Prediction comparison
Elite Women
27.07.2025
Tábor
CZE
Race information and calculation basis
2025 CZE Sprint Triathlon National Championships
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 27.07.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Prediction model used
Modell v15
Default values
Prediction quality
40/100
niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s
Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s
Gruppeneffekt 0.65
Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h
Datenabdeckung 40.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 64.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error6.5
Mean swim error341.1 s
Mean bike-speed error3.51 km/h
Correct bike groups1/20
No history5
Within the 80% range20.0 %
| Details | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 1 |
CZE
|
+21 s
+324 s
|
G1 / G2
|
18:22
19:00
|
53:42 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 5–7
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 10:09
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +324 s
Fehler: -303.0 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.65 %,
Sicherheit 22 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 81 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 39.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.97 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:22 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:00 (3:48 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 53:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:09
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
34:54
(34.4 km/h)
Run:
18:22
(3:40 / km)
Total:
53:42
|
| 2 / 5 |
CZE
|
+39 s
+455 s
|
G2 / G4
|
17:55
19:22
|
53:58 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 5–7
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 10:27
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +455 s
Fehler: -415.6 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.24 %,
Sicherheit 1 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.64 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:55 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen,
1 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 0 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km)
Error: −1:27 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 53:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:27
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
17:55
(3:35 / km)
Total:
53:58
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 8.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 3 / 2 |
CZE
|
+22 s
+363 s
|
G1 / G3
|
19:14
19:53
|
54:34 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 6–12
Top-10 probability: 79 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +363 s
Fehler: -340.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.08 %,
Sicherheit 20 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
3.7 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.48 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Historical basis: 3:57 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.57 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 54:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:10
(1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
34:54
(34.4 km/h)
Run:
19:14
(3:51 / km)
Total:
54:34
|
| 4 / 3 |
CZE
|
+47 s
+376 s
|
G2 / G3
|
18:34
20:13
|
54:37 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 94 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 10:35
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +376 s
Fehler: -329.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 42 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.7 s
Gap behind:
2.0 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.98 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:34 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.35 %,
Sicherheit 38 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:13 (4:03 / km)
Error: −1:39 / −0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 54:37
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:35
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
18:34
(3:43 / km)
Total:
54:37
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 16.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 5 / 4 |
CZE
|
+38 s
+378 s
|
G2 / G3
|
19:11
20:15
|
55:14 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 81 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 10:26
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +378 s
Fehler: -339.9 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.31 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
3.1 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.18 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:11 (3:50 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen,
3 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.07 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:15 (4:03 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 55:14
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:26
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
19:11
(3:50 / km)
Total:
55:14
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 8.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 6 / 7 |
CZE
|
+49 s
+388 s
|
G2 / G3
|
19:19
21:37
|
55:22 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 10:37
Pace: 1:25 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +388 s
Fehler: -339.3 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.92 %,
Sicherheit 25 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
2.0 s
Gap behind:
6.8 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 38.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:19 (3:52 / km)
Historical basis: 3:51 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.47 %,
Sicherheit 25 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:37 (4:19 / km)
Error: −2:18 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 55:22
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
10:37
(1:25 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
19:19
(3:52 / km)
Total:
55:22
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 18.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 7 / 21 |
CZE
|
+56 s
+454 s
|
G3 / G13
|
18:56
21:12
|
55:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 9–13
Top-10 probability: 49 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -14
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:44
Pace: 1:26 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +454 s
Fehler: -398.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.52 %,
Sicherheit 8 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 33.6 km/h
Gap ahead:
6.8 s
Gap behind:
6.1 s
Result: Group 13 (2 people)
Speed: 31.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.81 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:56 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.36 %,
Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:12 (4:14 / km)
Error: −2:16 / −0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 55:35
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
10:44
(1:26 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:44
(33.6 km/h)
Run:
18:56
(3:47 / km)
Total:
55:35
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 25.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 8 / 12 |
CZE
|
+62 s
+454 s
|
G4 / G6
|
18:47
22:24
|
55:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 8–15
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -4
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +62 s
Time: 10:50
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +454 s
Fehler: -392.4 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.41 %,
Sicherheit 32 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
6.1 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 35.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.34 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen,
16 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.46 %,
Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:24 (4:29 / km)
Error: −3:37 / −0:43 / km
Overall prediction: 55:38
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:50
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:48
(33.5 km/h)
Run:
18:47
(3:45 / km)
Total:
55:38
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 31.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 9 / 16 |
CZE
|
+63 s
+415 s
|
G4 / G7
|
18:53
23:13
|
55:44 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 6–15
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +63 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +415 s
Fehler: -352.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.08 %,
Sicherheit 29 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 4 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
25.8 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.91 km/h
Running and totalRun: 18:53 (3:47 / km)
Historical basis: 3:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.49 %,
Sicherheit 22 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:13 (4:39 / km)
Error: −4:20 / −0:52 / km
Overall prediction: 55:44
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:51
(1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:48
(33.5 km/h)
Run:
18:53
(3:47 / km)
Total:
55:44
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 32.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 10 / 22 |
CZE
|
+35 s
+439 s
|
G2 / G11
|
20:22
23:09
|
56:25 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 11–14
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -12
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 10:23
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +439 s
Fehler: -404.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.77 %,
Sicherheit 20 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
9.0 s
Gap behind:
3.1 s
Result: Group 11 (1 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.81 km/h
Running and totalRun: 20:22 (4:04 / km)
Historical basis: 4:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
6 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.33 %,
Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:09 (4:38 / km)
Error: −2:47 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 56:25
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
10:23
(1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
20:22
(4:04 / km)
Total:
56:25
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 11 / 6 |
CZE
|
+41 s
+376 s
|
G2 / G3
|
21:13
21:27
|
57:16 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 14–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 10:29
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +376 s
Fehler: -335.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
3.3 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.18 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:13 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:27 (4:17 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 57:16
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:29
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
21:13
(4:15 / km)
Total:
57:16
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 10.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 12 / 14 |
CZE
|
+89 s
+445 s
|
G5 / G5
correct
|
19:46
23:33
|
1:00:22 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 16–16
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +89 s
Time: 11:17
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +445 s
Fehler: -356.5 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.34 %,
Sicherheit 18 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
15.8 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.68 km/h
Running and totalRun: 19:46 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:56 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.40 %,
Sicherheit 17 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:33 (4:43 / km)
Error: −3:47 / −0:45 / km
Overall prediction: 1:00:22
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
11:17
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
38:52
(31.1 km/h)
Run:
19:46
(3:57 / km)
Total:
1:00:22
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 58.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 13 / 8 |
CZE
|
+104 s
+435 s
|
G5 / G4
|
21:16
20:43
|
1:01:52 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 17–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +104 s
Time: 11:32
Pace: 1:32 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +435 s
Fehler: -330.7 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
15.8 s
Gap behind:
24.8 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -6.39 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:16 (4:15 / km)
Historical basis: 4:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:43 (4:09 / km)
Error: +0:33 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 1:01:52
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
11:32
(1:32 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
38:52
(31.1 km/h)
Run:
21:16
(4:15 / km)
Total:
1:01:52
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 74.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 14 / 17 |
CZE
|
+88 s
+460 s
|
G5 / G12
|
21:42
21:21
|
1:02:18 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 17–18
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 11:16
Pace: 1:30 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +460 s
Fehler: -371.6 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 5 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
25.8 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.20 km/h
Running and totalRun: 21:42 (4:20 / km)
Historical basis: 4:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:21 (4:16 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 1:02:18
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
11:16
(1:30 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
38:52
(31.1 km/h)
Run:
21:42
(4:20 / km)
Total:
1:02:18
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 58.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 15 / 20 |
CZE
|
+129 s
+445 s
|
G6 / G8
|
23:12
24:02
|
1:05:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 15
80% range: 19–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +129 s
Time: 11:57
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +445 s
Fehler: -315.9 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
24.8 s
Gap behind:
6.0 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.43 km/h
Running and totalRun: 23:12 (4:38 / km)
Historical basis: 4:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 24:02 (4:48 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 1:05:35
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
11:57
(1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:38
(31.2 km/h)
Run:
23:12
(4:38 / km)
Total:
1:05:35
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 99.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 16 / 24 |
CZE
|
+135 s
+444 s
|
G6 / G8
|
23:54
26:24
|
1:06:17 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 16
80% range: 19–20
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -8
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +135 s
Time: 12:03
Pace: 1:36 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +444 s
Fehler: -308.9 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
6.0 s
Gap behind:
94.9 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.26 km/h
Running and totalRun: 23:54 (4:47 / km)
Historical basis: 4:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
8 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.59 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:24 (5:17 / km)
Error: −2:30 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 1:06:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
12:03
(1:36 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:38
(31.2 km/h)
Run:
23:54
(4:47 / km)
Total:
1:06:17
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:18
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
About 105.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 9 |
CZE
|
+0 s
+442 s
|
G0 / G5
|
20:03
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 21–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +442 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 10 |
CZE
|
+0 s
+421 s
|
G0 / G4
|
21:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 22–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +421 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:18 (4:16 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 11 |
CZE
|
+44 s
+387 s
|
G2 / G4
|
23:01
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 10:32
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +387 s
Fehler: -343.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (7 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 34.1 km/h
Gap ahead:
3.3 s
Gap behind:
2.7 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.57 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:01 (4:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:32
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:14
(34.1 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 13.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 13 |
CZE
|
+405 s
+575 s
|
G6 / G9
|
20:57
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +405 s
Time: 16:33
Pace: 2:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +575 s
Fehler: -170.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
175.0 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 36.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -5.12 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:57 (4:11 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
16:33
(2:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:38
(31.2 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 374.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 15 |
CZE
|
+230 s
+555 s
|
G6 / G10
|
20:50
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +230 s
Time: 13:38
Pace: 1:49 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +555 s
Fehler: -325.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 6 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 31.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
94.9 s
Gap behind:
175.0 s
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.40 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:50 (4:10 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming:
13:38
(1:49 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
35:38
(31.2 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
About 199.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +30.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
|
| 0 / 18 |
CZE
|
+26 s
+375 s
|
G1 / G4
|
26:07
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +375 s
Fehler: -349.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 70 %
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Gap ahead:
3.7 s
Gap behind:
9.0 s
Result: Group 4 (5 people)
Speed: 36.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.42 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 26:07 (5:13 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
10:14
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
34:54
(34.4 km/h)
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
|
|
| 0 / 19 |
CZE
|
+0 s
+438 s
|
G0 / G8
|
23:38
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 23–23
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +438 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 34.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:38 (4:44 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 23 |
CZE
|
+0 s
+554 s
|
G0 / G13
|
23:09
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 24–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +554 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 13 (2 people)
Speed: 33.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 23:09 (4:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 25 |
CZE
|
+0 s
+0 s
|
G0 / G1
|
8:18
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 25–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:48
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 65.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 8:18 (1:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
9:48
(1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|