Prediction comparison

Elite Women

13.09.2025 Águilas ESP

Race information and calculation basis

2025 ESP Sprint Triathlon National Championships

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 13.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Add missing course distances

The API does not provide every distance. Values are stored in metres for the race.

Swim distance in metres

Bike distance in metres

Run distance in metres

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 62/100 mittel

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 83.3 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 96.7 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error5.6

Mean swim error60.2 s

Mean bike-speed error1.38 km/h

Correct bike groups9/29

No history0

Within the 80% range36.7 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 3	Marta Pintanel Raymundo ESP	+91 s +17 s	G3 / G2	11:42 16:14	45:58	Show details Prediction details: Marta Pintanel Raymundo Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–2 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 3 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +91 s Time: 8:11 Pace: 1:05 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +17 s Fehler: 74.2 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur -0.65 %, Sicherheit 90 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 30 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 6.2 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h Running and total Run: 11:42 (2:20 / km) Historical basis: 2:17 / km Best comparable pace: 2:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 82 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:15 / km) Error: −4:32 / −0:54 / km Overall prediction: 45:58 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:11 (1:05 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 11:42 (2:20 / km) Total: 45:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 9.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 8	Cecilia Santamaria Surroca ESP	+68 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:18 17:37	50:30	Show details Prediction details: Cecilia Santamaria Surroca Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 3–5 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 8 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +68 s Time: 7:48 Pace: 1:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 68.0 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 71 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 72 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 98 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 5.7 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 1 (3 people) Speed: 40.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.41 km/h Running and total Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:27 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 7 H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:37 (3:31 / km) Error: −0:19 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 50:30 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:48 (1:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 17:18 (3:28 / km) Total: 50:30
3 / 4	María Casals Mojica ESP	+71 s +23 s	G1 / G2	17:22 16:17	50:34	Show details Prediction details: María Casals Mojica Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 3–10 Top-10 probability: 94 % Result: 4 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +71 s Time: 7:51 Pace: 1:03 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: 48.2 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 112 Duelle, Korrektur 0.95 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 76 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 2.7 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.55 km/h Running and total Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 106 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:17 (3:15 / km) Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 50:34 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:51 (1:03 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km) Total: 50:34
4 / 7	Alejandra Seguí Soria ESP	+81 s +30 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:25 17:21	50:37	Show details Prediction details: Alejandra Seguí Soria Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 3–12 Top-10 probability: 85 % Result: 7 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +81 s Time: 8:01 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: 50.7 s H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 48 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.3 s Gap behind: 1.1 s Result: Group 1 (3 people) Speed: 40.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.75 km/h Running and total Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:21 (3:28 / km) Error: +0:04 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 50:37 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:01 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km) Total: 50:37
5 / 5	Ana Carballo Gómez ESP	+78 s +26 s	G1 / G2	18:09 16:28	51:21	Show details Prediction details: Ana Carballo Gómez Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 6–13 Top-10 probability: 81 % Result: 5 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +78 s Time: 7:58 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 51.9 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 64 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.68 km/h Running and total Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 79 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:28 (3:18 / km) Error: +1:41 / +0:20 / km Overall prediction: 51:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:58 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 18:09 (3:38 / km) Total: 51:21
6 / 2	Noelia Juan ESP	+92 s +30 s	G3 / G2	17:21 16:10	51:37	Show details Prediction details: Noelia Juan Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 4–12 Top-10 probability: 86 % Result: 2 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +92 s Time: 8:12 Pace: 1:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +30 s Fehler: 61.7 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 95 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 39 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.64 km/h Running and total Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:30 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.96 %, Sicherheit 76 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km) Error: +1:11 / +0:14 / km Overall prediction: 51:37 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:12 (1:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 17:21 (3:28 / km) Total: 51:37 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:07 Pace: 1:05 / 100 m About 4.6 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +87.1 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
7 / 9	Celine Senia FRA	+61 s +23 s	G1 / G2	18:31 17:29	51:43	Show details Prediction details: Celine Senia Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 6–11 Top-10 probability: 85 % Result: 9 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +61 s Time: 7:41 Pace: 1:01 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +23 s Fehler: 38.4 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 2 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 98 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 26.4 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.57 km/h Running and total Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.19 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:29 (3:30 / km) Error: +1:02 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 51:43 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:41 (1:01 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 18:31 (3:42 / km) Total: 51:43
8 / 6	Natalia Castro Santos ESP	+101 s +18 s	G3 / G2	17:32 16:53	51:48	Show details Prediction details: Natalia Castro Santos Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 6–17 Top-10 probability: 61 % Result: 6 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +101 s Time: 8:21 Pace: 1:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: 82.8 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 87 Duelle, Korrektur -1.36 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 8 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.4 s Gap behind: 0.4 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h Running and total Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 86 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:53 (3:23 / km) Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 51:48 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:21 (1:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km) Total: 51:48 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 18.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 1	María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero ESP	+62 s +20 s	G1 / G2	18:41 16:00	51:53	Show details Prediction details: María Teresa Jiménez-Orta Guerrero Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 8–12 Top-10 probability: 71 % Result: 1 Deviation: 8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +62 s Time: 7:42 Pace: 1:02 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +20 s Fehler: 42.3 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur 1.21 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 98 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 5.7 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.61 km/h Running and total Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km) Historical basis: 3:46 / km Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 57 Duelle, Korrektur -0.94 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km) Error: +2:41 / +0:32 / km Overall prediction: 51:53 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:42 (1:02 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 18:41 (3:44 / km) Total: 51:53
10 / 16	Marina Muñoz Hernando ESP	+103 s +64 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:57 17:18	52:13	Show details Prediction details: Marina Muñoz Hernando Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 7–21 Top-10 probability: 24 % Result: 16 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +103 s Time: 8:23 Pace: 1:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +64 s Fehler: 39.0 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 39.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.28 km/h Running and total Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:37 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: −0:02 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 91 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km) Error: +0:39 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 52:13 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:23 (1:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 17:57 (3:35 / km) Total: 52:13 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 21.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 19	Paula Del Pozo Borrachero ESP	+92 s +67 s	G3 / G3 correct	18:08 17:47	52:24	Show details Prediction details: Paula Del Pozo Borrachero Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 8–16 Top-10 probability: 41 % Result: 19 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +92 s Time: 8:12 Pace: 1:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +67 s Fehler: 25.4 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 72 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 90 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 15 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 2.8 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 39.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.33 km/h Running and total Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km) Historical basis: 3:36 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 77 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km) Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km Overall prediction: 52:24 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:12 (1:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 18:08 (3:38 / km) Total: 52:24 Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
12 / 20	Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita PER	+35 s +15 s	G1 / G2	19:16 19:20	52:28	Show details Prediction details: Gianella Debra Coaguila Pita Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 11–17 Top-10 probability: 4 % Result: 20 Deviation: -8 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +35 s Time: 7:15 Pace: 0:58 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +15 s Fehler: 20.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 99 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 26.4 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.41 km/h Running and total Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km) Historical basis: 3:50 / km Best comparable pace: 3:50 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.45 %, Sicherheit 1 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:20 (3:52 / km) Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 52:28 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:15 (0:58 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 19:16 (3:51 / km) Total: 52:28
13 / 12	Clara Aulinas Prat ESP	+74 s +18 s	G1 / G2	19:30 18:02	52:42	Show details Prediction details: Clara Aulinas Prat Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 13–18 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 12 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +74 s Time: 7:54 Pace: 1:03 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: 55.9 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.49 %, Sicherheit 54 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 81 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.7 s Gap behind: 2.8 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.55 km/h Running and total Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km) Historical basis: 3:54 / km Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 47 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km) Error: +1:28 / +0:18 / km Overall prediction: 52:42 Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:54 (1:03 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 19:30 (3:54 / km) Total: 52:42
14 / 13	Maria Alzaga Criado ESP	+85 s +25 s	G2 / G2 correct	18:57 18:08	52:46	Show details Prediction details: Maria Alzaga Criado Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 10–19 Top-10 probability: 20 % Result: 13 Deviation: 1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +85 s Time: 8:05 Pace: 1:05 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +25 s Fehler: 59.8 s H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 105 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 58 % Speed: 38.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.0 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.38 km/h Running and total Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Historical basis: 3:49 / km Best comparable pace: 3:39 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 8 H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 99 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km) Error: +0:49 / +0:10 / km Overall prediction: 52:46 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:05 (1:05 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:24 (38.3 km/h) Run: 18:57 (3:47 / km) Total: 52:46 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 2.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 25	Elsa Pena Vicente ESP	+80 s +35 s	G1 / G3	19:34 18:47	52:46	Show details Prediction details: Elsa Pena Vicente Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 13–19 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 25 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +80 s Time: 8:00 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 45.4 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 70 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.2 s Gap behind: 0.3 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.21 km/h Running and total Run: 19:34 (3:55 / km) Historical basis: 3:55 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.05 %, Sicherheit 93 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km) Error: +0:47 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 52:46 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:00 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 19:34 (3:55 / km) Total: 52:46
16 / 21	Raquel Arostegui Gonzalez ESP	+98 s +29 s	G3 / G3 correct	18:46 17:47	53:02	Show details Prediction details: Raquel Arostegui Gonzalez Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 12–24 Top-10 probability: 5 % Result: 21 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +98 s Time: 8:18 Pace: 1:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +29 s Fehler: 69.4 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 56 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.2 s Gap behind: 2.4 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h Running and total Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:45 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 51 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km) Error: +0:59 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 53:02 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:18 (1:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km) Total: 53:02 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 16.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 18	Lucia Acosta Suarez ESP	+106 s +26 s	G4 / G3	17:30 17:25	53:04	Show details Prediction details: Lucia Acosta Suarez Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 5–18 Top-10 probability: 40 % Result: 18 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +106 s Time: 8:26 Pace: 1:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +26 s Fehler: 79.9 s H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 93 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 16 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 4.0 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.75 km/h Running and total Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:29 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km) Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 53:04 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:26 (1:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:30 (37.0 km/h) Run: 17:30 (3:30 / km) Total: 53:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 24 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
18 / 15	Iratxe Arenal Arribas ESP	+79 s +21 s	G1 / G1 correct	19:53 18:49	53:05	Show details Prediction details: Iratxe Arenal Arribas Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 15–22 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 15 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +79 s Time: 7:59 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +21 s Fehler: 58.2 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 69 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 70 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.9 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 1 (3 people) Speed: 40.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.68 km/h Running and total Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km) Historical basis: 3:59 / km Best comparable pace: 3:38 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 63 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 88 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:49 (3:46 / km) Error: +1:04 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 53:05 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:59 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 19:53 (3:59 / km) Total: 53:05
19 / 26	Marina Camps Mansilla ESP	+78 s +35 s	G1 / G3	20:09 18:28	53:21	Show details Prediction details: Marina Camps Mansilla Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 19–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +78 s Time: 7:58 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 43.3 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 42 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 60 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 0.9 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.21 km/h Running and total Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km) Historical basis: 4:00 / km Best comparable pace: 3:54 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 42 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:28 (3:42 / km) Error: +1:41 / +0:20 / km Overall prediction: 53:21 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:58 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 20:09 (4:02 / km) Total: 53:21
20 / 22	Andrea Trigo Albarran ESP	+140 s +34 s	G5 / G3	17:52 17:59	53:34	Show details Prediction details: Andrea Trigo Albarran Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 17–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +140 s Time: 9:00 Pace: 1:12 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +34 s Fehler: 105.5 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 1.20 %, Sicherheit 37 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 9, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 10.3 s Gap behind: 38.5 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.54 km/h Running and total Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur 1.33 %, Sicherheit 37 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km) Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 53:34 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 9:00 (1:12 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (37.3 km/h) Run: 17:52 (3:34 / km) Total: 53:34 Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
21 / 14	Gemma Frigola García ESP	+110 s +36 s	G4 / G3	18:02 16:59	53:36	Show details Prediction details: Gemma Frigola García Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 14–22 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 14 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +110 s Time: 8:30 Pace: 1:08 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +36 s Fehler: 73.9 s H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 50 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.0 s Gap behind: 14.4 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.89 km/h Running and total Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.93 %, Sicherheit 52 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:24 / km) Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km Overall prediction: 53:36 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:30 (1:08 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:30 (37.0 km/h) Run: 18:02 (3:36 / km) Total: 53:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 28 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 10	Sara Moreno Gonzalez ESP	+77 s +18 s	G1 / G2	20:41 17:41	53:53	Show details Prediction details: Sara Moreno Gonzalez Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 20–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 10 Deviation: 12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +77 s Time: 7:57 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +18 s Fehler: 58.7 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 75 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.8 s Gap behind: 1.2 s Result: Group 2 (11 people) Speed: 40.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.55 km/h Running and total Run: 20:41 (4:08 / km) Historical basis: 4:02 / km Best comparable pace: 3:59 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.53 %, Sicherheit 6 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:41 (3:32 / km) Error: +3:00 / +0:36 / km Overall prediction: 53:53 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 7:57 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 20:41 (4:08 / km) Total: 53:53
23 / 27	Ana Maria Santiso Prado ESP	+95 s +35 s	G3 / G3 correct	19:42 18:42	53:58	Show details Prediction details: Ana Maria Santiso Prado Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 17–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +95 s Time: 8:15 Pace: 1:06 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 60.2 s H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 21 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.8 s Gap behind: 3.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.65 km/h Running and total Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Historical basis: 3:56 / km Best comparable pace: 3:52 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.11 %, Sicherheit 94 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:42 (3:44 / km) Error: +1:00 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 53:58 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:15 (1:06 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 19:42 (3:56 / km) Total: 53:58 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 13.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 29	Uxía Campos Tato ESP	+82 s +35 s	G1 / G3	20:47 19:11	53:59	Show details Prediction details: Uxía Campos Tato Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 22–26 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +82 s Time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 46.8 s H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 0.40 %, Sicherheit 42 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (13 people) Gruppe 1: 58 % Speed: 39.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.1 s Gap behind: 3.0 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.33 km/h Running and total Run: 20:47 (4:09 / km) Historical basis: 4:08 / km Best comparable pace: 4:08 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 23 Duelle, Korrektur 0.55 %, Sicherheit 42 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:11 (3:50 / km) Error: +1:36 / +0:19 / km Overall prediction: 53:59 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:02 (1:04 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 31:50 (39.0 km/h) Run: 20:47 (4:09 / km) Total: 53:59
25 / 30	Iva Pavlovic SRB	+101 s +24 s	G3 / G3 correct	21:05 19:14	55:21	Show details Prediction details: Iva Pavlovic Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 24–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +101 s Time: 8:21 Pace: 1:07 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 77.2 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -0.82 %, Sicherheit 55 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 19 % Speed: 38.2 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.4 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.47 km/h Running and total Run: 21:05 (4:13 / km) Historical basis: 4:13 / km Best comparable pace: 3:53 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 63 % Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km) Error: +1:51 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 55:21 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:21 (1:07 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:33 (38.2 km/h) Run: 21:05 (4:13 / km) Total: 55:21 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 19.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 24	Nuria Noguera Salmeron ESP	+129 s +43 s	G5 / G3	20:17 18:07	55:59	Show details Prediction details: Nuria Noguera Salmeron Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 26–27 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 24 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +129 s Time: 8:49 Pace: 1:11 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +43 s Fehler: 86.2 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.58 %, Sicherheit 60 % Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 8, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.9 s Gap behind: 10.3 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.66 km/h Running and total Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km) Historical basis: 4:03 / km Best comparable pace: 4:03 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.24 %, Sicherheit 60 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:07 (3:37 / km) Error: +2:10 / +0:26 / km Overall prediction: 55:59 Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40 Swimming: 8:49 (1:11 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (37.3 km/h) Run: 20:17 (4:03 / km) Total: 55:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 47.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 23	Isabel María Navarro García ESP	+124 s +37 s	G4 / G3	39:25 18:10	1:14:59	Show details Prediction details: Isabel María Navarro García Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 28–28 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 23 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +124 s Time: 8:44 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +37 s Fehler: 87.3 s H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -1.24 %, Sicherheit 71 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.0 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 14.4 s Gap behind: 4.9 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.91 km/h Running and total Run: 39:25 (7:53 / km) Historical basis: 8:05 / km Best comparable pace: 3:56 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 61 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:10 (3:38 / km) Error: +21:15 / +4:15 / km Overall prediction: 1:14:59 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:44 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 33:30 (37.0 km/h) Run: 39:25 (7:53 / km) Total: 1:14:59 Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
28 / 17	Candela Sánchez Touza ESP	+85 s +43 s	G2 / G3	47:12 17:17	1:21:01	Show details Prediction details: Candela Sánchez Touza Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 29–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 17 Deviation: 11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +85 s Time: 8:05 Pace: 1:05 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +43 s Fehler: 42.0 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 6 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (2 people) Gruppe 1: 49 % Speed: 38.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 6.2 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 38.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.57 km/h Running and total Run: 47:12 (9:26 / km) Historical basis: 9:41 / km Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 9 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:17 (3:27 / km) Error: +29:55 / +5:59 / km Overall prediction: 1:21:01 Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:05 (1:05 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:24 (38.3 km/h) Run: 47:12 (9:26 / km) Total: 1:21:01 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 3.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 11	Míriam Andreu Diaz ESP	+128 s	Bike DNF	18:21 17:52		Show details Prediction details: Míriam Andreu Diaz Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 30–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 11 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +128 s Time: 8:48 Pace: 1:10 / 100 m H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 1.08 %, Sicherheit 67 % Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km) Historical basis: 3:40 / km Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 66 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:52 (3:34 / km) Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 8:48 (1:10 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km) Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28	Tania Álvarez ESP	+178 s +85 s	G5 / G4	17:16		Show details Prediction details: Tania Álvarez Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 28 Deviation: -28 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +178 s Time: 9:38 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +85 s Fehler: 93.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 5 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.3 km/h Initial Gruppe 10, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 38.5 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 37.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -0.31 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:16 (3:27 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 32:44 (37.3 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 8:02 Pace: 1:04 / 100 m About 96.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +81.9 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.

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