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Elite Men

13.09.2025 Aarhus DEN
Race information and calculation basis
2025 DEN Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 47/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 53.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 86.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error3.2
Mean swim error29.5 s
Mean bike-speed error5.12 km/h
Correct bike groups3/13
No history2
Within the 80% range33.3 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Andreas Nikolajsen
DEN
+15 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:52
15:02
 44:05
Show details
Prediction details: Andreas Nikolajsen

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 3–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 15.0 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.37 %, Sicherheit 4 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 99 %
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 7.9 s
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.32 %, Sicherheit 2 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:02 (3:00 / km)
Error: +0:50 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 44:05
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 27:58 (42.9 km/h)
Run: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Total: 44:05
2 / 4 Thomas Nielsen
DEN
+34 s
+65 s
G2 / G3
 16:09
16:48
 45:23
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Nielsen

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 3–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 4
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:46
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -31.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.97 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.67 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:39 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:23
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:40 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
3 / 2 Oscar Gladney Rundqvist
DEN
+32 s
+62 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:39
16:11
 45:53
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Gladney Rundqvist

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +62 s
Fehler: -30.2 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.39 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 8.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 45:53
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:40 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:53
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 12.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
4 / 3 Tobias Gårde Skou
DEN
+109 s
+83 s
G5 / G2
 15:21
16:20
 47:01
Show details
Prediction details: Tobias Gårde Skou

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 5–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +109 s
Time: 11:01
Pace: 1:28 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +83 s
Fehler: 26.4 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.21 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 43.9 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 37.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.72 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 1.26 %, Sicherheit 13 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:20 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:59 / −0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 47:01
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 11:01 (1:28 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:51 (40.2 km/h)
Run: 15:21 (3:04 / km)
Total: 47:01
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 90.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
5 / 9 August Juul-Andersen
DEN
+99 s
+78 s
G3 / G4
 17:12
18:07
 47:50
Show details
Prediction details: August Juul-Andersen

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +99 s
Time: 10:51
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +78 s
Fehler: 20.5 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -1.68 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 31.4 s
Gap behind: 4.5 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:23 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.78 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km)
Error: −0:55 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 47:50
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:51 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:00 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:50
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 79.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 7 Thomas Green Nielsen
DEN
+56 s
+65 s
G3 / G2
 17:47
17:50
 48:25
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Green Nielsen

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 7–9
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 7
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +65 s
Fehler: -9.0 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.41 %, Sicherheit 9 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 11.1 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.49 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Historical basis: 3:33 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: −0:03 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 48:25
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:00 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Total: 48:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 37.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 5 Christopher Bjerne Jensen
DEN
+56 s
+81 s
G3 / G3
correct 		18:28
17:04
 49:06
Show details
Prediction details: Christopher Bjerne Jensen

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 7–10
Top-10 probability: 90 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +81 s
Fehler: -25.1 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 6 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:47 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:24 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:06
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:00 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:28 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 37 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
8 / 8 William Friis Knudsen
DEN
+67 s
+131 s
G3 / G4
 18:30
17:05
 49:08
Show details
Prediction details: William Friis Knudsen

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–11
Top-10 probability: 58 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +67 s
Time: 10:19
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +131 s
Fehler: -63.9 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.1 s
Gap behind: 31.4 s
Result: Group 4 (2 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.09 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Historical basis: 3:43 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:43 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 6 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 8 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:25 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 49:08
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:19 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:00 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Total: 49:08
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 48.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 12 Vilfred Beedholm-Ebsen
DEN
+23 s
+92 s
G2 / G7
 20:03
19:40
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Vilfred Beedholm-Ebsen

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 9–12
Top-10 probability: 48 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -69.1 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.83 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (3 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 41.9 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 7.9 s
Gap behind: 8.9 s
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Historical basis: 4:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:40 (3:56 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:40 (41.9 km/h)
Run: 20:03 (4:01 / km)
Total: 49:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
10 / 11 August Mumm
DEN
+52 s
+92 s
G3 / G6
 19:45
20:58
 50:23
Show details
Prediction details: August Mumm

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 11–12
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 10:04
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +92 s
Fehler: -40.3 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 15 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 11.7 s
Gap behind: 4.2 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 35.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Historical basis: 3:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 1.26 %, Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:58 (4:12 / km)
Error: −1:13 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 50:23
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:04 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:00 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 19:45 (3:57 / km)
Total: 50:23
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 32.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 15 Jonas Hergaard
DEN
+40 s
+86 s
G3 / G9
 21:20
22:12
 51:58
Show details
Prediction details: Jonas Hergaard

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–13
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:52
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +86 s
Fehler: -46.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 20 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (6 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.4 s
Gap behind: 11.7 s
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 32.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 21:20 (4:16 / km)
Historical basis: 4:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -1.50 %, Sicherheit 16 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:12 (4:26 / km)
Error: −0:52 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 51:58
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:52 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:00 (40.7 km/h)
Run: 21:20 (4:16 / km)
Total: 51:58
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 21.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Oliver Uldahl
DEN
+0 s
+71 s
G0 / G2
17:16
Show details
Prediction details: Oliver Uldahl

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 14–14
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +71 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 10 Filip Muff
DEN
+103 s
+97 s
G4 / G5
19:07
Show details
Prediction details: Filip Muff

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +103 s
Time: 10:55
Pace: 1:27 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +97 s
Fehler: 6.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.5 s
Gap behind: 6.4 s
Result: Group 5 (1 people)
Speed: 35.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:55 (1:27 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 84.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 13 Kasper Koefoed
DEN
+153 s
+153 s
G6 / G8
21:33
Show details
Prediction details: Kasper Koefoed

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +153 s
Time: 11:45
Pace: 1:34 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +153 s
Fehler: 0.3 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 6 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 11, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 43.9 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 8 (1 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:33 (4:19 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 11:45 (1:34 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:40 (40.5 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 134.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +18.9 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 14 Emil Skipper
DEN
+0 s
+171 s
G0 / G10
19:32
Show details
Prediction details: Emil Skipper

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 15–15
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +171 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 10 (1 people)
Speed: 32.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:32 (3:54 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.