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PTWC Men

15.11.2025 Florianopolis BRA
Race information and calculation basis
2025 BRA Para Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 15.11.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 37/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 33.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error0.0
Mean bike-speed error4.24 km/h
Correct bike groups1/1
No history2
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Fernando Aranha H2
BRA
+138 s
G1 / G1
correct 		13:54
17:28
 1:03:20
Show details
Prediction details: Fernando Aranha H2

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +138 s
Time: 16:38
Pace: 2:13 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 25.2 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 13:54 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (4:10 / km)
Error: −3:34 / −0:51 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:20
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 16:38 (2:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 47:08 (25.2 km/h)
Run: 13:54 (3:19 / km)
Total: 1:03:20
0 / 2 Marcos Barcellos H1
BRA
+0 s
G0 / G2
18:23
Show details
Prediction details: Marcos Barcellos H1

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:20
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 26.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:23 (4:23 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:20 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 3 Welison Jose Antonio Damaceno H1
BRA
+0 s
G0 / G3
23:17
Show details
Prediction details: Welison Jose Antonio Damaceno H1

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 14:20
Pace: 1:55 / 100 m

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (1 people)
Speed: 19.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:17 (5:33 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 14:20 (1:55 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.