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Elite Women

04.05.2025 Paphos CYP
Race information and calculation basis
2025 CYP Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 04.05.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 20/100 sehr niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 0.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 53.3 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.9
Mean swim error81.0 s
Mean bike-speed error1.78 km/h
Correct bike groups1/8
No history7
Within the 80% range6.7 %
Details
1 / 3 Annelise Sparsis
CYP
+209 s
+174 s
G2 / G2
correct 		51:13
48:46
 2:07:02
Show details
Prediction details: Annelise Sparsis

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +209 s
Time: 23:51
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +174 s
Fehler: 34.8 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 100.5 s
Gap behind: 155.4 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 33.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.69 km/h

Running and total

Run: 51:13 (5:07 / km)
Historical basis: 5:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:46 (4:53 / km)
Error: +2:27 / +0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 2:07:02
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 23:51 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 51:13 (5:07 / km)
Total: 2:07:02
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 23:34
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
About 16.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +191.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 9 Ella Rose Gass
CYP
+108 s
+231 s
G2 / G5
 53:58
1:05:30
 2:09:47
Show details
Prediction details: Ella Rose Gass

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 22:10
Pace: 1:29 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +231 s
Fehler: -122.7 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.91 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 104.3 s
Gap behind: 100.5 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 53:58 (5:24 / km)
Historical basis: 5:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:05:30 (6:33 / km)
Error: −11:32 / −1:09 / km
Overall prediction: 2:09:47
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 22:10 (1:29 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:20 (32.7 km/h)
Run: 53:58 (5:24 / km)
Total: 2:09:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 21:58
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
About 12 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +96.3 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 2 Isavella Triza
CYP
+364 s
+263 s
G3 / G2
 54:38
48:50
 2:13:29
Show details
Prediction details: Isavella Triza

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 3–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +364 s
Time: 26:26
Pace: 1:46 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +263 s
Fehler: 101.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 19 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 33.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 155.4 s
Gap behind: 46.9 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 54:38 (5:28 / km)
Historical basis: 5:29 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:29 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.25 %, Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:50 (4:53 / km)
Error: +5:48 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 2:13:29
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 26:26 (1:46 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:12:47 (33.0 km/h)
Run: 54:38 (5:28 / km)
Total: 2:13:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:02
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
About 144.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +219.7 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 10 Athina Papadopoulou
CYP
+411 s
+606 s
G4 / G9
 52:55
53:39
 2:15:46
Show details
Prediction details: Athina Papadopoulou

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +411 s
Time: 27:13
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +606 s
Fehler: -194.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.91 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 46.9 s
Gap behind: 17.7 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 27.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.84 km/h

Running and total

Run: 52:55 (5:17 / km)
Historical basis: 5:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 53:39 (5:22 / km)
Error: −0:44 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 2:15:46
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 27:13 (1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:42 (31.6 km/h)
Run: 52:55 (5:17 / km)
Total: 2:15:46
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
5 / 4 Spyridona Charalambous
CYP
+4 s
+4 s
G1 / G2
 1:02:02
58:31
 2:17:45
Show details
Prediction details: Spyridona Charalambous

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 5–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +4 s
Time: 20:26
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 104.3 s
Result: Group 2 (3 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.33 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:02:02 (6:12 / km)
Historical basis: 6:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 58:31 (5:51 / km)
Error: +3:31 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 2:17:45
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 20:26 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:39 (31.7 km/h)
Run: 1:02:02 (6:12 / km)
Total: 2:17:45
6 / 8 Stavroula Ioannou
CYP
+429 s
+478 s
G4 / G3
 1:00:44
56:11
 2:23:35
Show details
Prediction details: Stavroula Ioannou

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 6–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 8
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +429 s
Time: 27:31
Pace: 1:50 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +478 s
Fehler: -49.2 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.7 s
Gap behind: 114.0 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 32.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.89 km/h

Running and total

Run: 1:00:44 (6:04 / km)
Historical basis: 6:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 56:11 (5:37 / km)
Error: +4:33 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 2:23:35
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 27:31 (1:50 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:15:42 (31.6 km/h)
Run: 1:00:44 (6:04 / km)
Total: 2:23:35
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 24:41
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
About 170.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +258.5 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 14 Niki Teloni
CYP
+543 s
+482 s
G5 / G11
 58:22
56:37
 2:35:14
Show details
Prediction details: Niki Teloni

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +543 s
Time: 29:25
Pace: 1:58 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +482 s
Fehler: 60.8 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 114.0 s
Gap behind: 530.6 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 25.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 58:22 (5:50 / km)
Historical basis: 5:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 56:37 (5:40 / km)
Error: +1:45 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 2:35:14
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 29:25 (1:58 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:18:59 (27.5 km/h)
Run: 58:22 (5:50 / km)
Total: 2:35:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:30
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 534.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +7.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 13 Charis Christodoulou
CYP
+1,073 s
+989 s
G5 / G8
 59:41
1:00:49
 2:36:33
Show details
Prediction details: Charis Christodoulou

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 8–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +1,073 s
Time: 38:15
Pace: 2:33 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +989 s
Fehler: 84.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 27.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 530.6 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 29.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.39 km/h

Running and total

Run: 59:41 (5:58 / km)
Historical basis: 5:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 5:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 20 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:00:49 (6:05 / km)
Error: −1:08 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 2:36:33
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 38:15 (2:33 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 1:18:59 (27.5 km/h)
Run: 59:41 (5:58 / km)
Total: 2:36:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 20:28
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 1066.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +6.8 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 1 Karmen ros Macheriotou
CYP
+0 s
+3 s
G0 / G1
48:23
Show details
Prediction details: Karmen ros Macheriotou

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 9–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 48:23 (4:50 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 5 Panagiota Pantela
CYP
+0 s
+256 s
G0 / G4
52:10
Show details
Prediction details: Panagiota Pantela

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 10–10
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +256 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (1 people)
Speed: 30.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 52:10 (5:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 6 Natasha Shipp
GBR
+0 s
+245 s
G0 / G3
53:36
Show details
Prediction details: Natasha Shipp

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 11–11
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +245 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 53:36 (5:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 7 Anna Constantinidou
CYP
+0 s
+824 s
G0 / G6
47:08
Show details
Prediction details: Anna Constantinidou

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 12–12
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +824 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 31.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 47:08 (4:43 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 11 Andriana Koumpari
CYP
+0 s
+1085 s
G0 / G10
51:43
Show details
Prediction details: Andriana Koumpari

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 11
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1085 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 28.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 51:43 (5:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 12 Yulia Tremsina
CYP
+0 s
+519 s
G0 / G7
1:05:18
Show details
Prediction details: Yulia Tremsina

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 12
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +519 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 29.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:05:18 (6:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 15 Ekaterina Chizhova
AIN
+0 s
+1194 s
G0 / G12
1:04:49
Show details
Prediction details: Ekaterina Chizhova

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 20:22
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1194 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 26.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 1:04:49 (6:29 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 20:22 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.