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Youth Women

06.12.2025 Jeddah KSA
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Asia Triathlon Youth and U15 Championships Jeddah

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 06.12.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 45/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 60.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error4.1
Mean swim error25.4 s
Mean bike-speed error5.40 km/h
Correct bike groups4/16
No history4
Within the 80% range40.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 3 Diana Biktimirova
UZB
+1 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		7:27
7:26
 25:23
Show details
Prediction details: Diana Biktimirova

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1 s
Time: 5:57
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 1.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 15.0 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:27 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:26 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:01 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 25:23
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 5:57 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:55 (33.1 km/h)
Run: 7:27 (3:43 / km)
Total: 25:23
2 / 1 Sarah Modiano
HKG
+43 s
+26 s
G2 / G1
 6:52
7:07
 26:30
Show details
Prediction details: Sarah Modiano

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 4–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 6:39
Pace: 1:40 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 17.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.4 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 6:52 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:07 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 26:30
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:39 (1:40 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 6:52 (3:26 / km)
Total: 26:30
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 38.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 20 Charlene Lee
TPE
+59 s
+50 s
G2 / G6
 7:38
8:20
 27:16
Show details
Prediction details: Charlene Lee

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 6:55
Pace: 1:44 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +50 s
Fehler: 8.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 17 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 18.6 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 27.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:38 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:20 (4:10 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 27:16
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:55 (1:44 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 7:38 (3:49 / km)
Total: 27:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 53.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 8 Charlotte Thurston
UAE
+79 s
+23 s
G2 / G1
 7:48
8:15
 27:26
Show details
Prediction details: Charlotte Thurston

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 6–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +79 s
Time: 7:15
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +23 s
Fehler: 55.5 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 7.3 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:48 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:15 (4:08 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 27:26
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:15 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 7:48 (3:54 / km)
Total: 27:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 73.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 9 Aida Kim
KAZ
+77 s
+34 s
G2 / G2
correct 		7:49
7:25
 27:27
Show details
Prediction details: Aida Kim

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–13
Top-10 probability: 65 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +77 s
Time: 7:13
Pace: 1:48 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: 43.3 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 18.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:49 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:25 (3:43 / km)
Error: +0:24 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 27:27
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 7:13 (1:48 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 7:49 (3:54 / km)
Total: 27:27
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 72.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 4 Lai Ki Nicole Man
HKG
+52 s
+1 s
G2 / G1
 7:56
7:34
 27:34
Show details
Prediction details: Lai Ki Nicole Man

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 6:48
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 51.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:56 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 4:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.89 %, Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:34 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:22 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 27:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:48 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 7:56 (3:58 / km)
Total: 27:34
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 47.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 7 Lok Tung Wong
HKG
+16 s
+3 s
G2 / G1
 8:02
8:02
 27:40
Show details
Prediction details: Lok Tung Wong

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–11
Top-10 probability: 84 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 6:12
Pace: 1:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.46 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 15.0 s
Gap behind: 5.4 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.27 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 27:40
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:12 (1:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 8:02 (4:01 / km)
Total: 27:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 11 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 14 Ralina Artykkhodzhaeva
KGZ
+51 s
+49 s
G2 / G3
 8:11
8:03
 27:49
Show details
Prediction details: Ralina Artykkhodzhaeva

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 2.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 38 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:11 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:03 (4:02 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 27:49
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:47 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 8:11 (4:06 / km)
Total: 27:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 46.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 18 Hayley Tsang
HKG
+51 s
+26 s
G2 / G1
 8:11
11:53
 27:49
Show details
Prediction details: Hayley Tsang

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 8–12
Top-10 probability: 56 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 6:47
Pace: 1:42 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 24.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.32 %, Sicherheit 30 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -7.04 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:11 (4:06 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.40 %, Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 11:53 (5:57 / km)
Error: −3:42 / −1:51 / km
Overall prediction: 27:49
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 6:47 (1:42 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 8:11 (4:06 / km)
Total: 27:49
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 45.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 10 Dayana Lukienko
UZB
+86 s
+43 s
G3 / G2
 7:48
7:49
 28:20
Show details
Prediction details: Dayana Lukienko

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–13
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +86 s
Time: 7:22
Pace: 1:51 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 42.8 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.3 s
Gap behind: 14.0 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.81 km/h

Running and total

Run: 7:48 (3:54 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 23 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:49 (3:55 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 28:20
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:22 (1:51 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 19:07 (31.1 km/h)
Run: 7:48 (3:54 / km)
Total: 28:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 80.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 12 Nica Eapen
SGP
+21 s
+7 s
G2 / G2
correct 		8:51
7:55
 28:29
Show details
Prediction details: Nica Eapen

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–13
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 6:17
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 11 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.4 s
Gap behind: 6.5 s
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:51 (4:25 / km)
Historical basis: 4:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:55 (3:58 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 28:29
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:17 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 8:51 (4:25 / km)
Total: 28:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 16.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 17 Nyla Sajan
CAN
+28 s
+36 s
G2 / G3
 10:03
9:23
 29:41
Show details
Prediction details: Nyla Sajan

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 14–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 6:24
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -8.1 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.5 s
Gap behind: 7.7 s
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 36.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:03 (5:02 / km)
Historical basis: 5:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:23 (4:42 / km)
Error: +0:40 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 29:41
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 6:24 (1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: 10:03 (5:02 / km)
Total: 29:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 23 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 15 Angelina Blindul
KGZ
+119 s
+66 s
G4 / G3
 8:08
8:32
 30:21
Show details
Prediction details: Angelina Blindul

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 13–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +119 s
Time: 7:55
Pace: 1:59 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +66 s
Fehler: 52.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.0 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (3 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -8.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 8:08 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:57 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:32 (4:16 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 30:21
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 7:55 (1:59 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:15 (28.9 km/h)
Run: 8:08 (4:04 / km)
Total: 30:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 113.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 19 Sofya Aloraibi
BRN
+100 s
+67 s
G4 / G5
 10:24
9:37
 32:37
Show details
Prediction details: Sofya Aloraibi

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +100 s
Time: 7:36
Pace: 1:54 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +67 s
Fehler: 32.8 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 28.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 14.0 s
Gap behind: 19.0 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 30.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 10:24 (5:12 / km)
Historical basis: 5:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 9:37 (4:49 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 32:37
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 7:36 (1:54 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 20:15 (28.9 km/h)
Run: 10:24 (5:12 / km)
Total: 32:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 94.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 2 Maurizka Nur Azizah
INA
+0 s
+7 s
G1 / G1
correct
7:13
Show details
Prediction details: Maurizka Nur Azizah

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: -7.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:13 (3:37 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 5:56 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 17:55 (33.1 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 5 Jeanette Abigail Martino
INA
+0 s
+7 s
G0 / G1
7:30
Show details
Prediction details: Jeanette Abigail Martino

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 17–17
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:30 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:56 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Saya Souri
JPN
+36 s
+3 s
G2 / G1
7:46
Show details
Prediction details: Saya Souri

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 6:32
Pace: 1:38 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 32.6 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (11 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.7 s
Gap behind: 7.4 s
Result: Group 1 (9 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:46 (3:53 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 6:32 (1:38 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 18:19 (32.4 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 6:01
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
About 30.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +4.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11 Yuna Tamagawa
JPN
+0 s
+6 s
G0 / G2
7:47
Show details
Prediction details: Yuna Tamagawa

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 18–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 7:47 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:56 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13 Yu-Han Hung
TPE
+0 s
+31 s
G0 / G2
8:07
Show details
Prediction details: Yu-Han Hung

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 19–19
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 13
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (5 people)
Speed: 36.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:07 (4:04 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:56 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 16 Yui Tominaga
JPN
+0 s
+52 s
G0 / G4
8:24
Show details
Prediction details: Yui Tominaga

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 20–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 5:56
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 35.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:24 (4:12 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 5:56 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.