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Elite Men

16.02.2025 INS Adyar, Chennai IND
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Asia Triathlon Cup Chennai

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 16.02.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 60/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 79.4 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 97.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.5
Mean swim error15.2 s
Mean bike-speed error1.25 km/h
Correct bike groups1/32
No history1
Within the 80% range44.1 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 4 Ryoya Tamazaki
JPN
+39 s
+25 s
G4 / G1
 15:05
14:35
 44:13
Show details
Prediction details: Ryoya Tamazaki

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 14.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:35 (2:55 / km)
Error: +0:30 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Total: 44:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 1 Francesco Di Basilico
ITA
+34 s
+23 s
G3 / G1
 15:30
14:24
 44:33
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Di Basilico

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 3.5 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:46 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:24 (2:53 / km)
Error: +1:06 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:33
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 27.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 2 Takuto Oshima
JPN
+16 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 15:49
14:29
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Takuto Oshima

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 2–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 74 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 13.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 63 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:29 (2:54 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 9.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 5 Kenshin Mori
JPN
+25 s
+17 s
G3 / G1
 15:52
14:48
 44:55
Show details
Prediction details: Kenshin Mori

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–9
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:30
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 8.1 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 5.3 s
Gap behind: 1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 83 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:48 (2:58 / km)
Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:30 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 18.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 14 Koki Yamamoto
JPN
+20 s
+19 s
G2 / G1
 16:14
15:52
 45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Koki Yamamoto

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 1–11
Top-10 probability: 89 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +20 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +19 s
Fehler: 0.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.6 s
Gap behind: 5.3 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 12.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 10 Hokuto Obara
JPN
+27 s
+21 s
G3 / G1
 16:04
15:23
 45:07
Show details
Prediction details: Hokuto Obara

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 3–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 5.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.6 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 19.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 6 Rashif Amila Yaqin
INA
+17 s
+26 s
G2 / G1
 16:15
14:52
 45:07
Show details
Prediction details: Rashif Amila Yaqin

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 2–13
Top-10 probability: 68 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -8.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 2.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:52 (2:58 / km)
Error: +1:23 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 45:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 10.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8 Matteo Carlo Perri
ITA
+46 s
+36 s
G4 / G1
 16:03
15:10
 45:11
Show details
Prediction details: Matteo Carlo Perri

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 1–15
Top-10 probability: 54 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:51
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 10.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.11 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.22 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 45:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:03 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 34.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 13 Samuel Mileham
AUS
+39 s
+34 s
G4 / G1
 16:04
15:36
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: Samuel Mileham

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 11 Naoshige Oura
JPN
+31 s
+10 s
G3 / G1
 16:09
15:22
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: Naoshige Oura

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 1–14
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +31 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 20.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 85 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:22 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 23.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 7 Kanta Ando
JPN
+30 s
+20 s
G3 / G1
 16:13
15:02
 45:16
Show details
Prediction details: Kanta Ando

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 5–11
Top-10 probability: 86 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 9.7 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 88 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:16
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 17.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 16 Akira Fukushima
JPN
+3 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:22
16:24
 45:34
Show details
Prediction details: Akira Fukushima

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 29 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 3.0 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 87 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 42.6 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 13.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:24 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:58 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 45:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:09 (42.6 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 45:34
13 / 3 Luke McCarron
IRL
+28 s
+12 s
G3 / G1
 17:05
14:36
 46:08
Show details
Prediction details: Luke McCarron

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 3–17
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -1.39 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Error: +2:29 / +0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 46:08
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:29 (42.1 km/h)
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 20.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 12 Kira Wakatake
JPN
+39 s
+25 s
G4 / G1
 17:15
15:27
 46:23
Show details
Prediction details: Kira Wakatake

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 6–20
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 13.6 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Error: +1:48 / +0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:15 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 31.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 18 Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello
INA
+43 s
+29 s
G4 / G1
 17:22
16:31
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Hauqalah Fakhal Arvyello

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 13–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 14.0 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 84 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 74 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 36.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 21 Li Rong, Luke Chua
SGP
+43 s
+20 s
G4 / G1
 17:24
17:56
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Li Rong, Luke Chua

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 13–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 22.9 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 41.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:56 (3:35 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 36 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 17 Jakub Marek
CZE
+44 s
+39 s
G4 / G1
 17:27
16:30
 46:35
Show details
Prediction details: Jakub Marek

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 5.4 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 42.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 50 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Error: +0:57 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:27 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 37.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 32 Dev Ambokar
IND
+40 s
+46 s
G4 / G6
 18:41
18:43
 47:49
Show details
Prediction details: Dev Ambokar

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 17–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:45
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +46 s
Fehler: -6.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: −0:02 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 47:49
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:45 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km)
Total: 47:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 32.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 19 Fernando José Casares Tan
PHI
+77 s
+80 s
G5 / G2
 16:11
15:20
 48:34
Show details
Prediction details: Fernando José Casares Tan

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 10–22
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 10:22
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -2.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 12.9 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: +0:51 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 48:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Total: 48:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 70.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 20 Bima Muslim Perdana
INA
+68 s
+80 s
G5 / G2
 17:24
16:09
 49:47
Show details
Prediction details: Bima Muslim Perdana

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 16–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +80 s
Fehler: -12.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 42 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.1 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 40.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 39 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Error: +1:15 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 49:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:24 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 60.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 26 Telheiba Soram
IND
+72 s
+99 s
G5 / G4
 17:33
16:52
 49:56
Show details
Prediction details: Telheiba Soram

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 21–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 10:17
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +99 s
Fehler: -27.5 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 4.0 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:56
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:17 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Total: 49:56
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 64.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 15 Sarungbam Athouba Meitei
IND
+43 s
+36 s
G4 / G1
 21:08
15:52
 50:16
Show details
Prediction details: Sarungbam Athouba Meitei

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 22–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 6.5 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (9 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:08 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +5:16 / +1:03 / km
Overall prediction: 50:16
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:48 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:21 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 21:08 (4:14 / km)
Total: 50:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 35.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 25 Juan Miguel Tayag
PHI
+90 s
+78 s
G5 / G3
 17:54
17:04
 50:17
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Miguel Tayag

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 23–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +90 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: 12.2 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.86 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.9 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 3 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 50:17
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 50:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 83.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 23 Adarsh Muralidharan Nair Sinimol
IND
+76 s
+71 s
G5 / G3
 18:18
16:13
 50:41
Show details
Prediction details: Adarsh Muralidharan Nair Sinimol

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 24–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +76 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 4.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.0 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 28 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: +2:05 / +0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 50:41
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:40 / km)
Total: 50:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 68.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 22 Jaejin Jung
KOR
+55 s
+36 s
G5 / G1
 18:35
18:07
 50:58
Show details
Prediction details: Jaejin Jung

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 18–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 18.7 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.52 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 13.1 s
Result: Group 1 (19 people)
Speed: 42.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.54 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.03 %, Sicherheit 35 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 50:58
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Total: 50:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 47.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 33 Parth Mirage
IND
+53 s
+72 s
G5 / G8
 19:30
18:45
 51:53
Show details
Prediction details: Parth Mirage

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 20–26
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: -19.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 29.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 51:53
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km)
Total: 51:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 46.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 30 Koushik Vinayak Malandkar
IND
+71 s
+86 s
G5 / G4
 19:44
19:33
 52:07
Show details
Prediction details: Koushik Vinayak Malandkar

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 27–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:16
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -15.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:33 (3:55 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 52:07
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:16 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:53 (38.6 km/h)
Run: 19:44 (3:57 / km)
Total: 52:07
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 63.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 31 Rikigoro Shinozuka
MAS
+100 s
+131 s
G6 / G5
 18:54
18:28
 52:51
Show details
Prediction details: Rikigoro Shinozuka

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 26–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 10:45
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +131 s
Fehler: -31.0 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.4 s
Gap behind: 61.8 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -1.11 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Error: +0:26 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 52:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:45 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.1 km/h)
Run: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Total: 52:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 93.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 29 Ankur Chahar
IND
+95 s
+111 s
G6 / G5
 19:09
16:59
 53:06
Show details
Prediction details: Ankur Chahar

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 27–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +111 s
Fehler: -16.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 27 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 5.4 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Error: +2:10 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 53:06
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.1 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Total: 53:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 87.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 28 Vaman Sakthivel
IND
+95 s
+72 s
G6 / G4
 19:51
17:40
 53:48
Show details
Prediction details: Vaman Sakthivel

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 29–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +95 s
Time: 10:40
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +72 s
Fehler: 22.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.68 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Error: +2:11 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 53:48
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:40 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:17 (37.1 km/h)
Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Total: 53:48
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 87.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 27 Sai Lohitaksh Kd
IND
+162 s
+100 s
G7 / G4
 21:58
16:55
 58:47
Show details
Prediction details: Sai Lohitaksh Kd

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 31–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +162 s
Time: 11:47
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: 61.8 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.87 %, Sicherheit 40 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 61.8 s
Gap behind: 11.0 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Error: +5:03 / +1:01 / km
Overall prediction: 58:47
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 11:47 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:07 (35.2 km/h)
Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Total: 58:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 154.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 34 Yaju Maharjan
NEP
+173 s
+234 s
G8 / G7
 25:25
23:55
 1:03:54
Show details
Prediction details: Yaju Maharjan

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 32–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +173 s
Time: 11:58
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +234 s
Fehler: -61.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 25 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 8 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 25:25 (5:05 / km)
Historical basis: 5:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:55 (4:47 / km)
Error: +1:30 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:54
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:58 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 35:36 (33.7 km/h)
Run: 25:25 (5:05 / km)
Total: 1:03:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 165.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 9 Kamran Khodjaev
UZB
+53 s
 Bike DNF 17:05
Show details
Prediction details: Kamran Khodjaev

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 33–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:58
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 55 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Bike split not completed

Running and total

Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: ()
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24 Akash P
IND
+0 s
+82 s
G0 / G4
16:05
Show details
Prediction details: Akash P

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 34–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +82 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:05 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.