Prediction comparison

Elite Men

19.04.2025 Dexing CHN

Race information and calculation basis

2025 Asia Triathlon Cup Dexing

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 19.04.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 51/100 niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 62.7 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 88.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error10.8

Mean swim error24.2 s

Mean bike-speed error1.48 km/h

Correct bike groups13/53

No history6

Within the 80% range35.6 %

						Details
1 / 2	Sergiy Polikarpenko ITA	+13 s +27 s	G1 / G2	31:12 31:39	1:28:59	Show details Prediction details: Sergiy Polikarpenko Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 2 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 17:24 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +27 s Fehler: -14.0 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.86 %, Sicherheit 13 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 93 % Speed: 41.8 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.09 km/h Running and total Run: 31:12 (3:07 / km) Historical basis: 3:06 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 31:39 (3:10 / km) Error: −0:27 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 1:28:59 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:24 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:29 (41.8 km/h) Run: 31:12 (3:07 / km) Total: 1:28:59
2 / 5	Genta Uchida JPN	+57 s +25 s	G2 / G2 correct	31:27 32:32	1:30:01	Show details Prediction details: Genta Uchida Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 3–6 Top-10 probability: 99 % Result: 5 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 18:08 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +25 s Fehler: 32.4 s H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.14 km/h Running and total Run: 31:27 (3:09 / km) Historical basis: 3:11 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 136 Duelle, Korrektur 1.03 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 32:32 (3:15 / km) Error: −1:05 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:30:01 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:08 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 31:27 (3:09 / km) Total: 1:30:01 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 35.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 1	Lukas Pertl AUT	+43 s +61 s	G3 / G2	32:15 31:20	1:30:50	Show details Prediction details: Lukas Pertl Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 3–8 Top-10 probability: 96 % Result: 1 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 17:54 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +61 s Fehler: -18.0 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 82 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 19 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h Running and total Run: 32:15 (3:14 / km) Historical basis: 3:13 / km Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 70 % Ergebnis Lauf: 31:20 (3:08 / km) Error: +0:55 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:30:50 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:54 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 32:15 (3:14 / km) Total: 1:30:50 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 21 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3	Qing Chen CHN	+44 s +24 s	G3 / G2	32:38 31:43	1:31:13	Show details Prediction details: Qing Chen Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 3–11 Top-10 probability: 89 % Result: 3 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 17:55 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 19.5 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h Running and total Run: 32:38 (3:16 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 126 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 31:43 (3:10 / km) Error: +0:55 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:31:13 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:55 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 32:38 (3:16 / km) Total: 1:31:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:34 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 21.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 37	Ryoya Tamazaki JPN	+79 s +82 s	G4 / G5	31:42 37:12	1:31:29	Show details Prediction details: Ryoya Tamazaki Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 4–13 Top-10 probability: 76 % Result: 37 Deviation: -32 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +79 s Time: 18:30 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +82 s Fehler: -3.3 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.1 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.31 km/h Running and total Run: 31:42 (3:10 / km) Historical basis: 3:10 / km Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:12 (3:43 / km) Error: −5:30 / −0:33 / km Overall prediction: 1:31:29 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:30 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 31:42 (3:10 / km) Total: 1:31:29 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:00 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 30.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 16	Toby Powers AUS	+71 s +69 s	G4 / G2	32:27 34:52	1:32:14	Show details Prediction details: Toby Powers Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 5–17 Top-10 probability: 73 % Result: 16 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +71 s Time: 18:22 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +69 s Fehler: 2.2 s H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 72 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h Running and total Run: 32:27 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:15 / km Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 54 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:52 (3:29 / km) Error: −2:25 / −0:14 / km Overall prediction: 1:32:14 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:22 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 32:27 (3:15 / km) Total: 1:32:14 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 49.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 15	Naoshige Oura JPN	+63 s +44 s	G2 / G2 correct	33:47 34:43	1:32:21	Show details Prediction details: Naoshige Oura Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 7–18 Top-10 probability: 59 % Result: 15 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +63 s Time: 18:14 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +44 s Fehler: 19.1 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 73 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.13 km/h Running and total Run: 33:47 (3:23 / km) Historical basis: 3:22 / km Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:43 (3:28 / km) Error: −0:56 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:32:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:14 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 33:47 (3:23 / km) Total: 1:32:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 41.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 11	Zhengyu Duan CHN	+63 s +64 s	G2 / G2 correct	33:58 33:29	1:32:32	Show details Prediction details: Zhengyu Duan Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 7–20 Top-10 probability: 53 % Result: 11 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +63 s Time: 18:14 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +64 s Fehler: -1.0 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.39 km/h Running and total Run: 33:58 (3:24 / km) Historical basis: 3:24 / km Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 152 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 33:29 (3:21 / km) Error: +0:29 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 1:32:32 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:14 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 33:58 (3:24 / km) Total: 1:32:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 14.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 7	Mingyu Wang CHN	+59 s +17 s	G2 / G2 correct	34:22 32:39	1:32:56	Show details Prediction details: Mingyu Wang Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 7–21 Top-10 probability: 29 % Result: 7 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 18:10 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +17 s Fehler: 41.8 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 2.5 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.22 km/h Running and total Run: 34:22 (3:26 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 32:39 (3:16 / km) Error: +1:43 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 1:32:56 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:10 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 34:22 (3:26 / km) Total: 1:32:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 10.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 8	Philip Pertl AUT	+68 s +59 s	G4 / G2	33:18 33:02	1:33:05	Show details Prediction details: Philip Pertl Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 7–18 Top-10 probability: 59 % Result: 8 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +68 s Time: 18:19 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +59 s Fehler: 9.3 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 41 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.4 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.98 km/h Running and total Run: 33:18 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:20 / km Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 36 % Ergebnis Lauf: 33:02 (3:18 / km) Error: +0:16 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:05 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:19 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 33:18 (3:20 / km) Total: 1:33:05 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 20.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 6	Koki Yamamoto JPN	+53 s +1 s	G2 / G2 correct	34:33 32:31	1:33:07	Show details Prediction details: Koki Yamamoto Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 9–17 Top-10 probability: 23 % Result: 6 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +53 s Time: 18:04 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1 s Fehler: 52.1 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.0 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.42 km/h Running and total Run: 34:33 (3:27 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 130 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 32:31 (3:15 / km) Error: +2:02 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:07 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:04 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 34:33 (3:27 / km) Total: 1:33:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 4.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 21	Lubo Zhang CHN	+63 s +3 s	G2 / G2 correct	34:47 35:48	1:33:21	Show details Prediction details: Lubo Zhang Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 7–33 Top-10 probability: 29 % Result: 21 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +63 s Time: 18:14 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +3 s Fehler: 59.9 s H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 9 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.40 km/h Running and total Run: 34:47 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:20 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 111 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:48 (3:35 / km) Error: −1:01 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:21 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:14 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 34:47 (3:29 / km) Total: 1:33:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 14.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 49	Yanqun Zhang CHN	+45 s +49 s	G3 / G6	34:47 37:49	1:33:22	Show details Prediction details: Yanqun Zhang Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 8–22 Top-10 probability: 25 % Result: 49 Deviation: -36 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 17:56 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +49 s Fehler: -3.8 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 6.9 s Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 38.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.10 km/h Running and total Run: 34:47 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 118 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:49 (3:47 / km) Error: −3:02 / −0:18 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:22 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:56 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 34:47 (3:29 / km) Total: 1:33:22 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 23.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 13	Mitsuho Mochizuki JPN	+13 s +1 s	G1 / G2	35:36 34:03	1:33:23	Show details Prediction details: Mitsuho Mochizuki Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 10–18 Top-10 probability: 14 % Result: 13 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +13 s Time: 17:24 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +1 s Fehler: 12.3 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 69 % Speed: 41.8 km/h Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.45 km/h Running and total Run: 35:36 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:03 (3:24 / km) Error: +1:33 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:23 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:24 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:29 (41.8 km/h) Run: 35:36 (3:34 / km) Total: 1:33:23
15 / 9	Chi Zhang CHN	+40 s +9 s	G3 / G2	35:03 33:12	1:33:38	Show details Prediction details: Chi Zhang Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 5–35 Top-10 probability: 36 % Result: 9 Deviation: 6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +40 s Time: 17:51 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +9 s Fehler: 31.3 s H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 174 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.9 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.08 km/h Running and total Run: 35:03 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 174 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 33:12 (3:19 / km) Error: +1:51 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:38 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:51 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 35:03 (3:30 / km) Total: 1:33:38 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 18.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 4	Rongheng Chen CHN	+85 s +58 s	G4 / G1	34:01 32:59	1:33:48	Show details Prediction details: Rongheng Chen Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 10–28 Top-10 probability: 11 % Result: 4 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +85 s Time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +58 s Fehler: 27.3 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.5 s Gap behind: 5.6 s Result: Group 1 (2 people) Speed: 42.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.33 km/h Running and total Run: 34:01 (3:24 / km) Historical basis: 3:23 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 96 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 32:59 (3:18 / km) Error: +1:02 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:48 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:36 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 34:01 (3:24 / km) Total: 1:33:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 37.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 33	Juyoung Kim KOR	+54 s +45 s	G2 / G4	35:23 37:23	1:33:57	Show details Prediction details: Juyoung Kim Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 14–23 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 33 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +54 s Time: 18:05 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +45 s Fehler: 8.5 s H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 1.9 s Result: Group 4 (5 people) Speed: 39.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.80 km/h Running and total Run: 35:23 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 80 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:23 (3:44 / km) Error: −2:00 / −0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:57 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:05 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 35:23 (3:32 / km) Total: 1:33:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:34 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 31.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 20	Qili Bai CHN	+58 s +61 s	G2 / G2 correct	35:39 35:33	1:34:13	Show details Prediction details: Qili Bai Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 13–31 Top-10 probability: 5 % Result: 20 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +58 s Time: 18:09 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +61 s Fehler: -2.7 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.23 km/h Running and total Run: 35:39 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:31 / km Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 129 Duelle, Korrektur 1.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:33 (3:33 / km) Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:34:13 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:09 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 35:39 (3:34 / km) Total: 1:34:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 36.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 12	Tsz To Wong HKG	+64 s +62 s	G2 / G2 correct	35:52 33:54	1:34:26	Show details Prediction details: Tsz To Wong Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 17–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +64 s Time: 18:15 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +62 s Fehler: 1.9 s H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 172 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 4.4 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.29 km/h Running and total Run: 35:52 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 43 Gegner:innen, 172 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 33:54 (3:23 / km) Error: +1:58 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:34:26 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:15 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 35:52 (3:35 / km) Total: 1:34:26 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 15.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 29	Feichi Zhan CHN	+27 s +4 s	G3 / G4	35:56 36:45	1:34:31	Show details Prediction details: Feichi Zhan Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 14–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +27 s Time: 17:38 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +4 s Fehler: 23.1 s H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 41 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.8 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 4 (5 people) Speed: 39.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.04 km/h Running and total Run: 35:56 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:45 (3:41 / km) Error: −0:49 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 1:34:31 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:38 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 35:56 (3:36 / km) Total: 1:34:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 5.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 19	Daryn Konysbayev KAZ	+113 s +117 s	G6 / G5	32:29 31:42	1:34:41	Show details Prediction details: Daryn Konysbayev Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 8–37 Top-10 probability: 19 % Result: 19 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +113 s Time: 19:04 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +117 s Fehler: -4.1 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 62 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 13.5 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 40.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.33 km/h Running and total Run: 32:29 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 52 % Ergebnis Lauf: 31:42 (3:10 / km) Error: +0:47 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 1:34:41 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:04 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:06 (39.9 km/h) Run: 32:29 (3:15 / km) Total: 1:34:41 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 90.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 52	Wenhui Lai CHN	+38 s +57 s	G3 / G5	36:07 40:04	1:34:42	Show details Prediction details: Wenhui Lai Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 16–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 52 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +38 s Time: 17:49 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: -18.6 s H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 16 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.2 s Gap behind: 1.9 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.96 km/h Running and total Run: 36:07 (3:37 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 64 % Ergebnis Lauf: 40:04 (4:00 / km) Error: −3:57 / −0:24 / km Overall prediction: 1:34:42 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 17:49 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 36:07 (3:37 / km) Total: 1:34:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 16.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 24	Tak Long Yip HKG	+80 s +104 s	G4 / G5	35:31 34:24	1:35:18	Show details Prediction details: Tak Long Yip Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 18–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +80 s Time: 18:31 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +104 s Fehler: -23.6 s H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 170 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 2.1 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 40.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.00 km/h Running and total Run: 35:31 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 170 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:24 (3:26 / km) Error: +1:07 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:18 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:31 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 35:31 (3:33 / km) Total: 1:35:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 58.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 38	Zheng Xu CHN	+18 s +13 s	G1 / G4	37:39 38:21	1:35:26	Show details Prediction details: Zheng Xu Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 23–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +18 s Time: 17:29 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +13 s Fehler: 5.1 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 55 % Speed: 41.8 km/h Gap ahead: 1.6 s Gap behind: 4.2 s Result: Group 4 (5 people) Speed: 39.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.14 km/h Running and total Run: 37:39 (3:46 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 96 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:21 (3:50 / km) Error: −0:42 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:26 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:29 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:29 (41.8 km/h) Run: 37:39 (3:46 / km) Total: 1:35:26
25 / 42	Rufan Cui CHN	+43 s +36 s	G3 / G5	36:53 38:02	1:35:28	Show details Prediction details: Rufan Cui Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 20–36 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 42 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +43 s Time: 17:54 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 7.1 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 14 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.12 km/h Running and total Run: 36:53 (3:41 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:02 (3:48 / km) Error: −1:09 / −0:07 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:28 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:54 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 36:53 (3:41 / km) Total: 1:35:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 21.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 17	Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang HKG	+72 s +20 s	G4 / G2	36:11 34:53	1:35:58	Show details Prediction details: Cheung Sing Nicholas Tsang Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 22–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: 9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +72 s Time: 18:23 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +20 s Fehler: 51.7 s H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h Running and total Run: 36:11 (3:37 / km) Historical basis: 3:38 / km Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 38 Gegner:innen, 157 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:53 (3:29 / km) Error: +1:18 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:58 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:23 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 36:11 (3:37 / km) Total: 1:35:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 49.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 54	Jiayin Lu CHN	+83 s +118 s	G4 / G6	36:11 38:47	1:35:58	Show details Prediction details: Jiayin Lu Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 25–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 54 Deviation: -27 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +83 s Time: 18:34 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +118 s Fehler: -35.5 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.1 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 39.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.96 km/h Running and total Run: 36:11 (3:37 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:47 (3:53 / km) Error: −2:36 / −0:16 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:58 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 18:34 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 36:11 (3:37 / km) Total: 1:35:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:34 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 60.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 35	Minghang Xu CHN	+44 s +15 s	G3 / G5	37:23 36:55	1:35:58	Show details Prediction details: Minghang Xu Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 23–33 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 17:55 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +15 s Fehler: 28.7 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.41 km/h Running and total Run: 37:23 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.87 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:55 (3:42 / km) Error: +0:28 / +0:03 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:58 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 17:55 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 37:23 (3:44 / km) Total: 1:35:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 21.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 25	Zixiang Lin CHN	+57 s +24 s	G2 / G4	37:28 35:25	1:36:02	Show details Prediction details: Zixiang Lin Placement Prediction: 29 80% range: 20–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 18:08 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 33.1 s H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 4 (5 people) Speed: 39.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h Running and total Run: 37:28 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 108 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:25 (3:33 / km) Error: +2:03 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:02 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:08 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 37:28 (3:45 / km) Total: 1:36:02 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 35.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 43	Bo Ma CHN	+52 s +74 s	G2 / G5	37:33 38:11	1:36:07	Show details Prediction details: Bo Ma Placement Prediction: 30 80% range: 25–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 43 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +52 s Time: 18:03 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +74 s Fehler: -21.9 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 10 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.9 s Gap behind: 1.0 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.98 km/h Running and total Run: 37:33 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur -0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:11 (3:49 / km) Error: −0:38 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:07 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:03 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 37:33 (3:45 / km) Total: 1:36:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:59 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 3.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 23	Yanjie Li CHN	+28 s +0 s	G3 / G2	37:43 37:04	1:36:18	Show details Prediction details: Yanjie Li Placement Prediction: 31 80% range: 18–43 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 23 Deviation: 8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 17:39 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 27.9 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 30 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 8.1 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.22 km/h Running and total Run: 37:43 (3:46 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 132 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:04 (3:42 / km) Error: +0:39 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:18 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:39 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 37:43 (3:46 / km) Total: 1:36:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 5.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 31	Can Su CHN	+36 s +66 s	G3 / G5	37:43 36:24	1:36:18	Show details Prediction details: Can Su Placement Prediction: 32 80% range: 26–36 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +66 s Fehler: -30.0 s H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 18 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.1 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.93 km/h Running and total Run: 37:43 (3:46 / km) Historical basis: 3:48 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 40 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.81 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:24 (3:38 / km) Error: +1:19 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:18 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 17:47 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 37:43 (3:46 / km) Total: 1:36:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 14 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
33 / 34	Akira Fukushima JPN	+17 s +12 s	G1 / G3	38:33 39:30	1:36:20	Show details Prediction details: Akira Fukushima Placement Prediction: 33 80% range: 29–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +17 s Time: 17:28 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +12 s Fehler: 4.5 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 64 % Speed: 41.8 km/h Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 1.6 s Result: Group 3 (1 people) Speed: 40.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.89 km/h Running and total Run: 38:33 (3:51 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:30 (3:57 / km) Error: −0:57 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:20 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:28 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:29 (41.8 km/h) Run: 38:33 (3:51 / km) Total: 1:36:20
34 / 14	Teppei Tokuyama JPN	+59 s +61 s	G2 / G2 correct	37:47 34:10	1:36:21	Show details Prediction details: Teppei Tokuyama Placement Prediction: 34 80% range: 27–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: 20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 18:10 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +61 s Fehler: -2.4 s H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.31 km/h Running and total Run: 37:47 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:48 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 37 Gegner:innen, 123 Duelle, Korrektur -0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:10 (3:25 / km) Error: +3:37 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:10 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 37:47 (3:47 / km) Total: 1:36:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:00 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 10.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 39	Seongsik Kim KOR	+61 s +66 s	G2 / G6	37:58 35:55	1:36:32	Show details Prediction details: Seongsik Kim Placement Prediction: 35 80% range: 30–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +61 s Time: 18:12 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +66 s Fehler: -4.7 s H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 5 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.5 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.21 km/h Running and total Run: 37:58 (3:48 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 5 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:55 (3:36 / km) Error: +2:03 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:32 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:12 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 37:58 (3:48 / km) Total: 1:36:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 39.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 46	Jaemin Kim KOR	+55 s +66 s	G2 / G5	38:08 38:22	1:36:42	Show details Prediction details: Jaemin Kim Placement Prediction: 36 80% range: 31–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 46 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +55 s Time: 18:06 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +66 s Fehler: -10.6 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.9 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.11 km/h Running and total Run: 38:08 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.57 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:22 (3:50 / km) Error: −0:14 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:42 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 18:06 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 38:08 (3:49 / km) Total: 1:36:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 33.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 45	Yunhao Ma CHN	+121 s +142 s	G6 / G6 correct	34:36 36:32	1:36:48	Show details Prediction details: Yunhao Ma Placement Prediction: 37 80% range: 24–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 45 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +121 s Time: 19:12 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +142 s Fehler: -21.4 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 99 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.9 s Gap behind: 4.7 s Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h Running and total Run: 34:36 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:24 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 95 Duelle, Korrektur 1.79 %, Sicherheit 69 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:32 (3:39 / km) Error: −1:56 / −0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:48 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:12 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:06 (39.9 km/h) Run: 34:36 (3:28 / km) Total: 1:36:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 98.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 18	Ji Hwan Kim KOR	+45 s +22 s	G3 / G2	38:13 35:06	1:36:48	Show details Prediction details: Ji Hwan Kim Placement Prediction: 38 80% range: 28–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: 20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 17:56 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +22 s Fehler: 23.1 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 39 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 23 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h Running and total Run: 38:13 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:52 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -1.08 %, Sicherheit 35 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:06 (3:31 / km) Error: +3:07 / +0:19 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:48 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:56 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 38:13 (3:49 / km) Total: 1:36:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 23.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 10	Xirui Zhang CHN	+36 s +29 s	G3 / G1	38:22 34:04	1:36:57	Show details Prediction details: Xirui Zhang Placement Prediction: 39 80% range: 15–47 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 10 Deviation: 29 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +36 s Time: 17:47 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +29 s Fehler: 7.2 s H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 38 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 2.2 s Result: Group 1 (2 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.59 km/h Running and total Run: 38:22 (3:50 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 39 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -1.30 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:04 (3:24 / km) Error: +4:18 / +0:26 / km Overall prediction: 1:36:57 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:47 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: 38:22 (3:50 / km) Total: 1:36:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:34 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 13.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 47	Bolai Sun CHN	+71 s +26 s	G4 / G5	37:44 38:26	1:37:31	Show details Prediction details: Bolai Sun Placement Prediction: 40 80% range: 31–44 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 47 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +71 s Time: 18:22 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 45.4 s H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 44 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.90 km/h Running and total Run: 37:44 (3:46 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:46 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 44 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:26 (3:51 / km) Error: −0:42 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:37:31 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 18:22 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 37:44 (3:46 / km) Total: 1:37:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 49.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 59	Wang Hin Ian Fok HKG	+72 s +80 s	G4 / G9	38:17 44:35	1:38:04	Show details Prediction details: Wang Hin Ian Fok Placement Prediction: 41 80% range: 34–47 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 59 Deviation: -18 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +72 s Time: 18:23 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +80 s Fehler: -7.9 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 49 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 9 (3 people) Speed: 37.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.90 km/h Running and total Run: 38:17 (3:50 / km) Historical basis: 3:50 / km Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 9 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 37 % Ergebnis Lauf: 44:35 (4:28 / km) Error: −6:18 / −0:38 / km Overall prediction: 1:38:04 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:23 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 38:17 (3:50 / km) Total: 1:38:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 50.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
42 / 48	Tingrui Li CHN	+73 s +21 s	G4 / G5	38:38 38:34	1:38:25	Show details Prediction details: Tingrui Li Placement Prediction: 42 80% range: 20–51 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 48 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +73 s Time: 18:24 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +21 s Fehler: 51.6 s H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 6.1 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.99 km/h Running and total Run: 38:38 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 34 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 38:34 (3:51 / km) Error: +0:04 / +0:00 / km Overall prediction: 1:38:25 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:24 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 38:38 (3:52 / km) Total: 1:38:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 50.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 22	Shengyin Gao CHN	+125 s +41 s	G6 / G2	36:35 36:18	1:38:47	Show details Prediction details: Shengyin Gao Placement Prediction: 43 80% range: 39–47 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: 21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +125 s Time: 19:16 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +41 s Fehler: 84.3 s H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.7 s Gap behind: 55.9 s Result: Group 2 (21 people) Speed: 41.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.90 km/h Running and total Run: 36:35 (3:40 / km) Historical basis: 3:39 / km Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:18 (3:38 / km) Error: +0:17 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 1:38:47 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:16 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:06 (39.9 km/h) Run: 36:35 (3:40 / km) Total: 1:38:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 103.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 40	Woo Sik Jeong KOR	+115 s +144 s	G6 / G6 correct	36:47 36:09	1:38:59	Show details Prediction details: Woo Sik Jeong Placement Prediction: 44 80% range: 40–48 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +115 s Time: 19:06 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +144 s Fehler: -29.3 s H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 72 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 5.9 s Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.54 km/h Running and total Run: 36:47 (3:41 / km) Historical basis: 3:40 / km Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 60 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:09 (3:37 / km) Error: +0:38 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:38:59 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:06 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:06 (39.9 km/h) Run: 36:47 (3:41 / km) Total: 1:38:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 92.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 30	Tik Long Hung HKG	+91 s +101 s	G5 / G5 correct	37:16 36:15	1:39:12	Show details Prediction details: Tik Long Hung Placement Prediction: 45 80% range: 32–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: 15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +91 s Time: 18:42 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +101 s Fehler: -10.1 s H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 145 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.6 s Gap behind: 5.8 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 40.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h Running and total Run: 37:16 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:44 / km Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 41 Gegner:innen, 145 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:15 (3:38 / km) Error: +1:01 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:39:12 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:42 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:17 (39.9 km/h) Run: 37:16 (3:44 / km) Total: 1:39:12 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 68.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 26	Like Huang CHN	+84 s +71 s	G4 / G5	39:45 35:13	1:39:32	Show details Prediction details: Like Huang Placement Prediction: 46 80% range: 46–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: 20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +84 s Time: 18:35 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +71 s Fehler: 12.8 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 41.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 1.5 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.44 km/h Running and total Run: 39:45 (3:59 / km) Historical basis: 3:57 / km Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:13 (3:31 / km) Error: +4:32 / +0:27 / km Overall prediction: 1:39:32 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 18:35 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 58:22 (41.1 km/h) Run: 39:45 (3:59 / km) Total: 1:39:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 61.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 56	Jianbin Lan CHN	+97 s +151 s	G5 / G8	37:52 39:51	1:39:48	Show details Prediction details: Jianbin Lan Placement Prediction: 47 80% range: 43–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 56 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +97 s Time: 18:48 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +151 s Fehler: -54.2 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 2.6 s Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 38.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.70 km/h Running and total Run: 37:52 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:51 (3:59 / km) Error: −1:59 / −0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:39:48 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 18:48 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:17 (39.9 km/h) Run: 37:52 (3:47 / km) Total: 1:39:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 74.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 55	Wt Dominic Carson HKG	+63 s +73 s	G2 / G5	41:24 42:35	1:39:58	Show details Prediction details: Wt Dominic Carson Placement Prediction: 48 80% range: 40–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 55 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +63 s Time: 18:14 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +73 s Fehler: -10.4 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 38 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (15 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.02 km/h Running and total Run: 41:24 (4:08 / km) Historical basis: 4:09 / km Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 7 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 21 % Ergebnis Lauf: 42:35 (4:16 / km) Error: −1:11 / −0:07 / km Overall prediction: 1:39:58 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:14 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:30 (41.7 km/h) Run: 41:24 (4:08 / km) Total: 1:39:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 40.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
49 / 28	Majuntie Wan CHN	+97 s +77 s	G5 / G5 correct	38:35 35:37	1:40:31	Show details Prediction details: Majuntie Wan Placement Prediction: 49 80% range: 35–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: 21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +97 s Time: 18:48 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +77 s Fehler: 19.7 s H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.8 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.06 km/h Running and total Run: 38:35 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:56 / km Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 109 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:37 (3:34 / km) Error: +2:58 / +0:18 / km Overall prediction: 1:40:31 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:48 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:17 (39.9 km/h) Run: 38:35 (3:52 / km) Total: 1:40:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:00 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m About 48.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +48.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 57	Changjiang Zhang CHN	+99 s +149 s	G5 / G9	40:02 41:20	1:41:58	Show details Prediction details: Changjiang Zhang Placement Prediction: 50 80% range: 49–51 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 57 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +99 s Time: 18:50 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +149 s Fehler: -49.6 s H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 39.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.6 s Gap behind: 13.5 s Result: Group 9 (3 people) Speed: 37.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.97 km/h Running and total Run: 40:02 (4:00 / km) Historical basis: 4:02 / km Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 41:20 (4:08 / km) Error: −1:18 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 1:41:58 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 18:50 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:00:17 (39.9 km/h) Run: 40:02 (4:00 / km) Total: 1:41:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 77.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
51 / 41	Yue Yu CHN	+181 s +117 s	G7 / G5	37:26 37:58	1:55:59	Show details Prediction details: Yue Yu Placement Prediction: 51 80% range: 52–52 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 41 Deviation: 10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +181 s Time: 20:12 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +117 s Fehler: 64.2 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.8 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 55.9 s Gap behind: 49.2 s Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 40.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -8.44 km/h Running and total Run: 37:26 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:43 / km Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:58 (3:48 / km) Error: −0:32 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 1:55:59 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 20:12 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:32 (31.8 km/h) Run: 37:26 (3:45 / km) Total: 1:55:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 159.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 58	Dongliang Cai CHN	+230 s +147 s	G8 / G9	38:42 42:40	2:07:22	Show details Prediction details: Dongliang Cai Placement Prediction: 52 80% range: 53–53 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 58 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +230 s Time: 21:01 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +147 s Fehler: 83.4 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 14 % Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 28.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 49.2 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 9 (3 people) Speed: 37.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -9.62 km/h Running and total Run: 38:42 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:50 / km Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.79 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 42:40 (4:16 / km) Error: −3:58 / −0:24 / km Overall prediction: 2:07:22 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 21:01 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:24:50 (28.3 km/h) Run: 38:42 (3:52 / km) Total: 2:07:22 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 208.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27	Faquan Bai CHN	+22 s +38 s	G3 / G4	36:12		Show details Prediction details: Faquan Bai Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 27 Deviation: -27 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +38 s Fehler: -15.7 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 48 % Speed: 41.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.2 s Gap behind: 4.8 s Result: Group 4 (5 people) Speed: 39.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.60 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 36:12 (3:37 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:33 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:50 (41.5 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 17:33 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m About 0.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +22 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32	Shengjun Sun CHN	+0 s +111 s	G0 / G5	36:28		Show details Prediction details: Shengjun Sun Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 54–54 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:11 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +111 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 40.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 36:28 (3:39 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:11 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36	Mingyu Wei CHN	+0 s +63 s	G0 / G5	37:05		Show details Prediction details: Mingyu Wei Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 55–55 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:11 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +63 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 37:05 (3:43 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:11 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44	Hao Zuo CHN	+0 s +108 s	G0 / G7	35:50		Show details Prediction details: Hao Zuo Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 56–56 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 44 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:11 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +108 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 38.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 35:50 (3:35 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:11 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50	Dongjoo Kim KOR	+0 s +141 s	G0 / G6	38:00		Show details Prediction details: Dongjoo Kim Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 57–57 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 50 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:11 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +141 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 39.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 38:00 (3:48 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:11 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51	Bingchen Yu CHN	+0 s +63 s	G0 / G5	40:02		Show details Prediction details: Bingchen Yu Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 58–58 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 51 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:11 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +63 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (19 people) Speed: 39.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 40:02 (4:00 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:11 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 53	Xincheng He CHN	+0 s +117 s	G0 / G6	38:38		Show details Prediction details: Xincheng He Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 59–59 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 53 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:11 Pace: 1:09 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +117 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 6 (7 people) Speed: 39.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 38:38 (3:52 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:11 (1:09 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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