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Elite Men

26.10.2025 Playa Cavancha CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Americas Triathlon Cup Iquique

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 26.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 68/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 96.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 96.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error10.3
Mean swim error16.9 s
Mean bike-speed error4.04 km/h
Correct bike groups26/51
No history0
Within the 80% range62.7 %
Details
1 / 3 Dylan Didier Campa Carranza
MEX
+16 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:39
14:08
 44:04
Show details
Prediction details: Dylan Didier Campa Carranza

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–21
Top-10 probability: 70 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 8:43
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 4.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 117 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:08 (2:50 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 44:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:43 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:04
2 / 10 Kauê Willy
BRA
+21 s
+20 s
G1 / G2
 15:44
14:01
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Kauê Willy

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–10
Top-10 probability: 93 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 0.7 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 121 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 45.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:01 (2:48 / km)
Error: +1:43 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Total: 44:09
3 / 11 Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez
MEX
+55 s
+66 s
G3 / G2
 15:20
13:56
 44:17
Show details
Prediction details: Rodrigo Gonzalez Lopez

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–21
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: -11.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.4 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 101 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:56 (2:47 / km)
Error: +1:24 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 44:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:00 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 25.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 25 Luigi Antonio Loddi Vanzella
BRA
+24 s
+39 s
G1 / G2
 15:53
14:48
 44:18
Show details
Prediction details: Luigi Antonio Loddi Vanzella

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -14.6 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 2.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:18
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:18
5 / 39 Matthew McGoey
USA
+39 s
+46 s
G2 / G4
 15:38
14:42
 44:21
Show details
Prediction details: Matthew McGoey

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 2–19
Top-10 probability: 63 %
Result: 39
Deviation: -34

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -7.3 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 100 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 92 Duelle, Korrektur 0.61 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:42 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 44:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 9.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 2 Hamish Reilly
GBR
+15 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:56
13:46
 44:21
Show details
Prediction details: Hamish Reilly

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–12
Top-10 probability: 73 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 8:42
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:46 (2:45 / km)
Error: +2:10 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 44:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:42 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:21
7 / 4 Zach Leachman
USA
+52 s
+63 s
G3 / G2
 15:25
13:21
 44:22
Show details
Prediction details: Zach Leachman

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 4–20
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -11.3 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:21 (2:40 / km)
Error: +2:04 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 44:22
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:00 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:25 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 22.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 18 Fernando Jacome
CHI
+38 s
+18 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:42
14:35
 44:25
Show details
Prediction details: Fernando Jacome

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 2–19
Top-10 probability: 50 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 19.5 s
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 182 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 45.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 177 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:35 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:07 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:42 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 8.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 7 Erik Yamir Ramos Croda
MEX
+54 s
+62 s
G3 / G2
 15:30
13:50
 44:27
Show details
Prediction details: Erik Yamir Ramos Croda

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 3–26
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -8.2 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:49 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 133 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:50 (2:46 / km)
Error: +1:40 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:27
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:00 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 24.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 20 Alfredo Miguel Rodríguez Figueroa
MEX
+41 s
+52 s
G2 / G2
correct 		15:49
14:31
 44:32
Show details
Prediction details: Alfredo Miguel Rodríguez Figueroa

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 6–22
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -10.7 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 80 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:31 (2:54 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 12.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 15 Mateo Mendoza Burgos
CHI
+37 s
+33 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:02
14:12
 44:45
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Mendoza Burgos

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 3–33
Top-10 probability: 40 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 3.5 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 176 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 171 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:12 (2:50 / km)
Error: +1:50 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 44:45
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:02 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 7.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 16 Sebastian Zurob
CHI
+46 s
+48 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:03
14:21
 44:46
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastian Zurob

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 7–27
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -2.4 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:21 (2:52 / km)
Error: +1:42 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 16.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 33 Yael Vladimir González Melendez
MEX
+31 s
+70 s
G2 / G3
 16:06
14:37
 44:49
Show details
Prediction details: Yael Vladimir González Melendez

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 3–27
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -39.1 s
H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 120 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 5.6 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 45.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.79 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:29 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 44:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 44:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 12 Clayton Hutchins
CAN
+30 s
+42 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:09
13:59
 44:52
Show details
Prediction details: Clayton Hutchins

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 4–21
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -12.2 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -1.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:59 (2:48 / km)
Error: +2:10 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 44:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 26 Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos
VEN
+21 s
+52 s
G1 / G2
 16:29
14:51
 44:54
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Velasquez Ramos

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–23
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 8:48
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -30.7 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:51 (2:58 / km)
Error: +1:38 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 44:54
16 / 43 Benjamín Adriazola
CHI
+46 s
+40 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:12
16:42
 44:55
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamín Adriazola

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 7–39
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 131 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 3.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 113 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:30 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 44:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 17.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 14 Tiago Muñoz
ARG
+54 s
+53 s
G3 / G2
 15:59
14:15
 44:56
Show details
Prediction details: Tiago Muñoz

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 11–39
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +54 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: 1.4 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.06 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 12
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:15 (2:51 / km)
Error: +1:44 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 44:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:00 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 44:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 25.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 19 Armin Angerjärv
EST
+41 s
+57 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:15
14:36
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Armin Angerjärv

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 7–33
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -16.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:39 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 44:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 11.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 8 Yhousman David Perdomo Peña
VEN
+23 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:38
14:41
 45:03
Show details
Prediction details: Yhousman David Perdomo Peña

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 12–31
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 14.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 149 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 47.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 137 Duelle, Korrektur -1.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Error: +1:57 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 45:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:03
20 / 35 Julio Monteiro Martins
BRA
+30 s
+46 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:26
15:44
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Julio Monteiro Martins

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 1–44
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -16.2 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:44 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 45:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 0.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 29 Emilio Antonio Ibarra Veyna
MEX
+39 s
+51 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:26
15:09
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Emilio Antonio Ibarra Veyna

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 4–39
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -12.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 45:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 31 Thomas Castañeda Maldonado
ARG
+41 s
+63 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:31
15:13
 45:14
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Castañeda Maldonado

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 14–41
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -21.8 s
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 168 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 169 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 12.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 1 Blake Bullard
USA
+71 s
+0 s
G4 / G1
 15:03
13:41
 45:15
Show details
Prediction details: Blake Bullard

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 8–39
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 71.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 46.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:03 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:41 (2:44 / km)
Error: +1:22 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:15
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:01 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 15:03 (3:01 / km)
Total: 45:15
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 42 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 22 Marcos Alejandro Fernández González
CUB
+26 s
+64 s
G1 / G2
 16:51
14:45
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Marcos Alejandro Fernández González

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 1–42
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -38.3 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 57 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +2:06 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 16:51 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:16
25 / 28 Shavit Haiat
ISR
+49 s
+70 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:34
15:06
 45:17
Show details
Prediction details: Shavit Haiat

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 20–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +70 s
Fehler: -20.6 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:06 (3:01 / km)
Error: +1:28 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 9 Daniel Ubilla Sabada
CHI
+40 s
+41 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:35
13:52
 45:18
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Ubilla Sabada

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 12–39
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: -1.1 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 89 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 13:52 (2:46 / km)
Error: +2:43 / +0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 45:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:18
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 10.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 23 Fabrizio Valentin Pavoni
ARG
+57 s
+64 s
G3 / G2
 16:28
14:45
 45:25
Show details
Prediction details: Fabrizio Valentin Pavoni

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 4–45
Top-10 probability: 21 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.73 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.4 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +1:43 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 45:25
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:00 (42.8 km/h)
Run: 16:28 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 28 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 40 Thiago Gomide Moreira
BRA
+41 s
+62 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:46
16:12
 45:29
Show details
Prediction details: Thiago Gomide Moreira

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 13–41
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -21.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 45:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:46 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 11.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 45 Cristian Torrealba
VEN
+23 s
+58 s
G1 / G2
 17:05
17:31
 45:30
Show details
Prediction details: Cristian Torrealba

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 22–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: -35.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 90 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 86 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:30
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:30
30 / 6 Thomas Hattee
GBR
+23 s
+18 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:12
14:39
 45:37
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Hattee

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 24–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 5.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 47.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Error: +2:33 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 45:37
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 45:37
31 / 36 Lucas Galdino
BRA
+26 s
+71 s
G1 / G2
 17:14
15:35
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Galdino

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 26–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: -44.9 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Error: +1:39 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 8:53 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:14 (3:27 / km)
Total: 45:39
32 / 21 João Teixeira Alvares
BRA
+43 s
+48 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:57
14:37
 45:40
Show details
Prediction details: João Teixeira Alvares

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 18–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 116 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 98 Duelle, Korrektur -0.71 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (2:55 / km)
Error: +2:20 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 45:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 45:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 14.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 17 Brett Saunders
CAN
+18 s
+15 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:15
15:17
 45:40
Show details
Prediction details: Brett Saunders

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 18–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 8:45
Pace: 1:10 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 3.4 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:58 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 45:40
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:45 (1:10 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 45:40
34 / 37 Pedro Felipe Souza Fernandes Silva
BRA
+38 s
+63 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:59
15:49
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Pedro Felipe Souza Fernandes Silva

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 25–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: -25.5 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur 1.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Error: +1:10 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 45:42
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 8.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 42 Victor Hugo Lopes Pereira Da Silva
BRA
+24 s
+48 s
G1 / G2
 17:20
16:25
 45:45
Show details
Prediction details: Victor Hugo Lopes Pereira Da Silva

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 10–44
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 8:51
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: -23.9 s
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:45
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:51 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:45
36 / 38 Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki
BRA
+31 s
+67 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:05
15:56
 45:48
Show details
Prediction details: Matheus Oliveira Martinhaki

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 5–45
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: -36.1 s
H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 168 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 155 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +1:09 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 1.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 44 Arturo Salinas
PER
+49 s
+56 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:05
16:52
 45:48
Show details
Prediction details: Arturo Salinas

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 28–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:16
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur -0.76 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.0 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:13 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 45:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 20.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 48 Cristopher Alexander Cardenas Jimenez
VEN
+40 s
+44 s
G2 / G5
 17:18
17:24
 46:01
Show details
Prediction details: Cristopher Alexander Cardenas Jimenez

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 26–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: -4.0 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.30 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:01
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 11 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 30 José Luis Zazueta Lizárraga
MEX
+46 s
+49 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:18
15:01
 46:01
Show details
Prediction details: José Luis Zazueta Lizárraga

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 29–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -3.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 78 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:01 (3:00 / km)
Error: +2:17 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 46:01
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 32 Joao Victor Pereira
BRA
+37 s
+69 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:31
15:23
 46:14
Show details
Prediction details: Joao Victor Pereira

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 32–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: -32.5 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +2:08 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 46:14
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 17:31 (3:30 / km)
Total: 46:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 7.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 41 Raziel Geovanni Muñoz Tun
MEX
+62 s
+52 s
G4 / G3
 16:12
15:28
 46:24
Show details
Prediction details: Raziel Geovanni Muñoz Tun

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 18–43
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 9.5 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 45.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:24
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:01 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Total: 46:24
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
About 32.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 27 Brener Valencia Nuñez
PER
+63 s
+63 s
G4 / G2
 16:16
15:00
 46:28
Show details
Prediction details: Brener Valencia Nuñez

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 23–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +63 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Error: +1:16 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 46:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:01 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:28
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 34.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 24 Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez
MEX
+72 s
+60 s
G4 / G2
 16:22
14:49
 46:34
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Miguel Chávez Sanchez

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 24–47
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +60 s
Fehler: 11.6 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.86 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:49 (2:58 / km)
Error: +1:33 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 46:34
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:01 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:22 (3:16 / km)
Total: 46:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 42.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 34 Martin Garcia
ECU
+71 s
+66 s
G4 / G2
 16:34
15:32
 46:46
Show details
Prediction details: Martin Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 16–47
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 4.8 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:52 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 96 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 46:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:01 (41.3 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 41.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 5 Carter Stuhlmacher
USA
+9 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:24
14:37
 46:49
Show details
Prediction details: Carter Stuhlmacher

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 28–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 40

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 8:36
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 7.5 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 46.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur -1.07 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (2:55 / km)
Error: +3:47 / +0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 46:49
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:36 (1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:59 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: 46:49
46 / 13 Gabriel Lecheta
BRA
+80 s
+68 s
G5 / G2
 14:55
14:08
 47:29
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Lecheta

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 7–47
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +68 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 115 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (36 people)
Speed: 47.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -9.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 2:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 1.52 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:08 (2:50 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:15 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 14:55 (2:59 / km)
Total: 47:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 50.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 51 João Vitor Mazorca
BRA
+31 s
+73 s
G2 / G5
 19:02
20:05
 47:45
Show details
Prediction details: João Vitor Mazorca

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 39–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +73 s
Fehler: -42.3 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 43.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 59 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Error: −1:03 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:45
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:58 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:53 (43.1 km/h)
Run: 19:02 (3:48 / km)
Total: 47:45
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 1.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 50 Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura
CHI
+80 s
+143 s
G5 / G6
 20:03
18:04
 52:37
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Ignacio Parada Segura

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 48–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 9:47
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +143 s
Fehler: -63.1 s
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 81 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 18.0 s
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:04 (3:37 / km)
Error: +1:59 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 52:37
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:47 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:15 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 52:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 50.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 46 Gian Franco Mario Farnetano
VEN
+78 s
+92 s
G5 / G5
correct 		20:06
15:43
 52:40
Show details
Prediction details: Gian Franco Mario Farnetano

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 47–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -13.9 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 45 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 40.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.88 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +4:23 / +0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 52:40
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:15 (38.4 km/h)
Run: 20:06 (4:01 / km)
Total: 52:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 49.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 47 Rey Vélez
PUR
+98 s
+130 s
G6 / G5
 19:23
17:08
 53:22
Show details
Prediction details: Rey Vélez

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 48–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +98 s
Time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +130 s
Fehler: -32.1 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 85 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.0 s
Gap behind: 27.7 s
Result: Group 5 (4 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:08 (3:26 / km)
Error: +2:15 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 53:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:21 (37.1 km/h)
Run: 19:23 (3:53 / km)
Total: 53:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 68.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 49 Emilio Alberto Burguete Arellano
MEX
+126 s
+142 s
G7 / G6
 19:11
17:22
 54:59
Show details
Prediction details: Emilio Alberto Burguete Arellano

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +142 s
Fehler: -16.4 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 27.7 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (2 people)
Speed: 41.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:49 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 54:59
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:42 (35.6 km/h)
Run: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Total: 54:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
About 96.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.