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80-84 Male AG

23.08.2024 Townsville AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2024 World Triathlon Aquathlon Championships Townsville

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 23.08.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 25/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.5
Mean swim error164.1 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Peter Smith
AUS
+69 s
+0 s
 Bike DNF 19:10
Show details
Prediction details: Peter Smith

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 30:08
Pace: 3:01 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 69.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:10 (7:40 / km)
Historical basis: 7:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 7:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:27 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 30:08 (3:01 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:10 (7:40 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Larry Nelson
USA
+228 s
+487 s
 Bike DNF 15:34
Show details
Prediction details: Larry Nelson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +228 s
Time: 32:47
Pace: 3:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +487 s
Fehler: -259.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (6:14 / km)
Historical basis: 6:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:36 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 32:47 (3:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 15:34 (6:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.