Prediction comparison

Junior Men

05.04.2025 Nelson Mandela Bay RSA

Race information and calculation basis

2025 Africa Triathlon Championships Nelson Mandela Bay

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 05.04.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 48/100 niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 56.8 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 64.9 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error5.7

Mean swim error54.7 s

Mean bike-speed error1.78 km/h

Correct bike groups2/26

No history11

Within the 80% range32.4 %

						Details
1 / 1	Antony Clayton RSA	+1 s +62 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:38 16:38	49:30	Show details Prediction details: Antony Clayton Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 1 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +1 s Time: 9:08 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +62 s Fehler: -61.0 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 65 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 95 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 11.8 s Result: Group 1 (2 people) Speed: 39.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.44 km/h Running and total Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 65 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km) Error: +0:00 / +0:00 / km Overall prediction: 49:30 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km) Total: 49:30
2 / 9	Mohamed Khenissi TUN	+44 s +137 s	G1 / G3	17:30 18:49	50:22	Show details Prediction details: Mohamed Khenissi Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 2–11 Top-10 probability: 89 % Result: 9 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 9:51 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +137 s Fehler: -92.6 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 18 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 51 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.5 s Gap behind: 2.0 s Result: Group 3 (1 people) Speed: 40.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.27 km/h Running and total Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:49 (3:46 / km) Error: −1:19 / −0:16 / km Overall prediction: 50:22 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km) Total: 50:22
3 / 8	Sofienne Selmi TUN	+25 s +37 s	G1 / G5	17:41 18:01	50:33	Show details Prediction details: Sofienne Selmi Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 3–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 8 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +25 s Time: 9:32 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: -12.0 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 18 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 90 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.3 s Gap behind: 9.3 s Result: Group 5 (3 people) Speed: 37.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h Running and total Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:37 / km Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:01 (3:36 / km) Error: −0:20 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 50:33 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km) Total: 50:33
4 / 3	Nathan Max Centlivres Chase NAM	+47 s +52 s	G1 / G2	17:42 16:57	50:34	Show details Prediction details: Nathan Max Centlivres Chase Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 3–9 Top-10 probability: 98 % Result: 3 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 9:54 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +52 s Fehler: -5.1 s H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 39 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 7.1 s Result: Group 2 (2 people) Speed: 38.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.59 km/h Running and total Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:57 (3:23 / km) Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 50:34 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km) Total: 50:34
5 / 6	Zac Fletcher RSA	+46 s +69 s	G1 / G5	18:02 17:49	50:54	Show details Prediction details: Zac Fletcher Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 4–10 Top-10 probability: 93 % Result: 6 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +46 s Time: 9:53 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +69 s Fehler: -22.6 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 39 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.0 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 5 (3 people) Speed: 39.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.97 km/h Running and total Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:38 / km Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km Trend: −0:01 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km) Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 50:54 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km) Total: 50:54
6 / 7	Nathan Foster RSA	+37 s +27 s	G1 / G4	18:52 17:57	51:44	Show details Prediction details: Nathan Foster Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 4–11 Top-10 probability: 78 % Result: 7 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +37 s Time: 9:44 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +27 s Fehler: 9.9 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 92 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 59 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 7.5 s Result: Group 4 (2 people) Speed: 37.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.79 km/h Running and total Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.01 %, Sicherheit 84 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:57 (3:35 / km) Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 51:44 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km) Total: 51:44
7 / 10	Alessandro Fanicchi RSA	+74 s +122 s	G2 / G5	17:58 18:55	51:49	Show details Prediction details: Alessandro Fanicchi Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 5–11 Top-10 probability: 79 % Result: 10 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +74 s Time: 10:21 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +122 s Fehler: -48.3 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 36.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 19.7 s Gap behind: 5.9 s Result: Group 5 (3 people) Speed: 39.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.78 km/h Running and total Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:39 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km) Error: −0:57 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 51:49 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:38 (36.4 km/h) Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Total: 51:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 22.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 5	Oliver Delport RSA	+22 s +0 s	G1 / G2	18:57 18:09	51:49	Show details Prediction details: Oliver Delport Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 5–11 Top-10 probability: 83 % Result: 5 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 9:29 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 21.7 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 69 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.9 s Gap behind: 3.3 s Result: Group 2 (2 people) Speed: 38.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.25 km/h Running and total Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:51 / km Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km) Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 51:49 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Total: 51:49
9 / 2	Nicholas Horne RSA	+91 s +107 s	G3 / G4	16:25 16:03	51:53	Show details Prediction details: Nicholas Horne Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 2–11 Top-10 probability: 85 % Result: 2 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +91 s Time: 10:38 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +107 s Fehler: -16.4 s H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 35.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.6 s Gap behind: 8.7 s Result: Group 4 (2 people) Speed: 39.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.86 km/h Running and total Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:03 (3:13 / km) Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 51:53 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:45 (35.2 km/h) Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km) Total: 51:53 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 10:17 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m About 21 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +69.6 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 4	Adrien Toulet MRI	+13 s +47 s	G1 / G1 correct	19:37 17:58	52:29	Show details Prediction details: Adrien Toulet Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 6–11 Top-10 probability: 80 % Result: 4 Deviation: 6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 9:20 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +47 s Fehler: -34.2 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 4 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 95 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 11.8 s Gap behind: 8.9 s Result: Group 1 (2 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h Running and total Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km) Historical basis: 3:56 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 3 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Error: +1:39 / +0:20 / km Overall prediction: 52:29 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 19:37 (3:55 / km) Total: 52:29
11 / 20	Avuzwa Makeleni RSA	+80 s +107 s	G3 / G8	18:43 20:11	54:11	Show details Prediction details: Avuzwa Makeleni Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 10–12 Top-10 probability: 18 % Result: 20 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +80 s Time: 10:27 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +107 s Fehler: -27.4 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 97 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.9 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 8 (4 people) Speed: 35.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.25 km/h Running and total Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:43 / km Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 85 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:11 (4:02 / km) Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 54:11 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:45 (35.2 km/h) Run: 18:43 (3:45 / km) Total: 54:11 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 28.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 23	Scott Clemmett RSA	+34 s +5 s	G1 / G6	21:41 21:30	54:33	Show details Prediction details: Scott Clemmett Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 13–15 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +34 s Time: 9:41 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +5 s Fehler: 29.3 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 84 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 51 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.3 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 34.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.84 km/h Running and total Run: 21:41 (4:20 / km) Historical basis: 4:20 / km Best comparable pace: 4:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:30 (4:18 / km) Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 54:33 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: 21:41 (4:20 / km) Total: 54:33
13 / 28	Tiaan Peens RSA	+99 s +137 s	G3 / G13	19:06 21:22	54:34	Show details Prediction details: Tiaan Peens Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 12–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +99 s Time: 10:46 Pace: 1:26 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +137 s Fehler: -37.7 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.7 s Gap behind: 4.0 s Result: Group 13 (3 people) Speed: 34.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.15 km/h Running and total Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 97 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:22 (4:16 / km) Error: −2:16 / −0:27 / km Overall prediction: 54:34 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:46 (1:26 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:45 (35.2 km/h) Run: 19:06 (3:49 / km) Total: 54:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 48.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 18	Johannes Jacob Langford NAM	+83 s +181 s	G3 / G7	20:30 19:33	55:58	Show details Prediction details: Johannes Jacob Langford Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 13–16 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +83 s Time: 10:30 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +181 s Fehler: -98.0 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 65 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 7.6 s Result: Group 7 (2 people) Speed: 36.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.14 km/h Running and total Run: 20:30 (4:06 / km) Historical basis: 4:05 / km Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 65 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km) Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 55:58 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:45 (35.2 km/h) Run: 20:30 (4:06 / km) Total: 55:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 32.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 15	Matt Reece Levert Izaaks NAM	+188 s +323 s	G6 / G13	17:17 16:36	56:24	Show details Prediction details: Matt Reece Levert Izaaks Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 15–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +188 s Time: 12:15 Pace: 1:38 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +323 s Fehler: -134.7 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 65 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.0 s Gap behind: 8.0 s Result: Group 13 (3 people) Speed: 37.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.94 km/h Running and total Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km) Historical basis: 3:27 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 65 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 56:24 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 12:15 (1:38 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:48 (33.2 km/h) Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km) Total: 56:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 137.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 26	Regan Wille RSA	+80 s +159 s	G3 / G12	21:06 20:08	56:34	Show details Prediction details: Regan Wille Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 15–18 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +80 s Time: 10:27 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +159 s Fehler: -78.7 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 84 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 12 (1 people) Speed: 34.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.39 km/h Running and total Run: 21:06 (4:13 / km) Historical basis: 4:13 / km Best comparable pace: 4:13 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km) Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 56:34 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:45 (35.2 km/h) Run: 21:06 (4:13 / km) Total: 56:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 29.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 22	Julian Van der Schyff RSA	+122 s +47 s	G4 / G11	18:54 19:42	56:38	Show details Prediction details: Julian Van der Schyff Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 17–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +122 s Time: 11:09 Pace: 1:29 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +47 s Fehler: 74.9 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 95 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 18.6 s Gap behind: 14.0 s Result: Group 11 (1 people) Speed: 34.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h Running and total Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 97 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Error: −0:48 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 56:38 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:42 (33.3 km/h) Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km) Total: 56:38 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 71.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 24	Sebastian Swart RSA	+103 s +217 s	G3 / G9	21:19 20:44	56:47	Show details Prediction details: Sebastian Swart Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 18–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +103 s Time: 10:50 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +217 s Fehler: -113.7 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (6 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.0 s Gap behind: 18.6 s Result: Group 9 (3 people) Speed: 36.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.37 km/h Running and total Run: 21:19 (4:16 / km) Historical basis: 4:21 / km Best comparable pace: 4:21 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 93 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:44 (4:09 / km) Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 56:47 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:50 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:45 (35.2 km/h) Run: 21:19 (4:16 / km) Total: 56:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 52.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 16	Stanely Chasakara ZIM	+136 s +214 s	G5 / G9	18:38 18:10	57:08	Show details Prediction details: Stanely Chasakara Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 17–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +136 s Time: 11:23 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +214 s Fehler: -78.1 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 61 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 14.0 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 9 (3 people) Speed: 36.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.16 km/h Running and total Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 68 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km) Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 57:08 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 11:23 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h) Run: 18:38 (3:44 / km) Total: 57:08 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 85.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 11	Philip Theron RSA	+181 s +214 s	G5 / G8	19:01 17:06	57:31	Show details Prediction details: Philip Theron Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 20–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: 9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +181 s Time: 12:08 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +214 s Fehler: -32.7 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 99 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.6 s Gap behind: 7.0 s Result: Group 8 (4 people) Speed: 36.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.25 km/h Running and total Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km) Historical basis: 3:48 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 96 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:06 (3:25 / km) Error: +1:55 / +0:23 / km Overall prediction: 57:31 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 12:08 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h) Run: 19:01 (3:48 / km) Total: 57:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 130.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 17	Travis Hewitt RSA	+180 s +181 s	G5 / G9	19:29 18:13	57:59	Show details Prediction details: Travis Hewitt Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 22–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +180 s Time: 12:07 Pace: 1:37 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +181 s Fehler: -1.3 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 43.1 s Gap behind: 1.6 s Result: Group 9 (3 people) Speed: 35.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.29 km/h Running and total Run: 19:29 (3:54 / km) Historical basis: 3:58 / km Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km Trend: −0:05 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:13 (3:39 / km) Error: +1:16 / +0:15 / km Overall prediction: 57:59 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 12:07 (1:37 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h) Run: 19:29 (3:54 / km) Total: 57:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 128.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 25	Luke Spencer RSA	+137 s +187 s	G5 / G13	19:39 19:40	58:09	Show details Prediction details: Luke Spencer Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 19–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +137 s Time: 11:24 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +187 s Fehler: -50.4 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.78 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 43.1 s Result: Group 13 (3 people) Speed: 34.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.79 km/h Running and total Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km) Historical basis: 4:00 / km Best comparable pace: 4:00 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.63 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km) Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km Overall prediction: 58:09 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 11:24 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:29 (33.5 km/h) Run: 19:39 (3:56 / km) Total: 58:09 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 85.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 14	Callum Smith ZIM	+199 s +113 s	G6 / G8	19:42 18:04	58:49	Show details Prediction details: Callum Smith Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 23–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: 9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +199 s Time: 12:26 Pace: 1:39 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +113 s Fehler: 86.2 s H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.29 %, Sicherheit 31 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 204.1 s Result: Group 8 (4 people) Speed: 34.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.55 km/h Running and total Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Historical basis: 3:58 / km Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 44 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km) Error: +1:38 / +0:20 / km Overall prediction: 58:49 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 12:26 (1:39 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:48 (33.2 km/h) Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Total: 58:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 148.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 29	Ian Volschenk RSA	+196 s +294 s	G6 / G16	20:53 21:03	1:00:00	Show details Prediction details: Ian Volschenk Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 25–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +196 s Time: 12:23 Pace: 1:39 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +294 s Fehler: -97.7 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 84 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 33.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.0 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 16 (1 people) Speed: 32.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.21 km/h Running and total Run: 20:53 (4:11 / km) Historical basis: 4:11 / km Best comparable pace: 4:11 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 84 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:03 (4:13 / km) Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km Overall prediction: 1:00:00 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 12:23 (1:39 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 35:48 (33.2 km/h) Run: 20:53 (4:11 / km) Total: 1:00:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 145.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 33	Kiugu Kingori KEN	+403 s +340 s	G7 / G17	24:15 23:12	1:07:34	Show details Prediction details: Kiugu Kingori Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 26–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +403 s Time: 15:50 Pace: 2:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +340 s Fehler: 63.3 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 32.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 204.1 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 17 (2 people) Speed: 32.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.21 km/h Running and total Run: 24:15 (4:51 / km) Historical basis: 4:51 / km Best comparable pace: 4:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Ergebnis Lauf: 23:12 (4:38 / km) Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 1:07:34 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 15:50 (2:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 36:36 (32.5 km/h) Run: 24:15 (4:51 / km) Total: 1:07:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m About 352.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +50.8 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 12	Malik Fodil ALG	+0 s +137 s	G0 / G7	17:46		Show details Prediction details: Malik Fodil Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 27–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +137 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 7 (2 people) Speed: 35.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:46 (3:33 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13	Ryan Viviers RSA	+54 s +148 s	G1 / G8	17:45		Show details Prediction details: Ryan Viviers Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 13 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +54 s Time: 10:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +148 s Fehler: -94.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (10 people) Gruppe 1: 34 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.1 s Gap behind: 19.7 s Result: Group 8 (4 people) Speed: 36.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.06 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:45 (3:33 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (37.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 19	Aurelien Ciceron MRI	+0 s +162 s	G0 / G10	19:15		Show details Prediction details: Aurelien Ciceron Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 28–28 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +162 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 10 (1 people) Speed: 35.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 19:15 (3:51 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21	Jandre Basson RSA	+0 s +181 s	G0 / G14	18:17		Show details Prediction details: Jandre Basson Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 29–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +181 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 14 (1 people) Speed: 34.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 18:17 (3:39 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27	Joshua Louw RSA	+0 s +251 s	G0 / G15	20:19		Show details Prediction details: Joshua Louw Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 30–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +251 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 15 (1 people) Speed: 35.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30	Jim Leon Sohnle GER	+0 s +281 s	G0 / G17	20:56		Show details Prediction details: Jim Leon Sohnle Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 31–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +281 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 17 (2 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:56 (4:11 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 31	Henri Du Plessis RSA	+0 s +358 s	G0 / G19	21:14		Show details Prediction details: Henri Du Plessis Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 32–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +358 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 19 (1 people) Speed: 31.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 21:14 (4:15 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32	Julian Demetriou RSA	+0 s +359 s	G0 / G20	20:49		Show details Prediction details: Julian Demetriou Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 33–33 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +359 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 20 (1 people) Speed: 30.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:49 (4:10 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 34	Simon Debener GER	+0 s +289 s	G0 / G18	23:01		Show details Prediction details: Simon Debener Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 34–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +289 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 18 (1 people) Speed: 31.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:01 (4:36 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35	Raynard Turpin RSA	+0 s +294 s	G0 / G21	23:43		Show details Prediction details: Raynard Turpin Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 35–35 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +294 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 21 (1 people) Speed: 29.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:43 (4:45 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36	Leonard Du Plessis RSA	+0 s +364 s	G0 / G22	23:56		Show details Prediction details: Leonard Du Plessis Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 36–36 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +364 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 22 (1 people) Speed: 30.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:56 (4:47 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37	Keane Eastrace RSA	+0 s +375 s	G0 / G23	21:29		Show details Prediction details: Keane Eastrace Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 37–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 37 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:07 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +375 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 23 (1 people) Speed: 25.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 21:29 (4:18 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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