Zum Inhalt springen
Performance Workspace
Predicition
Live data
Prediction comparison

Elite Men

05.10.2025 Ceuta ESP
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Europe Triathlon Cup Ceuta

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 05.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v14 Default values
Prediction quality 57/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 74.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 91.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error15.2
Mean swim error11.3 s
Mean bike-speed error1.46 km/h
Correct bike groups30/59
No history0
Within the 80% range50.8 %
Place
Prediction / result		 Athlete Swimming
Prediction / result		 Bike group
Prediction / result		 Run
Prediction / result		 Overall prediction Details
1 / 2 Vicente Hernandez
ESP
+24 s
+26 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:00
14:52
 44:24
Show details
Prediction details: Vicente Hernandez

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 7–16
Top-10 probability: 80 %
Result: 2
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +26 s
Fehler: -1.6 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 83 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Historical basis: 3:00 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:52 (2:58 / km)
Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 44:24
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:00 (3:00 / km)
Total: 44:24
2 / 1 Louis Vitiello
FRA
+25 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:10
14:43
 44:34
Show details
Prediction details: Louis Vitiello

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 7–18
Top-10 probability: 59 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 13.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 3:02 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 8
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 14:43 (2:57 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 44:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Total: 44:34
3 / 11 Andres Hilario Morales
ESP
+28 s
+33 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:17
15:38
 44:41
Show details
Prediction details: Andres Hilario Morales

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 8–20
Top-10 probability: 43 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -5.1 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 74 Duelle, Korrektur 0.48 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:00 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 73 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:38 (3:08 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 44:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:17 (3:03 / km)
Total: 44:41
4 / 22 Eduardo Blanco Mollá
ESP
+7 s
+1 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:20
15:54
 44:44
Show details
Prediction details: Eduardo Blanco Mollá

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 8–14
Top-10 probability: 53 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +1 s
Fehler: 5.8 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 54 Duelle, Korrektur 0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 95 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 53 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:34 / −0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 44:44
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:44
5 / 12 Eneko De Castro Cativiela
ESP
+16 s
+29 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:27
15:34
 44:51
Show details
Prediction details: Eneko De Castro Cativiela

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 9–16
Top-10 probability: 28 %
Result: 12
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: -12.7 s
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur -0.63 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.82 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 62 Duelle, Korrektur 0.50 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Error: −0:07 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:51
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:27 (3:05 / km)
Total: 44:51
6 / 10 Jesús Vela Vela
ESP
+7 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:28
15:28
 44:52
Show details
Prediction details: Jesús Vela Vela

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 9–15
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 10
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 9:03
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 84 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 94 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:00 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 44:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:03 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:52
7 / 34 Jarno Pousada Troitiño
ESP
+23 s
+42 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:31
16:35
 44:55
Show details
Prediction details: Jarno Pousada Troitiño

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 10–19
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 34
Deviation: -27

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -19.2 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:04 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.96 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: −1:04 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 44:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:31 (3:06 / km)
Total: 44:55
8 / 47 Julen Andueza Valencia
ESP
+28 s
+33 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:34
18:19
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Julen Andueza Valencia

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 9–25
Top-10 probability: 15 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -39

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 91 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 48 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 35 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:19 (3:40 / km)
Error: −2:45 / −0:33 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:34 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:58
9 / 14 Kiril Polikarpenko
ITA
+26 s
+31 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:35
15:30
 44:59
Show details
Prediction details: Kiril Polikarpenko

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 11–39
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -5.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.44 %, Sicherheit 46 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 46 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:30 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 44:59
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:59
10 / 13 Kevin Tarek Viñuela Gonzalez
ESP
+8 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:45
15:29
 45:09
Show details
Prediction details: Kevin Tarek Viñuela Gonzalez

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 13–21
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 13
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +8 s
Time: 9:04
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 4.9 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 107 Duelle, Korrektur -0.13 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.7 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.02 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 104 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:16 / +0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 45:09
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:04 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:45 (3:09 / km)
Total: 45:09
11 / 25 Anton Serieys
FRA
+25 s
+10 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:48
16:10
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: Anton Serieys

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 13–26
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 25
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +10 s
Fehler: 14.9 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 7 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Error: −0:22 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:48 (3:10 / km)
Total: 45:12
12 / 48 Luke McCarron
IRL
+26 s
+38 s
G1 / G3
 15:53
16:35
 45:17
Show details
Prediction details: Luke McCarron

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 8–36
Top-10 probability: 16 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +26 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +38 s
Fehler: -12.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 91 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 54 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:55 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.22 %, Sicherheit 65 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Error: −0:42 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:17
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 15:53 (3:11 / km)
Total: 45:17
13 / 17 Juan Gonzalez Garcia
ESP
+24 s
+20 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:01
15:40
 45:25
Show details
Prediction details: Juan Gonzalez Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 17–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +20 s
Fehler: 3.8 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.41 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:56 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 68 Duelle, Korrektur -0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:40 (3:08 / km)
Error: +0:21 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 45:25
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Total: 45:25
14 / 21 Damian Suarez Couto
ESP
+10 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:06
16:01
 45:30
Show details
Prediction details: Damian Suarez Couto

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 11–33
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 7.6 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.7 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.10 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:01 (3:12 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:06 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:30
15 / 36 Gabriel Barac
CRO
+23 s
+27 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:07
16:31
 45:31
Show details
Prediction details: Gabriel Barac

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 18–39
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +27 s
Fehler: -4.5 s
H2H: 30 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.53 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.13 %, Sicherheit 91 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:31 (3:18 / km)
Error: −0:24 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:31
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Total: 45:31
16 / 9 Antoine L'hôte
SUI
+23 s
+11 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:10
15:28
 45:34
Show details
Prediction details: Antoine L'hôte

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 19–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 9
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +11 s
Fehler: 12.1 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 75 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.28 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 55 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:28 (3:06 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 45:34
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:10 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:34
17 / 26 Jesse Cuijpers
NED
+11 s
+16 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:15
15:52
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Jesse Cuijpers

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 22–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +11 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: -4.8 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 68 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:15 (3:15 / km)
Total: 45:39
18 / 20 Daniel Van Aardt
GBR
+13 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:18
15:51
 45:42
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Van Aardt

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 20–31
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +13 s
Time: 9:09
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -12.0 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.54 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 84 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Historical basis: 3:16 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:51 (3:10 / km)
Error: +0:27 / +0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 45:42
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:09 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:18 (3:16 / km)
Total: 45:42
19 / 52 Johan Besse
FRA
+48 s
+52 s
G3 / G3
correct 		14:41
17:33
 45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Johan Besse

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 15–37
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -33

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:44
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: -4.4 s
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -1.42 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 10.0 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.90 km/h

Running and total

Run: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Historical basis: 2:54 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.14 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:33 (3:31 / km)
Error: −2:52 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 45:47
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:44 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 14:41 (2:56 / km)
Total: 45:47
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 19 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 35 Julian Piller
AUT
+15 s
+13 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:30
16:25
 45:54
Show details
Prediction details: Julian Piller

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 20–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +15 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +13 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:07 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 28 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:17 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 45:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:30 (3:18 / km)
Total: 45:54
21 / 45 Ilio Kopriva
BEL
+10 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:33
17:44
 45:57
Show details
Prediction details: Ilio Kopriva

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 21–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +10 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 9.8 s
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.23 %, Sicherheit 36 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 89 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 10
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.20 %, Sicherheit 37 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:44 (3:33 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:57
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:57
22 / 4 Pau Noguera Salmeron
ESP
+37 s
+35 s
G2 / G1
 15:36
15:04
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Pau Noguera Salmeron

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 11–40
Top-10 probability: 9 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 2.2 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 103 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 25 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +0:32 / +0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:36 (3:07 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 8.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 23 Simeone Romano
ITA
+32 s
+14 s
G2 / G1
 15:39
16:00
 46:06
Show details
Prediction details: Simeone Romano

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 14–33
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 18.0 s
H2H: 29 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur -1.05 %, Sicherheit 78 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.0 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 69 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:00 (3:12 / km)
Error: −0:21 / −0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 46:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 46:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 3.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 40 Daniel Tolosa Aguelo
ESP
+37 s
+39 s
G2 / G1
 15:54
17:05
 46:21
Show details
Prediction details: Daniel Tolosa Aguelo

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 19–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -2.3 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 66 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.5 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 46:21
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:21
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 15 Albert García Serra
ESP
+25 s
+40 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:57
15:37
 46:21
Show details
Prediction details: Albert García Serra

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 32–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 15
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -15.4 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.03 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 (3:07 / km)
Error: +1:20 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:21
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:57 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:21
26 / 7 Alejandro Pla Estebanez
ESP
+39 s
+28 s
G2 / G1
 15:55
15:10
 46:22
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro Pla Estebanez

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 22–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +39 s
Time: 9:35
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 11.3 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.36 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 9 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:12 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:12 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: +0:45 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:22
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:35 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Total: 46:22
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 10.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 44 Linus Lehnen
GER
+22 s
+34 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:59
17:39
 46:23
Show details
Prediction details: Linus Lehnen

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 26–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -11.9 s
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 102 Duelle, Korrektur 0.26 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 36 Gegner:innen, 90 Duelle, Korrektur -0.10 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:39 (3:32 / km)
Error: −0:40 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 46:23
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 16:59 (3:24 / km)
Total: 46:23
28 / 28 Balte Thijs
BEL
+32 s
+28 s
G2 / G1
 15:59
16:07
 46:26
Show details
Prediction details: Balte Thijs

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 14–48
Top-10 probability: 8 %
Result: 28
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 4.0 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 52 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 71 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 0.0 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:05 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 47 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:07 (3:13 / km)
Error: −0:08 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 46:26
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 15:59 (3:12 / km)
Total: 46:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 3.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 33 Diego Lampe
ITA
+44 s
+35 s
G3 / G1
 15:23
16:19
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Diego Lampe

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 13–44
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -4

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 9.2 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 29 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.63 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:06 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:02 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 1.01 %, Sicherheit 29 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: −0:56 / −0:11 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:23 (3:05 / km)
Total: 46:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 15.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 8 Cis Huyghe
BEL
+29 s
+31 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:06
15:20
 46:30
Show details
Prediction details: Cis Huyghe

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 33–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: -2.3 s
H2H: 26 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.78 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 38 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 25 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:20 (3:04 / km)
Error: +1:46 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 46:30
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:06 (3:25 / km)
Total: 46:30
31 / 55 Sergio Ortiz Velasco
ESP
+58 s
+79 s
G3 / G6
 15:26
15:52
 46:32
Show details
Prediction details: Sergio Ortiz Velasco

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 23–51
Top-10 probability: 4 %
Result: 55
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +58 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +79 s
Fehler: -21.4 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 5 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 10.0 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 6 (1 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.23 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Historical basis: 3:05 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:52 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:26 / −0:05 / km
Overall prediction: 46:32
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:26 (3:05 / km)
Total: 46:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 29 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 56 Oskar Hein
EST
+22 s
+34 s
G1 / G3
 17:13
19:48
 46:37
Show details
Prediction details: Oskar Hein

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 35–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 56
Deviation: -24

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +22 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +34 s
Fehler: -12.5 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 16 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 61 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.5 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.28 %, Sicherheit 15 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:48 (3:58 / km)
Error: −2:35 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 46:37
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:13 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:37
33 / 32 Hugo Fernandez Tovar
ESP
+29 s
+17 s
G2 / G1
 16:13
16:08
 46:40
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Fernandez Tovar

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 22–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation: 1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +17 s
Fehler: 11.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.44 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 46:40
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:25 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:40
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 0.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 37 Quentin Pennone
SUI
+35 s
+30 s
G2 / G1
 16:14
16:42
 46:41
Show details
Prediction details: Quentin Pennone

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 24–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 5.2 s
H2H: 27 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 94 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.5 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:14 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 33 Duelle, Korrektur 0.44 %, Sicherheit 87 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: −0:28 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:41
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:14 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:41
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 6.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 3 Eloy Canales Escribano
ESP
+3 s
+30 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:17
15:04
 46:41
Show details
Prediction details: Eloy Canales Escribano

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 35–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 3
Deviation: 32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +3 s
Time: 8:59
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -26.7 s
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.3 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:32 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur -2.36 %, Sicherheit 97 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:04 (3:01 / km)
Error: +2:13 / +0:27 / km
Overall prediction: 46:41
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 8:59 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:17 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:41
36 / 54 Simeon Bobekov
BUL
+40 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 16:16
16:48
 46:43
Show details
Prediction details: Simeon Bobekov

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 25–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 54
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +40 s
Time: 9:36
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: -1.8 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 56 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 29 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 39.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Error: −0:32 / −0:06 / km
Overall prediction: 46:43
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:16 (3:15 / km)
Total: 46:43
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 11.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 31 Gustavo Do Canto
POR
+16 s
+24 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:22
16:19
 46:46
Show details
Prediction details: Gustavo Do Canto

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 36–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: 6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:12
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +24 s
Fehler: -7.9 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 40 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 80 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.61 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Historical basis: 3:31 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:13 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur -1.35 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: +1:03 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 46:46
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:12 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:22 (3:28 / km)
Total: 46:46
38 / 16 Valentin Van Wersch
NED
+59 s
+43 s
G3 / G1
 15:49
15:50
 46:55
Show details
Prediction details: Valentin Van Wersch

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 36–53
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 16
Deviation: 22

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:55
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +43 s
Fehler: 15.8 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.09 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.87 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Historical basis: 3:13 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.14 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:50 (3:10 / km)
Error: −0:01 / −0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 46:55
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:55 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 15:49 (3:10 / km)
Total: 46:55
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 30.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 18 Jan Alb
AUT
+35 s
+40 s
G2 / G1
 16:33
15:47
 47:00
Show details
Prediction details: Jan Alb

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 28–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 18
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: -4.9 s
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 16 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 31 Gegner:innen, 56 Duelle, Korrektur 0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:47 (3:09 / km)
Error: +0:46 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:33 (3:19 / km)
Total: 47:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 6.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
40 / 49 David Vollmann
AUT
+32 s
+39 s
G2 / G3
 16:44
16:58
 47:11
Show details
Prediction details: David Vollmann

Placement

Prediction: 40
80% range: 15–55
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +39 s
Fehler: -6.9 s
H2H: 33 Gegner:innen, 85 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.38 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 32 Gegner:innen, 78 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:58 (3:24 / km)
Error: −0:14 / −0:03 / km
Overall prediction: 47:11
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 47:11
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 3.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
41 / 46 Boris Andreev
BUL
+19 s
+25 s
G1 / G1
correct 		17:54
17:58
 47:18
Show details
Prediction details: Boris Andreev

Placement

Prediction: 41
80% range: 44–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +19 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.33 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 2.5 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.51 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Historical basis: 3:38 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.41 %, Sicherheit 88 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Error: −0:04 / −0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:18
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Total: 47:18
42 / 43 Lucas Riola Delgado
ESP
+61 s
+42 s
G3 / G1
 16:23
17:28
 47:29
Show details
Prediction details: Lucas Riola Delgado

Placement

Prediction: 42
80% range: 40–56
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +61 s
Time: 9:57
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 18.5 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 50 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 17.6 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.55 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:17 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 33 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:28 (3:30 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 47:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:23 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 31.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
43 / 24 Neal Van Vaerenbergh
BEL
+60 s
+44 s
G3 / G1
 16:27
16:08
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: Neal Van Vaerenbergh

Placement

Prediction: 43
80% range: 32–58
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 19

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +60 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 15.6 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 47 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.92 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 41 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Error: +0:19 / +0:04 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:27 (3:17 / km)
Total: 47:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 31 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
44 / 42 Jakob Meier
AUT
+35 s
+32 s
G2 / G1
 17:09
17:20
 47:36
Show details
Prediction details: Jakob Meier

Placement

Prediction: 44
80% range: 37–57
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +35 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 2.5 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 76 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.13 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:20 (3:28 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:36
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:09 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 5.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
45 / 50 Jackson Harrell
USA
+33 s
+35 s
G2 / G3
 17:10
17:05
 47:37
Show details
Prediction details: Jackson Harrell

Placement

Prediction: 45
80% range: 22–57
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 50
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +33 s
Time: 9:29
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: -1.9 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 12 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 3 (5 people)
Speed: 40.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 1.40 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:25 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:05 (3:25 / km)
Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km
Overall prediction: 47:37
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:29 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:10 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:37
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 4.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
46 / 41 Lawrence Martindale
GBR
+30 s
+4 s
G2 / G1
 17:12
17:23
 47:39
Show details
Prediction details: Lawrence Martindale

Placement

Prediction: 46
80% range: 38–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: 5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 25.8 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.4 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:27 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 12 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:23 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:11 / −0:02 / km
Overall prediction: 47:39
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 17:12 (3:26 / km)
Total: 47:39
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 1.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
47 / 27 Dorian Horsten
NED
+46 s
+31 s
G3 / G1
 16:48
16:04
 47:54
Show details
Prediction details: Dorian Horsten

Placement

Prediction: 47
80% range: 40–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation: 20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +46 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 15.2 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:21 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:04 (3:13 / km)
Error: +0:44 / +0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 47:54
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 16:48 (3:22 / km)
Total: 47:54
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 17.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
48 / 38 Adrian Martinez Bayan
ESP
+25 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		18:35
16:52
 47:59
Show details
Prediction details: Adrian Martinez Bayan

Placement

Prediction: 48
80% range: 50–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:21
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 15.7 s
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -1.15 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 56 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Historical basis: 3:46 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:11 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 60 Duelle, Korrektur -1.27 %, Sicherheit 75 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Error: +1:43 / +0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 47:59
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:21 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 18:35 (3:43 / km)
Total: 47:59
49 / 19 Hugo Borel
FRA
+88 s
+32 s
G5 / G1
 15:09
15:55
 48:10
Show details
Prediction details: Hugo Borel

Placement

Prediction: 49
80% range: 49–55
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 19
Deviation: 30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +88 s
Time: 10:24
Pace: 1:23 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 55.5 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 6 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 39.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 9.4 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -4.60 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Historical basis: 2:59 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:59 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 1.79 %, Sicherheit 6 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:55 (3:11 / km)
Error: −0:46 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 48:10
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:33 (39.6 km/h)
Run: 15:09 (3:02 / km)
Total: 48:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 58.9 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
50 / 29 Runar De Meulenaere
BEL
+14 s
+14 s
G1 / G1
correct 		19:24
16:19
 48:48
Show details
Prediction details: Runar De Meulenaere

Placement

Prediction: 50
80% range: 54–58
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: 21

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +14 s
Time: 9:10
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: -0.4 s
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -0.48 %, Sicherheit 63 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 43.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.43 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 32 Duelle, Korrektur -2.03 %, Sicherheit 53 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:19 (3:16 / km)
Error: +3:05 / +0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 48:48
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:10 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Total: 48:48
51 / 39 Moritz Meier
AUT
+42 s
+33 s
G2 / G1
 18:25
17:04
 48:52
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Meier

Placement

Prediction: 51
80% range: 48–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 9.4 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.15 %, Sicherheit 81 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.31 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Historical basis: 3:44 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 64 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:04 (3:25 / km)
Error: +1:21 / +0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 48:52
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 18:25 (3:41 / km)
Total: 48:52
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 13.8 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
52 / 53 Roel Kwaaitaal
NED
+78 s
+49 s
G4 / G4
correct 		16:44
16:42
 49:36
Show details
Prediction details: Roel Kwaaitaal

Placement

Prediction: 52
80% range: 50–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 53
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:14
Pace: 1:22 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 29.1 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 17.6 s
Gap behind: 9.4 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 39.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.01 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 30 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:42 (3:20 / km)
Error: +0:02 / +0:00 / km
Overall prediction: 49:36
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:14 (1:22 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 31:34 (39.5 km/h)
Run: 16:44 (3:21 / km)
Total: 49:36
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 49.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
53 / 51 Tymon Horsten
POL
+43 s
+37 s
G3 / G2
 19:07
18:02
 50:13
Show details
Prediction details: Tymon Horsten

Placement

Prediction: 53
80% range: 46–59
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation: 2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 6.3 s
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.53 %, Sicherheit 39 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (8 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.6 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 2 (1 people)
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.21 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Historical basis: 3:53 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -1.35 %, Sicherheit 42 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:02 (3:36 / km)
Error: +1:05 / +0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 50:13
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 30:05 (41.6 km/h)
Run: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Total: 50:13
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 14.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5 Theotime Lawson
FRA
+30 s
+30 s
G2 / G1
15:10
Show details
Prediction details: Theotime Lawson

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–5
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 5
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 36 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:10 (3:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 1.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 6 Thomas Rivet
FRA
+42 s
+29 s
G2 / G1
15:14
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Rivet

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 6
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 13.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 13 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -2.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 15:14 (3:03 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 13.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 30 Charlie Harding
GBR
+0 s
+36 s
G1 / G1
correct
16:13
Show details
Prediction details: Charlie Harding

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -30

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:56
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -36.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 96 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 3.3 s
Result: Group 1 (47 people)
Speed: 44.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -0.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 16:13 (3:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:56 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 57 Ruben Pereira Garcia
ESP
+41 s
+53 s
G2 / G5
18:16
Show details
Prediction details: Ruben Pereira Garcia

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 3–6
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 57
Deviation: -57

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +53 s
Fehler: -12.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (17 people)
Gruppe 1: 14 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 38.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.70 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:16 (3:39 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (42.0 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:25
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
About 12.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +28.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 58 Moritz Nigg
AUT
+12 s
+36 s
G1 / G5
19:53
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Nigg

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 58
Deviation: -58

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:08
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -24.2 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 28 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 85 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 1.2 s
Result: Group 5 (2 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.19 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:53 (3:59 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:08 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 59 Max Sánchez González
ESP
+6 s
+30 s
G1 / G4
22:28
Show details
Prediction details: Max Sánchez González

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 2–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 59
Deviation: -59

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +6 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -24.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (32 people)
Gruppe 1: 93 %
Speed: 43.2 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (3 people)
Speed: 39.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:28 (4:30 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:55 (43.2 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable