Prediction comparison

Junior Men

26.10.2025 TUR

Race information and calculation basis

2025 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Alanya

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 26.10.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used

Modell v14 Default values

Prediction quality 51/100 niedrig

Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 62.5 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 87.5 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Retrospective backtest without using the analysed race or later results.

Show methodology

Only after the historical calculation is the prediction compared with the actual result.

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors

Mean place error5.3

Mean swim error13.4 s

Mean bike-speed error2.92 km/h

Correct bike groups13/29

No history3

Within the 80% range50.0 %

Place Prediction / result	Athlete	Swimming Prediction / result	Bike group Prediction / result	Run Prediction / result	Overall prediction	Details
1 / 6	Anton Befayt BEL	+41 s +13 s	G2 / G1	13:41 15:15	43:29	Show details Prediction details: Anton Befayt Placement Prediction: 1 80% range: 2–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 6 Deviation: -5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +41 s Time: 9:57 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +13 s Fehler: 27.7 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -1.23 %, Sicherheit 19 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.8 s Gap behind: 4.5 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.04 km/h Running and total Run: 13:41 (2:59 / km) Historical basis: 2:57 / km Best comparable pace: 2:57 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 1.41 %, Sicherheit 17 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:15 (3:20 / km) Error: −1:34 / −0:21 / km Overall prediction: 43:29 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:57 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 13:41 (2:59 / km) Total: 43:29 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 11.5 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
2 / 2	Konrád Székely HUN	+17 s +9 s	G1 / G1 correct	15:11 14:42	44:10	Show details Prediction details: Konrád Székely Placement Prediction: 2 80% range: 2–7 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 2 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +17 s Time: 9:33 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +9 s Fehler: 7.7 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 39 Duelle, Korrektur 0.10 %, Sicherheit 62 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 45 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.4 s Gap behind: 3.4 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.10 km/h Running and total Run: 15:11 (3:19 / km) Historical basis: 3:18 / km Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 10 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 48 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:42 (3:13 / km) Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 44:10 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 15:11 (3:19 / km) Total: 44:10
3 / 9	Alexandru-Rares Popa ROU	+26 s +35 s	G1 / G3	15:15 14:51	44:14	Show details Prediction details: Alexandru-Rares Popa Placement Prediction: 3 80% range: 4–11 Top-10 probability: 86 % Result: 9 Deviation: -6 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +26 s Time: 9:42 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: -9.2 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.12 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 14 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.8 s Gap behind: 0.7 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.54 km/h Running and total Run: 15:15 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:19 / km Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 80 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:51 (3:15 / km) Error: +0:24 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 44:14 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 15:15 (3:20 / km) Total: 44:14
4 / 4	Szabolcs Mihály HUN	+22 s +2 s	G1 / G1 correct	15:16 14:44	44:15	Show details Prediction details: Szabolcs Mihály Placement Prediction: 4 80% range: 2–11 Top-10 probability: 88 % Result: 4 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +22 s Time: 9:38 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +2 s Fehler: 20.0 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 42 Duelle, Korrektur 0.04 %, Sicherheit 71 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 50 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.9 s Gap behind: 3.8 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.01 km/h Running and total Run: 15:16 (3:20 / km) Historical basis: 3:20 / km Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 58 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:44 (3:13 / km) Error: +0:32 / +0:07 / km Overall prediction: 44:15 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 15:16 (3:20 / km) Total: 44:15
5 / 15	Pearse Gallagher IRL	+35 s +53 s	G2 / G3	15:04 15:43	44:52	Show details Prediction details: Pearse Gallagher Placement Prediction: 5 80% range: 4–10 Top-10 probability: 91 % Result: 15 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +35 s Time: 9:51 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +53 s Fehler: -17.6 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.96 %, Sicherheit 2 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.0 s Gap behind: 0.0 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.99 km/h Running and total Run: 15:04 (3:17 / km) Historical basis: 3:15 / km Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 1.40 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:43 (3:26 / km) Error: −0:39 / −0:09 / km Overall prediction: 44:52 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 15:04 (3:17 / km) Total: 44:52 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 6.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
6 / 10	Türker Kemal Kiyak TUR	+20 s +8 s	G1 / G1 correct	15:59 16:11	44:58	Show details Prediction details: Türker Kemal Kiyak Placement Prediction: 6 80% range: 3–15 Top-10 probability: 63 % Result: 10 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +20 s Time: 9:36 Pace: 1:17 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +8 s Fehler: 12.1 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 65 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 25 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.4 s Gap behind: 1.9 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.07 km/h Running and total Run: 15:59 (3:29 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:14 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 6 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:32 / km) Error: −0:12 / −0:03 / km Overall prediction: 44:58 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:36 (1:17 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 15:59 (3:29 / km) Total: 44:58
7 / 3	Senan McDonnell IRL	+15 s +0 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:24 14:45	45:23	Show details Prediction details: Senan McDonnell Placement Prediction: 7 80% range: 4–13 Top-10 probability: 61 % Result: 3 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +15 s Time: 9:31 Pace: 1:16 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +0 s Fehler: 15.3 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 30 Duelle, Korrektur 0.02 %, Sicherheit 81 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 50 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 7.9 s Gap behind: 1.4 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.88 km/h Running and total Run: 16:24 (3:35 / km) Historical basis: 3:40 / km Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.62 %, Sicherheit 76 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:45 (3:13 / km) Error: +1:39 / +0:22 / km Overall prediction: 45:23 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 16:24 (3:35 / km) Total: 45:23
8 / 12	Dorukalp Azizoğlu TUR	+37 s +35 s	G2 / G3	15:40 14:59	45:28	Show details Prediction details: Dorukalp Azizoğlu Placement Prediction: 8 80% range: 8–16 Top-10 probability: 40 % Result: 12 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +37 s Time: 9:53 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: 1.9 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 59 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.5 s Gap behind: 3.8 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.48 km/h Running and total Run: 15:40 (3:25 / km) Historical basis: 3:26 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 49 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:59 (3:16 / km) Error: +0:41 / +0:09 / km Overall prediction: 45:28 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:53 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 15:40 (3:25 / km) Total: 45:28 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 7.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 7	Raul Petre ROU	+7 s +4 s	G1 / G1 correct	16:45 15:29	45:44	Show details Prediction details: Raul Petre Placement Prediction: 9 80% range: 5–18 Top-10 probability: 66 % Result: 7 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +7 s Time: 9:23 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +4 s Fehler: 3.4 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 83 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 63 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 7.9 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.80 km/h Running and total Run: 16:45 (3:39 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur -0.72 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:29 (3:23 / km) Error: +1:16 / +0:17 / km Overall prediction: 45:44 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:23 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 16:45 (3:39 / km) Total: 45:44
10 / 13	Aleksei Petrovskii AIN	+57 s +55 s	G3 / G4	14:46 14:39	45:47	Show details Prediction details: Aleksei Petrovskii Placement Prediction: 10 80% range: 4–16 Top-10 probability: 48 % Result: 13 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +57 s Time: 10:13 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +55 s Fehler: 2.3 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 5 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 12.1 s Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 4 (1 people) Speed: 40.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.56 km/h Running and total Run: 14:46 (3:13 / km) Historical basis: 3:09 / km Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 2.16 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:39 (3:12 / km) Error: +0:07 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 45:47 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:13 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 14:46 (3:13 / km) Total: 45:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 28.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
11 / 11	Maximus Murray GBR	+27 s +21 s	G1 / G3	16:54 14:50	45:53	Show details Prediction details: Maximus Murray Placement Prediction: 11 80% range: 12–19 Top-10 probability: 6 % Result: 11 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +27 s Time: 9:43 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +21 s Fehler: 5.5 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.75 %, Sicherheit 7 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 13 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.7 s Gap behind: 3.5 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 40.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.42 km/h Running and total Run: 16:54 (3:41 / km) Historical basis: 3:42 / km Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur -0.26 %, Sicherheit 7 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:50 (3:14 / km) Error: +2:04 / +0:27 / km Overall prediction: 45:53 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 16:54 (3:41 / km) Total: 45:53
12 / 23	Paul Donauer AUT	+35 s +65 s	G2 / G3	16:16 17:58	46:04	Show details Prediction details: Paul Donauer Placement Prediction: 12 80% range: 12–17 Top-10 probability: 3 % Result: 23 Deviation: -11 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +35 s Time: 9:51 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +65 s Fehler: -29.6 s H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 34 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.0 s Gap behind: 1.5 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.30 km/h Running and total Run: 16:16 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.27 %, Sicherheit 36 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:58 (3:55 / km) Error: −1:42 / −0:22 / km Overall prediction: 46:04 Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60 Swimming: 9:51 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 16:16 (3:33 / km) Total: 46:04 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 6.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
13 / 25	Fedir Bezlepkin UKR	+33 s +35 s	G2 / G3	16:17 18:15	46:05	Show details Prediction details: Fedir Bezlepkin Placement Prediction: 13 80% range: 11–19 Top-10 probability: 10 % Result: 25 Deviation: -12 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +33 s Time: 9:49 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +35 s Fehler: -1.7 s H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 70 Duelle, Korrektur 0.70 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 6 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.3 s Gap behind: 0.1 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.41 km/h Running and total Run: 16:17 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:32 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 5 H2H: 19 Gegner:innen, 61 Duelle, Korrektur 0.65 %, Sicherheit 100 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:15 (3:59 / km) Error: −1:58 / −0:26 / km Overall prediction: 46:05 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 16:17 (3:33 / km) Total: 46:05 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 4.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
14 / 17	Jakob Schwarhofer AUT	+30 s +24 s	G2 / G2 correct	16:19 16:25	46:07	Show details Prediction details: Jakob Schwarhofer Placement Prediction: 14 80% range: 8–15 Top-10 probability: 29 % Result: 17 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +30 s Time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +24 s Fehler: 6.0 s H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.56 %, Sicherheit 17 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 11 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.5 s Gap behind: 3.3 s Result: Group 2 (2 people) Speed: 41.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.99 km/h Running and total Run: 16:19 (3:34 / km) Historical basis: 3:34 / km Best comparable pace: 3:34 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 14 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:25 (3:35 / km) Error: −0:06 / −0:01 / km Overall prediction: 46:07 Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:46 (1:18 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 16:19 (3:34 / km) Total: 46:07 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 0.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
15 / 8	Gilles Vanhaelen BEL	+81 s +20 s	G4 / G2	14:16 14:37	46:18	Show details Prediction details: Gilles Vanhaelen Placement Prediction: 15 80% range: 5–20 Top-10 probability: 45 % Result: 8 Deviation: 7 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +81 s Time: 10:37 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +20 s Fehler: 61.2 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -1.26 %, Sicherheit 20 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 3 % Speed: 36.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.6 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 2 (2 people) Speed: 41.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.75 km/h Running and total Run: 14:16 (3:07 / km) Historical basis: 3:04 / km Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 1.50 %, Sicherheit 19 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (3:11 / km) Error: −0:21 / −0:05 / km Overall prediction: 46:18 Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:40 (36.7 km/h) Run: 14:16 (3:07 / km) Total: 46:18 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 52 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
16 / 19	Arsen Adamov UKR	+33 s +12 s	G2 / G3	16:37 16:14	46:25	Show details Prediction details: Arsen Adamov Placement Prediction: 16 80% range: 11–22 Top-10 probability: 10 % Result: 19 Deviation: -3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +33 s Time: 9:49 Pace: 1:19 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +12 s Fehler: 21.4 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur 0.23 %, Sicherheit 92 % Cycling Prediction: Group 2 (7 people) Gruppe 1: 10 % Speed: 38.6 km/h Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.1 s Gap behind: 2.0 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 40.6 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.94 km/h Running and total Run: 16:37 (3:38 / km) Historical basis: 3:41 / km Best comparable pace: 3:36 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 41 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 71 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:14 (3:33 / km) Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 46:25 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:08 (38.6 km/h) Run: 16:37 (3:38 / km) Total: 46:25 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 4.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
17 / 1	Arthur Baigidin RUS	+6 s +9 s	G1 / G1 correct	17:27 14:37	46:26	Show details Prediction details: Arthur Baigidin Placement Prediction: 17 80% range: 3–19 Top-10 probability: 50 % Result: 1 Deviation: 16 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +6 s Time: 9:22 Pace: 1:15 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +9 s Fehler: -3.4 s H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.00 %, Sicherheit 5 % Cycling Prediction: Group 1 (8 people) Gruppe 1: 98 % Speed: 39.5 km/h Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: – Gap behind: 1.8 s Result: Group 1 (7 people) Speed: 42.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.15 km/h Running and total Run: 17:27 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:54 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 5 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -0.70 %, Sicherheit 7 % Ergebnis Lauf: 14:37 (3:11 / km) Error: +2:50 / +0:37 / km Overall prediction: 46:26 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 28:32 (39.5 km/h) Run: 17:27 (3:49 / km) Total: 46:26
18 / 18	Ahmet Sagıroglu TUR	+77 s +61 s	G3 / G3 correct	15:55 16:11	46:56	Show details Prediction details: Ahmet Sagıroglu Placement Prediction: 18 80% range: 17–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 18 Deviation: 0 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +77 s Time: 10:33 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +61 s Fehler: 15.6 s H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -1.98 %, Sicherheit 23 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.4 s Gap behind: 4.6 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.92 km/h Running and total Run: 15:55 (3:28 / km) Historical basis: 3:28 / km Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.29 %, Sicherheit 24 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:11 (3:32 / km) Error: −0:16 / −0:04 / km Overall prediction: 46:56 Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80 Swimming: 10:33 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 15:55 (3:28 / km) Total: 46:56 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 47.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 14	Preslav Kushev BUL	+68 s +69 s	G3 / G3 correct	16:14 15:37	47:15	Show details Prediction details: Preslav Kushev Placement Prediction: 19 80% range: 18–23 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 14 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +68 s Time: 10:24 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +69 s Fehler: -1.4 s H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur 0.51 %, Sicherheit 82 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.6 s Gap behind: 2.9 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 42.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.15 km/h Running and total Run: 16:14 (3:33 / km) Historical basis: 3:33 / km Best comparable pace: 3:33 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 29 Duelle, Korrektur -0.29 %, Sicherheit 74 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:37 (3:25 / km) Error: +0:37 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 47:15 Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:24 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 16:14 (3:33 / km) Total: 47:15 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 38.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 30	Cristian Vasilache MDA	+74 s +75 s	G3 / G6	16:29 17:32	47:30	Show details Prediction details: Cristian Vasilache Placement Prediction: 20 80% range: 20–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 30 Deviation: -10 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +74 s Time: 10:30 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +75 s Fehler: -0.8 s H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 64 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 3.7 s Gap behind: 2.4 s Result: Group 6 (1 people) Speed: 36.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 1.16 km/h Running and total Run: 16:29 (3:36 / km) Historical basis: 3:35 / km Best comparable pace: 3:35 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 58 Duelle, Korrektur 0.52 %, Sicherheit 95 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:32 (3:50 / km) Error: −1:03 / −0:14 / km Overall prediction: 47:30 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:30 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 16:29 (3:36 / km) Total: 47:30 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 45 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 16	Illia Honcharuk UKR	+66 s +57 s	G3 / G3 correct	16:41 15:45	47:42	Show details Prediction details: Illia Honcharuk Placement Prediction: 21 80% range: 20–24 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 16 Deviation: 5 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +66 s Time: 10:22 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: 9.2 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 89 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.6 s Gap behind: 0.8 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.76 km/h Running and total Run: 16:41 (3:39 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 28 Duelle, Korrektur -1.09 %, Sicherheit 69 % Ergebnis Lauf: 15:45 (3:26 / km) Error: +0:56 / +0:12 / km Overall prediction: 47:42 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:22 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 16:41 (3:39 / km) Total: 47:42 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 37 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
22 / 26	Matvii Malysh UKR	+59 s +64 s	G3 / G5	17:01 16:38	48:02	Show details Prediction details: Matvii Malysh Placement Prediction: 22 80% range: 18–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 26 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 10:15 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +64 s Fehler: -4.9 s H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.39 %, Sicherheit 54 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 4 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 1.8 s Gap behind: 0.2 s Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 38.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.00 km/h Running and total Run: 17:01 (3:43 / km) Historical basis: 3:45 / km Best comparable pace: 3:41 / km Trend: −0:04 / km Comparable races: 4 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.92 %, Sicherheit 38 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:38 (3:38 / km) Error: +0:23 / +0:05 / km Overall prediction: 48:02 Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 17:01 (3:43 / km) Total: 48:02 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 29.9 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 21	Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi UKR	+62 s +68 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:28 16:59	48:29	Show details Prediction details: Zaкhar Tsivkovskyi Placement Prediction: 23 80% range: 20–25 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 21 Deviation: 2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +62 s Time: 10:18 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +68 s Fehler: -6.4 s H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 48 Duelle, Korrektur -0.31 %, Sicherheit 100 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.3 s Gap behind: 4.6 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 42.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -4.12 km/h Running and total Run: 17:28 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:50 / km Best comparable pace: 3:31 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 44 Duelle, Korrektur -0.61 %, Sicherheit 78 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:59 (3:42 / km) Error: +0:29 / +0:06 / km Overall prediction: 48:29 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:18 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 17:28 (3:49 / km) Total: 48:29 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 32.4 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
24 / 20	Markiian Harmatii UKR	+45 s +42 s	G3 / G3 correct	17:29 16:15	48:30	Show details Prediction details: Markiian Harmatii Placement Prediction: 24 80% range: 17–25 Top-10 probability: 5 % Result: 20 Deviation: 4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +45 s Time: 10:01 Pace: 1:20 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +42 s Fehler: 3.2 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 57 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 9 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 4.5 s Gap behind: 12.1 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.3 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.40 km/h Running and total Run: 17:29 (3:49 / km) Historical basis: 3:49 / km Best comparable pace: 3:49 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.17 %, Sicherheit 54 % Ergebnis Lauf: 16:15 (3:33 / km) Error: +1:14 / +0:16 / km Overall prediction: 48:30 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:01 (1:20 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 17:29 (3:49 / km) Total: 48:30 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 16 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
25 / 22	Ryan Lundy IRL	+81 s +60 s	G4 / G3	17:45 17:40	49:47	Show details Prediction details: Ryan Lundy Placement Prediction: 25 80% range: 24–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 22 Deviation: 3 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +81 s Time: 10:37 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +60 s Fehler: 21.4 s H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 2 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 0.5 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.9 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -5.18 km/h Running and total Run: 17:45 (3:52 / km) Historical basis: 3:52 / km Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 2 H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 2 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:40 (3:51 / km) Error: +0:05 / +0:01 / km Overall prediction: 49:47 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:37 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:40 (36.7 km/h) Run: 17:45 (3:52 / km) Total: 49:47 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 52.2 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 28	Hlib Yakubets UKR	+71 s +72 s	G3 / G5	18:51 17:59	49:52	Show details Prediction details: Hlib Yakubets Placement Prediction: 26 80% range: 26–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 28 Deviation: -2 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +71 s Time: 10:27 Pace: 1:24 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +72 s Fehler: -1.5 s H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.42 %, Sicherheit 15 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 2.9 s Gap behind: 3.7 s Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 39.1 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -1.18 km/h Running and total Run: 18:51 (4:07 / km) Historical basis: 4:07 / km Best comparable pace: 4:07 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 1 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.06 %, Sicherheit 15 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:56 / km) Error: +0:52 / +0:11 / km Overall prediction: 49:52 Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 10:27 (1:24 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 18:51 (4:07 / km) Total: 49:52 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:46 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 41.3 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 31	Zigmas Reisas LTU	+67 s +125 s	G3 / G7	18:52 18:44	49:53	Show details Prediction details: Zigmas Reisas Placement Prediction: 27 80% range: 22–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 31 Deviation: -4 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +67 s Time: 10:23 Pace: 1:23 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +125 s Fehler: -58.0 s H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 46 Duelle, Korrektur -0.22 %, Sicherheit 82 % Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 1 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.8 s Gap behind: 0.6 s Result: Group 7 (2 people) Speed: 35.5 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 2.40 km/h Running and total Run: 18:52 (4:07 / km) Historical basis: 4:08 / km Best comparable pace: 3:17 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 4 H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 63 % Ergebnis Lauf: 18:44 (4:05 / km) Error: +0:08 / +0:02 / km Overall prediction: 49:53 Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:23 (1:23 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: 18:52 (4:07 / km) Total: 49:53 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 37.8 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
28 / 29	Stefan Mateescu ROU	+82 s +63 s	G4 / G5	18:34 17:59	50:36	Show details Prediction details: Stefan Mateescu Placement Prediction: 28 80% range: 26–29 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 29 Deviation: -1 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +82 s Time: 10:38 Pace: 1:25 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +63 s Fehler: 18.9 s H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur -1.97 %, Sicherheit 88 % Cycling Prediction: Group 4 (3 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 36.7 km/h Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.5 s Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 38.8 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -2.15 km/h Running and total Run: 18:34 (4:03 / km) Historical basis: 4:03 / km Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 3 Fallback calculation from other run distances H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 35 Duelle, Korrektur 0.05 %, Sicherheit 60 % Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:56 / km) Error: +0:35 / +0:08 / km Overall prediction: 50:36 Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00 Swimming: 10:38 (1:25 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 30:40 (36.7 km/h) Run: 18:34 (4:03 / km) Total: 50:36 Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 52.7 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 5	Alexey Uzikov AIN	+0 s	Bike DNF	14:54		Show details Prediction details: Alexey Uzikov Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 30–30 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 5 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:16 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Bike split not completed Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 14:54 (3:15 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 24	Theotime Chauveheid BEL	+59 s +57 s	G3 / G3 correct	18:09		Show details Prediction details: Theotime Chauveheid Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 1–1 Top-10 probability: 100 % Result: 24 Deviation: -24 Swimming Prognoseabstand: +59 s Time: 10:15 Pace: 1:22 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +57 s Fehler: 2.3 s Cycling Prediction: Group 3 (11 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 37.9 km/h Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt Gap ahead: 0.2 s Gap behind: 2.3 s Result: Group 3 (14 people) Speed: 41.7 km/h Tempo-Fehler: -3.79 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:58 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20 Swimming: 10:15 (1:22 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): 29:44 (37.9 km/h) Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group. Estimated requirement: Swim time: 9:45 Pace: 1:18 / 100 m About 30.1 s faster in the swim Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +29.2 s The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 27	Stanislav Krylov UKR	+0 s +66 s	G0 / G5	17:00		Show details Prediction details: Stanislav Krylov Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 31–31 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 27 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:16 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +66 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 5 (4 people) Speed: 39.0 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 17:00 (3:43 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32	Yehor Korniienko UKR	+0 s +112 s	G0 / G7	23:34		Show details Prediction details: Yehor Korniienko Placement Prediction: 0 80% range: 32–32 Top-10 probability: 0 % Result: 32 Deviation: Swimming Prognoseabstand: +0 s Time: 9:16 Pace: 1:14 / 100 m Ergebnisabstand: +112 s Fehler: 0.0 s Cycling Prediction: Group 0 (0 people) Gruppe 1: 0 % Speed: 0.0 km/h Gap ahead: – Gap behind: – Result: Group 7 (2 people) Speed: 35.4 km/h Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h Running and total Run: () Historical basis: Best comparable pace: Trend: +0:00 / km Comparable races: 0 Fallback calculation from other run distances Ergebnis Lauf: 23:34 (5:09 / km) Error: / Overall prediction: Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00 Swimming: 9:16 (1:14 / 100 m) To the end of cycling (group time): – Run: – Total: not fully calculable Target first bike group at the bike finish Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.

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