Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Prediction comparison

35-39 Male AG Sprint

17.10.2024 Torremolinos ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2024 World Triathlon Age-Group Championships Torremolinos-Andalucia

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 17.10.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 23/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 5.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 26.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error26.5
Mean swim error162.2 s
Mean bike-speed error3.97 km/h
Correct bike groups2/45
No history31
Within the 80% range11.8 %
Details
1 / 17 Alejandro Romero Perez de Tudela
ESP
+16 s
+41 s
G1 / G3
18:22
20:37
48:47
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Romero Perez de Tudela

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 19–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -25.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.0 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s

Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.67 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Error: −2:15 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 48:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:55 (40.0 km/h)
Run: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Total: 48:47
2 / 10 Brek Minarik
USA
+108 s
+181 s
G3 / G6
17:11
16:21
50:36
Show details
Prediction details: Brek Minarik

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 20–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 11:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +181 s
Fehler: -72.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s

Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:36
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:42 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 50:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 88.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 24 David Wilby
GBR
+91 s
+139 s
G3 / G9
17:25
18:22
50:50
Show details
Prediction details: David Wilby

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 20–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 11:25
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: -48.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s

Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 50:50
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:25 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 50:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 41 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 22 Samuel Palmer
GBR
+169 s
+239 s
G3 / G10
17:48
17:54
51:13
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Palmer

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 22–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +169 s
Time: 12:43
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +239 s
Fehler: -70.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 9.6 s

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.45 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 51:13
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:43 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 17:48 (3:34 / km)
Total: 51:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:31
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 131.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 32 Nathan Trowbridge
GBR
+161 s
+183 s
G3 / G10
18:16
19:29
51:41
Show details
Prediction details: Nathan Trowbridge

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 23–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +161 s
Time: 12:35
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +183 s
Fehler: -22.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.98 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:29 (3:54 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 51:41
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:35 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Total: 51:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 105.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +55.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 35 Hugo Nieto Lopez
MEX
+131 s
+232 s
G3 / G14
18:42
18:45
52:07
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Nieto Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 24–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +131 s
Time: 12:05
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +232 s
Fehler: -101.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 14 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 52:07
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:05 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Total: 52:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 126.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 27 Alex James Ward
GBR
+88 s
+279 s
G3 / G12
18:54
18:23
52:19
Show details
Prediction details: Alex James Ward

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 22–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:22
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +279 s
Fehler: -190.8 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s

Result: Group 12 (3 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (3:41 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 52:19
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:22 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 84.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 47 Sergio Rafael Garcia Campos
MEX
+108 s
+233 s
G3 / G18
19:09
20:22
52:34
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Rafael Garcia Campos

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 24–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -39

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 11:42
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +233 s
Fehler: -125.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s

Result: Group 18 (1 people)
Speed: 32.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 52:34
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:42 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Total: 52:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 103.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 8 Thiago De Souza Caldas
BRA
+79 s
+154 s
G3 / G5
19:14
16:55
52:39
Show details
Prediction details: Thiago De Souza Caldas

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 21–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +154 s
Fehler: -75.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.6 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 7 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: +2:19 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 52:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Total: 52:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 74.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 31 Timothy Bagguley
GBR
+63 s
+97 s
G2 / G5
21:00
21:40
52:53
Show details
Prediction details: Timothy Bagguley

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 28–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:57
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: -34.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:00 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:40 (4:20 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 52:53
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:57 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (38.9 km/h)
Run: 21:00 (4:12 / km)
Total: 52:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 58.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 18 Oscar Siwiec
CAN
+135 s
+142 s
G3 / G5
19:43
18:42
53:08
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Siwiec

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 31–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 12:09
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: -6.8 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.43 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 53:08
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 12:09 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Total: 53:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 131.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 20 Pablo José Rubello Aranguren
MEX
+86 s
+152 s
G3 / G5
19:47
19:48
53:12
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo José Rubello Aranguren

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 24–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 11:20
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +152 s
Fehler: -65.6 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:47 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 53:12
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:20 (1:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 19:47 (3:57 / km)
Total: 53:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 66.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +19.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 39 Michael Bishop
GBR
+162 s
+240 s
G3 / G11
20:48
20:32
54:13
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Bishop

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 34–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -26

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +162 s
Time: 12:36
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +240 s
Fehler: -78.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 7.0 s

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 54:13
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:36 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Total: 54:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
About 106.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +55.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 38 Lode Bosmans
BEL
+179 s
+260 s
G3 / G10
20:59
20:27
54:24
Show details
Prediction details: Lode Bosmans

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 34–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +179 s
Time: 12:53
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +260 s
Fehler: -81.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.40 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.6 s
Gap behind: 16.4 s

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:27 (4:05 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 54:24
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:53 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 54:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 152.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 12 Greg Saharin
RSA
+230 s
+137 s
G3 / G4
21:29
17:59
54:54
Show details
Prediction details: Greg Saharin

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 37–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +230 s
Time: 13:44
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +137 s
Fehler: 93.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 15.0 s

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:29 (4:18 / km)
Historical basis: 4:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: +3:30 / +0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 54:54
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:44 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 21:29 (4:18 / km)
Total: 54:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
About 196.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +33.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 37 Michiel Vanreyten
BEL
+195 s
+202 s
G3 / G10
21:54
20:35
55:19
Show details
Prediction details: Michiel Vanreyten

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 37–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +195 s
Time: 13:09
Pace: 1:45 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +202 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 16.4 s
Gap behind: 35.0 s

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Historical basis: 4:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:35 (4:07 / km)
Error: +1:19 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 55:19
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:09 (1:45 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 21:54 (4:23 / km)
Total: 55:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 145.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 53 Malek Amrani
USA
+248 s
+388 s
G4 / G21
19:28
19:43
56:10
Show details
Prediction details: Malek Amrani

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 38–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +248 s
Time: 14:02
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +388 s
Fehler: -140.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 23.2 s

Result: Group 21 (4 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:43 (3:57 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 56:10
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 14:02 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 19:28 (3:54 / km)
Total: 56:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 243.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 61 Eric Hammon
USA
+131 s
+254 s
G3 / G21
23:28
21:22
56:53
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Hammon

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 40–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 61
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +131 s
Time: 12:05
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +254 s
Fehler: -122.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s

Result: Group 21 (4 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:28 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:22 (4:16 / km)
Error: +2:06 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 56:53
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 12:05 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run: 23:28 (4:42 / km)
Total: 56:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 127.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 60 Marc Farminer
GBR
+280 s
+409 s
G4 / G24
20:20
20:04
57:02
Show details
Prediction details: Marc Farminer

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 40–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 60
Deviation: -41

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +280 s
Time: 14:34
Pace: 1:57 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +409 s
Fehler: -129.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.6 s
Gap behind: 193.7 s

Result: Group 24 (2 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:04 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 57:02
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 14:34 (1:57 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 20:20 (4:04 / km)
Total: 57:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 229.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 71 Marc Sheppard
GER
+473 s
+661 s
G5 / G30
20:59
24:39
1:02:34
Show details
Prediction details: Marc Sheppard

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 42–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 71
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +473 s
Time: 17:47
Pace: 2:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +661 s
Fehler: -187.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 193.7 s
Gap behind: 4.8 s

Result: Group 30 (1 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 24:39 (4:56 / km)
Error: −3:40 / −0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 17:47 (2:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:36 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 1:02:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 469.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 65 Heriberto Rivera Sandoval
MEX
+478 s
+456 s
G5 / G25
23:43
20:32
1:05:18
Show details
Prediction details: Heriberto Rivera Sandoval

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 43–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 65
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +478 s
Time: 17:52
Pace: 2:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +456 s
Fehler: 22.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.8 s
Gap behind: 9.8 s

Result: Group 25 (2 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:32 (4:06 / km)
Error: +3:11 / +0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:18
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 17:52 (2:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:36 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km)
Total: 1:05:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
22 / 40 Héctor David Quezada de las Heras
MEX
+989 s
+252 s
G6 / G14
18:11
19:35
1:10:27
Show details
Prediction details: Héctor David Quezada de las Heras

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +989 s
Time: 26:23
Pace: 3:31 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +252 s
Fehler: 736.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.5 s
Gap behind: 491.5 s

Result: Group 14 (3 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Error: −1:24 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 1:10:27
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 26:23 (3:31 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:47 (33.2 km/h)
Run: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Total: 1:10:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 984.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 76 Andre Montellano-Heins
GER
+488 s
+792 s
G6 / G33
32:10
26:55
1:24:26
Show details
Prediction details: Andre Montellano-Heins

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 76
Deviation: -53

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +488 s
Time: 18:02
Pace: 2:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +792 s
Fehler: -304.1 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.8 s
Gap behind: 30.1 s

Result: Group 33 (1 people)
Speed: 28.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 32:10 (6:26 / km)
Historical basis: 6:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 1 %

Ergebnis Lauf: 26:55 (5:23 / km)
Error: +5:15 / +1:03 / km
Overall prediction: 1:24:26
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 18:02 (2:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:47 (33.2 km/h)
Run: 32:10 (6:26 / km)
Total: 1:24:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 484 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Angel Salamanca Colmenarejo
ESP
+0 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct
17:29
Show details
Prediction details: Angel Salamanca Colmenarejo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 16.0 s

Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:55 (40.0 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 2 Karim Balli Al Soufi Espinosa
ESP
+0 s
+1 s
G0 / G1
17:45
Show details
Prediction details: Karim Balli Al Soufi Espinosa

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 1 (2 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Kenéz Bogdány
HUN
+60 s
+40 s
G2 / G3
16:56
Show details
Prediction details: Kenéz Bogdány

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 95 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:54
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 20.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 30.0 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s

Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 16:56 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:54 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (38.9 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 10.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Andrew Gordon
GIB
+30 s
+58 s
G1 / G3
17:21
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew Gordon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -28.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.0 s
Gap behind: 30.0 s

Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:55 (40.0 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 5 Angel Hilario Morales
ESP
+22 s
+101 s
G1 / G3
17:57
Show details
Prediction details: Angel Hilario Morales

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +101 s
Fehler: -79.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 8.0 s

Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:55 (40.0 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 6 Carlos Corcho Portillo
ESP
+0 s
+38 s
G0 / G3
18:19
Show details
Prediction details: Carlos Corcho Portillo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Ross Mcgregor
GBR
+67 s
+137 s
G2 / G4
17:12
Show details
Prediction details: Ross Mcgregor

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–13
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +137 s
Fehler: -70.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 11.6 s

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:46 (38.9 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 17.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Sam Hopton
GBR
+0 s
+139 s
G1 / G5
17:06
Show details
Prediction details: Sam Hopton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +139 s
Fehler: -139.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:55 (40.0 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 11 Greg Moore
GBR
+0 s
+125 s
G0 / G4
18:21
Show details
Prediction details: Greg Moore

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +125 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Stijn Sabbe
BEL
+0 s
+138 s
G0 / G5
17:32
Show details
Prediction details: Stijn Sabbe

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +138 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Arturo Rene Acevedo Escudero
MEX
+969 s
+153 s
G6 / G5
18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Rene Acevedo Escudero

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +969 s
Time: 26:03
Pace: 3:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +153 s
Fehler: 816.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 25, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 89.0 s
Gap behind: 19.5 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 26:03 (3:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:47 (33.2 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 919.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Luis Martinez Cubillo
ESP
+137 s
+138 s
G3 / G5
18:12
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Martinez Cubillo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +137 s
Time: 12:11
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +138 s
Fehler: -1.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 12:11 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 87.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 16 Paweł Zbierajewski
POL
+109 s
+141 s
G3 / G5
18:47
Show details
Prediction details: Paweł Zbierajewski

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +109 s
Time: 11:43
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +141 s
Fehler: -32.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 21.8 s

Result: Group 5 (9 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:43 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 59.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Josue Francisco Cordero Lopez
CRC
+1,480 s
+202 s
G7 / G7
correct
18:07
Show details
Prediction details: Josue Francisco Cordero Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 34–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,480 s
Time: 34:34
Pace: 4:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +202 s
Fehler: 1,278.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 27, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 491.5 s
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 34:34 (4:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 1430.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 21 Thomas Greeves
GBR
+142 s
+229 s
G3 / G10
17:28
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Greeves

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +142 s
Time: 12:16
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +229 s
Fehler: -87.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 19.0 s

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:16 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 138.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 23 Ernesto Sarmiento Combariza
COL
+0 s
+151 s
G0 / G10
18:09
Show details
Prediction details: Ernesto Sarmiento Combariza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +151 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Edwin Ramiro Sánchez Guevara
ECU
+0 s
+220 s
G0 / G11
18:16
Show details
Prediction details: Edwin Ramiro Sánchez Guevara

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +220 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Tomasz Bednarczyk
POL
+0 s
+221 s
G0 / G8
19:09
Show details
Prediction details: Tomasz Bednarczyk

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +221 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Daniel Alejandro Becerra Erazo
ECU
+0 s
+219 s
G0 / G11
18:44
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Alejandro Becerra Erazo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 53–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +219 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29 Mark Mills
GBR
+80 s
+157 s
G3 / G10
18:43
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Mills

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 6–14
Top-10 probability: 66 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -29

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +157 s
Fehler: -77.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s

Result: Group 10 (7 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:14 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 30.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Víctor Manuel Ortiz Félix
MEX
+84 s
+162 s
G3 / G11
19:06
Show details
Prediction details: Víctor Manuel Ortiz Félix

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 64 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 11:18
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +162 s
Fehler: -78.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:06 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:18 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 34.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 33 Enrique Najera Castro
MEX
+0 s
+207 s
G0 / G12
19:46
Show details
Prediction details: Enrique Najera Castro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 54–54
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +207 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 12 (3 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34 Andre Hansen
NOR
+271 s
+408 s
G4 / G16
18:37
Show details
Prediction details: Andre Hansen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +271 s
Time: 14:25
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +408 s
Fehler: -137.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 23.2 s
Gap behind: 8.6 s

Result: Group 16 (5 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:37 (3:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 14:25 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.3 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 221.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 36 Ramón Ruiz Toré
ESP
+0 s
+161 s
G0 / G11
20:15
Show details
Prediction details: Ramón Ruiz Toré

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 55–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +161 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 11 (5 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 41 Victor Eugenio Reyes Ramirez
MEX
+0 s
+338 s
G0 / G16
19:11
Show details
Prediction details: Victor Eugenio Reyes Ramirez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 56–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +338 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 16 (5 people)
Speed: 36.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 42 Patryk Flieger
POL
+518 s
+394 s
G6 / G15
19:56
Show details
Prediction details: Patryk Flieger

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -42

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +518 s
Time: 18:32
Pace: 2:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +394 s
Fehler: 124.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 23, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 30.1 s
Gap behind: 362.0 s

Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:32 (2:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:47 (33.2 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 468.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 43 Adam Rosen
USA
+98 s
+235 s
G3 / G12
20:48
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Rosen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -43

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 11:32
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +235 s
Fehler: -137.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.0 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s

Result: Group 12 (3 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:48 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:32 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 48 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 44 Marco Frommholz
GER
+105 s
+245 s
G3 / G16
20:21
Show details
Prediction details: Marco Frommholz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -44

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +105 s
Time: 11:39
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +245 s
Fehler: -140.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s

Result: Group 16 (5 people)
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:39 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 55.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 45 Ivan Rodriguez Luna
MEX
+0 s
+484 s
G0 / G22
17:56
Show details
Prediction details: Ivan Rodriguez Luna

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 57–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +484 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 22 (1 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46 Sergio Daniel Bustamante Pedraza
COL
+0 s
+283 s
G0 / G16
21:10
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Daniel Bustamante Pedraza

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 58–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +283 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 16 (5 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:10 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48 German Torres Cardenas
MEX
+0 s
+262 s
G0 / G23
18:31
Show details
Prediction details: German Torres Cardenas

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 59–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +262 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 23 (1 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49 Tommy Burston
GBR
+0 s
+269 s
G0 / G16
21:25
Show details
Prediction details: Tommy Burston

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 60–60
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +269 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 16 (5 people)
Speed: 34.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:25 (4:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50 Ryan Walton
GBR
+102 s
+240 s
G3 / G17
20:59
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Walton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–15
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -50

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +102 s
Time: 11:36
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +240 s
Fehler: -138.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s

Result: Group 17 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:36 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 98.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +3.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 51 Darragh Skehan
IRL
+230 s
+372 s
G3 / G20
20:25
Show details
Prediction details: Darragh Skehan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–16
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -51

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +230 s
Time: 13:44
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +372 s
Fehler: -142.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (24 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 35.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 20 (4 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:25 (4:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:44 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:35 (39.8 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 180.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 52 Nicholas Podesta
GIB
+0 s
+181 s
G0 / G15
22:25
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Podesta

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 61–61
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 52
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +181 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 15 (2 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 22:25 (4:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 54 Omar Ricardo Santa Cruz Galicia
MEX
+0 s
+248 s
G0 / G19
21:00
Show details
Prediction details: Omar Ricardo Santa Cruz Galicia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 62–62
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +248 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 19 (1 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:00 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 55 Felipe Amaro Canto
MEX
+0 s
+262 s
G0 / G20
20:46
Show details
Prediction details: Felipe Amaro Canto

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 63–63
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 55
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +262 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 20 (4 people)
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 20:46 (4:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 56 Ryan Kemp
CAN
+880 s
+238 s
G6 / G14
23:06
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Kemp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -56

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +880 s
Time: 24:34
Pace: 3:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +238 s
Fehler: 642.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 24, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 362.0 s
Gap behind: 89.0 s

Result: Group 14 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 23:06 (4:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 24:34 (3:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:47 (33.2 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 830.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +49.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 57 Mariano Jimenez de Castro
ESP
+0 s
+417 s
G0 / G21
19:57
Show details
Prediction details: Mariano Jimenez de Castro

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 64–64
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 57
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +417 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 21 (4 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:57 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 58 Matt Clark
USA
+0 s
+260 s
G1 / G24
19:22
Show details
Prediction details: Matt Clark

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -58

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +260 s
Fehler: -260.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 0.0 s

Result: Group 24 (2 people)
Speed: 31.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:55 (40.0 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 59 David Asimus
AUT
+0 s
+412 s
G0 / G21
21:08
Show details
Prediction details: David Asimus

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 65–65
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 59
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +412 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 21 (4 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 21:08 (4:14 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 62 Ben Dewhirst
GBR
+0 s
+233 s
G0 / G20
22:15
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Dewhirst

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 66–66
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 62
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +233 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 20 (4 people)
Speed: 32.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 22:15 (4:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 63 Adam Epstein
CAN
+0 s
+184 s
G0 / G13
25:06
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Epstein

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 67–67
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 63
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +184 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 13 (1 people)
Speed: 34.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 25:06 (5:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 64 Sean Buchan
CAN
+0 s
+222 s
G0 / G20
22:51
Show details
Prediction details: Sean Buchan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 68–68
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 64
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +222 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 20 (4 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 22:51 (4:34 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 66 Martin Merian
SUI
+245 s
+379 s
G4 / G25
22:37
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Merian

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 66
Deviation: -66

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +245 s
Time: 13:59
Pace: 1:52 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +379 s
Fehler: -134.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.0 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s

Result: Group 25 (2 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 22:37 (4:31 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:59 (1:52 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:02 (37.3 km/h)
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:20
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 219.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +25.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 67 Ben Rowland
AUS
+0 s
+331 s
G0 / G26
22:07
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Rowland

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 69–69
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 67
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +331 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 26 (1 people)
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 22:07 (4:25 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 68 Alexandre Bernon
SUI
+0 s
+349 s
G0 / G27
22:32
Show details
Prediction details: Alexandre Bernon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 70–70
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 68
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +349 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 27 (1 people)
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 22:32 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 69 Achraf Oulad Abdeslam
MAR
+0 s
+411 s
G0 / G28
23:23
Show details
Prediction details: Achraf Oulad Abdeslam

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 71–71
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 69
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +411 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 28 (1 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 23:23 (4:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 70 Erik Shantz
CAN
+0 s
+398 s
G0 / G29
25:40
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Shantz

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 72–72
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 70
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +398 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 29 (1 people)
Speed: 30.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 25:40 (5:08 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 72 Pablo Daniel Ortiz Acuña
ECU
+0 s
+701 s
G0 / G31
23:01
Show details
Prediction details: Pablo Daniel Ortiz Acuña

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 73–73
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 72
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +701 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 31 (2 people)
Speed: 29.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 23:01 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 73 Anas El Arras
POR
+0 s
+787 s
G0 / G31
23:23
Show details
Prediction details: Anas El Arras

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 74–74
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 73
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +787 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 31 (2 people)
Speed: 30.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 23:23 (4:41 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 74 Víctor Daniel Rojas Morera
CRC
+0 s
+670 s
G0 / G32
25:24
Show details
Prediction details: Víctor Daniel Rojas Morera

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 75–75
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 74
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +670 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 32 (2 people)
Speed: 28.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 25:24 (5:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 75 Mohammed Alkhazraji
UAE
+0 s
+678 s
G0 / G32
26:25
Show details
Prediction details: Mohammed Alkhazraji

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 76–76
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 75
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +678 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –

Result: Group 32 (2 people)
Speed: 28.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 26:25 (5:17 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run:
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.