Prediction comparison

Elite Men

17.08.2025 Thiersee AUT

Race information and calculation basis

2025 AUT Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 17.08.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v15 Default values

Prediction quality 28/100 sehr niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 16.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 42.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error12.2

Mean swim error160.0 s

Mean bike-speed error3.57 km/h

Correct bike groups1/34

No history16

Within the 80% range8.0 %

						Details
1 / 2	Lukas Pertl AUT	+38 s +48 s	G1 / G2	30:59 32:33	1:29:34	Show details Prediction details: Lukas Pertl Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 7–10 Top-10 probability: 99 % Result: 2 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +38 s Time: 18:14 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +48 s Fehler: -10.4 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.39 %, Sicherheit 64 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 90 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.7 s Gap behind: 13.8 s Result: Group 2 (1 people) Speed: 40.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.58 km/h Running and total Run: 30:59 (3:06 / km) Historical basis: 3:08 / km Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.88 %, Sicherheit 59 % Ergebnis Lauf: 32:33 (3:15 / km) Error: −1:34 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 1:29:34 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:14 (1:13 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: 30:59 (3:06 / km) Total: 1:29:34
2 / 1	Tjebbe Kaindl AUT	+15 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	31:32 33:19	1:30:07	Show details Prediction details: Tjebbe Kaindl Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 7–10 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 1 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +15 s Time: 17:51 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 15.0 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 19 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 96 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 15.0 s Gap behind: 12.9 s Result: Group 1 (1 people) Speed: 41.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.27 km/h Running and total Run: 31:32 (3:09 / km) Historical basis: 3:11 / km Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 17 % Ergebnis Lauf: 33:19 (3:20 / km) Error: −1:47 / −0:11 / km Overall prediction: 1:30:07 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 17:51 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: 31:32 (3:09 / km) Total: 1:30:07
3 / 7	Raphael Petrovic AUT	+76 s +137 s	G2 / G5	34:43 36:02	1:33:55	Show details Prediction details: Raphael Petrovic Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 11–14 Top-10 probability: 1 % Result: 7 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +76 s Time: 18:52 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +137 s Fehler: -61.4 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 41.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.0 s Gap behind: 11.4 s Result: Group 5 (2 people) Speed: 39.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.45 km/h Running and total Run: 34:43 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 36:02 (3:36 / km) Error: −1:19 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 1:33:55 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 18:52 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:56 (41.4 km/h) Run: 34:43 (3:28 / km) Total: 1:33:55 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 15.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 5	Moritz Meier AUT	+51 s +97 s	G1 / G5	35:27 35:45	1:34:02	Show details Prediction details: Moritz Meier Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 11–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 5 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +51 s Time: 18:27 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +97 s Fehler: -45.6 s H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.68 %, Sicherheit 71 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 55 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 13.8 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 5 (2 people) Speed: 38.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.00 km/h Running and total Run: 35:27 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 64 % Ergebnis Lauf: 35:45 (3:35 / km) Error: −0:18 / −0:02 / km Overall prediction: 1:34:02 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:27 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: 35:27 (3:33 / km) Total: 1:34:02
5 / 4	Jakob Meier AUT	+53 s +62 s	G1 / G4	36:30 37:12	1:35:05	Show details Prediction details: Jakob Meier Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 12–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 4 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +53 s Time: 18:29 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +62 s Fehler: -9.3 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 45 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 64 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 3.1 s Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 39.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.04 km/h Running and total Run: 36:30 (3:39 / km) Historical basis: 3:39 / km Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 42 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:12 (3:43 / km) Error: −0:42 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:05 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:29 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: 36:30 (3:39 / km) Total: 1:35:05
6 / 3	Rafael Lukatsch AUT	+70 s +50 s	G2 / G3	35:55 34:00	1:35:07	Show details Prediction details: Rafael Lukatsch Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 11–14 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 3 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +70 s Time: 18:46 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +50 s Fehler: 19.6 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 33 % Speed: 41.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 13.8 s Gap behind: 2.0 s Result: Group 3 (1 people) Speed: 40.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.36 km/h Running and total Run: 35:55 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 34:00 (3:24 / km) Error: +1:55 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 1:35:07 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 18:46 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:56 (41.4 km/h) Run: 35:55 (3:35 / km) Total: 1:35:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 9.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 10	Martin Mitteregger AUT	+72 s +135 s	G2 / G8	40:55 41:56	1:40:07	Show details Prediction details: Martin Mitteregger Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 15–15 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 10 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +72 s Time: 18:48 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +135 s Fehler: -63.4 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 21 % Speed: 41.4 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.0 s Gap behind: 4.0 s Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 36.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.79 km/h Running and total Run: 40:55 (4:06 / km) Historical basis: 4:06 / km Best comparable pace: 4:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 41:56 (4:12 / km) Error: −1:01 / −0:06 / km Overall prediction: 1:40:07 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 18:48 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:56 (41.4 km/h) Run: 40:55 (4:06 / km) Total: 1:40:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 11.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 23	Jonas Gröbminger AUT	+56 s +153 s	G1 / G20	44:10 42:06	1:42:45	Show details Prediction details: Jonas Gröbminger Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 16–17 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: -15 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +56 s Time: 18:32 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +153 s Fehler: -97.2 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.77 %, Sicherheit 28 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 49 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.1 s Gap behind: 13.8 s Result: Group 20 (2 people) Speed: 32.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.81 km/h Running and total Run: 44:10 (4:25 / km) Historical basis: 4:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -1.63 %, Sicherheit 25 % Ergebnis Lauf: 42:06 (4:13 / km) Error: +2:04 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:42:45 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 18:32 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: 44:10 (4:25 / km) Total: 1:42:45
9 / 25	Vincent Hummel AUT	+249 s +328 s	G4 / G26	35:36 39:14	1:43:27	Show details Prediction details: Vincent Hummel Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 16–17 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +249 s Time: 21:45 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +328 s Fehler: -78.7 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 5.4 s Result: Group 26 (2 people) Speed: 31.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.63 km/h Running and total Run: 35:36 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:14 (3:55 / km) Error: −3:38 / −0:22 / km Overall prediction: 1:43:27 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 21:45 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 35:36 (3:34 / km) Total: 1:43:27 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:35 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 189.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 11	Roman Seigmann AUT	+312 s +249 s	G5 / G13	37:52 39:07	1:46:04	Show details Prediction details: Roman Seigmann Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 18–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +312 s Time: 22:48 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +249 s Fehler: 63.3 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.3 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 13 (1 people) Speed: 35.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.59 km/h Running and total Run: 37:52 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:48 / km Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:07 (3:55 / km) Error: −1:15 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 1:46:04 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 22:48 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:58 (38.1 km/h) Run: 37:52 (3:47 / km) Total: 1:46:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:35 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 252.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 17	Ferdinand Perik AUT	+89 s +212 s	G3 / G16	41:36 39:47	1:46:19	Show details Prediction details: Ferdinand Perik Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 19–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +89 s Time: 19:05 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +212 s Fehler: -123.3 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 29 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 33.0 s Result: Group 16 (1 people) Speed: 34.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.61 km/h Running and total Run: 41:36 (4:10 / km) Historical basis: 4:12 / km Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 23 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:47 (3:59 / km) Error: +1:49 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 1:46:19 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 19:05 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:14 (38.0 km/h) Run: 41:36 (4:10 / km) Total: 1:46:19 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 29 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 16	Martin Leirer AUT	+314 s +381 s	G5 / G14	38:27 40:43	1:46:39	Show details Prediction details: Martin Leirer Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 18–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +314 s Time: 22:50 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +381 s Fehler: -67.0 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.77 %, Sicherheit 56 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 18, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 17.9 s Result: Group 14 (1 people) Speed: 36.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.93 km/h Running and total Run: 38:27 (3:51 / km) Historical basis: 3:49 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.80 %, Sicherheit 54 % Ergebnis Lauf: 40:43 (4:04 / km) Error: −2:16 / −0:14 / km Overall prediction: 1:46:39 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 22:50 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:58 (38.1 km/h) Run: 38:27 (3:51 / km) Total: 1:46:39 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 254.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 22	Markus Gstaltner AUT	+178 s +214 s	G4 / G20	38:52 41:58	1:46:43	Show details Prediction details: Markus Gstaltner Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 19–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -9 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +178 s Time: 20:34 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +214 s Fehler: -36.2 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.66 %, Sicherheit 53 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 49.8 s Gap behind: 20.2 s Result: Group 20 (2 people) Speed: 33.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.74 km/h Running and total Run: 38:52 (3:53 / km) Historical basis: 3:52 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.72 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 41:58 (4:12 / km) Error: −3:06 / −0:19 / km Overall prediction: 1:46:43 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 20:34 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 38:52 (3:53 / km) Total: 1:46:43 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 118.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 14	Kilian Kaml AUT	+28 s +79 s	G1 / G9	48:11 42:39	1:46:46	Show details Prediction details: Kilian Kaml Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 20–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +28 s Time: 18:04 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +79 s Fehler: -51.1 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 78 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.9 s Gap behind: 9.7 s Result: Group 9 (1 people) Speed: 35.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.68 km/h Running and total Run: 48:11 (4:49 / km) Historical basis: 4:52 / km Best comparable pace: 4:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -1.12 %, Sicherheit 27 % Ergebnis Lauf: 42:39 (4:16 / km) Error: +5:32 / +0:33 / km Overall prediction: 1:46:46 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 18:04 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: 48:11 (4:49 / km) Total: 1:46:46
15 / 9	Rene Groinig AUT	+122 s +330 s	G4 / G12	39:51 37:50	1:47:42	Show details Prediction details: Rene Groinig Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 20–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 9 Deviation: 6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +122 s Time: 19:38 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +330 s Fehler: -208.3 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 11 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 33.0 s Gap behind: 6.3 s Result: Group 12 (1 people) Speed: 36.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.62 km/h Running and total Run: 39:51 (3:59 / km) Historical basis: 3:59 / km Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:50 (3:47 / km) Error: +2:01 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 1:47:42 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 19:38 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 39:51 (3:59 / km) Total: 1:47:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 62 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 15	Andreas Tischler AUT	+217 s +374 s	G4 / G15	41:31 39:55	1:49:22	Show details Prediction details: Andreas Tischler Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 23–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +217 s Time: 21:13 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +374 s Fehler: -157.1 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 11 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 12, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 18.9 s Gap behind: 31.5 s Result: Group 15 (1 people) Speed: 36.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.81 km/h Running and total Run: 41:31 (4:09 / km) Historical basis: 4:09 / km Best comparable pace: 4:09 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:55 (4:00 / km) Error: +1:36 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 1:49:22 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 21:13 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 41:31 (4:09 / km) Total: 1:49:22 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 157.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 12	Nicolas Kaufmann AUT	+429 s +332 s	G6 / G17	37:51 37:42	1:49:30	Show details Prediction details: Nicolas Kaufmann Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 24–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +429 s Time: 24:45 Pace: 1:39 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +332 s Fehler: 96.5 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -1.27 %, Sicherheit 53 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 20, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 96.6 s Gap behind: 12.8 s Result: Group 17 (1 people) Speed: 35.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.34 km/h Running and total Run: 37:51 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:47 / km Best comparable pace: 3:47 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 54 % Ergebnis Lauf: 37:42 (3:46 / km) Error: +0:09 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 1:49:30 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 24:45 (1:39 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:17 (37.3 km/h) Run: 37:51 (3:47 / km) Total: 1:49:30 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 368.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 20	Michael Kulac AUT	+441 s +453 s	G6 / G21	39:07 40:48	1:50:46	Show details Prediction details: Michael Kulac Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 26–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 20 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +441 s Time: 24:57 Pace: 1:40 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +453 s Fehler: -11.7 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 30 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 21, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.8 s Gap behind: 80.9 s Result: Group 21 (1 people) Speed: 35.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.19 km/h Running and total Run: 39:07 (3:55 / km) Historical basis: 3:55 / km Best comparable pace: 3:55 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 30 % Ergebnis Lauf: 40:48 (4:05 / km) Error: −1:41 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 1:50:46 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 24:57 (1:40 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:17 (37.3 km/h) Run: 39:07 (3:55 / km) Total: 1:50:46 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:35 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 381.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 33	Sebastian Reisch AUT	+248 s +299 s	G4 / G25	43:05 46:16	1:50:56	Show details Prediction details: Sebastian Reisch Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 25–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 33 Deviation: -14 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +248 s Time: 21:44 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +299 s Fehler: -50.6 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 13, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 31.5 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 25 (4 people) Speed: 31.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.66 km/h Running and total Run: 43:05 (4:19 / km) Historical basis: 4:19 / km Best comparable pace: 4:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 46:16 (4:38 / km) Error: −3:11 / −0:19 / km Overall prediction: 1:50:56 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 21:44 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 43:05 (4:19 / km) Total: 1:50:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:35 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 188.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 39	Wolfgang Ofenböck AUT	+289 s +718 s	G4 / G30	44:03 47:17	1:51:54	Show details Prediction details: Wolfgang Ofenböck Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 27–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 39 Deviation: -19 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +289 s Time: 22:25 Pace: 1:30 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +718 s Fehler: -429.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.7 s Gap behind: 14.0 s Result: Group 30 (1 people) Speed: 33.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.90 km/h Running and total Run: 44:03 (4:24 / km) Historical basis: 4:24 / km Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 47:17 (4:44 / km) Error: −3:14 / −0:19 / km Overall prediction: 1:51:54 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 22:25 (1:30 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 44:03 (4:24 / km) Total: 1:51:54 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 229.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 26	David Marihart AUT	+277 s +462 s	G4 / G25	44:32 40:15	1:52:23	Show details Prediction details: David Marihart Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 27–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +277 s Time: 22:13 Pace: 1:29 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +462 s Fehler: -185.2 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 22 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 15, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 22.1 s Gap behind: 8.5 s Result: Group 25 (4 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.63 km/h Running and total Run: 44:32 (4:27 / km) Historical basis: 4:30 / km Best comparable pace: 4:30 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.20 %, Sicherheit 22 % Ergebnis Lauf: 40:15 (4:02 / km) Error: +4:17 / +0:26 / km Overall prediction: 1:52:23 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 22:13 (1:29 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 44:32 (4:27 / km) Total: 1:52:23 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 217.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 18	Robert Haidinger AUT	+255 s +511 s	G4 / G22	44:37 39:23	1:52:28	Show details Prediction details: Robert Haidinger Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 28–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +255 s Time: 21:51 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +511 s Fehler: -256.3 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.63 %, Sicherheit 22 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 14, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.4 s Gap behind: 22.1 s Result: Group 22 (1 people) Speed: 35.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.55 km/h Running and total Run: 44:37 (4:28 / km) Historical basis: 4:31 / km Best comparable pace: 4:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -1.20 %, Sicherheit 22 % Ergebnis Lauf: 39:23 (3:56 / km) Error: +5:14 / +0:31 / km Overall prediction: 1:52:28 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 21:51 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 44:37 (4:28 / km) Total: 1:52:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:19 Pace: 1:13 / 100 m About 212 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +42.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 27	Franz Leitner AUT	+332 s +598 s	G6 / G27	40:54 40:10	1:52:33	Show details Prediction details: Franz Leitner Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 29–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +332 s Time: 23:08 Pace: 1:33 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +598 s Fehler: -266.1 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.69 %, Sicherheit 11 % Cycling Prediction: Group 6 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 19, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 17.9 s Gap behind: 96.6 s Result: Group 27 (2 people) Speed: 33.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.88 km/h Running and total Run: 40:54 (4:05 / km) Historical basis: 4:05 / km Best comparable pace: 4:05 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 40:10 (4:01 / km) Error: +0:44 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 1:52:33 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 23:08 (1:33 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:04:17 (37.3 km/h) Run: 40:54 (4:05 / km) Total: 1:52:33 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 272.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 36	Alexander Wörndl-Aichriedler AUT	+522 s +788 s	G7 / G29	42:56 45:10	1:58:57	Show details Prediction details: Alexander Wörndl-Aichriedler Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 32–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 36 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +522 s Time: 26:18 Pace: 1:45 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +788 s Fehler: -265.8 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 22, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 80.9 s Gap behind: 95.8 s Result: Group 29 (2 people) Speed: 33.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.86 km/h Running and total Run: 42:56 (4:18 / km) Historical basis: 4:18 / km Best comparable pace: 4:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Ergebnis Lauf: 45:10 (4:31 / km) Error: −2:14 / −0:13 / km Overall prediction: 1:58:57 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 26:18 (1:45 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:43 (35.7 km/h) Run: 42:56 (4:18 / km) Total: 1:58:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 462.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 38	Matthias Cusumano AUT	+285 s +533 s	G4 / G33	1:00:44 45:29	2:08:35	Show details Prediction details: Matthias Cusumano Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 33–33 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 38 Deviation: -13 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +285 s Time: 22:21 Pace: 1:29 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +533 s Fehler: -247.7 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 16, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.5 s Gap behind: 3.7 s Result: Group 33 (1 people) Speed: 31.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.76 km/h Running and total Run: 1:00:44 (6:04 / km) Historical basis: 6:04 / km Best comparable pace: 6:04 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Ergebnis Lauf: 45:29 (4:33 / km) Error: +15:15 / +1:32 / km Overall prediction: 2:08:35 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 22:21 (1:29 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: 1:00:44 (6:04 / km) Total: 2:08:35 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:35 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 225.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 43	Christian Aigner AUT	+650 s +788 s	G8 / G37	43:57 43:22	2:13:33	Show details Prediction details: Christian Aigner Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 34–34 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 43 Deviation: -17 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +650 s Time: 28:26 Pace: 1:54 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +788 s Fehler: -137.8 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 24, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 32.2 s Gap behind: 77.8 s Result: Group 37 (1 people) Speed: 31.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.86 km/h Running and total Run: 43:57 (4:24 / km) Historical basis: 4:24 / km Best comparable pace: 4:24 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 43:22 (4:20 / km) Error: +0:35 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 2:13:33 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 28:26 (1:54 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:36 (31.0 km/h) Run: 43:57 (4:24 / km) Total: 2:13:33 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 590.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6	Florian Lienhart AUT	+87 s +94 s	G3 / G6	35:46		Show details Prediction details: Florian Lienhart Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 6 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +87 s Time: 19:03 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +94 s Fehler: -7.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 20 % Speed: 38.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 11.4 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 38.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.52 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 35:46 (3:35 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:03 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:03:14 (38.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 27.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 8	Daniel Niederreiter AUT	+0 s +173 s	G0 / G7	38:00		Show details Prediction details: Daniel Niederreiter Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 35–35 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 8 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +173 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 7 (1 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 38:00 (3:48 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 13	Dominik Schneidhofer AUT	+0 s +297 s	G0 / G10	41:37		Show details Prediction details: Dominik Schneidhofer Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 36–36 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 13 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +297 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 10 (1 people) Speed: 36.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 41:37 (4:10 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 19	Felix Lerchner AUT	+0 s +98 s	G0 / G11	44:58		Show details Prediction details: Felix Lerchner Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 37–37 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +98 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 11 (1 people) Speed: 34.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 44:58 (4:30 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 21	Norbert Körbler AUT	+0 s +387 s	G1 / G19	41:45		Show details Prediction details: Norbert Körbler Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–2 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 21 Deviation: -21 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +387 s Fehler: -387.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 94 % Speed: 41.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 15.0 s Result: Group 19 (1 people) Speed: 35.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.75 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 41:45 (4:11 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 57:39 (41.7 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 24	Christian Lehner AUT	+0 s +297 s	G0 / G18	44:12		Show details Prediction details: Christian Lehner Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 38–38 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +297 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 18 (1 people) Speed: 34.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 44:12 (4:25 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28	Josef Pöchtrager AUT	+0 s +599 s	G0 / G25	41:59		Show details Prediction details: Josef Pöchtrager Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 39–39 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +599 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 25 (4 people) Speed: 33.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 41:59 (4:12 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 29	Michael Schranz AUT	+0 s +750 s	G0 / G26	42:01		Show details Prediction details: Michael Schranz Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 40–40 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +750 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 26 (2 people) Speed: 34.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 42:01 (4:12 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 30	Stefan Wanner AUT	+728 s +440 s	G8 / G24	42:53		Show details Prediction details: Stefan Wanner Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 7–10 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 30 Deviation: -30 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +728 s Time: 29:44 Pace: 1:59 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +440 s Fehler: 288.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 25, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 77.8 s Gap behind: 112.0 s Result: Group 24 (1 people) Speed: 33.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.01 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 42:53 (4:17 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 29:44 (1:59 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:36 (31.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 668.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 31	Peter Hechenberger AUT	+618 s +827 s	G7 / G28	41:44		Show details Prediction details: Peter Hechenberger Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 6–6 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 31 Deviation: -31 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +618 s Time: 27:54 Pace: 1:52 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +827 s Fehler: -209.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 7 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 35.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 23, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 95.8 s Gap behind: 32.2 s Result: Group 28 (1 people) Speed: 34.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.42 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 41:44 (4:10 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 27:54 (1:52 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:05:43 (35.7 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 558.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 32	Roland Rieder AUT	+840 s +672 s	G8 / G29	41:27		Show details Prediction details: Roland Rieder Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 8–10 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 32 Deviation: -32 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +840 s Time: 31:36 Pace: 2:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +672 s Fehler: 168.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 8 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 31.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 26, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 112.0 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 29 (2 people) Speed: 32.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.76 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 41:27 (4:09 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 31:36 (2:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:36 (31.0 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 780.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 34	Dominik Egger AUT	+0 s +617 s	G0 / G31	43:14		Show details Prediction details: Dominik Egger Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 41–41 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 34 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +617 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 31 (2 people) Speed: 31.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 43:14 (4:19 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 35	Dalibor Morman AUT	+0 s +582 s	G0 / G32	43:34		Show details Prediction details: Dalibor Morman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 42–42 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 35 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +582 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 32 (3 people) Speed: 31.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 43:34 (4:21 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 37	Walter Kotrba AUT	+128 s +614 s	G4 / G32	45:08		Show details Prediction details: Walter Kotrba Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 2–5 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 37 Deviation: -37 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +128 s Time: 19:44 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +614 s Fehler: -486.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.3 s Gap behind: 49.8 s Result: Group 32 (3 people) Speed: 31.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.30 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 45:08 (4:31 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 19:44 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 68.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 40	Wolfgang Engelhardt AUT	+0 s +610 s	G0 / G31	46:45		Show details Prediction details: Wolfgang Engelhardt Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 43–43 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 40 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +610 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 31 (2 people) Speed: 32.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 46:45 (4:41 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 41	Stefan Picker AUT	+0 s +568 s	G0 / G32	46:13		Show details Prediction details: Stefan Picker Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 44–44 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 41 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +568 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 32 (3 people) Speed: 31.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 46:13 (4:37 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 42	Gerd Gröbminger AUT	+0 s +359 s	G0 / G23	51:48		Show details Prediction details: Gerd Gröbminger Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 45–45 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 42 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +359 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 23 (1 people) Speed: 32.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 51:48 (5:11 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 44	Andreas Hauser AUT	+303 s +620 s	G4 / G25	51:27		Show details Prediction details: Andreas Hauser Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–5 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 44 Deviation: -44 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +303 s Time: 22:39 Pace: 1:31 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +620 s Fehler: -317.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 17, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 14.0 s Gap behind: 9.3 s Result: Group 25 (4 people) Speed: 33.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.24 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 51:27 (5:09 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 22:39 (1:31 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 243.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 45	Samuel Geisler AUT	+0 s +793 s	G0 / G39	41:31		Show details Prediction details: Samuel Geisler Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 46–46 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 45 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +793 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 39 (1 people) Speed: 31.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 41:31 (4:09 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46	Gerhard Albrecht AUT	+198 s +722 s	G4 / G36	44:48		Show details Prediction details: Gerhard Albrecht Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 3–5 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 46 Deviation: -46 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +198 s Time: 20:54 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +722 s Fehler: -524.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (12 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 38.1 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.2 s Gap behind: 18.9 s Result: Group 36 (1 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.87 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 44:48 (4:29 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 20:54 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 1:02:48 (38.1 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 18:36 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m About 138.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +59.7 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 47	Werner Wöll AUT	+0 s +368 s	G0 / G27	51:38		Show details Prediction details: Werner Wöll Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 47–47 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 47 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +368 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 27 (2 people) Speed: 31.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 51:38 (5:10 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 48	Johannes Eichinger AUT	+0 s +522 s	G0 / G38	46:59		Show details Prediction details: Johannes Eichinger Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 48–48 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 48 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +522 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 38 (1 people) Speed: 29.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 46:59 (4:42 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 49	Martin Mimm AUT	+0 s +574 s	G0 / G35	49:21		Show details Prediction details: Martin Mimm Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 49–49 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 49 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +574 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 35 (1 people) Speed: 30.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 49:21 (4:56 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50	Florian Szobek AUT	+0 s +511 s	G0 / G34	49:56		Show details Prediction details: Florian Szobek Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 50–50 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 50 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 17:36 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +511 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 34 (1 people) Speed: 30.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 49:56 (5:00 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 17:36 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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