Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Men

05.04.2025 Piedra Roja, Colina CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Americas Triathlon Cup and South Americas Triathlon Championships Santiago

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 05.04.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 65/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 90.9 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 97.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error8.2
Mean swim error11.8 s
Mean bike-speed error1.82 km/h
Correct bike groups9/43
No history1
Within the 80% range56.8 %
Details
1 / 2 Diego Moya
CHI
+6 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:43
14:57
 44:51
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Moya

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–12
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:01
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 79 %
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:57 (2:59 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 44:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:01 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (43.9 km/h)
Run: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:51
2 / 13 Cristóbal Baeza Muñoz
CHI
+8 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:49
16:21
 44:57
Show details
Prediction details: Cristóbal Baeza Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 74 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -18.0 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 1.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:40 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (43.9 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:57
3 / 16 Ramón Armando Matute
ECU
+4 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:53
16:32
 45:01
Show details
Prediction details: Ramón Armando Matute

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: -11.1 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:32 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (43.9 km/h)
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:01
4 / 1 Manoel Messias
BRA
+33 s
+22 s
G3 / G1
 14:38
14:50
 45:10
Show details
Prediction details: Manoel Messias

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 1–14
Top-10 probability: 83 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 96 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 77 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:50 (2:58 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Total: 45:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 18.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 39 Julio Monteiro Martins
BRA
+11 s
+41 s
G1 / G4
 16:24
17:33
 45:32
Show details
Prediction details: Julio Monteiro Martins

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 8–21
Top-10 probability: 33 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -30.3 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:32
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (43.9 km/h)
Run: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Total: 45:32
6 / 3 Andree Buc
CHI
+21 s
+18 s
G2 / G1
 15:21
15:15
 45:35
Show details
Prediction details: Andree Buc

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 2–16
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 2.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 45:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 15 Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos
VEN
+23 s
+12 s
G2 / G1
 15:31
16:36
 45:45
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 2–15
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 10.5 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 58 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 45:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 7.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 4 Osvaldo Darell Zuñiga Fierro
MEX
+36 s
+35 s
G3 / G1
 15:20
15:32
 45:52
Show details
Prediction details: Osvaldo Darell Zuñiga Fierro

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 2–21
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 0.5 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: −0:12 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 45:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Total: 45:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 27 Mateo Mendoza Burgos
CHI
+35 s
+41 s
G3 / G3
correct 		15:21
16:43
 45:53
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Mendoza Burgos

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 2–23
Top-10 probability: 60 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -6.3 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 142 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: −1:22 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 45:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 6 Hugo Mario Ruiz Dimate
COL
+38 s
+32 s
G3 / G1
 15:23
15:42
 45:55
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Mario Ruiz Dimate

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–24
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 45:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 10 Fernando Jacome
CHI
+35 s
+24 s
G3 / G1
 15:31
16:08
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Fernando Jacome

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 4–25
Top-10 probability: 45 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 11.4 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 138 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:37 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 11 Yhousman David Perdomo Peña
VEN
+17 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 15:49
16:03
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Yhousman David Perdomo Peña

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 5–15
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 0.8 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 124 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 2.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 30 Joao Victor Pereira
BRA
+32 s
+26 s
G3 / G1
 15:33
17:34
 46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Joao Victor Pereira

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 5.5 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.3 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 1.52 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Error: −2:01 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Total: 46:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 19 Ben Fäh
SUI
+5 s
+17 s
G1 / G2
 16:57
16:44
 46:05
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Fäh

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 1–33
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:00
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: -11.8 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (43.9 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:05
15 / 18 Alvaro Campos Solano
CRC
+22 s
+17 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:54
16:41
 46:08
Show details
Prediction details: Alvaro Campos Solano

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 6–19
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 167 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:41 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:47 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:17 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 7.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 37 Luigi Antonio Loddi Vanzella
BRA
+19 s
+13 s
G2 / G1
 16:00
21:08
 46:14
Show details
Prediction details: Luigi Antonio Loddi Vanzella

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 9–20
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 1.10 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:08 (4:14 / km)
Error: −5:08 / −1:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:14
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 4.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 20 Benjamín Adriazola
CHI
+38 s
+42 s
G3 / G1
 15:50
16:58
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamín Adriazola

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 7–31
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -4.2 s
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 128 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Total: 46:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 5 Juan Jose Andrade Figueroa
ECU
+21 s
+34 s
G2 / G1
 16:16
15:36
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Jose Andrade Figueroa

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 9–22
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -13.5 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 135 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur -0.69 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 5.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 7 Matias Sebastian Bravo Delgado
ECU
+32 s
+41 s
G3 / G1
 15:59
15:53
 46:31
Show details
Prediction details: Matias Sebastian Bravo Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 8–26
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 1.27 %, Sicherheit 53 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 17.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 14 Vinicius Avi Santana
BRA
+36 s
+44 s
G3 / G1
 15:59
16:16
 46:31
Show details
Prediction details: Vinicius Avi Santana

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -7.8 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 1.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:17 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 46:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 21.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 21 Thomas Castañeda Maldonado
ARG
+35 s
+19 s
G3 / G1
 16:01
16:50
 46:33
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Castañeda Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 12–30
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 15.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:50 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:49 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 12 Gaspar Riveros
CHI
+38 s
+18 s
G3 / G1
 16:03
16:21
 46:35
Show details
Prediction details: Gaspar Riveros

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 12–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 20.2 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -1.26 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:21 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:18 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 46:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 23.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 41 Matheus Diniz
BRA
+25 s
+41 s
G2 / G4
 16:46
19:24
 47:00
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Diniz

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–28
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -16.1 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 82 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Error: −2:38 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 47:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 25 Yago Alves
BRA
+27 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:55
16:55
 47:09
Show details
Prediction details: Yago Alves

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 19–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -7.8 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 4.3 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 47:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 12.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 24 Arturo Salinas
PER
+40 s
+23 s
G3 / G1
 16:43
17:11
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Salinas

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 16–35
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 16.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 25.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 38 Juan Giraldo Gomez
COL
+43 s
+47 s
G3 / G5
 16:43
16:47
 47:15
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Giraldo Gomez

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 9–38
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -3.8 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 6.0 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.53 %, Sicherheit 34 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 32 Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki
BRA
+23 s
+37 s
G2 / G1
 17:06
18:02
 47:20
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 15–32
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 140 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 127 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 47:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 29 Lucas Galdino
BRA
+16 s
+39 s
G2 / G1
 17:16
17:20
 47:30
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Galdino

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 20–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -22.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 73 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:30
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 47:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 1.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 23 João Teixeira Alvares
BRA
+35 s
+33 s
G3 / G1
 17:01
17:04
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: João Teixeira Alvares

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 20–35
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 2.0 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Total: 47:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 36 Caua Diniz
BRA
+39 s
+46 s
G3 / G1
 17:04
19:51
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Caua Diniz

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 22–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -7.1 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 80 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Error: −2:47 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 24.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 31 Victor Hugo Lopes Pereira Da Silva
BRA
+7 s
+24 s
G1 / G2
 18:31
17:35
 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Victor Hugo Lopes Pereira Da Silva

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 26–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -17.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 73 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 69 %
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -1.03 %, Sicherheit 67 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:35 (3:31 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:57 (43.9 km/h)
Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Total: 47:39
32 / 22 Gerónimo Dherete
ARG
+35 s
+35 s
G3 / G1
 17:09
16:52
 47:41
Show details
Prediction details: Gerónimo Dherete

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 22–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -0.1 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:17 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 20.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 26 Thiago Gomide Moreira
BRA
+37 s
+28 s
G3 / G2
 17:41
17:04
 48:13
Show details
Prediction details: Thiago Gomide Moreira

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 28–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 65 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:37 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 48:13
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km)
Total: 48:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 22.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 40 Bautista Arbizu
ARG
+50 s
+45 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:47
17:55
 48:37
Show details
Prediction details: Bautista Arbizu

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 24–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (4 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 51 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:00 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 16:47 (3:21 / km)
Total: 48:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 35.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 42 Hernando Serna Cordoba
COL
+50 s
+42 s
G4 / G6
 17:05
17:36
 48:55
Show details
Prediction details: Hernando Serna Cordoba

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 15–39
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 7.9 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 5.1 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 48:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:00 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 48:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 35.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 9 Almog Elazzary
ISR
+49 s
+26 s
G4 / G1
 17:07
15:59
 48:57
Show details
Prediction details: Almog Elazzary

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 28–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 23.2 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Gap ahead: 6.0 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.78 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Error: +1:08 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 48:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:00 (41.0 km/h)
Run: 17:07 (3:25 / km)
Total: 48:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 34.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 33 Fabrizio Valentin Pavoni
ARG
+43 s
+36 s
G3 / G2
 18:33
18:21
 49:05
Show details
Prediction details: Fabrizio Valentin Pavoni

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 28–40
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 33
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 7.0 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (18 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:45 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Error: +0:12 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 49:05
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:48 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 18:33 (3:43 / km)
Total: 49:05
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 28.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 34 Pedro Felipe Souza Fernandes Silva
BRA
+25 s
+19 s
G2 / G2
correct 		19:14
18:43
 49:28
Show details
Prediction details: Pedro Felipe Souza Fernandes Silva

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 36–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.97 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 49:28
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (42.7 km/h)
Run: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Total: 49:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 10.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 17 Brener Valencia Nuñez
PER
+55 s
+45 s
G5 / G2
 16:59
16:33
 50:04
Show details
Prediction details: Brener Valencia Nuñez

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 28–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:50
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 10.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.1 s
Gap behind: 12.1 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 50:04
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 50:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 40.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 43 Sebastián Ignacio Colillanca Uribe
CHI
+67 s
+77 s
G5 / G6
 17:24
18:35
 50:29
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastián Ignacio Colillanca Uribe

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 35–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:02
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -9.9 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.1 s
Gap behind: 5.9 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 50:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:58 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 50:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 52.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 28 Martin Reynoso
ARG
+73 s
+30 s
G6 / G1
 18:48
17:20
 53:31
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Reynoso

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 40–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 43.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.38 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 53:31
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:58 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 18:48 (3:46 / km)
Total: 53:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 58.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 35 Samuel Zuluaga Cardona
COL
+105 s
+48 s
G6 / G3
 19:35
18:55
 54:18
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Zuluaga Cardona

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 42–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +105 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 56.9 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 31.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.16 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 54:18
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:58 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: 54:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 90.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 44 Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura
CHI
+74 s
+64 s
G6 / G6
correct 		20:01
20:40
 54:44
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 41–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +74 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 31.0 s
Result: Group 6 (3 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:40 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 54:44
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:09 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:58 (38.8 km/h)
Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Total: 54:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
About 59.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +14.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8 Grahm Gaydos
USA
+0 s
+41 s
G0 / G2
15:51
Show details
Prediction details: Grahm Gaydos

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:55
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:55 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.