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Junior Women

07.12.2025 Barra de Maldonado URU
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Americas Triathlon Cup and Iberoamerican Championships Maldonado

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 07.12.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 56/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 71.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 100.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.0
Correct bike groups0/0
No history0
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
0 / 1 Gabriela Machado Penteado
BRA
+18 s
 Bike DNF 19:59
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriela Machado Penteado

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 1
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 11:52
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:52 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 19:59 (4:00 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 2 Valentina Sofia Negron
PUR
+53 s
 Bike DNF 20:50
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Sofia Negron

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 12:27
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:27 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Valentina Villa Ramirez
COL
+72 s
 Bike DNF 23:30
Show details
Prediction details: Valentina Villa Ramirez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 12:46
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 23:30 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.12 %, Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:46 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 23:30 (4:42 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 4 Valeria Arce Núñez
CRC
+75 s
 Bike DNF 20:08
Show details
Prediction details: Valeria Arce Núñez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 12:49
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.64 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:49 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Luna Roman lafalla
ARG
+65 s
 Bike DNF 20:10
Show details
Prediction details: Luna Roman lafalla

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +65 s
Time: 12:39
Pace: 1:41 / 100 m
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 20:10 (4:02 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:39 (1:41 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 20:10 (4:02 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Guadalupe Valverde
ARG
+141 s
 Bike DNF
Show details
Prediction details: Guadalupe Valverde

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +141 s
Time: 13:55
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 13:55 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Jimena Martinez
URU
+98 s
 Bike DNF 26:00
Show details
Prediction details: Jimena Martinez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: –
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 13:12
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -2.20 %, Sicherheit 2 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 26:00 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 13:12 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 26:00 (5:12 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.