Elite Men
Race information and calculation basis
Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.
Add missing course distances
The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.
Show model parameters and data quality
Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.
Datenabdeckung 70.0 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 90.0 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen
Show methodology
Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.
Prediction comparison
Summary of prediction errors
| Place Prediction / result |
Athlete | Swimming Prediction / result |
Bike group Prediction / result |
Run Prediction / result |
Overall prediction | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 / 1 |
ESP
|
+29 s
+14 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
14:06
14:01
|
42:28 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 1
80% range: 1–2
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 15.4 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.19 %,
Sicherheit 20 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.09 km/h
Running and totalRun: 14:06 (2:49 / km)
Historical basis: 2:49 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:48 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.09 %,
Sicherheit 21 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:01 (2:48 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 42:28
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:09
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
14:06
(2:49 / km)
Total:
42:28
|
| 2 / 13 |
ESP
|
+28 s
+5 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
14:33
14:43
|
42:55 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 2
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 22.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.96 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.7 s
Gap behind:
1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: 14:33 (2:55 / km)
Historical basis: 2:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:53 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.73 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: −0:10 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 42:55
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:08
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
14:33
(2:55 / km)
Total:
42:55
|
| 3 / 2 |
ESP
|
+22 s
+8 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
14:57
14:12
|
43:19 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 3
80% range: 3–7
Top-10 probability: 98 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 13.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
41 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.14 %,
Sicherheit 64 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 78 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.5 s
Gap behind:
1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.28 km/h
Running and totalRun: 14:57 (2:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
30 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.03 %,
Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:12 (2:50 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:19
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:02
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
14:57
(2:59 / km)
Total:
43:19
|
| 4 / 5 |
ESP
|
+26 s
+5 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:00
14:37
|
43:22 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 4
80% range: 3–8
Top-10 probability: 99 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 21.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.96 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 65 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.73 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (2:55 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 43:22
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:06
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:00
(3:00 / km)
Total:
43:22
|
| 5 / 4 |
ESP
|
+30 s
+15 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:08
14:25
|
43:30 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 5
80% range: 4–14
Top-10 probability: 76 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +15 s
Fehler: 14.8 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen,
39 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.25 %,
Sicherheit 57 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 53 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.0 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.04 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:08 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen,
30 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.06 %,
Sicherheit 49 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:25 (2:53 / km)
Error: +0:43 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 43:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:10
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:08
(3:02 / km)
Total:
43:30
|
| 6 / 25 |
CUB
|
+30 s
+34 s
|
G1 / G2
|
15:09
14:31
|
43:31 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 6
80% range: 3–22
Top-10 probability: 55 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -19
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -4.2 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.4 s
Gap behind:
0.0 s
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 42.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.94 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 8
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:31 (2:54 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:10
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:09
(3:02 / km)
Total:
43:31
|
| 7 / 29 |
ESP
|
+32 s
+21 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:09
16:25
|
43:31 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 7
80% range: 1–22
Top-10 probability: 61 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -22
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 11.0 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.85 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.5 s
Gap behind:
1.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.02 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:38 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 8
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.28 %,
Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: −1:16 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 43:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:12
(1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:09
(3:02 / km)
Total:
43:31
|
| 8 / 11 |
ESP
|
+32 s
+25 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:13
14:45
|
43:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 8
80% range: 5–11
Top-10 probability: 88 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 6.5 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
41 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.48 %,
Sicherheit 84 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.1 s
Gap behind:
0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 45.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.20 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:13 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
41 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.16 %,
Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (2:57 / km)
Error: +0:28 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 43:35
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:12
(1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:13
(3:03 / km)
Total:
43:35
|
| 9 / 9 |
ESP
|
+13 s
+1 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:20
14:39
|
43:42 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 9
80% range: 4–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 0
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 8:53
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
34 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.01 %,
Sicherheit 71 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 91 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.49 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
34 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.14 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (2:56 / km)
Error: +0:41 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 43:42
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
8:53
(1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:20
(3:04 / km)
Total:
43:42
|
| 10 / 7 |
ESP
|
+23 s
+5 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:28
14:33
|
43:50 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 10
80% range: 7–12
Top-10 probability: 75 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 17.7 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
51 Duelle,
Korrektur -1.03 %,
Sicherheit 73 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.0 s
Gap behind:
1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.36 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
44 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.08 %,
Sicherheit 66 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:33 (2:55 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 43:50
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:03
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:28
(3:06 / km)
Total:
43:50
|
| 11 / 20 |
ESP
|
+33 s
+26 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:37
15:32
|
43:59 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 11
80% range: 8–16
Top-10 probability: 46 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -9
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: 7.2 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
52 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.21 %,
Sicherheit 98 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.2 s
Gap behind:
4.4 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.15 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
45 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.97 %,
Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 43:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:13
(1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:37
(3:07 / km)
Total:
43:59
|
| 12 / 28 |
ESP
|
+16 s
+3 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:45
16:17
|
44:07 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 12
80% range: 4–21
Top-10 probability: 41 %
Result: 28
Deviation: -16
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 13.0 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
35 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.15 %,
Sicherheit 61 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 88 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.46 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen,
31 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.76 %,
Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 44:07
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
8:56
(1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:45
(3:09 / km)
Total:
44:07
|
| 13 / 15 |
ESP
|
+30 s
+9 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
15:59
14:58
|
44:21 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 13
80% range: 11–17
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 21.4 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
38 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.20 %,
Sicherheit 78 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.6 s
Gap behind:
1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
37 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.31 %,
Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:58 (3:00 / km)
Error: +1:01 / +0:12 / km
Overall prediction: 44:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:10
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
15:59
(3:12 / km)
Total:
44:21
|
| 14 / 19 |
ESP
|
+18 s
+7 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
16:09
15:33
|
44:31 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 14
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 13 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 11.2 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.76 %,
Sicherheit 28 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.1 s
Gap behind:
3.5 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:09 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
11 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.20 %,
Sicherheit 27 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:33 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:36 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
8:58
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
16:09
(3:14 / km)
Total:
44:31
|
| 15 / 10 |
ESP
|
+25 s
+7 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
16:16
14:38
|
44:38 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 15
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 5
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 17.6 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
35 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.63 %,
Sicherheit 63 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.9 s
Gap behind:
0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen,
34 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.18 %,
Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:38 (2:56 / km)
Error: +1:38 / +0:20 / km
Overall prediction: 44:38
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:05
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
16:16
(3:15 / km)
Total:
44:38
|
| 16 / 18 |
ESP
|
+29 s
+6 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
16:19
15:14
|
44:41 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 16
80% range: 14–21
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +6 s
Fehler: 23.2 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
28 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.00 %,
Sicherheit 53 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.5 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.41 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.64 %,
Sicherheit 44 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:09
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
16:19
(3:16 / km)
Total:
44:41
|
| 17 / 6 |
ESP
|
+14 s
+0 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
16:29
14:36
|
44:51 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 17
80% range: 13–19
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 11
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 8:54
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 14.4 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
23 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.19 %,
Sicherheit 52 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.6 s
Gap behind:
1.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.52 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen,
22 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.44 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:53 / +0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 44:51
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
8:54
(1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
16:29
(3:18 / km)
Total:
44:51
|
| 18 / 24 |
ESP
|
+18 s
+27 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
17:01
15:43
|
45:23 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 18
80% range: 17–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: -6
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +18 s
Time: 8:58
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -8.9 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
14 Duelle,
Korrektur 1.22 %,
Sicherheit 21 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.1 s
Gap behind:
0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.12 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:01 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen,
13 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.12 %,
Sicherheit 19 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:09 / km)
Error: +1:18 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 45:23
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
8:58
(1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
17:01
(3:24 / km)
Total:
45:23
|
| 19 / 17 |
ESP
|
+56 s
+21 s
|
G2 / G1
|
15:29
15:09
|
45:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 19
80% range: 13–22
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 17
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +56 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +21 s
Fehler: 34.6 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.96 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
8.6 s
Gap behind:
37.1 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.56 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen,
15 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.73 %,
Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:35
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming:
9:36
(1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
15:29
(3:06 / km)
Total:
45:35
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 18.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 20 / 3 |
ESP
|
+25 s
+3 s
|
G1 / G1
correct
|
17:34
14:22
|
45:56 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 20
80% range: 20–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 17
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:05
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 22.4 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen,
10 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.54 %,
Sicherheit 11 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 1 (19 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.8 s
Gap behind:
0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.44 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:34 (3:31 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.72 %,
Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:22 (2:52 / km)
Error: +3:12 / +0:38 / km
Overall prediction: 45:56
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:05
(1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
27:49
(44.8 km/h)
Run:
17:34
(3:31 / km)
Total:
45:56
|
| 21 / 22 |
ESP
|
+47 s
+28 s
|
G2 / G1
|
15:52
15:32
|
45:58 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 21
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.23 %,
Sicherheit 77 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 15 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
3.2 s
Gap behind:
8.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
32 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.04 %,
Sicherheit 72 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:20 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:27
(1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
15:52
(3:10 / km)
Total:
45:58
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 9.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 22 / 12 |
ESP
|
+44 s
+27 s
|
G2 / G1
|
16:05
14:34
|
46:11 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 22
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 10
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 16.8 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.47 %,
Sicherheit 68 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 18 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
0.2 s
Gap behind:
3.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.70 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:05 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen,
26 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.59 %,
Sicherheit 54 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:34 (2:55 / km)
Error: +1:31 / +0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 46:11
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
16:05
(3:13 / km)
Total:
46:11
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 6.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 23 / 16 |
ESP
|
+40 s
+13 s
|
G2 / G1
|
16:11
15:16
|
46:17 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 23
80% range: 8–24
Top-10 probability: 18 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 7
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 27.4 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
43 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.46 %,
Sicherheit 67 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
2.8 s
Gap behind:
1.9 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.46 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:11 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen,
33 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.75 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Error: +0:55 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:20
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
16:11
(3:14 / km)
Total:
46:17
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 3.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 24 / 8 |
ESP
|
+44 s
+40 s
|
G2 / G1
|
16:12
14:27
|
46:18 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 24
80% range: 10–25
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 16
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 3.6 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
46 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.40 %,
Sicherheit 95 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.3 s
Gap behind:
0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 45.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:12 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen,
46 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 71 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:27 (2:53 / km)
Error: +1:45 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 46:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:24
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
16:12
(3:14 / km)
Total:
46:18
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 25 / 23 |
ESP
|
+93 s
+27 s
|
G2 / G1
|
16:29
15:36
|
46:35 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 25
80% range: 24–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +93 s
Time: 10:13
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: 65.7 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen,
12 Duelle,
Korrektur -2.47 %,
Sicherheit 15 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
37.1 s
Gap behind:
15.6 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.73 km/h
Running and totalRun: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen,
9 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.49 %,
Sicherheit 14 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Error: +0:53 / +0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:35
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
10:13
(1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
16:29
(3:18 / km)
Total:
46:35
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 55.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 26 / 27 |
ESP
|
+108 s
+57 s
|
G3 / G2
|
15:24
14:36
|
47:24 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 26
80% range: 24–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: -1
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +108 s
Time: 10:28
Pace: 1:24 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: 51.3 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
33 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.12 %,
Sicherheit 58 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.1 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
15.6 s
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 2 (2 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.23 km/h
Running and totalRun: 15:24 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen,
33 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.22 %,
Sicherheit 62 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:36 (2:55 / km)
Error: +0:48 / +0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 47:24
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming:
10:28
(1:24 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
30:12
(41.1 km/h)
Run:
15:24
(3:05 / km)
Total:
47:24
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 71.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 27 / 30 |
ESP
|
+38 s
+13 s
|
G2 / G1
|
17:50
16:23
|
47:56 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 27
80% range: 23–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -3
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 24.6 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur 0.32 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
4.4 s
Gap behind:
2.8 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.24 km/h
Running and totalRun: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen,
4 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.75 %,
Sicherheit 9 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Error: +1:27 / +0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:56
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming:
9:18
(1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
17:50
(3:34 / km)
Total:
47:56
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 0.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 28 / 26 |
ESP
|
+42 s
+24 s
|
G2 / G1
|
33:21
16:00
|
1:03:27 | Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 28
80% range: 28–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 2
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: 18.3 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -0.08 %,
Sicherheit 23 %
CyclingPrediction: Group 2 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead:
1.9 s
Gap behind:
1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.54 km/h
Running and totalRun: 33:21 (6:40 / km)
Historical basis: 6:50 / km
Best comparable pace: 6:50 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen,
5 Duelle,
Korrektur -2.47 %,
Sicherheit 11 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: +17:21 / +3:28 / km
Overall prediction: 1:03:27
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming:
9:22
(1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
28:33
(44.2 km/h)
Run:
33:21
(6:40 / km)
Total:
1:03:27
Target first bike group at the bike finishGoal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:17
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
About 5.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +37.1 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
|
| 0 / 14 |
ESP
|
+0 s
+47 s
|
G0 / G1
|
14:44
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 29–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 14
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:40
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 45.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (2:57 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
8:40
(1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
|
|
| 0 / 21 |
ESP
|
+0 s
+17 s
|
G0 / G1
|
15:27
|
Show detailsPlacementPrediction: 0
80% range: 30–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 21
Deviation:
SwimmingPrognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:40
Pace: 1:09 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 0.0 s
CyclingPrediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead:
–
Gap behind:
–
Result: Group 1 (28 people)
Speed: 44.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h
Running and totalRun: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming:
8:40
(1:09 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time):
–
Run:
–
Total:
not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
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