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Elite Women

20.08.2025 Playa San José, Encarnación. PAR
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Asuncion Junior Pan-American Games

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 20.08.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 66/100 mittel
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 92.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 96.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error5.0
Mean swim error18.3 s
Mean bike-speed error3.21 km/h
Correct bike groups8/27
No history0
Within the 80% range37.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Naomi Ruff
USA
+14 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:23
17:02
 49:52
Show details
Prediction details: Naomi Ruff

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 2–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 10:01
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 9.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 74 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 9.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:02 (3:24 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 49:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Total: 49:52
2 / 2 Sidney Clement
CAN
+5 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:05
17:18
 50:34
Show details
Prediction details: Sidney Clement

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +5 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.8 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 50:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Total: 50:34
3 / 8 Molly Lakustiak
CAN
+34 s
+37 s
G2 / G2
correct 		17:53
18:08
 51:02
Show details
Prediction details: Molly Lakustiak

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: -2.9 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 20 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.3 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:34 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 51:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:21 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:35 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 17:53 (3:35 / km)
Total: 51:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 10 Jimena Renata De La Peña Schott
USA
+23 s
+35 s
G2 / G2
correct 		18:12
18:39
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Jimena Renata De La Peña Schott

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -12.4 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Historical basis: 3:39 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 12
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −0:27 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:35 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Total: 51:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:06
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 4.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 12 Zoe Adam
PUR
+9 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:52
20:30
 51:21
Show details
Prediction details: Zoe Adam

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +9 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 97 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.8 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:30 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.89 %, Sicherheit 93 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:30 (4:06 / km)
Error: −1:38 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 51:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:15 (36.9 km/h)
Run: 18:52 (3:46 / km)
Total: 51:21
6 / 3 Julia Visgueiro
BRA
+25 s
+5 s
G2 / G1
 18:24
17:22
 51:33
Show details
Prediction details: Julia Visgueiro

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 4–9
Top-10 probability: 96 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 10:12
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 9.3 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 51:33
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:12 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:35 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 18:24 (3:41 / km)
Total: 51:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 7.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 4 María López Faraudo
MEX
+60 s
+88 s
G4 / G2
 17:11
16:40
 52:57
Show details
Prediction details: María López Faraudo

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 5–12
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +88 s
Fehler: -27.9 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.9 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 40.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.76 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 99 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:31 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 52:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Total: 52:57
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 25.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 5 Rafaela Capó
CHI
+23 s
+3 s
G2 / G1
 19:53
18:35
 53:02
Show details
Prediction details: Rafaela Capó

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 19.6 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (5 people)
Speed: 39.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.57 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 53:02
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 32:35 (36.3 km/h)
Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Total: 53:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:05
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +17.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 16 María Emilia Vargas
ARG
+60 s
+56 s
G4 / G3
 18:30
18:31
 54:16
Show details
Prediction details: María Emilia Vargas

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–15
Top-10 probability: 19 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 10:47
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 4.2 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 35.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:31 (3:42 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 54:16
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:47 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: 54:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 47.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 7 Maria De Los Angeles Bonilla Garcia
ECU
+43 s
+36 s
G3 / G2
 19:22
18:05
 54:20
Show details
Prediction details: Maria De Los Angeles Bonilla Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 7–14
Top-10 probability: 35 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 10:30
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.6 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:00 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 11
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 90 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:05 (3:37 / km)
Error: +1:17 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 54:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:13 (34.7 km/h)
Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Total: 54:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:21
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 8.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +34.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 20 Luna Roman lafalla
ARG
+56 s
+95 s
G4 / G4
correct 		19:07
20:05
 54:53
Show details
Prediction details: Luna Roman lafalla

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 10–18
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:43
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: -38.8 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 3.9 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 35.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:05 (4:01 / km)
Error: −0:58 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 54:53
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 10:43 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Total: 54:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 43.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 17 Camila Victoria Alcala Rosales
HON
+50 s
+91 s
G4 / G4
correct 		19:09
18:54
 54:55
Show details
Prediction details: Camila Victoria Alcala Rosales

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 36 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +91 s
Fehler: -41.2 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.1 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:52 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:01 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:54 (3:47 / km)
Error: +0:15 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 54:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Total: 54:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 36.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 9 Yaniuska Mared Jimenez Arriechi
VEN
+55 s
+77 s
G4 / G2
 20:13
18:19
 55:59
Show details
Prediction details: Yaniuska Mared Jimenez Arriechi

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 11–20
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +55 s
Time: 10:42
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: -21.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 39.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: +1:54 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 55:59
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:42 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Total: 55:59
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 42.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 15 Sol Ottenhsimer Schreiber
CHI
+46 s
+41 s
G3 / G2
 21:11
21:42
 56:09
Show details
Prediction details: Sol Ottenhsimer Schreiber

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 13–20
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 10:33
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +41 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 4.1 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:11 (4:14 / km)
Historical basis: 4:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Error: −0:31 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 56:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:13 (34.7 km/h)
Run: 21:11 (4:14 / km)
Total: 56:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 32.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 13 Maria Clara Abreu Borges Cunha
BRA
+45 s
+35 s
G3 / G2
 21:15
20:56
 56:13
Show details
Prediction details: Maria Clara Abreu Borges Cunha

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +45 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 9.9 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:15 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.91 %, Sicherheit 98 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:56 (4:11 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 56:13
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:32 (1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:13 (34.7 km/h)
Run: 21:15 (4:15 / km)
Total: 56:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 32 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 6 Regina Michel Camacho
MEX
+71 s
+36 s
G5 / G2
 19:09
17:30
 56:51
Show details
Prediction details: Regina Michel Camacho

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 9–19
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +71 s
Time: 10:58
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: 35.4 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.3 s
Gap behind: 12.0 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.34 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:30 (3:30 / km)
Error: +1:39 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 56:51
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:58 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:30 (32.5 km/h)
Run: 19:09 (3:50 / km)
Total: 56:51
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 58.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 21 Salamah Mahroos Diez
CUB
+68 s
+103 s
G5 / G6
 19:40
19:49
 57:22
Show details
Prediction details: Salamah Mahroos Diez

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 12–21
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +68 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +103 s
Fehler: -35.3 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.62 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.48 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 68 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:49 (3:58 / km)
Error: −0:09 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 57:22
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:30 (32.5 km/h)
Run: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Total: 57:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 54.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 27 Damelys Adiley Castillo Rodriguez
VEN
+61 s
+95 s
G4 / G6
 21:58
26:25
 57:44
Show details
Prediction details: Damelys Adiley Castillo Rodriguez

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 16–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 10:48
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +95 s
Fehler: -33.7 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 4.4 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Historical basis: 4:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:25 (5:17 / km)
Error: −4:27 / −0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 57:44
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:48 (1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: 21:58 (4:24 / km)
Total: 57:44
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 48.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 18 Valeria Arce Núñez
CRC
+83 s
+101 s
G6 / G4
 20:21
19:25
 58:12
Show details
Prediction details: Valeria Arce Núñez

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +83 s
Time: 11:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +101 s
Fehler: -17.6 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 12.0 s
Gap behind: 17.9 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.32 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.38 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:25 (3:53 / km)
Error: +0:56 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 58:12
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:10 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:27 (32.6 km/h)
Run: 20:21 (4:04 / km)
Total: 58:12
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 70.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 11 Bivian Andrea Luisita Diaz Fuentes
GUA
+69 s
+64 s
G5 / G2
 20:49
18:56
 58:31
Show details
Prediction details: Bivian Andrea Luisita Diaz Fuentes

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 16–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +64 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.99 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Historical basis: 4:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 50 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Error: +1:53 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 58:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:30 (32.5 km/h)
Run: 20:49 (4:10 / km)
Total: 58:31
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 56.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 23 Ariana Borbón Quirós
CRC
+66 s
+94 s
G5 / G6
 21:22
21:16
 59:04
Show details
Prediction details: Ariana Borbón Quirós

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 16–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 23
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 10:53
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: -28.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 92 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.4 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.35 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:22 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:16 (4:15 / km)
Error: +0:06 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 59:04
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:53 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:30 (32.5 km/h)
Run: 21:22 (4:16 / km)
Total: 59:04
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 52.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 22 Melanie Agreda Herrera
ECU
+101 s
+89 s
G7 / G6
 20:16
20:12
 59:29
Show details
Prediction details: Melanie Agreda Herrera

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 19–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +101 s
Time: 11:28
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +89 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.85 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.9 s
Gap behind: 19.6 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 34.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:02 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:12 (4:02 / km)
Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 59:29
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:28 (1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:07 (32.1 km/h)
Run: 20:16 (4:03 / km)
Total: 59:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 88.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 14 Claudia Gurri Naranjo
CUB
+39 s
+39 s
G3 / G2
 26:52
21:24
 1:01:50
Show details
Prediction details: Claudia Gurri Naranjo

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 24–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: 9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -0.4 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 0.84 %, Sicherheit 99 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 4.6 s
Result: Group 2 (10 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.29 km/h

Running and total

Run: 26:52 (5:22 / km)
Historical basis: 5:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:45 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -1.97 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:24 (4:17 / km)
Error: +5:28 / +1:06 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:50
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 10:26 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:13 (34.7 km/h)
Run: 26:52 (5:22 / km)
Total: 1:01:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 25.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 24 María Jimena Ansin
PAN
+69 s
+102 s
G5 / G6
 24:27
22:19
 1:02:09
Show details
Prediction details: María Jimena Ansin

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 23–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +69 s
Time: 10:56
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +102 s
Fehler: -32.9 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (5 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 2.3 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 35.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 24:27 (4:53 / km)
Historical basis: 4:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:19 (4:28 / km)
Error: +2:08 / +0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:09
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 36:30 (32.5 km/h)
Run: 24:27 (4:53 / km)
Total: 1:02:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 56.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 26 Kaya Rankine Beadle
TTO
+126 s
+126 s
G7 / G7
correct 		23:28
21:51
 1:02:41
Show details
Prediction details: Kaya Rankine Beadle

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 25–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +126 s
Time: 11:53
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +126 s
Fehler: 0.1 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 44 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.2 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:28 (4:42 / km)
Historical basis: 4:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:51 (4:22 / km)
Error: +1:37 / +0:19 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:41
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:53 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:07 (32.1 km/h)
Run: 23:28 (4:42 / km)
Total: 1:02:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 113.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 19 Isis Gaskin
BAR
+121 s
+100 s
G7 / G5
 23:39
19:12
 1:02:52
Show details
Prediction details: Isis Gaskin

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 25–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +121 s
Time: 11:48
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +100 s
Fehler: 20.9 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 7 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 19.6 s
Gap behind: 5.2 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.25 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:39 (4:44 / km)
Historical basis: 4:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 40 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:12 (3:50 / km)
Error: +4:27 / +0:53 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:52
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 11:48 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:07 (32.1 km/h)
Run: 23:39 (4:44 / km)
Total: 1:02:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 108 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 25 Ana Victoria Portillo Prono
PAR
+51 s
+94 s
G4 / G6
22:45
Show details
Prediction details: Ana Victoria Portillo Prono

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 10:38
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +94 s
Fehler: -42.9 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 34.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 6 (6 people)
Speed: 34.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:45 (4:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:45 (34.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
About 38.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +12.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.