 s
|
G0 / G20
|
20:10
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +291 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 20 (1 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:10 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 40 |
GBR
|
+0 s
+237 s
|
G1 / G17
|
22:46
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -40
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +237 s
Fehler: -237.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.57 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:46 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:41
(38.9 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 42 |
POL
|
+0 s
+412 s
|
G0 / G25
|
16:31
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +412 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 25 (1 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 43 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+287 s
|
G0 / G22
|
20:25
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +287 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 22 (3 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 44 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+340 s
|
G0 / G21
|
21:35
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +340 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 21 (1 people)
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:35 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 45 |
CAN
|
+59 s
+121 s
|
G3 / G24
|
18:46
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 5–14
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -45
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +121 s
Fehler: -62.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.7 s
Gap behind:
3.1 s
Result: Group 24 (1 people)
Speed: 26.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 12.22 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:43
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:50
(39.0 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 40.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 46 |
UAE
|
+0 s
+296 s
|
G0 / G22
|
21:44
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +296 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 22 (3 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:44 (4:21 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 47 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+194 s
|
G0 / G19
|
24:21
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +194 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 19 (2 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:21 (4:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 48 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+479 s
|
G0 / G23
|
22:35
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +479 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 23 (1 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:35 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 49 |
POR
|
+0 s
+446 s
|
G0 / G26
|
19:22
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +446 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 26 (1 people)
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 50 |
MEX
|
+0 s
+410 s
|
G0 / G22
|
24:07
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +410 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 22 (3 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:07 (4:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 51 |
JPN
|
+0 s
+419 s
|
G0 / G27
|
25:31
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +419 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 27 (1 people)
Speed: 27.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 25:31 (5:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:44
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
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