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Junior Men

28.09.2025 Birzebbuga MLT
Race information and calculation basis
2025 Europe Triathlon Junior Cup Birzebbuga

Datengrundlage: maximal zwölf Starts je Athlet:in, die zeitlich strikt vor 28.09.2025 liegen. Neuere Leistungen und direkte Duelle werden mit einer Halbwertszeit von 300 Tagen stärker gewichtet.

Prediction model used
Modell v15 Default values
Prediction quality 50/100 niedrig
Show model parameters and data quality

Not yet sufficiently calibrated – conservative defaults are used.

Einzelabstand ≤ 4 s Gruppenspanne ≤ 14 s Gruppeneffekt 0.65 Max. Vorteil 2.2 km/h

Datenabdeckung 59.6 % · Head-to-Head-Abdeckung 73.1 % · 0 Kalibrierungsrennen

Prediction comparison

Summary of prediction errors
Mean place error11.3
Mean swim error14.8 s
Mean bike-speed error4.47 km/h
Correct bike groups7/43
No history9
Within the 80% range26.9 %
Details
1 / 16 Ben Hill
GBR
+17 s
+3 s
G1 / G3
 15:05
18:43
 44:09
Show details
Prediction details: Ben Hill

Placement

Prediction: 1
80% range: 5–8
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 16
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 13.7 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.43 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.6 s
Gap behind: 0.7 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Historical basis: 2:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur 1.70 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: −3:38 / −0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 44:09
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:05 (3:01 / km)
Total: 44:09
2 / 3 Adrien Gouilloud
FRA
+38 s
+9 s
G1 / G2
 15:16
17:25
 44:20
Show details
Prediction details: Adrien Gouilloud

Placement

Prediction: 2
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 3
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +38 s
Time: 9:28
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 28.9 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 31 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 43 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 2.8 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Historical basis: 3:03 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:03 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: −2:09 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 44:20
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:28 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:16 (3:03 / km)
Total: 44:20
3 / 20 Luis Rühl
GER
+16 s
+22 s
G1 / G4
 15:19
18:09
 44:23
Show details
Prediction details: Luis Rühl

Placement

Prediction: 3
80% range: 5–10
Top-10 probability: 91 %
Result: 20
Deviation: -17

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +22 s
Fehler: -5.9 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 76 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.6 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.64 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 76 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:09 (3:38 / km)
Error: −2:50 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 44:23
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:19 (3:04 / km)
Total: 44:23
4 / 14 Moritz Hägel
GER
+37 s
+35 s
G1 / G4
 15:35
17:47
 44:39
Show details
Prediction details: Moritz Hägel

Placement

Prediction: 4
80% range: 7–13
Top-10 probability: 71 %
Result: 14
Deviation: -10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 1.7 s
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 64 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.5 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.36 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Historical basis: 3:07 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:04 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.19 %, Sicherheit 61 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:47 (3:33 / km)
Error: −2:12 / −0:26 / km
Overall prediction: 44:39
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:35 (3:07 / km)
Total: 44:39
5 / 11 Jayden Scott Koslick
GER
+32 s
+8 s
G1 / G2
 15:39
18:20
 44:43
Show details
Prediction details: Jayden Scott Koslick

Placement

Prediction: 5
80% range: 7–11
Top-10 probability: 78 %
Result: 11
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +32 s
Time: 9:22
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +8 s
Fehler: 24.1 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur 0.25 %, Sicherheit 51 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 63 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.85 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Historical basis: 3:08 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 47 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: −2:41 / −0:32 / km
Overall prediction: 44:43
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:22 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:39 (3:08 / km)
Total: 44:43
6 / 19 Noe Treille
FRA
+29 s
+9 s
G1 / G1
correct 		15:54
19:08
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Noe Treille

Placement

Prediction: 6
80% range: 9–14
Top-10 probability: 31 %
Result: 19
Deviation: -13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +29 s
Time: 9:19
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +9 s
Fehler: 20.0 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.38 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 38.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:10 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.32 %, Sicherheit 32 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:08 (3:50 / km)
Error: −3:14 / −0:39 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:19 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:58
7 / 9 Zsombor Holba
HUN
+34 s
+29 s
G1 / G4
 15:54
17:19
 44:58
Show details
Prediction details: Zsombor Holba

Placement

Prediction: 7
80% range: 8–17
Top-10 probability: 25 %
Result: 9
Deviation: -2

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +34 s
Time: 9:24
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 5.0 s
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.30 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 50 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.9 s
Gap behind: 2.1 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.50 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Historical basis: 3:11 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:01 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 22 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.02 %, Sicherheit 94 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:19 (3:28 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 44:58
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:24 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 15:54 (3:11 / km)
Total: 44:58
8 / 17 Kacper Serwiński
POL
+51 s
+42 s
G2 / G4
 15:32
18:06
 45:06
Show details
Prediction details: Kacper Serwiński

Placement

Prediction: 8
80% range: 5–32
Top-10 probability: 38 %
Result: 17
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +51 s
Time: 9:41
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +42 s
Fehler: 8.9 s
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 45 Duelle, Korrektur -0.11 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Historical basis: 3:09 / km
Best comparable pace: 2:54 / km
Trend: −0:03 / km
Comparable races: 6
H2H: 20 Gegner:innen, 38 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:06 (3:37 / km)
Error: −2:34 / −0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 45:06
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:41 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 15:32 (3:06 / km)
Total: 45:06
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 9.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
9 / 2 Alejandro López García
ESP
+17 s
+0 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:08
17:36
 45:12
Show details
Prediction details: Alejandro López García

Placement

Prediction: 9
80% range: 10–16
Top-10 probability: 14 %
Result: 2
Deviation: 7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +17 s
Time: 9:07
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +0 s
Fehler: 17.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.04 %, Sicherheit 33 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 60 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.7 s
Gap behind: 3.6 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Historical basis: 3:15 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 31 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:36 (3:31 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:12
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:07 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:08 (3:14 / km)
Total: 45:12
10 / 42 Sebastién Brunner
SUI
+37 s
+31 s
G1 / G4
 16:34
22:21
 45:38
Show details
Prediction details: Sebastién Brunner

Placement

Prediction: 10
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 42
Deviation: -32

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +37 s
Time: 9:27
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +31 s
Fehler: 6.1 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.28 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:02 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 27 Duelle, Korrektur 0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:21 (4:28 / km)
Error: −5:47 / −1:09 / km
Overall prediction: 45:38
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:27 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:34 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:38
11 / 1 Luke Holmes
GBR
+21 s
+2 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:35
17:25
 45:39
Show details
Prediction details: Luke Holmes

Placement

Prediction: 11
80% range: 11–25
Top-10 probability: 10 %
Result: 1
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +21 s
Time: 9:11
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +2 s
Fehler: 19.0 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.12 %, Sicherheit 86 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.6 s
Gap behind: 2.2 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:15 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 18 Duelle, Korrektur -0.64 %, Sicherheit 70 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Error: −0:50 / −0:10 / km
Overall prediction: 45:39
Data basis: 10 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:11 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:35 (3:19 / km)
Total: 45:39
12 / 21 Nico Kalberer
SUI
+36 s
+35 s
G1 / G3
 16:39
19:07
 45:43
Show details
Prediction details: Nico Kalberer

Placement

Prediction: 12
80% range: 15–26
Top-10 probability: 3 %
Result: 21
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 1.2 s
H2H: 11 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 69 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 46 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.5 s
Result: Group 3 (2 people)
Speed: 38.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.62 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:20 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:16 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur 0.03 %, Sicherheit 56 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:07 (3:49 / km)
Error: −2:28 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 45:43
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:39 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:43
13 / 13 Rory Bryant
GBR
+12 s
+7 s
G1 / G2
 16:40
18:39
 45:44
Show details
Prediction details: Rory Bryant

Placement

Prediction: 13
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 13
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +7 s
Fehler: 4.7 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 68 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 66 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.7 s
Gap behind: 0.3 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.75 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 22 Duelle, Korrektur -1.02 %, Sicherheit 55 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:39 (3:44 / km)
Error: −1:59 / −0:24 / km
Overall prediction: 45:44
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:44
14 / 22 William Pridden
GBR
+30 s
+28 s
G1 / G4
 16:40
18:45
 45:44
Show details
Prediction details: William Pridden

Placement

Prediction: 14
80% range: 15–24
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 22
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 2.2 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.34 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 49 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 1.9 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.52 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Historical basis: 3:24 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:23 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.07 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:45 (3:45 / km)
Error: −2:05 / −0:25 / km
Overall prediction: 45:44
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:40 (3:20 / km)
Total: 45:44
15 / 5 Guillaume Bohnert
FRA
+16 s
+3 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:43
17:54
 45:47
Show details
Prediction details: Guillaume Bohnert

Placement

Prediction: 15
80% range: 14–23
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 5
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +16 s
Time: 9:06
Pace: 1:13 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 12.7 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 18 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 64 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.58 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.59 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:54 (3:35 / km)
Error: −1:11 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 45:47
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:06 (1:13 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:43 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:47
16 / 4 Matyas Daligaud
FRA
+12 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:45
17:50
 45:49
Show details
Prediction details: Matyas Daligaud

Placement

Prediction: 16
80% range: 14–22
Top-10 probability: 5 %
Result: 4
Deviation: 12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +12 s
Time: 9:02
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 8.0 s
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur 1.25 %, Sicherheit 24 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 71 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.3 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:22 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 4 Gegner:innen, 4 Duelle, Korrektur -0.30 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:50 (3:34 / km)
Error: −1:05 / −0:13 / km
Overall prediction: 45:49
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 9:02 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:45 (3:21 / km)
Total: 45:49
17 / 7 Senan McDonnell
IRL
+28 s
+4 s
G1 / G1
correct 		16:52
18:20
 45:56
Show details
Prediction details: Senan McDonnell

Placement

Prediction: 17
80% range: 9–31
Top-10 probability: 11 %
Result: 7
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +28 s
Time: 9:18
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +4 s
Fehler: 23.7 s
H2H: 15 Gegner:innen, 26 Duelle, Korrektur -0.24 %, Sicherheit 98 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 59 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 38.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.56 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 13 Gegner:innen, 16 Duelle, Korrektur 0.08 %, Sicherheit 95 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: −1:28 / −0:18 / km
Overall prediction: 45:56
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:18 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 16:52 (3:22 / km)
Total: 45:56
18 / 8 Levente Szabó
HUN
+52 s
+44 s
G2 / G4
 16:26
17:11
 46:00
Show details
Prediction details: Levente Szabó

Placement

Prediction: 18
80% range: 15–25
Top-10 probability: 1 %
Result: 8
Deviation: 10

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +52 s
Time: 9:42
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 8.2 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 32 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 19 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.77 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Historical basis: 3:19 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:19 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 13 Duelle, Korrektur -0.68 %, Sicherheit 18 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:11 (3:26 / km)
Error: −0:45 / −0:09 / km
Overall prediction: 46:00
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:42 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:26 (3:17 / km)
Total: 46:00
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 10.6 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
19 / 6 Mats Decoene
BEL
+48 s
+16 s
G2 / G1
 16:29
18:12
 46:03
Show details
Prediction details: Mats Decoene

Placement

Prediction: 19
80% range: 14–25
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 6
Deviation: 13

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +16 s
Fehler: 31.7 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.54 %, Sicherheit 95 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 30 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 1 (7 people)
Speed: 39.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 2.74 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Historical basis: 3:18 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:18 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 24 Duelle, Korrektur -0.15 %, Sicherheit 92 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:12 (3:38 / km)
Error: −1:43 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 46:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:29 (3:18 / km)
Total: 46:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 6.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
20 / 12 Mathys Bocquet
IRL
+50 s
+12 s
G2 / G2
correct 		16:36
18:29
 46:10
Show details
Prediction details: Mathys Bocquet

Placement

Prediction: 20
80% range: 6–35
Top-10 probability: 23 %
Result: 12
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +12 s
Fehler: 37.7 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 21 Duelle, Korrektur -0.16 %, Sicherheit 82 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 31 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 0.2 s
Result: Group 2 (4 people)
Speed: 38.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.20 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Historical basis: 3:22 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:06 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 4
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 17 Duelle, Korrektur 0.66 %, Sicherheit 79 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:29 (3:42 / km)
Error: −1:53 / −0:23 / km
Overall prediction: 46:10
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:36 (3:19 / km)
Total: 46:10
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 8.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
21 / 41 Jack Llewellyn
GBR
+24 s
+30 s
G1 / G5
 17:16
20:55
 46:20
Show details
Prediction details: Jack Llewellyn

Placement

Prediction: 21
80% range: 22–27
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 41
Deviation: -20

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +24 s
Time: 9:14
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +30 s
Fehler: -6.0 s
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur 0.59 %, Sicherheit 10 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 55 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 36.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.65 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Historical basis: 3:28 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:28 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 6 Gegner:innen, 9 Duelle, Korrektur -0.21 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:55 (4:11 / km)
Error: −3:39 / −0:44 / km
Overall prediction: 46:20
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:14 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:16 (3:27 / km)
Total: 46:20
22 / 38 Kai Azzopardi
MLT
+48 s
+49 s
G2 / G6
 16:55
18:47
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Kai Azzopardi

Placement

Prediction: 22
80% range: 16–29
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 38
Deviation: -16

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +48 s
Time: 9:38
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: -1.1 s
H2H: 24 Gegner:innen, 51 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 21 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 1.4 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 35.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.59 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:27 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:08 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 9
H2H: 23 Gegner:innen, 43 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:52 / −0:22 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:38 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 46:29
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 6.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
23 / 23 Michael Stiebel
ISR
+23 s
+5 s
G1 / G4
 17:25
18:47
 46:29
Show details
Prediction details: Michael Stiebel

Placement

Prediction: 23
80% range: 23–28
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 23
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +23 s
Time: 9:13
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +5 s
Fehler: 18.2 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur 0.37 %, Sicherheit 60 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.2 s
Gap behind: 0.8 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.3 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.07 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:10 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 10 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:47 (3:45 / km)
Error: −1:22 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 46:29
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:13 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 46:29
24 / 30 Yuval Ashkenazi
ISR
+41 s
+3 s
G1 / G4
 17:32
20:39
 46:36
Show details
Prediction details: Yuval Ashkenazi

Placement

Prediction: 24
80% range: 25–30
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 30
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +41 s
Time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +3 s
Fehler: 37.7 s
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 75 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 40 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.8 s
Gap behind: 1.3 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 5.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 14 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 57 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:39 (4:08 / km)
Error: −3:07 / −0:37 / km
Overall prediction: 46:36
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:31 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 17:32 (3:30 / km)
Total: 46:36
25 / 40 Tomer Guy
ISR
+44 s
+32 s
G2 / G6
 17:40
18:55
 47:14
Show details
Prediction details: Tomer Guy

Placement

Prediction: 25
80% range: 26–32
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 40
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +44 s
Time: 9:34
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: 12.0 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur 0.17 %, Sicherheit 79 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 33 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.9 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 34.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.08 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:32 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 34 Duelle, Korrektur -0.19 %, Sicherheit 60 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:55 (3:47 / km)
Error: −1:15 / −0:15 / km
Overall prediction: 47:14
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:34 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:40 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:14
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 2.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
26 / 33 Samuele Iaconi
SUI
+47 s
+35 s
G2 / G4
 17:42
20:41
 47:16
Show details
Prediction details: Samuele Iaconi

Placement

Prediction: 26
80% range: 14–35
Top-10 probability: 6 %
Result: 33
Deviation: -7

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +47 s
Time: 9:37
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +35 s
Fehler: 11.7 s
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 28 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.7 s
Gap behind: 1.0 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.95 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Historical basis: 3:36 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 5
H2H: 21 Gegner:innen, 37 Duelle, Korrektur 0.16 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:41 (4:08 / km)
Error: −2:59 / −0:36 / km
Overall prediction: 47:16
Data basis: 7 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:37 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:42 (3:32 / km)
Total: 47:16
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 5.1 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
27 / 35 Thibault Debecker
BEL
+36 s
+25 s
G1 / G4
 18:21
20:52
 47:25
Show details
Prediction details: Thibault Debecker

Placement

Prediction: 27
80% range: 30–35
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 35
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +36 s
Time: 9:26
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 11.1 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 25 Duelle, Korrektur 0.94 %, Sicherheit 62 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 44 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.1 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.66 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Historical basis: 3:42 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:24 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 20 Duelle, Korrektur -0.60 %, Sicherheit 58 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:52 (4:10 / km)
Error: −2:31 / −0:30 / km
Overall prediction: 47:25
Data basis: 9 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:26 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 18:21 (3:40 / km)
Total: 47:25
28 / 29 Tom Philippe
BEL
+53 s
+48 s
G2 / G5
 17:58
18:36
 47:32
Show details
Prediction details: Tom Philippe

Placement

Prediction: 28
80% range: 29–36
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 29
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +53 s
Time: 9:43
Pace: 1:18 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +48 s
Fehler: 4.6 s
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.50 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 11 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.4 s
Gap behind: 6.7 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 36.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.93 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 12 Gegner:innen, 15 Duelle, Korrektur -0.74 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:36 (3:43 / km)
Error: −0:38 / −0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 47:32
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:43 (1:18 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:58 (3:36 / km)
Total: 47:32
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 11 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
29 / 26 Jules Clément
BEL
+49 s
+37 s
G2 / G4
 17:59
19:24
 47:33
Show details
Prediction details: Jules Clément

Placement

Prediction: 29
80% range: 29–34
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 26
Deviation: 3

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +49 s
Time: 9:39
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +37 s
Fehler: 12.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 23 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.4 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.73 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Historical basis: 3:37 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:37 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:24 (3:53 / km)
Error: −1:25 / −0:17 / km
Overall prediction: 47:33
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:39 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Total: 47:33
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 7.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
30 / 31 Achille Alessandri
ITA
+43 s
+14 s
G2 / G6
 18:46
18:08
 48:20
Show details
Prediction details: Achille Alessandri

Placement

Prediction: 30
80% range: 31–37
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 31
Deviation: -1

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +43 s
Time: 9:33
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +14 s
Fehler: 29.1 s
H2H: 5 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -2.47 %, Sicherheit 14 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 34 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 34.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.18 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Historical basis: 3:48 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:21 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 2 Gegner:innen, 2 Duelle, Korrektur 0.74 %, Sicherheit 5 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:08 (3:38 / km)
Error: +0:38 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 48:20
Data basis: 8 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:33 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 18:46 (3:45 / km)
Total: 48:20
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 1.5 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
31 / 37 Tenzin Vanwijnsberghe
BEL
+66 s
+52 s
G4 / G5
 17:25
20:14
 48:25
Show details
Prediction details: Tenzin Vanwijnsberghe

Placement

Prediction: 31
80% range: 29–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 37
Deviation: -6

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +66 s
Time: 9:56
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +52 s
Fehler: 14.3 s
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.27 %, Sicherheit 89 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.0 s
Gap behind: 3.7 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 37.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.14 km/h

Running and total

Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Historical basis: 3:30 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:26 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 16 Gegner:innen, 19 Duelle, Korrektur -0.34 %, Sicherheit 89 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:14 (4:03 / km)
Error: −2:49 / −0:34 / km
Overall prediction: 48:25
Data basis: 6 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:56 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 17:25 (3:29 / km)
Total: 48:25
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 24.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
32 / 24 Andrin Gallert
SUI
+30 s
+36 s
G1 / G4
 19:56
19:14
 49:00
Show details
Prediction details: Andrin Gallert

Placement

Prediction: 32
80% range: 36–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 24
Deviation: 8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +30 s
Time: 9:20
Pace: 1:15 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +36 s
Fehler: -6.2 s
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.21 %, Sicherheit 5 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 51 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 3, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.8 s
Gap behind: 0.4 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.42 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:30 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
Fallback calculation from other run distances
H2H: 1 Gegner:innen, 1 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 3 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:14 (3:51 / km)
Error: +0:42 / +0:08 / km
Overall prediction: 49:00
Data basis: 3 Races · Confidence 0.60
Swimming: 9:20 (1:15 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: 19:56 (3:59 / km)
Total: 49:00
33 / 47 Lukas Marek
CZE
+50 s
+57 s
G2 / G10
 19:35
21:19
 49:09
Show details
Prediction details: Lukas Marek

Placement

Prediction: 33
80% range: 31–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 47
Deviation: -14

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +57 s
Fehler: -7.0 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 11 Duelle, Korrektur 0.87 %, Sicherheit 22 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 26 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.1 s
Gap behind: 0.9 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 32.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 9.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Historical basis: 3:55 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:42 / km
Trend: −0:01 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 9 Gegner:innen, 12 Duelle, Korrektur 0.43 %, Sicherheit 24 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:19 (4:16 / km)
Error: −1:44 / −0:21 / km
Overall prediction: 49:09
Data basis: 11 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 19:35 (3:55 / km)
Total: 49:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 8.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
34 / 34 Benjamin Douglas
BEL
+64 s
+59 s
G4 / G5
 18:17
19:38
 49:17
Show details
Prediction details: Benjamin Douglas

Placement

Prediction: 34
80% range: 34–38
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 34
Deviation: 0

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +64 s
Time: 9:54
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +59 s
Fehler: 5.3 s
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.06 %, Sicherheit 52 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 4 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 5.0 s
Gap behind: 2.0 s
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 37.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.16 km/h

Running and total

Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Historical basis: 3:40 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:40 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 8 Gegner:innen, 8 Duelle, Korrektur -0.35 %, Sicherheit 52 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:38 (3:56 / km)
Error: −1:21 / −0:16 / km
Overall prediction: 49:17
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:54 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 18:17 (3:39 / km)
Total: 49:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 22.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
35 / 10 Gaspard Chabanel
FRA
+59 s
+29 s
G3 / G4
 19:51
17:18
 49:26
Show details
Prediction details: Gaspard Chabanel

Placement

Prediction: 35
80% range: 36–40
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 10
Deviation: 25

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +59 s
Time: 9:49
Pace: 1:19 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +29 s
Fehler: 30.3 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 3 (1 people)
Gruppe 1: 8 %
Speed: 42.0 km/h
Initial Gruppe 5, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 6.7 s
Gap behind: 5.0 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.05 km/h

Running and total

Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Historical basis: 3:58 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:58 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 3
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:18 (3:28 / km)
Error: +2:33 / +0:31 / km
Overall prediction: 49:26
Data basis: 4 Races · Confidence 0.80
Swimming: 9:49 (1:19 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:36 (42.0 km/h)
Run: 19:51 (3:58 / km)
Total: 49:26
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:31
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 17.7 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
36 / 44 Ali Rzazade
AZE
+50 s
+49 s
G2 / G8
 22:45
19:52
 52:19
Show details
Prediction details: Ali Rzazade

Placement

Prediction: 36
80% range: 40–42
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 44
Deviation: -8

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +50 s
Time: 9:40
Pace: 1:17 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +49 s
Fehler: 0.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.20 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 24 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 0.2 s
Gap behind: 0.1 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 8.37 km/h

Running and total

Run: 22:45 (4:33 / km)
Historical basis: 4:35 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:35 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.83 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:52 (3:58 / km)
Error: +2:53 / +0:35 / km
Overall prediction: 52:19
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 9:40 (1:17 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: 22:45 (4:33 / km)
Total: 52:19
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 8.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
37 / 49 Tamerlan Musayev
AZE
+73 s
+69 s
G4 / G10
 23:17
22:42
 54:17
Show details
Prediction details: Tamerlan Musayev

Placement

Prediction: 37
80% range: 41–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 49
Deviation: -12

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +73 s
Time: 10:03
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +69 s
Fehler: 3.9 s
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur 0.36 %, Sicherheit 13 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 10 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 2.9 s
Gap behind: 4.9 s
Result: Group 10 (2 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 7.24 km/h

Running and total

Run: 23:17 (4:39 / km)
Historical basis: 4:41 / km
Best comparable pace: 4:41 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 1
H2H: 3 Gegner:innen, 5 Duelle, Korrektur -0.49 %, Sicherheit 10 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:42 (4:32 / km)
Error: +0:35 / +0:07 / km
Overall prediction: 54:17
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:03 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (40.3 km/h)
Run: 23:17 (4:39 / km)
Total: 54:17
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 31.3 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
38 / 43 Ryan Muscat
MLT
+78 s
+58 s
G5 / G8
 16:55
19:16
 56:03
Show details
Prediction details: Ryan Muscat

Placement

Prediction: 38
80% range: 29–41
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 43
Deviation: -5

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +78 s
Time: 10:08
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 19.8 s
H2H: 18 Gegner:innen, 36 Duelle, Korrektur -0.01 %, Sicherheit 100 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 4.9 s
Gap behind: 1.8 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 33.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.96 km/h

Running and total

Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Historical basis: 3:26 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:09 / km
Trend: −0:04 / km
Comparable races: 7
H2H: 17 Gegner:innen, 31 Duelle, Korrektur 0.18 %, Sicherheit 100 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:16 (3:51 / km)
Error: −2:21 / −0:28 / km
Overall prediction: 56:03
Data basis: 12 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:08 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:49 (31.7 km/h)
Run: 16:55 (3:23 / km)
Total: 56:03
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 36.2 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
39 / 48 Přemysl Hašlar
CZE
+80 s
+120 s
G5 / G11
 20:01
21:10
 59:09
Show details
Prediction details: Přemysl Hašlar

Placement

Prediction: 39
80% range: 38–43
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 48
Deviation: -9

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +80 s
Time: 10:10
Pace: 1:21 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +120 s
Fehler: -40.4 s
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur 0.31 %, Sicherheit 26 %

Cycling

Prediction: Group 5 (2 people)
Gruppe 1: 3 %
Speed: 31.7 km/h
Initial Gruppe 7, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.8 s
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 33.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: -1.46 km/h

Running and total

Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Historical basis: 4:01 / km
Best comparable pace: 3:51 / km
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 2
H2H: 7 Gegner:innen, 7 Duelle, Korrektur -0.45 %, Sicherheit 26 %
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:10 (4:14 / km)
Error: −1:09 / −0:14 / km
Overall prediction: 59:09
Data basis: 5 Races · Confidence 1.00
Swimming: 10:10 (1:21 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 37:49 (31.7 km/h)
Run: 20:01 (4:00 / km)
Total: 59:09
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 38 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 15 Malo Personne
FRA
+42 s
+51 s
G2 / G4
17:59
Show details
Prediction details: Malo Personne

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 15
Deviation: -15

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +42 s
Time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +51 s
Fehler: -9.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 2 (13 people)
Gruppe 1: 41 %
Speed: 41.8 km/h
Initial Gruppe 4, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.3 s
Gap behind: 1.1 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 3.71 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 17:59 (3:36 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:32 (1:16 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:41 (41.8 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 0.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.
0 / 18 Hippolyte Lacroix
FRA
+25 s
+47 s
G1 / G4
18:11
Show details
Prediction details: Hippolyte Lacroix

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 18
Deviation: -18

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +25 s
Time: 9:15
Pace: 1:14 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +47 s
Fehler: -22.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 58 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 2, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 1.0 s
Gap behind: 2.7 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.2 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.12 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:11 (3:38 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 9:15 (1:14 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 25 Loïc Fallot
SUI
+0 s
+25 s
G0 / G4
19:18
Show details
Prediction details: Loïc Fallot

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 44–44
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 25
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +25 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.8 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 19:18 (3:52 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 27 Aurélien Gallusser
SUI
+0 s
+56 s
G0 / G5
18:20
Show details
Prediction details: Aurélien Gallusser

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 45–45
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 27
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 37.0 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:20 (3:40 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 28 Maximus Murray
GBR
+0 s
+28 s
G0 / G5
18:30
Show details
Prediction details: Maximus Murray

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 46–46
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 28
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +28 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 5 (6 people)
Speed: 36.6 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:30 (3:42 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 32 Arcan Vanoverschelden
BEL
+0 s
+33 s
G0 / G4
20:37
Show details
Prediction details: Arcan Vanoverschelden

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 47–47
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 32
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +33 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 37.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:37 (4:07 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 36 Thomas Fradin
FRA
+7 s
+32 s
G1 / G4
21:15
Show details
Prediction details: Thomas Fradin

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 1–3
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 36
Deviation: -36

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +7 s
Time: 8:57
Pace: 1:12 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +32 s
Fehler: -25.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 1 (23 people)
Gruppe 1: 75 %
Speed: 42.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 1, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: 4.7 s
Result: Group 4 (19 people)
Speed: 38.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 4.26 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 21:15 (4:15 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 2 Races · Confidence 0.40
Swimming: 8:57 (1:12 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 28:23 (42.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
0 / 39 Dean Peeters
BEL
+0 s
+77 s
G0 / G6
18:43
Show details
Prediction details: Dean Peeters

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 48–48
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 39
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +77 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 6 (4 people)
Speed: 35.7 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 18:43 (3:45 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 45 Amit Levy
ISR
+0 s
+58 s
G0 / G7
20:29
Show details
Prediction details: Amit Levy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 49–49
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 45
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +58 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 7 (1 people)
Speed: 33.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:29 (4:06 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 46 Francesco Cecere
ITA
+0 s
+56 s
G0 / G9
20:08
Show details
Prediction details: Francesco Cecere

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 50–50
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 46
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +56 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 9 (1 people)
Speed: 33.1 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 20:08 (4:02 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 50 Yuval Saliman
ISR
+0 s
+40 s
G0 / G11
22:08
Show details
Prediction details: Yuval Saliman

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 51–51
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 50
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +40 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 11 (2 people)
Speed: 31.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:08 (4:26 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 51 Erel Levy
ISR
+0 s
+114 s
G0 / G12
22:42
Show details
Prediction details: Erel Levy

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 52–52
Top-10 probability: 0 %
Result: 51
Deviation:

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +0 s
Time: 8:50
Pace: 1:11 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +114 s
Fehler: 0.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 0 (0 people)
Gruppe 1: 0 %
Speed: 0.0 km/h
Gap ahead: –
Gap behind: –
Result: Group 12 (1 people)
Speed: 32.9 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 0.00 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 22:42 (4:32 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 0 Races · Confidence 0.00
Swimming: 8:50 (1:11 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): –
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Cannot be calculated without a swim distance or historical swim data.
0 / 52 Tuur Verhelle
BEL
+70 s
+44 s
G4 / G8
27:02
Show details
Prediction details: Tuur Verhelle

Placement

Prediction: 0
80% range: 4–4
Top-10 probability: 100 %
Result: 52
Deviation: -52

Swimming

Prognoseabstand: +70 s
Time: 10:00
Pace: 1:20 / 100 m
Ergebnisabstand: +44 s
Fehler: 26.0 s

Cycling

Prediction: Group 4 (4 people)
Gruppe 1: 1 %
Speed: 40.3 km/h
Initial Gruppe 6, später eingeholt/vereinigt
Gap ahead: 3.7 s
Gap behind: 2.9 s
Result: Group 8 (3 people)
Speed: 33.5 km/h
Tempo-Fehler: 6.80 km/h

Running and total

Run: ()
Historical basis:
Best comparable pace:
Trend: +0:00 / km
Comparable races: 0
Fallback calculation from other run distances
Ergebnis Lauf: 27:02 (5:24 / km)
Error: /
Overall prediction:
Data basis: 1 Races · Confidence 0.20
Swimming: 10:00 (1:20 / 100 m)
To the end of cycling (group time): 29:47 (40.3 km/h)
Run: –
Total: not fully calculable
Target first bike group at the bike finish
Goal: finish the bike split with the first bike group.
Estimated requirement:
Swim time: 9:32
Pace: 1:16 / 100 m
About 28.4 s faster in the swim
Maximum predicted gap after the swim: +41.6 s
The complete bike-group simulation, including catches and group mergers, is recalculated through the end of the bike split.