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Junior Men

26.10.2025 PLaya Cavancha CHI
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Americas Triathlon Junior Cup Iquique

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 26.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 39/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 38.1 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 61.9 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.9
Mean swim error35.3 s
Mean bike-speed error4.40 km/h
Correct bike groups4/17
No history4
Within the 80% range23.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 9 Mateo Silva González
CHI
+43 s
+65 s
G3 / G2
 17:27
16:24
 50:21
Show details
Prediction details: Mateo Silva González

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:59
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -21.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 5.5 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 50:21
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:59 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:11 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 50:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 13.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Gerald Rojas Carvajal
CRC
+26 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:18
14:47
 50:49
Show details
Prediction details: Gerald Rojas Carvajal

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.5 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.15 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:47 (2:57 / km)
Error: +3:31 / +0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 50:49
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:49
3 / 12 Jose Andrés Artavia Morales
CRC
+40 s
+31 s
G3 / G2
 19:55
16:59
 52:49
Show details
Prediction details: Jose Andrés Artavia Morales

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 6–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 8.5 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 39 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: +2:56 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 52:49
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:11 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 19:55 (3:59 / km)
Total: 52:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3 Sergio Maza Krause
CHI
+26 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		21:05
16:00
 53:36
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Maza Krause

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 24.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 9.8 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:05 (4:13 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: +5:05 / +1:01 / km
Overall prediction: 53:36
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:05 (37.4 km/h)
Run: 21:05 (4:13 / km)
Total: 53:36
5 / 8 Maximiliano Bobadilla
CHI
+36 s
+47 s
G3 / G2
 20:43
16:00
 53:37
Show details
Prediction details: Maximiliano Bobadilla

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 10:52
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -11.5 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.8 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: +4:43 / +0:57 / km
Overall prediction: 53:37
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:52 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:11 (37.3 km/h)
Run: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Total: 53:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 5.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 4 Emiliano Saldaña Mercado
MEX
+57 s
+5 s
G4 / G1
 19:25
15:56
 53:50
Show details
Prediction details: Emiliano Saldaña Mercado

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +57 s
Time: 11:13
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 51.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 42.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.91 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:56 (3:11 / km)
Error: +3:29 / +0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 53:50
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:13 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Total: 53:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 25.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 11 Paolo Farnetano
VEN
+49 s
+12 s
G4 / G2
 20:44
16:39
 55:09
Show details
Prediction details: Paolo Farnetano

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 11:05
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 36.7 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.5 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:44 (4:09 / km)
Historical basis: 4:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Error: +4:05 / +0:49 / km
Overall prediction: 55:09
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:05 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 20:44 (4:09 / km)
Total: 55:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 19.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 5 Enrique Pau
CHI
+6 s
+20 s
G2 / G1
 22:49
16:23
 55:21
Show details
Prediction details: Enrique Pau

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 10–11
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: -13.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.90 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 19.5 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:49 (4:34 / km)
Historical basis: 4:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +6:26 / +1:17 / km
Overall prediction: 55:21
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 22:49 (4:34 / km)
Total: 55:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
9 / 18 David Jose Pardo Benitez
PAR
+126 s
+116 s
G5 / G6
 20:59
18:20
 56:11
Show details
Prediction details: David Jose Pardo Benitez

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–13
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 12:22
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +116 s
Fehler: 9.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 21.4 s
Gap behind: 39.9 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Historical basis: 4:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: +2:39 / +0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 56:11
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 12:22 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 33:06 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 20:59 (4:12 / km)
Total: 56:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 96.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 10 Diego Alessandro Sanchez Felix
PER
+5 s
+2 s
G2 / G2
correct 		24:18
16:38
 56:50
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Alessandro Sanchez Felix

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 12–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 2.9 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:18 (4:52 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:20 / km)
Error: +7:40 / +1:32 / km
Overall prediction: 56:50
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 24:18 (4:52 / km)
Total: 56:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
11 / 16 Nae Adriano Meza Palao
PER
+0 s
+24 s
G2 / G3
 24:45
17:54
 57:17
Show details
Prediction details: Nae Adriano Meza Palao

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -24.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 1.24 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:45 (4:57 / km)
Historical basis: 4:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: +6:51 / +1:22 / km
Overall prediction: 57:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:26 (37.0 km/h)
Run: 24:45 (4:57 / km)
Total: 57:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
12 / 6 Raimundo Vicente San Martín Naranjo
CHI
+91 s
+18 s
G4 / G1
 24:18
16:43
 58:43
Show details
Prediction details: Raimundo Vicente San Martín Naranjo

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 14–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +91 s
Time: 11:47
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 73.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 33.1 s
Gap behind: 13.3 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 43.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.47 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:18 (4:52 / km)
Historical basis: 4:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Error: +7:35 / +1:31 / km
Overall prediction: 58:43
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 11:47 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 24:18 (4:52 / km)
Total: 58:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 59.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 2 Nicholas Andres Miller Herrera
CHI
+58 s
+8 s
G4 / G1
 26:06
15:10
 1:00:31
Show details
Prediction details: Nicholas Andres Miller Herrera

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 16–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 11

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 11:14
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 49.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 21 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 33.1 s
Result: Group 1 (6 people)
Speed: 42.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:06 (5:13 / km)
Historical basis: 5:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +10:56 / +2:11 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:31
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:14 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 26:06 (5:13 / km)
Total: 1:00:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 28.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 15 Omar alejandro Pizarro ruiz
PER
+53 s
+35 s
G4 / G3
 26:51
17:49
 1:01:16
Show details
Prediction details: Omar alejandro Pizarro ruiz

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 16–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 11:09
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 17.7 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:51 (5:22 / km)
Historical basis: 5:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 4 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:49 (3:34 / km)
Error: +9:02 / +1:48 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:16
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: 26:51 (5:22 / km)
Total: 1:01:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 23.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 7 Santino Calderón Lucoratolo
ARG
+166 s
+85 s
G6 / G2
15:43
Show details
Prediction details: Santino Calderón Lucoratolo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +166 s
Time: 13:02
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +85 s
Fehler: 80.8 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 39.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 42.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -8.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 13:02 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:54 (34.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:46
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 136.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Gaspar Reyes
CHI
+0 s
+33 s
G0 / G2
18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Gaspar Reyes

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 14 Benjamín Daniel Diaz-Valdes Escobar
CHI
+105 s
+0 s
G4 / G2
18:52
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamín Daniel Diaz-Valdes Escobar

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +105 s
Time: 12:01
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 104.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 21.4 s
Result: Group 2 (8 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:01 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 73.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 17 Jaime Opazo
CHI
+104 s
+157 s
G4 / G4
correct
17:12
Show details
Prediction details: Jaime Opazo

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 12:00
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +157 s
Fehler: -52.7 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 36.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.3 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.17 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 12:00 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:40 (36.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
About 72.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +31.4 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 19 Amaro Medina Henriquez
CHI
+0 s
+205 s
G0 / G5
19:54
Show details
Prediction details: Amaro Medina Henriquez

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +205 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:54 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20 Jean Pool Jack Ali Tito
BOL
+0 s
+249 s
G0 / G7
20:07
Show details
Prediction details: Jean Pool Jack Ali Tito

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +249 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:07 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21 Aviel Jhunior Gonzales Machuca
BOL
+0 s
+336 s
G0 / G8
21:04
Show details
Prediction details: Aviel Jhunior Gonzales Machuca

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +336 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:04 (4:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.