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Prediction comparison

40-44 Male AG

23.08.2024 Townsville AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2024 World Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Townsville

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.08.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 4/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 7.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 29.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.3
Mean swim error116.6 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history9
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Benjamin Wright
AUS
+6 s
+27 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Wright

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 13:32
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -21.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:30 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 13:32 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Pip Bennett
GBR
+6 s
+23 s
 Bike DNF 8:37
Show details
Prediction details: Pip Bennett

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 13:32
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: -17.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 8:37 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:33 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:32 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 8:37 (3:27 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Hayden Smith
AUS
+2 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Hayden Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +2 s
Time: 13:28
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 2.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:07 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:28 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Damien Bulters
AUS
+0 s
+20 s
 Bike DNF 11:45
Show details
Prediction details: Damien Bulters

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -20.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 11:45 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.92 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:50 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 11:45 (4:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Jonathan Webb
GBR
+115 s
+88 s
 Bike DNF 8:48
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Webb

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +115 s
Time: 15:21
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: 26.5 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:28 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 15:21 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 8:48 (3:31 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Kane Finch
AUS
+305 s
+92 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Kane Finch

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +305 s
Time: 18:31
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: 213.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 18:31 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Ben Taylor
AUS
+68 s
+120 s
 Bike DNF 8:33
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Taylor

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 14:34
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: -51.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 8:33 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:47 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:34 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 8:33 (3:25 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Luke Schofield
AUS
+0 s
+202 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Schofield

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +202 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:02 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Denis Morton
AUS
+144 s
+155 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Denis Morton

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +144 s
Time: 15:50
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +155 s
Fehler: -11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:29 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 15:50 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Neil McElvanna
IRL
+137 s
+167 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Neil McElvanna

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +137 s
Time: 15:43
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +167 s
Fehler: -30.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 15:43 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Adam Chadburn
AUS
+84 s
+153 s
 Bike DNF 13:00
Show details
Prediction details: Adam Chadburn

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +84 s
Time: 14:50
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +153 s
Fehler: -69.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 13:00 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.92 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:53 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 14:50 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 13:00 (5:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Damian Persen
AUS
+187 s
+248 s
 Bike DNF 12:17
Show details
Prediction details: Damian Persen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +187 s
Time: 16:33
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +248 s
Fehler: -61.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 12:17 (4:55 / km)
Historical basis: 4:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.92 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:01 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 16:33 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 12:17 (4:55 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Bryce Leigh
NZL
+850 s
+237 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Bryce Leigh

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +850 s
Time: 27:36
Pace: 2:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +237 s
Fehler: 613.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:26 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 27:36 (2:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Jay Kennedy
AUS
+0 s
+304 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Jay Kennedy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +304 s
Fehler: -304.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:50 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Andrew McNally
NZL
+0 s
+243 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Andrew McNally

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +243 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:07 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Chris Dixon
AUS
+0 s
+307 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Chris Dixon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +307 s
Fehler: -307.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:24 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Darren Ryan
AUS
+0 s
+237 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Darren Ryan

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +237 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:40 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Matthew Pooley
AUS
+233 s
+344 s
 Bike DNF 12:49
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew Pooley

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +233 s
Time: 17:19
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +344 s
Fehler: -111.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 12:49 (5:08 / km)
Historical basis: 5:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.92 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:34 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 17:19 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 12:49 (5:08 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19 William Hall
AUS
+0 s
+214 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: William Hall

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +214 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:55 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Mark Scott
AUS
+0 s
+435 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Mark Scott

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +435 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:02 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Hendrik Janse van Rensburg
USA
+0 s
+440 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Hendrik Janse van Rensburg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +440 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:08 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22 Sheng Jie Trevor Xie
SGP
+0 s
+517 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Sheng Jie Trevor Xie

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +517 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:57 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23 Leigh Pilgrim
GBR
+511 s
+601 s
 Bike DNF 9:51
Show details
Prediction details: Leigh Pilgrim

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -23

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +511 s
Time: 21:57
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +601 s
Fehler: -89.6 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -1.83 %, Sicherheit 3 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 9:51 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.93 %, Sicherheit 1 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:52 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 21:57 (2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 9:51 (3:56 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Takahiro Mishina
JPN
+545 s
+685 s
 Bike DNF 24:02
Show details
Prediction details: Takahiro Mishina

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +545 s
Time: 22:31
Pace: 2:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +685 s
Fehler: -140.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 24:02 (9:37 / km)
Historical basis: 9:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 9:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 10:20 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 22:31 (2:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 24:02 (9:37 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25 Michael Case
AUS
+675 s
+664 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Case

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +675 s
Time: 24:41
Pace: 2:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +664 s
Fehler: 11.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 12:19 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 24:41 (2:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26 Peter Peckett
AUS
+0 s
+655 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Peckett

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +655 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:02 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Jonathan Dees
USA
+0 s
+875 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Jonathan Dees

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 13:26
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +875 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:12 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 13:26 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.