Prediction comparison

50-54 Male AG

23.08.2024 Townsville AUS

Race information and calculation basis

2024 World Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Townsville

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.08.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 0/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 25.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error19.6

Mean swim error220.5 s

Correct bike groups0/0

No history16

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Details
0 / 1	David Peedom AUS	+26 s +0 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: David Peedom Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 1 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 15:33 Pace: 1:33 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 26.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:24 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 15:33 (1:33 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2	Armel Le Floch FRA	+125 s +55 s	Bike DNF	8:20	Show details Prediction details: Armel Le Floch Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 2 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +125 s Time: 17:12 Pace: 1:43 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +55 s Fehler: 70.0 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 1.51 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 8:20 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:21 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 3 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:13 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 17:12 (1:43 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 8:20 (3:20 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3	Mack Clarkson AUS	+54 s +129 s	Bike DNF	11:03	Show details Prediction details: Mack Clarkson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +54 s Time: 16:01 Pace: 1:36 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +129 s Fehler: -75.0 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 11:03 (4:25 / km) Historical basis: 4:25 / km Best comparable pace: 4:25 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 8:47 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 16:01 (1:36 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 11:03 (4:25 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4	Daniel Judd AUS	+0 s +130 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Daniel Judd Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +130 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 8:58 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5	Paul Taylor AUS	+91 s +230 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Paul Taylor Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 5 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +91 s Time: 16:38 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +230 s Fehler: -139.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:19 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 16:38 (1:40 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6	Michael Furey AUS	+91 s +222 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Michael Furey Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 6 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +91 s Time: 16:38 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +222 s Fehler: -131.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:56 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 16:38 (1:40 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7	Robert Schmidt AUS	+0 s +218 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Robert Schmidt Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 7 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +218 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:56 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8	Andrew Farrell USA	+99 s +164 s	Bike DNF	10:11	Show details Prediction details: Andrew Farrell Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 8 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +99 s Time: 16:46 Pace: 1:41 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +164 s Fehler: -64.6 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 10:11 (4:04 / km) Historical basis: 4:04 / km Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 3 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:40 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 16:46 (1:41 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 10:11 (4:04 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9	Peter Kay AUS	+16 s +188 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Peter Kay Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 9 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +16 s Time: 15:23 Pace: 1:32 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +188 s Fehler: -172.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:33 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:23 (1:32 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10	Tate Jones AUS	+235 s +254 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Tate Jones Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 10 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +235 s Time: 19:02 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +254 s Fehler: -19.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:04 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 19:02 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11	Jason Selman AUS	+0 s +193 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Jason Selman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +193 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:44 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12	Jean-Pierre Mare AUS	+52 s +290 s	Bike DNF	12:22	Show details Prediction details: Jean-Pierre Mare Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +52 s Time: 15:59 Pace: 1:36 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +290 s Fehler: -237.8 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 12:22 (4:57 / km) Historical basis: 4:57 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:09 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 15:59 (1:36 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 12:22 (4:57 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13	Tim Whitburn AUS	+86 s +325 s	Bike DNF	13:53	Show details Prediction details: Tim Whitburn Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 13 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +86 s Time: 16:33 Pace: 1:39 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +325 s Fehler: -238.8 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 13:53 (5:33 / km) Historical basis: 5:33 / km Best comparable pace: 5:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:54 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 16:33 (1:39 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 13:53 (5:33 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14	Brendan Cochran AUS	+203 s +298 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Brendan Cochran Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +203 s Time: 18:30 Pace: 1:51 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +298 s Fehler: -95.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:00 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 18:30 (1:51 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15	Mike Crowe NZL	+0 s +308 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Mike Crowe Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +308 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:00 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16	Martin Hagger GBR	+0 s +305 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Martin Hagger Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +305 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:58 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17	Benjamin Turman USA	+0 s +458 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Benjamin Turman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +458 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 9:15 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18	Craig Childs AUS	+0 s +390 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Craig Childs Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +390 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:04 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19	Shane Kervin AUS	+0 s +370 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Shane Kervin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +370 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:55 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20	Ching-Siang Cheng SGP	+0 s +354 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Ching-Siang Cheng Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +354 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:01 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21	Nathan McKelligott AUS	+0 s +385 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Nathan McKelligott Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +385 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:54 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22	Charles Henwood AUS	+0 s +431 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Charles Henwood Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -22 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +431 s Fehler: -431.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:04 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 23	James Cornehlsen USA	+159 s +402 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: James Cornehlsen Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: -23 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +159 s Time: 17:46 Pace: 1:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +402 s Fehler: -243.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:05 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 17:46 (1:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24	Brendan Anglim GBR	+289 s +521 s	Bike DNF	12:14	Show details Prediction details: Brendan Anglim Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: -24 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +289 s Time: 19:56 Pace: 2:00 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +521 s Fehler: -231.8 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 12:14 (4:54 / km) Historical basis: 4:54 / km Best comparable pace: 4:54 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 9:24 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:56 (2:00 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 12:14 (4:54 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 25	Bart Hollemans NED	+152 s +474 s	Bike DNF	12:47	Show details Prediction details: Bart Hollemans Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -25 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +152 s Time: 17:39 Pace: 1:46 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +474 s Fehler: -321.8 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 12:47 (5:07 / km) Historical basis: 5:07 / km Best comparable pace: 5:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 10:37 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:39 (1:46 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 12:47 (5:07 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 26	Peter Wilkinson NZL	+0 s +433 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Peter Wilkinson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +433 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:06 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27	Glenn Sadler AUS	+0 s +509 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Glenn Sadler Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: -27 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +509 s Fehler: -509.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:00 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28	Daniel Parkman NZL	+0 s +486 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Daniel Parkman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +486 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 10:12 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29	Darren Cronshaw AUS	+188 s +474 s	Bike DNF	14:45	Show details Prediction details: Darren Cronshaw Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: -29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +188 s Time: 18:15 Pace: 1:50 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +474 s Fehler: -285.8 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 14:45 (5:54 / km) Historical basis: 5:54 / km Best comparable pace: 5:54 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 13 % Ergebnis Lauf: 11:25 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:15 (1:50 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 14:45 (5:54 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30	Michael Crawford AUS	+0 s +517 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Michael Crawford Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +517 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:10 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31	Leon Billingham AUS	+0 s +572 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Leon Billingham Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: -31 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +572 s Fehler: -572.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:30 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32	Scott Shaw USA	+618 s +648 s	Bike DNF	12:00	Show details Prediction details: Scott Shaw Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: -32 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +618 s Time: 25:25 Pace: 2:33 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +648 s Fehler: -30.2 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 12:00 (4:48 / km) Historical basis: 4:47 / km Best comparable pace: 4:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 3 % Ergebnis Lauf: 11:07 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 25:25 (2:33 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 12:00 (4:48 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 33	Anton Guinea AUS	+1,108 s +610 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Anton Guinea Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -33 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +1,108 s Time: 33:35 Pace: 3:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +610 s Fehler: 498.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:08 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 33:35 (3:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34	Dale Dolan USA	+143 s +508 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Dale Dolan Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: -34 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +143 s Time: 17:30 Pace: 1:45 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +508 s Fehler: -365.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 13:59 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 17:30 (1:45 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35	Danny Harcombe AUS	+253 s +484 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Danny Harcombe Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: -35 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +253 s Time: 19:20 Pace: 1:56 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +484 s Fehler: -231.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 13:34 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 19:20 (1:56 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36	Paul Miller NZL	+426 s +671 s	Bike DNF	11:16	Show details Prediction details: Paul Miller Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: -36 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +426 s Time: 22:13 Pace: 2:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +671 s Fehler: -244.9 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 11:16 (4:30 / km) Historical basis: 4:30 / km Best comparable pace: 4:30 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 3 % Ergebnis Lauf: 12:05 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 22:13 (2:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 11:16 (4:30 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37	David Gunn AUS	+765 s +705 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: David Gunn Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 37 Deviation: -37 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +765 s Time: 27:52 Pace: 2:47 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +705 s Fehler: 60.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:11 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 27:52 (2:47 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 38	Keith Brown CAN	+0 s +730 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Keith Brown Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +730 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 11:29 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 39	James Tamo USA	+0 s +674 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: James Tamo Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +674 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 12:47 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 40	Mark Veach AUS	+0 s +1239 s	Bike DNF		Show details Prediction details: Mark Veach Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: – Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 15:07 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1239 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 () Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 15:07 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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