Prediction comparison

Junior Men

13.09.2025 Karlovy Vary CZE

Race information and calculation basis

2025 CZE Triathlon Junior National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

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The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Swim distance in metres

Bike distance in metres

Run distance in metres

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 48/100 niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 56.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 80.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error4.5

Mean swim error19.8 s

Mean bike-speed error5.03 km/h

Correct bike groups4/21

No history4

Within the 80% range40.0 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 1	Jakub Mittner CZE	+8 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	15:47 16:59	44:33	Show details Prediction details: Jakub Mittner Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–3 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 1 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +8 s Time: 9:26 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 7.9 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 93 % Speed: 42.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 12.1 s Result: Group 1 (6 people) Speed: 36.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.96 km/h Running and total Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km) Historical basis: 3:13 / km Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km) Error: −1:12 / −0:14 / km Overall prediction: 44:33 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h) Run: 15:47 (3:09 / km) Total: 44:33
2 / 10	Matěj Procházka CZE	+22 s +13 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:25 22:02	45:11	Show details Prediction details: Matěj Procházka Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 2–9 Top-10 probability: 95 % Result: 10 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 9:40 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +13 s Fehler: 8.7 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 71 % Speed: 42.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.7 s Gap behind: 1.3 s Result: Group 1 (6 people) Speed: 36.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.67 km/h Running and total Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:21 / km Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 89 % Ergebnis Lauf: 22:02 (4:24 / km) Error: −5:37 / −1:07 / km Overall prediction: 45:11 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h) Run: 16:25 (3:17 / km) Total: 45:11
3 / 6	Bruno Haman CZE	+20 s +17 s	G1 / G2	17:41 18:20	46:27	Show details Prediction details: Bruno Haman Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 4–8 Top-10 probability: 95 % Result: 6 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +20 s Time: 9:38 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +17 s Fehler: 3.0 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 85 % Speed: 42.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.1 s Gap behind: 1.7 s Result: Group 2 (1 people) Speed: 36.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.25 km/h Running and total Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km) Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km Overall prediction: 46:27 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h) Run: 17:41 (3:32 / km) Total: 46:27
4 / 5	Michal Svarc CZE	+67 s +41 s	G3 / G1	15:19 18:33	46:28	Show details Prediction details: Michal Svarc Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 4–9 Top-10 probability: 94 % Result: 5 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +67 s Time: 10:25 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +41 s Fehler: 25.7 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.47 %, Sicherheit 63 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.5 s Gap behind: 4.4 s Result: Group 1 (6 people) Speed: 37.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.80 km/h Running and total Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km) Historical basis: 3:01 / km Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 1.75 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:33 (3:43 / km) Error: −3:14 / −0:39 / km Overall prediction: 46:28 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:25 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km) Total: 46:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:47 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 38.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 4	Lukas Plic CZE	+32 s +26 s	G2 / G1	17:23 18:30	46:57	Show details Prediction details: Lukas Plic Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 4–15 Top-10 probability: 49 % Result: 4 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +32 s Time: 9:50 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 6.3 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (1 people) Gruppe 1: 30 % Speed: 41.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 9.3 s Gap behind: 7.9 s Result: Group 1 (6 people) Speed: 36.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.51 km/h Running and total Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:29 / km Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km) Error: −1:07 / −0:13 / km Overall prediction: 46:57 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:50 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:02 (41.3 km/h) Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Total: 46:57 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 5.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 2	Jakub Marik CZE	+42 s +47 s	G3 / G1	15:50 17:00	46:59	Show details Prediction details: Jakub Marik Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 4–10 Top-10 probability: 90 % Result: 2 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +42 s Time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +47 s Fehler: -5.5 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 94 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 1 (6 people) Speed: 37.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.55 km/h Running and total Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km) Historical basis: 3:10 / km Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 89 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:24 / km) Error: −1:10 / −0:14 / km Overall prediction: 46:59 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 15:50 (3:10 / km) Total: 46:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 14.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 3	Robert Nemec CZE	+71 s +46 s	G3 / G1	16:16 17:58	47:25	Show details Prediction details: Robert Nemec Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 5–15 Top-10 probability: 65 % Result: 3 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +71 s Time: 10:29 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +46 s Fehler: 25.1 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.46 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.4 s Gap behind: 5.9 s Result: Group 1 (6 people) Speed: 37.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.80 km/h Running and total Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Historical basis: 3:15 / km Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km) Error: −1:42 / −0:20 / km Overall prediction: 47:25 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:29 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km) Total: 47:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 44.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8	Matěj Homola CZE	+42 s +52 s	G3 / G4	16:27 18:58	47:36	Show details Prediction details: Matěj Homola Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 4–10 Top-10 probability: 90 % Result: 8 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +42 s Time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +52 s Fehler: -10.0 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 34.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.07 km/h Running and total Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:16 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:58 (3:48 / km) Error: −2:31 / −0:30 / km Overall prediction: 47:36 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km) Total: 47:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 15.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 25	Mikis Kotopulos CZE	+40 s +93 s	G3 / G10	16:36 24:20	47:45	Show details Prediction details: Mikis Kotopulos Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 7–12 Top-10 probability: 74 % Result: 25 Deviation: -16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +40 s Time: 9:58 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +93 s Fehler: -52.8 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 56 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.9 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 10 (1 people) Speed: 29.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 10.62 km/h Running and total Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 52 % Ergebnis Lauf: 24:20 (4:52 / km) Error: −7:44 / −1:33 / km Overall prediction: 47:45 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:58 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km) Total: 47:45 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 13.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 16	Karel Maly CZE	+41 s +80 s	G3 / G5	17:03 21:10	48:12	Show details Prediction details: Karel Maly Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 9–13 Top-10 probability: 39 % Result: 16 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +80 s Fehler: -39.3 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.71 %, Sicherheit 24 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.21 km/h Running and total Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:25 / km Best comparable pace: 3:25 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 24 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:10 (4:14 / km) Error: −4:07 / −0:49 / km Overall prediction: 48:12 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 17:03 (3:25 / km) Total: 48:12 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 13.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 7	Pavel Simandl CZE	+61 s +50 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:12 19:22	48:21	Show details Prediction details: Pavel Simandl Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 10–15 Top-10 probability: 14 % Result: 7 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +61 s Time: 10:19 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +50 s Fehler: 11.2 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.6 s Gap behind: 5.5 s Result: Group 3 (2 people) Speed: 36.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.81 km/h Running and total Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km) Historical basis: 3:26 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: −0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.60 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:22 (3:52 / km) Error: −2:10 / −0:26 / km Overall prediction: 48:21 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km) Total: 48:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 34.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
12 / 11	Mikulas Biba CZE	+41 s +73 s	G3 / G5	17:23 19:02	48:32	Show details Prediction details: Mikulas Biba Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 10–14 Top-10 probability: 15 % Result: 11 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 9:59 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +73 s Fehler: -32.0 s H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.07 km/h Running and total Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 17 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:02 (3:48 / km) Error: −1:39 / −0:20 / km Overall prediction: 48:32 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 9:59 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 17:23 (3:29 / km) Total: 48:32 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 14.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 9	Jakub Odehnal CZE	+42 s +53 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:40 20:34	48:49	Show details Prediction details: Jakub Odehnal Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 9–16 Top-10 probability: 11 % Result: 9 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +42 s Time: 10:00 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +53 s Fehler: -10.8 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.57 %, Sicherheit 61 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 2.2 s Result: Group 3 (2 people) Speed: 36.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 3.72 km/h Running and total Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 53 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:34 (4:07 / km) Error: −2:54 / −0:35 / km Overall prediction: 48:49 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km) Total: 48:49 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 15.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 17	Maximilian Malatschek SVK	+47 s +51 s	G3 / G5	17:51 21:34	49:00	Show details Prediction details: Maximilian Malatschek Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 13–17 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 17 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +47 s Time: 10:05 Pace: 1:21 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +51 s Fehler: -3.6 s H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.42 %, Sicherheit 11 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: 8.1 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.74 km/h Running and total Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.07 %, Sicherheit 11 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:34 (4:19 / km) Error: −3:43 / −0:45 / km Overall prediction: 49:00 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:05 (1:21 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 17:51 (3:34 / km) Total: 49:00 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 20.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 12	Adam Böse CZE	+98 s +81 s	G4 / G5	15:28 19:08	50:13	Show details Prediction details: Adam Böse Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 7–17 Top-10 probability: 59 % Result: 12 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +98 s Time: 10:56 Pace: 1:27 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +81 s Fehler: 16.7 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.51 %, Sicherheit 41 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 20.7 s Gap behind: 13.5 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.67 km/h Running and total Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km) Historical basis: 3:04 / km Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.81 %, Sicherheit 42 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km) Error: −3:40 / −0:44 / km Overall prediction: 50:13 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 10:56 (1:27 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:54 (36.5 km/h) Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km) Total: 50:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 70.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 19	Adam Boďo SVK	+56 s +70 s	G3 / G6	19:07 21:42	50:16	Show details Prediction details: Adam Boďo Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 17–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 19 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +56 s Time: 10:14 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +70 s Fehler: -14.5 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 35 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 8.1 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 33.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 6.78 km/h Running and total Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:53 / km Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 33 % Ergebnis Lauf: 21:42 (4:20 / km) Error: −2:35 / −0:31 / km Overall prediction: 50:16 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km) Total: 50:16 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 28.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 15	Přemysl Hašlar CZE	+57 s +87 s	G3 / G5	19:15 20:06	50:24	Show details Prediction details: Přemysl Hašlar Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 17–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 10:15 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +87 s Fehler: -30.4 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 33 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 4.6 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 5.34 km/h Running and total Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km) Historical basis: 3:51 / km Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 33 % Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:01 / km) Error: −0:51 / −0:10 / km Overall prediction: 50:24 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 19:15 (3:51 / km) Total: 50:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 29.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 18	Lukas Marek CZE	+44 s +66 s	G3 / G7	19:22 19:37	50:31	Show details Prediction details: Lukas Marek Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 12–19 Top-10 probability: 9 % Result: 18 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +44 s Time: 10:02 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +66 s Fehler: -21.6 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.47 %, Sicherheit 60 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 40.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.2 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 7 (2 people) Speed: 32.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 7.81 km/h Running and total Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:57 / km Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 41 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:37 (3:55 / km) Error: −0:15 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 50:31 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:02 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:58 (40.0 km/h) Run: 19:22 (3:52 / km) Total: 50:31 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 17.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 23	Ondrej Kozojed CZE	+111 s +56 s	G4 / G7	18:31 25:24	53:16	Show details Prediction details: Ondrej Kozojed Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 19–20 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +111 s Time: 11:09 Pace: 1:29 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +56 s Fehler: 55.2 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 13.5 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 7 (2 people) Speed: 32.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 4.55 km/h Running and total Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km) Historical basis: 3:40 / km Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 25:24 (5:05 / km) Error: −6:53 / −1:23 / km Overall prediction: 53:16 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 11:09 (1:29 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:54 (36.5 km/h) Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km) Total: 53:16 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 84.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 13	Stepan Tabulka CZE	+77 s +93 s	G4 / G5	23:43 19:10	58:28	Show details Prediction details: Stepan Tabulka Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 21–21 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 13 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +77 s Time: 10:35 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +93 s Fehler: -16.0 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 53 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.9 s Gap behind: 20.7 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.60 km/h Running and total Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km) Historical basis: 4:52 / km Best comparable pace: 4:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:10 (3:50 / km) Error: +4:33 / +0:55 / km Overall prediction: 58:28 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 10:35 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:54 (36.5 km/h) Run: 23:43 (4:45 / km) Total: 58:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 50.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +26.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14	Jáchym Šafránek CZE	+0 s +81 s	G0 / G5	19:32		Show details Prediction details: Jáchym Šafránek Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 22–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +81 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 19:32 (3:54 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 20	Vaclav Reznicek CZE	+23 s +42 s	G1 / G5	24:28		Show details Prediction details: Vaclav Reznicek Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 20 Deviation: -20 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +23 s Time: 9:41 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +42 s Fehler: -19.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (4 people) Gruppe 1: 61 % Speed: 42.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.3 s Gap behind: 9.3 s Result: Group 5 (8 people) Speed: 34.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 8.12 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:28 (4:54 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable
0 / 21	Viktor Plavec CZE	+0 s +333 s	G0 / G9	20:19		Show details Prediction details: Viktor Plavec Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 23–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +333 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 9 (1 people) Speed: 33.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:19 (4:04 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 22	Marek Hofman CZE	+0 s +107 s	G0 / G8	24:11		Show details Prediction details: Marek Hofman Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 24–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +107 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 8 (1 people) Speed: 32.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 24:11 (4:50 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24	Adam Staník CZE	+0 s +250 s	G0 / G11	20:47		Show details Prediction details: Adam Staník Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 25–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:18 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +250 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 11 (1 people) Speed: 31.2 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 20:47 (4:09 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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