Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

U15 Men

06.12.2025 Jeddah KSA
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Asia Triathlon Youth and U15 Championships Jeddah

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 06.12.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 43/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 45.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 63.6 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.9
Mean swim error21.3 s
Mean bike-speed error4.96 km/h
Correct bike groups5/14
No history8
Within the 80% range13.6 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Chak Yan Wan
HKG
+13 s
+5 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:49
6:15
 23:25
Show details
Prediction details: Chak Yan Wan

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 5:52
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -1.06 %, Sicherheit 37 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 98 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 8.3 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:49 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:15 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:34 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 23:25
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 5:52 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:15 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 6:49 (3:24 / km)
Total: 23:25
2 / 3 Leader Matthew Wisanggeni
INA
+21 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		6:53
6:26
 23:29
Show details
Prediction details: Leader Matthew Wisanggeni

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 6:00
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 11.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.3 s
Gap behind: 6.6 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:53 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:26 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 23:29
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:00 (1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 16:15 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 6:53 (3:26 / km)
Total: 23:29
3 / 2 Li-Je Huang
TPE
+28 s
+1 s
G2 / G1
 7:02
6:29
 24:33
Show details
Prediction details: Li-Je Huang

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:07
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 27.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:02 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:29 (3:15 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 24:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:07 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:03 (34.8 km/h)
Run: 7:02 (3:31 / km)
Total: 24:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 11.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 19 Fahad Abdulla Al-Kaabi
QAT
+48 s
+47 s
G3 / G3
correct 		6:59
7:47
 25:26
Show details
Prediction details: Fahad Abdulla Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 6:27
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 54 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 37.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:59 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:47 (3:54 / km)
Error: −0:48 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 25:26
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:27 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 6:59 (3:30 / km)
Total: 25:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 31.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 14 Ethan Chi-Onn Chang
SGP
+50 s
+34 s
G3 / G3
correct 		7:06
6:47
 25:33
Show details
Prediction details: Ethan Chi-Onn Chang

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 6:29
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 14 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:47 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 25:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:29 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 7:06 (3:33 / km)
Total: 25:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 32.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 12 Caleb Joel Barter
SGP
+28 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 8:02
7:59
 25:33
Show details
Prediction details: Caleb Joel Barter

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:07
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 36 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:59 (4:00 / km)
Error: +0:03 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 25:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:07 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:03 (34.8 km/h)
Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Total: 25:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 11 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 7 Feher Moussa
KSA
+45 s
+39 s
G3 / G2
 7:17
6:31
 25:44
Show details
Prediction details: Feher Moussa

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 6:24
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 34 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.0 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:17 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:31 (3:16 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 25:44
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:24 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 7:17 (3:38 / km)
Total: 25:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:03
Pace: 1:31 / 100 m
About 21.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +23.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 11 Jia Sheng Chu
TPE
+59 s
+22 s
G3 / G2
 7:27
7:16
 25:54
Show details
Prediction details: Jia Sheng Chu

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 6:38
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: 36.6 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.7 s
Gap behind: 13.3 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:27 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:44 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:16 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:11 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 25:54
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:38 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 7:27 (3:43 / km)
Total: 25:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 41.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 10 Tze Kiu Tam
HKG
+37 s
+21 s
G3 / G2
 7:34
6:52
 26:01
Show details
Prediction details: Tze Kiu Tam

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 6:16
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 16.3 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 8.0 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:34 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:52 (3:26 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 26:01
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:16 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 7:34 (3:47 / km)
Total: 26:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 20.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 13 Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi
QAT
+50 s
+38 s
G3 / G2
 7:43
7:37
 26:10
Show details
Prediction details: Shaheen Abdulla Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 8–11
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 6:29
Pace: 1:37 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: 11.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 8.7 s
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:43 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 45 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:37 (3:49 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 26:10
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 6:29 (1:37 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 7:43 (3:51 / km)
Total: 26:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 33 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 5 Chi Yan Ian Chung
HKG
+33 s
+0 s
G3 / G1
 8:30
7:05
 26:57
Show details
Prediction details: Chi Yan Ian Chung

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 24 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 6:12
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 32.7 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:30 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.80 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:05 (3:33 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:42 / km
Overall prediction: 26:57
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:12 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:28 (33.9 km/h)
Run: 8:30 (4:15 / km)
Total: 26:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 15.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 20 Johan Joey Marcelo
PHI
+72 s
+45 s
G4 / G3
 7:04
8:40
 27:25
Show details
Prediction details: Johan Joey Marcelo

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 30 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +72 s
Time: 6:51
Pace: 1:43 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +45 s
Fehler: 26.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 13.3 s
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.68 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:04 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:40 (4:20 / km)
Error: −1:36 / −0:48 / km
Overall prediction: 27:25
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:51 (1:43 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:06 (31.1 km/h)
Run: 7:04 (3:32 / km)
Total: 27:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 55 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 21 Khalid Jassim Al-Kaabi
QAT
+75 s
+42 s
G4 / G4
correct 		8:02
7:39
 28:23
Show details
Prediction details: Khalid Jassim Al-Kaabi

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +75 s
Time: 6:54
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 33.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 35 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 35.4 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:39 (3:50 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 28:23
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:54 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:06 (31.1 km/h)
Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Total: 28:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 58.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 22 Davian Yi Kai Yeo
SGP
+111 s
+54 s
G5 / G4
 9:21
8:04
 32:23
Show details
Prediction details: Davian Yi Kai Yeo

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +111 s
Time: 7:30
Pace: 1:53 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +54 s
Fehler: 56.6 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.13 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 35.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 9:21 (4:41 / km)
Historical basis: 4:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:47 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.23 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:04 (4:02 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 32:23
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 7:30 (1:53 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 21:11 (28.0 km/h)
Run: 9:21 (4:41 / km)
Total: 32:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
About 93.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +16.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 4 Yik Hei Lau
HKG
+0 s
+4 s
G0 / G1
6:46
Show details
Prediction details: Yik Hei Lau

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 4
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:46 (3:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Mohammadparsa Siampour
IRI
+0 s
+8 s
G0 / G1
7:05
Show details
Prediction details: Mohammadparsa Siampour

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:05 (3:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 8 Maximilian Hoehn
UAE
+0 s
+43 s
G0 / G2
6:35
Show details
Prediction details: Maximilian Hoehn

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 6:35 (3:18 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 9 Eraly Seitbek
KAZ
+0 s
+2 s
G0 / G1
7:20
Show details
Prediction details: Eraly Seitbek

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (8 people)
Speed: 40.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Arvin Moghimi
IRI
+0 s
+18 s
G0 / G2
7:54
Show details
Prediction details: Arvin Moghimi

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +18 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:54 (3:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Mohammad Sam Ghahremany
IRI
+0 s
+7 s
G0 / G2
7:50
Show details
Prediction details: Mohammad Sam Ghahremany

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:50 (3:55 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 17 Rohan Pingol
PHI
+0 s
+13 s
G0 / G2
8:11
Show details
Prediction details: Rohan Pingol

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:11 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 18 Amirali Masaeli
IRI
+0 s
+24 s
G0 / G2
8:38
Show details
Prediction details: Amirali Masaeli

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:39
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (9 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:38 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:39 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.