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PTS3 Men

13.09.2025 Águilas ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2025 ESP Paratriathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 45/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 50.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 0.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error0.0
Mean swim error27.0 s
Mean bike-speed error3.88 km/h
Correct bike groups1/1
No history1
Within the 80% range100.0 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 1 Daniel Molina
ESP
+27 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:18
20:06
 53:26
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Molina

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 1–1
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +27 s
Time: 12:22
Pace: 1:39 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 27.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 100 %
Speed: 35.3 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (1 people)
Speed: 39.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -3.88 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:18 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km
Trend: −0:05 / km
Comparable races: 6
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:06 (4:11 / km)
Error: −1:48 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 53:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 12:22 (1:39 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 34:41 (35.3 km/h)
Run: 18:18 (3:49 / km)
Total: 53:26
0 / 2 Oscar Romero Jenner
ESP
+0 s
+177 s
G0 / G2
30:35
Show details
Prediction details: Oscar Romero Jenner

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 2
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 11:55
Pace: 1:35 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +177 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 29.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 30:35 (6:22 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 11:55 (1:35 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.