Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

U23 Men

22.08.2024 Townsville AUS
Race information and calculation basis
2024 World Triathlon Cross Duathlon Championships Townsville

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 22.08.2024 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 25/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 75.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error2.5
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Details
0 / 1 Ryno Owen
RSA
+31 s
G0 / G1
 25:36
Show details
Prediction details: Ryno Owen

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time:
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:36 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:20 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 25:36 (4:16 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Cooper Carswell
AUS
+13 s
G0 / G2
 27:04
Show details
Prediction details: Cooper Carswell

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time:
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.31 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 27:04 (4:31 / km)
Historical basis: 4:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:03 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 27:04 (4:31 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Tadgh Williams
AUS
+295 s
G0 / G3
 27:43
Show details
Prediction details: Tadgh Williams

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +295 s
Time:
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 27:43 (4:37 / km)
Historical basis: 4:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:44 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 27:43 (4:37 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Eric Anel Acosta Tuñon
PAN
+100 s
G0 / G4
 38:28
Show details
Prediction details: Eric Anel Acosta Tuñon

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time:
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 38:28 (6:25 / km)
Historical basis: 6:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:32 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: –
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 38:28 (6:25 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.