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Predicition
Prediction comparison

U23 Women

27.09.2025 El Galala EGY
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Africa Triathlon Aquathlon Championships El Galala

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 25/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error1.5
Mean swim error63.3 s
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result
Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result
Bike group
Prediction / result
Run
Prediction / result
Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Shahd Walid
EGY
+69 s
+0 s
Bike DNF 10:36
Show details
Prediction details: Shahd Walid

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 16:04
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 68.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 10:36 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:00 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:04 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 10:36 (4:14 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Lilly Hatem
EGY
+87 s
+29 s
Bike DNF 12:07
Show details
Prediction details: Lilly Hatem

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +87 s
Time: 16:22
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 58.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 12:07 (4:51 / km)
Historical basis: 4:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1

Ergebnis Lauf: 11:57 ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:22 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
Run: 12:07 (4:51 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.